U.S. Open Prop Bet Picks 2025: Where Are We Finding Value This Week?

Last Updated: June 12, 2025 3:26 PM EDT ⢠5 minute read X Social Google News Link

The 2025 U.S. Open is underway, but there's still plenty of time to get your wagers in. Our U.S. Open prop bets have you covered as the field heads to Oakmont Country Club in Pennsylvania for the third major of the year.
Bryson DeChambeau is the defending U.S. Open champion after holding off Rory McIlroy at Pinehurst, but are either of them featured in our best US Open props for 2025? We make our best novelty play, a nationality prop, and a top-10 finish pick for you to dig into, with U.S. Open odds from our best golf betting sites.
šļø U.S. Open props
- Will there be a hole-in-one? NO (-160 at ESPN BET) āāāāā
- Jon Rahm top European golfer (+360 at DraftKings) āāāāā
- Min Woo Lee top 10 finish (+850 at DraftKings) āāāā
š° U.S. Open prop bets: Will there be a hole-in-one? ā NO
Best odds: -160 via ESPN BET | Implied probability: 61.54%
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Welcome to one of the simplest wagers in golf ā will there be a hole-in-one? Weāre kicking off our U.S. Open prop bets with a simple NO - absolutely not, if you will.
For starters, the par 3s at Oakmont are incredibly tough, with a mixture of length and undesirable pin locations hounding golfers in 2016, the last time this course hosted the U.S. Open. To make matters worse, No. 8 is the longest par 3 in the tournamentās history, and the greens will be rolling like cement. Now, Hanse and Wagner have since renovated the course with the expectation that greens will be easier to attack, and No. 13 will be the one hole we have to hold our breath, but Iām firmly sitting in the āNOā camp for a hole-in-one this week.
Here's a look at Oakmontās par 3s.
Hole | Yardage | 2016 stroke average | Difficulty rank (2016) |
---|---|---|---|
No. 6 | 200 yards | 3.142 | 11 |
No. 8 | 289 yards | 3.304 | 8 |
No. 13 | 182 yards | 2.989 | 16 |
No. 16 | 236 yards | 3.241 | 9 |
Iām playing a full unit at -160 here at ESPN BET. Some of our other best sports betting sites have this play at -165 or worse.
š° U.S. Open props: Jon Rahm top European golfer
Best odds: +360 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 21.74%
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A big part of making these plays is finding a golfer whoās been playing lights-out golf recently, and Rahm fits the bill ā weāll be riding him as part of our best U.S. Open prop bets. Whatever your opinion is of LIV, Rahm has 21 top 10s on the rival tour ā yes, thatās every single start of his since he joined as captain of Legion XIII over 18 months ago. Is that good?
Rahm also has a history of winning this tournament, claiming the 2021 U.S. Open at Torrey Pines alongside four top 10s in his career.
Another player to watch in this market is Shane Lowry at +1200, who made a charge at the Canadian Open this past week; that's why he's in Esten McLaren's U.S. Open picks to win.
He also finished T-2 at this course in 2016 at 1-under. Iām sprinkling on Lowry but dropping a full unit on Rahm at +360. Iād play this down to +300 prior to Thursday. Here's a look at the top European odds board following Round 1:
Player | Odds | Implied Probability |
---|---|---|
Jon Rahm | +300 | 25.00% |
Rory McIlroy | +750 | 11.76% |
Robert MacIntyre | +750 | 11.76% |
Ludvig Ć berg | +800 | 11.11% |
Thomas Detry | +900 | 10.00% |
Tyrrell Hatton | +1200 | 7.69% |
Tommy Fleetwood | +1400 | 6.67% |
Sepp Straka | +1600 | 5.88% |
Aaron Rai | +1800 | 5.26% |
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen | +2000 | 4.76% |
š° U.S. Open props: Min Woo Lee top 10 finish
Best odds: +850 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 10.53%
Somebody cooked here.
Yes, we are riding with āDr. Chipinskiā as part of our best U.S. Open prop bets this week. It was nice to see him get his first career PGA TOUR win a couple of months ago at the Texas Childrenās Houston Open, validating the talent for a man who many believed to be just a āsocial media star.ā
Lee ranks 13th in strokes gained: around the green, which will only help him at a course like Oakmont, and has three straight strong finishes at the U.S. Open (T-5, T-21, T-27). Heās proven he can hang around on the toughest of courses, so weāre dipping into our U.S. Open sleeper picks here with Lee to finish top-10. The +850 value is just icing on the cake.
Iād play the Peopleās Champ all the way down to +700.
Player | Top 5 | Top 10 | Top 20 |
---|---|---|---|
Scottie Scheffler | -150 | -300 | -650 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +185 | -110 | -225 |
Rory McIlroy | +240 | +120 | -175 |
Jon Rahm | +250 | +120 | -175 |
Xander Schauffele | +400 | +200 | -110 |
Collin Morikawa | +450 | +210 | -105 |
Joaquin Niemann | +550 | +275 | +120 |
Tommy Fleetwood | +600 | +280 | +120 |
Ludvig Ć berg | +650 | +350 | +160 |
Justin Thomas | +750 | +360 | +160 |
š® U.S. Open expert picks
- U.S. Open first-round leader odds
- U.S. Open projected cut line
- U.S. Open power rankings
- U.S. Open matchup picks
- U.S. Open prop bets
- U.S. Open odds
- U.S. Open picks to win
- U.S. Open long shots
- U.S. Open AI predictions
ā³āÆU.S. Open info
- When:āÆThursday, June 12 - Sunday, June 15
- Where:āÆOakmont Country Club, Oakmont, Pa.
- How to watch:āÆNBC, Peacock
- Favorite:āÆScottie Scheffler (+280 via Caesars)
- Defending champion:āÆBryson DeChambeau
- Field:āÆ156
- Cut:āÆLow 60 scores (plus ties)
ā U.S. Open prop bet FAQs
How do I bet on U.S. Open props?
Just like betting on an outright tournament winner, head to one of our best golf betting sites and look for U.S. Open tournament props. From there, you can place on wire-to-wire plays, hole-in-one plays, top-5 bets, nationality props, and more.
Who won last year's U.S. Open?
Bryson DeChambeau won last year's U.S. Open. Rory McIlroy held the lead before DeChambeauās Sunday charge.
Where can I watch the 2025 US Open?
The 2025 U.S. Open will be available at NBC and Peacock for viewers to watch from Thursday to Sunday.
Who is the favorite to win the 2025 US Open?
World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is currently the favorite to win the US Open, priced in at +280 via Ceasars.
ā³ Golf betting odds pages
Masters Odds | PGA Championship Odds | U.S. Open Odds |
British Open Odds | WM Phoenix Open Odds | Players Championship Odds |
FedEx Cup Odds | Ryder Cup Odds | TGL odds |
šļøBest golf betting sites for the 2025 U.S Open
Looking to bet on the U.S. Open? Here are the top-rated golf betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with the best sportsbook promos:
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Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.

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