British Open Fourth-Round Prop Predictions & Odds: Who Wins the British Open in Royal Birkdale GC?

The British Open fourth-round prop predictions market takes center stage this week as the world's best golfers head to Royal Birkdale Golf Club in Southport, England, for the final major championship of the season.

The season's final major rolls on this week as golf's biggest stars battle for the Claret Jug at legendary Royal Birkdale. One of the sport's most demanding links venues, the course tests every part of a player's game with shifting seaside winds, fast-running fairways, punishing rough, and deep bunkers. Success requires accurate driving, precise approach shots, and a reliable short game to navigate the constantly changing conditions. Those factors make the fourth-round prop market especially appealing, as golfers who remain consistent and handle the challenges best over four rounds are well positioned to finish strong on Sunday.

💰 British Open fourth-round prop predictions

Here are our top golf picks for the 72-hole prop predictions of the British Open.

⛳ Best fourth round British Open props after Round 3?

Sam Burns to win British Open (+115)

Sam Burns enters the final round of The Open Championship at 10-under par with a two-shot lead, putting him in excellent position to capture his first Claret Jug. Burns has displayed outstanding ball-striking, a confident putter, and the composure needed to handle Royal Birkdale's demanding links conditions.

Holding the overnight lead allows him to dictate the pace while forcing the chasing pack to take risks. If he continues finding fairways, limits costly mistakes, and converts key birdie opportunities, Burns has every tool necessary to protect his advantage and secure the biggest victory of his career.

Bryson DeChambeau Top-5 finish (+115)

Bryson DeChambeau enters the final round at 6-under par and in sixth place, leaving him well within striking distance of a top-five finish at The Open Championship. His combination of elite power, improved iron play, and aggressive scoring ability gives him plenty of upside if conditions become favorable at Royal Birkdale.

With only a handful of players separating the leaderboard, one hot stretch can quickly move him into the top five. If DeChambeau continues hitting greens, takes advantage of scoring opportunities, and avoids costly mistakes, he has an excellent chance to climb the standings Sunday.

Ludvig Aberg Top Continental European (-125)

Ludvig Aberg is in an excellent position to finish as the Top Continental European at The Open Championship thanks to his consistent ball-striking and steady play throughout the week. The Swedish star has handled Royal Birkdale's demanding links conditions with confidence, combining accurate driving, elite iron play, and a composed short game.

His ability to avoid costly mistakes gives him an edge over the other continental European contenders entering the final round. If Aberg continues playing within himself and capitalizes on birdie chances, he has an outstanding opportunity to claim this finishing position on Sunday.

⛅ What to consider when betting on fourth round props

Betting on the fourth-round prop market of any golf tournament is far different than betting on the tournament winner or any prop market.

Here are the factors I always consider with my fourth-round prop picks:

• Tee times
• Weather
• Course history
• Round 1, 2, and 3 scoring average
• Recent form
• Key stats for the week

The fourth-round prop betting market is much more volatile than the 72-hole event. As such, the odds for the tournament favorites are higher in this market, and the odds for the long shots are generally slightly shorter when betting on the 18-hole sample.

Early tee times are typically best to target for your picks. Courses are often at their softest and easiest, with no divots in the fairways or wear on the greens. But the weather can significantly change that line of thought. Monitor the weather to be sure your desired golfers will be dodging the worst of the rain and wind, should any be in the forecast.

I also greatly reduce my timeframe when looking at recent performance entering Sunday's final round.

Sunday's weather at Royal Birkdale GC

Weather from weather.com: