Tiger Woods Masters Picks and Predictions: Another Competitive Trip Around Augusta Awaits
Tiger Woods is looking to win his sixth Masters championship, and our best sportsbooks are offering an endless supply of betting markets to back him. Sportsbook Review betting analyst Neil Parker surveys the options and shares his Tiger Woods Masters picks and predictions based on the best Masters odds.
Augusta National Golf Course and Tiger Woods are the perfect match. Golf fans can’t get enough of either, and sports betting sites are loading their betting sheets up with Masters prop bets, Masters odds boosts, and specials for Tiger Woods' odds this week.
Unfortunately, sports bettors need to approach the available offerings incredibly cautiously.
Because no one moves the needle like Tiger, sportsbooks can post decreased odds and still take plenty of action on the five-time Masters champion. He’s already the most-best golfer to make the cut at a stingy -200 number through BetMGM.
Here are my top Tiger Woods Masters picks and predictions (odds via DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars and PointsBet; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Tiger Woods Masters Picks
- Tiger Woods Over 3.5 birdies in Round 1 (+105 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐
- Tiger Woods to finish top 20 (+276 via DraftKings with odds boost) ⭐⭐
- Tiger Woods to have a bogey-free round (+700 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐
Tiger Woods Over 3.5 birdies in Round 1 (+105 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐
Plus-money odds to cheer for Tiger to roll in birdies on Thursday, you say?
Sign me up.
Woods put five circles on his Round 1 scorecard at The Genesis Invitational at Riviera Country Club in February, and that track features one fewer Par 5. Additionally, while Tiger made only three birdies during Round 1 of last year’s Masters, he made five during his Thursday round in the 2020 edition.
Check out DraftKings' Masters promo code and FanDuel's Masters promo code
Woods also made six birdies during the final round in 2020, which included playing the final six holes in minus-5 fashion.
I expect Tiger to birdie Hole No. 2 and Hole No. 15, so he just needs to find two more across the other 16 holes. And this also one of Esten McLaren's Masters best bets.
Tiger Woods to finish top 20 (+276 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐
This is the closest to true value we’ll probably find with Woods this week, and it requires capitalizing on a Masters odds boost from DraftKings.
I’m expecting Woods to make the cut and play the weekend. So, with just 50 golfers and ties playing all four rounds, it gives him a legitimate shot of hanging around and carding a top-20 result.
Looking at the numbers available across our best sportsbooks, Woods is priced as low as +175 through BetMGM to record a top-20 finish, so there’s a tremendous edge in taking advantage of the DraftKings boost. The +276 odds present a positive expected value of 37% over the +175 number.
Tiger Woods to have a bogey-free round (+700 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐
This is another value bet based on the alternative odds available through FanDuel (+380) and PointsBet (+400). The gap in prices has my full attention, and Woods carded a bogey-free 18 holes as recently as Round 1 of the 2020 Masters.
Additionally, if Tiger is successful this week, I’m anticipating it being because he’s able to navigate the course without making mistakes.
The +700 odds available through DraftKings present an incredible positive expected value of 66% over the +380 number through FanDuel. I don't remember an edge that large in a golf prop.
Tiger Woods Masters Leans
- Tiger Woods to win the Masters (+9000 via DraftKings)
- Tiger Woods to make the cut (-165 via DraftKings)
Tiger Woods to win the Masters (+9000 via DraftKings)
If you want to bet Tiger to win it all, DraftKings or Caesars are where you want to place the bet. Additionally, both shops have increased their prices already this week, so we’re landing one of the best numbers available. For reference, both sportsbooks had Woods priced at +5500 on Monday, and he opened at +5000 following his 47th-place finish in last year’s Masters.
Additionally, when comparing the numbers, there’s another notable advantage provided through shopping for the best price.
Compared to the BetMGM odds of +6600 that Woods will win the 2023 Masters, the +9000 odds present a positive expected value of 36%.
I don’t think Woods is going to win, but I can fully appreciate the entertainment value added if he’s in the running Sunday afternoon.
Tiger Woods to make the cut (-165 via DraftKings)
I think this is as fair a price as we’ll see in the cut market for Woods. It does present a decent edge over the -200 number BetMGM is hanging, too.
I’d just prefer to avoid paying a sizable vig for a golfer with only four rounds of competitive play over the past eight months – give or take a few days, of course.
Simply put, if you plan to back Woods in the cut market, it's important to shop for the best price.
Tiger Woods' history at the Masters
Odds from SportsOddsHistory.com.
Year | Score | Finishing Position | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
2022 | 301 (+13) | 47th | +8000 |
2020 | T-38 | T-38 | +4000 |
2019 | 275 (-13) | 1st | +1400 |
2018 | 289 (+1) | T-32 | +1200 |
2015 | 283 (-5) | T-17 | +4000 |
2013 | 283 (-5) | T-4 | +400 |
2012 | 293 (+5) | T-40 | +450 |
2011 | 278 (-10) | T-4 | +900 |
2010 | 277 (-11) | T-4 | +500 |
2009 | 280 (-8) | T-6 | +220 |
2008 | 283 (-5) | 2nd | +130 |
2007 | 291 (+3) | T-2 | +150 |
2006 | 284 (-4) | T-3 | +200 |
2005 | 276 (-12) | 1st | +350 |
2004 | 290 (+2) | T-22 | +350 |
2003 | 290 (+2) | T-15 | +150 |
2002 | 276 (-12) | 1st | +200 |
2001 | 272 (-16) | 1st | +150 |
2000 | 284 (-4) | 5th | +200 |
1999 | 289 (+1) | T-18 | +700 |
1998 | 285 (-3) | T-8 | +700 |
1997 | 270 (-18) | 1st | +800 |
1996 | 150 | Missed Cut | +6500 |
1995 | 293 (+5) | T-41 | N/A |
Check out our best sportsbooks for golf betting.
Not intended for use in MA
Affiliate Disclosure: Sportsbook Review may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook
Here are our best sportsbooks:
- FanDuel: No Sweat First Bet Up to $1,000 | Read our FanDuel Review
- Caesars: Earn Up to a $1,250 Bet Credit | Read our Caesars Review
- DraftKings: Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets | Read our DraftKings Review
- PointsBet: Earn Five Second-Chance Bets Up to $50 Each | Read our PointsBet Review
- BetMGM: Get a Bonus Bet of Up to $1,000 | Read our BetMGM Review
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
Related pages
- Best Online Sportsbooks | Best Sportsbook Promos (U.S. only)