PGA Championship Power Rankings: Don't Sleep on Rahm

Oak Hill Country Club plays host to the 2023 PGA Championship this week, and Sportsbook Review betting analyst Neil Parker shares his PGA Championship Power Rankings based on the odds from our best sports betting apps.

The second major championship of the season is here, and all eyes will be on two-time PGA Championship winner Rory McIlroy as he targets his fifth major after missing the cut during the Masters in April.

McIlroy is among the betting favorites on PGA Championship odds lists, along with Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler who respectively rank first and second in the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR).

Our PGA Championship power rankings pair perfectly with our PGA Championship outright picks and predictions to pack an added punch of entertainment to your viewing experience.

PGA Championship power rankings

10. Cameron Young (+3300)

A boom-or-bust bomber, Young has six runner-up finishes without a PGA Tour win, and the demanding Oak Hill could prove to be the perfect track for a breakthrough victory. He also has a top-10 result in three of the past four majors and ranks 10th in true strokes gained: tee-to-green in this field across 77 measured rounds over the past year.

9. Viktor Hovland (+3500 via DraftKings)

The cons: Hovland’s short game remains a shortcoming, he’s had consecutive underwhelming showings in elevated events and has never won a major.

The pros: Hovland’s ball-striking remains elite, and his best two finishes in major championships have come in his past two starts.

8. Matt Fitzpatrick (+3300 via BetMGM)

I’m viewing Fitzpatrick as one of the safer bets to have a solid showing this week. He’s played the weekend in 10 consecutive majors and has top-25 finishes in each of the past five – including winning the 2022 U.S. Open.

7. Tony Finau (+2500 via PointsBet)

Good luck figuring Finau out. He carded nine top-10 finishes across his first 20 majors, but his best result over the past five is a T-26 at this year’s Masters. Finau has been piling up non-major wins with five across the past three seasons, but four of five were also in watered-down fields.

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6. Patrick Cantlay (+2000)

Everyone loves Cantlay this week.

The eight-time PGA Tour winner is still chasing his first major championship, but his well-rounded game more than checks out statistically. His popularity could move him into fade territory for some poolies, so while a career-changing victory shouldn’t surprise anyone this week, he’s also probably going to be a chalky pick.

5. Scottie Scheffler (+750)

You’re unlikely to find Scheffler this high elsewhere. He’s rolled off 13 consecutive top-15 showings, which also includes two wins in elevated events and another seven top-five results. His putting just hasn’t been good enough for me, and if Oak Hill plays as the monster it’s been billed as, you’re going to need to roll the rock to win. Scheffler has failed to gain strokes putting in three consecutive events and his .002 SG: putting is far below last season’s .202 mark.

On the flip side, if statistical correction on the greens kicks in, Scheffler could quickly be the player to beat.

4. Xander Schauffele (+1800 via PointsBet)

Mr. Consistency has gained strokes on the greens in 11 consecutive events and hasn't missed a cut since the 2022 Masters. Schauffele paces this field in true SG: approach across 83 measured rounds over the past year, so if he doesn’t penalize himself off the tee, he’s primed to compete at Oak Hill.

3. Brooks Koepka (+2200)

If Brooks is truly back, poolies and punters will want to make him a priority. His four major championships have all come at difficult courses, and I value his statement T-2 finish at the Masters in April.

Still, I do fear his range of outcomes is also wider than most on this list.

2. Rory McIlroy (+1400)

Oak Hill should play to McIlroy’s strengths, and while he hasn’t won a major since 2014, he’s been annually taking down star-studded fields across the globe throughout his career. Add ranking second in true SG: tee-to-green in this field across 80 measured rounds over the past year, and there’s a case that McIlroy’s actually being undervalued to win a third Wanamaker Trophy, and that's why I'm backing him with my PGA Championship expert picks. 

1. Jon Rahm (+800)

The World No. 1 has six victories across his past 15 events, and he hasn’t missed a cut since September 2021. Rahm paces the tour in scoring average and ranks second in true SG: tee-to-green in this field across his past 43 measured rounds. His game is in peak form, and that has to be incredibly intimidating for the rest of the field.

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