U.S. Open Prop Bet Picks 2025: Where Are We Finding Value This Week?

Who are we riding with at Oakmont? Here's one +850 play you have to monitor before Thursday.
U.S. Open Prop Bet Picks 2025: Hole-in-One, Top Nationality & Min Woo Lee Picks
Pictured: Jon Rahm plays a shot from the 11th tee during a practice round for the U.S. Open golf tournament at Oakmont Country Club. Photo by Charles LeClaire via Imagn Images.

The 2025 U.S. Open is underway, but there's still plenty of time to get your wagers in. Our U.S. Open prop bets have you covered as the field heads to Oakmont Country Club in Pennsylvania for the third major of the year.  

Bryson DeChambeau is the defending U.S. Open champion after holding off Rory McIlroy at Pinehurst, but are either of them featured in our best US Open props for 2025? We make our best novelty play, a nationality prop, and a top-10 finish pick for you to dig into, with U.S. Open odds from our best golf betting sites.

šŸŒļø U.S. Open props

  • Will there be a hole-in-one? NO (-160 at ESPN BET⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Jon Rahm top European golfer (+360 at DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Min Woo Lee top 10 finish (+850 at DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

šŸ’° U.S. Open prop bets: Will there be a hole-in-one? – NO 

Best odds: -160 via ESPN BET | Implied probability: 61.54%

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Welcome to one of the simplest wagers in golf – will there be a hole-in-one? We’re kicking off our U.S. Open prop bets with a simple NO - absolutely not, if you will.

For starters, the par 3s at Oakmont are incredibly tough, with a mixture of length and undesirable pin locations hounding golfers in 2016, the last time this course hosted the U.S. Open. To make matters worse, No. 8 is the longest par 3 in the tournament’s history, and the greens will be rolling like cement.  Now, Hanse and Wagner have since renovated the course with the expectation that greens will be easier to attack, and No. 13 will be the one hole we have to hold our breath, but I’m firmly sitting in the ā€œNOā€ camp for a hole-in-one this week. 

Here's a look at Oakmont’s par 3s. 

Hole  Yardage  2016 stroke average  Difficulty rank (2016) 
No. 6  200 yards  3.142  11 
No. 8  289 yards  3.304 
No. 13  182 yards  2.989  16 
No. 16  236 yards  3.241 

I’m playing a full unit at -160 here at ESPN BET. Some of our other best sports betting sites have this play at -165 or worse. 

šŸ’° U.S. Open props: Jon Rahm top European golfer

Best odds: +360 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 21.74%

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A big part of making these plays is finding a golfer who’s been playing lights-out golf recently, and Rahm fits the bill – we’ll be riding him as part of our best U.S. Open prop bets. Whatever your opinion is of LIV, Rahm has 21 top 10s on the rival tour – yes, that’s every single start of his since he joined as captain of Legion XIII over 18 months ago. Is that good? 

Rahm also has a history of winning this tournament, claiming the 2021 U.S. Open at Torrey Pines alongside four top 10s in his career.  

Another player to watch in this market is Shane Lowry at +1200, who made a charge at the Canadian Open this past week; that's why he's in Esten McLaren's U.S. Open picks to win.

He also finished T-2 at this course in 2016 at 1-under. I’m sprinkling on Lowry but dropping a full unit on Rahm at +360. I’d play this down to +300 prior to Thursday. Here's a look at the top European odds board following Round 1:

Player Odds Implied Probability
Jon Rahm +300 25.00%
Rory McIlroy +750 11.76%
Robert MacIntyre +750 11.76%
Ludvig ƅberg +800 11.11%
Thomas Detry +900 10.00%
Tyrrell Hatton +1200 7.69%
Tommy Fleetwood +1400 6.67%
Sepp Straka +1600 5.88%
Aaron Rai +1800 5.26%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen +2000 4.76%

šŸ’° U.S. Open props: Min Woo Lee top 10 finish

Best odds: +850 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 10.53%

Somebody cooked here.  

Yes, we are riding with ā€œDr. Chipinskiā€ as part of our best U.S. Open prop bets this week. It was nice to see him get his first career PGA TOUR win a couple of months ago at the Texas Children’s Houston Open, validating the talent for a man who many believed to be just a ā€œsocial media star.ā€ 

Lee ranks 13th in strokes gained: around the green, which will only help him at a course like Oakmont, and has three straight strong finishes at the U.S. Open (T-5, T-21, T-27). He’s proven he can hang around on the toughest of courses, so we’re dipping into our U.S. Open sleeper picks here with Lee to finish top-10. The +850 value is just icing on the cake.

I’d play the People’s Champ all the way down to +700. 

Player  Top 5  Top 10  Top 20 
Scottie Scheffler  -150  -300  -650 
Bryson DeChambeau  +185  -110  -225 
Rory McIlroy  +240  +120  -175 
Jon Rahm  +250  +120  -175 
Xander Schauffele  +400  +200  -110 
Collin Morikawa  +450  +210  -105 
Joaquin Niemann  +550  +275  +120 
Tommy Fleetwood  +600  +280  +120 
Ludvig ƅberg  +650  +350  +160 
Justin Thomas  +750  +360  +160 

šŸ”® U.S. Open expert picks

⛳ U.S. Open info

  • When: Thursday, June 12 - Sunday, June 15 
  • Where: Oakmont Country Club, Oakmont, Pa.
  • How to watch: NBC, Peacock
  • Favorite: Scottie Scheffler (+280 via Caesars)
  • Defending champion: Bryson DeChambeau
  • Field: 156
  • Cut: Low 60 scores (plus ties)

ā“ U.S. Open prop bet FAQs

How do I bet on U.S. Open props? 

Just like betting on an outright tournament winner, head to one of our best golf betting sites and look for U.S. Open tournament props. From there, you can place on wire-to-wire plays, hole-in-one plays, top-5 bets, nationality props, and more. 

Who won last year's U.S. Open? 

Bryson DeChambeau won last year's U.S. Open. Rory McIlroy held the lead before DeChambeau’s Sunday charge. 

Where can I watch the 2025 US Open? 

The 2025 U.S. Open will be available at NBC and Peacock for viewers to watch from Thursday to Sunday. 

Who is the favorite to win the 2025 US Open? 

World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is currently the favorite to win the US Open, priced in at +280 via Ceasars.

⛳ Golf betting odds pages

šŸŒļøBest golf betting sites for the 2025 U.S Open

Looking to bet on the U.S. Open? Here are the top-rated golf betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with the best sportsbook promos:

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Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.