Mets vs. Braves Prediction & Picks: MLB Odds for Wednesday, August 12
Our Mets vs. Braves prediction renew their NL East rivalry Wednesday night in a pivotal divisional matchup at Truist Park. With the series tied 1-1, this finale carries added weight as both teams look to gain ground in the playoff race. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET, with the game available on SNY and Braves.TV.
Atlanta enters as the betting favorite, with the Braves at -175 on the moneyline and New York at +155. With starting pitching, recent form and home-field advantage all in focus, these MLB picks will break down the best betting opportunities for the series finale.
⚾ Mets vs. Braves picks & odds today
See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds;
| ⚾ Pick | 💵 Units | 📝 Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Mets moneyline (+155 via FanDuel) | 1u → 1.55u | The Mets hold a big pitching advantage here, and the bats have been hot. |
| Bo Bichette to record 2+ hits, runs, and RBI's (-120 via FanDuel) | 1.2u → 1u | Bichette has hit Mahle hard in the past, I expect that to continue tonight. |
| Francisco Lindor to hit a home run (+420 via DraftKings) | .5u → 2.1u | Lindor has heated up as of late, and will have multiple opportunities to come through against Tyler Mahle who has allowed 14 home runs this season. |
Total wagered: 2.7 units | Max profit: 4.65 units
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🏆 Who will win Mets vs. Braves?
The Mets are worth backing as an underdog tonight despite Atlanta entering as the clear betting favorite. New York's offense has shown plenty of upside recently, averaging 7.1 runs across its previous seven games before being shut out Tuesday. That creates a strong bounce-back spot against the Braves, especially with the Mets motivated to avoid dropping the series.
New York also has plenty of experience in high-pressure NL East games, making the plus-money moneyline appealing. Look for the Mets' bats to rebound and deliver a much-needed road victory tonight.
Score prediction: Mets 6, Braves 3
💰 Mets vs. Braves prediction & best bet
Mets moneyline (+155)
The Mets have a strong opportunity to bounce back after being shut out 4-0 Tuesday night. New York's offense had averaged 7.1 runs over its previous seven games before the Braves slowed it down, creating an excellent bounce-back spot in Wednesday's finale.
The Mets also showed encouraging signs from their pitching staff, with Nolan McLean delivering six strong innings despite receiving no run support. If New York's bats return to their recent form and provide timely hits, the Mets can overcome Atlanta's home-field advantage and pull off the upset as a substantial underdog tonight.
📡 SBR Edge: The Braves struggles
The Braves have been struggling since the all-star break, and that includes this series with the Mets. The price is the main reason we are betting this, as this game should be closer to an even split rather than the Braves being a massive favorite with Tyler Mahle on the bump. I expect the Mets bats to come out firing early in this affair.
🔥 Best Mets vs. Braves player prop bet
Bo Bichette to record 2+ hits, runs, and RBI's (-120)
Bo Bichette is an intriguing choice to produce across the board against the Braves tonight. Atlanta is sending Tyler Mahle to the mound, and his 3-9 record and 4.83 ERA create a favorable matchup for a Mets lineup looking to bounce back after being shut out Tuesday. Bichette has already shown his ability to punish Atlanta pitching, blasting two home runs, including a grand slam, in a 7-5 Mets win earlier this season.
With Bichette hitting in a premium spot in New York's lineup, he should have multiple opportunities to collect hits, score runs and drive in teammates. Mahle's struggles provide an appealing path to a monster offensive performance from Bichette tonight.
💣 Mets vs. Braves home run prediction
Francisco Lindor to hit a home run (+420)
Francisco Lindor is a strong home run candidate in tonight’s matchup against the Braves. The Mets shortstop already homered against Atlanta earlier this week, finishing Monday’s win with three hits and a long ball. Lindor now gets another opportunity against Tyler Mahle, who enters with a 3-9 record and 4.83 ERA.
While Mahle impressed in his Braves debut, his season-long numbers leave room for regression. Lindor’s combination of switch-hitting ability, power and familiarity with Atlanta makes him an appealing long-ball target. Expect the veteran to attack early and potentially send another pitch over the fence tonight.
🚀 Mets vs. Braves same-game parlay
I expect the Mets to hit Tyler Mahle hard, and if they are able too, this parlay should cash with ease.
💵 Mets vs. Braves SGP picks
- Mets moneyline (+155)
- Bo Bichette to record 2+ hits, runs, and RBI's (-120)
- Francisco Lindor to hit a home run (+420)
Best odds: +1030 via FanDuel (.1u -> 1.03u)
💵 My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 7, 2026.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-21-1 | +5.2 units ✅ | 79.76% ✅ |
| Game picks | 18-8-0 | +7.9 units ✅ | 56.99% ✅ |
| Player props | 7-11-1 | -6.3 units ❌ | 48.91% ❌ |
| Parlays | 3-2-0 | +3.6 units ✅ | +88.88% ✅ |
📊 Live Mets vs. Braves odds
The line has been moving towards the Braves all day and I expect that to continue. If you wait to play the moneyline, you will probably get a better line closer to first pitch.
📈 Mets vs. Braves betting trends
| Mets | Statistic | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| 53-68 | W-L record | 72-48 |
| 57-64 | Run line record | 65-55 |
| 54-57-10 | O/U record | 56-58-6 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 3.61 | Team ERA | 3.61 |
| .235 | Team batting avg. | .248 |
| .694 | OPS | .732 |
🚑 Mets vs. Braves injuries
📺 How to watch Mets vs. Braves
- Date: August 12, 2026
- First pitch: 7:15 p.m.
- Ballpark: Truist Park
- TV: MLB.TV
- Streaming: MLB.TV
- Mets starter: Zac Thornton (2.52 ERA)
- Braves starter: Tyler Mahle (4.83 ERA)
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