College football's season finale comes on Monday when No. 3 TCU and No. 1 Georgia square off the national championship. Read on for our expert TCU-Georgia prediction based on the best college football odds.
The Georgia Bulldogs are looking to win back-to-back national championships while the TCU Horned Frogs hope to cap a Cinderella season with a major upset. There are plenty of props and markets to choose from for the big game.
Here are our expert picks for the national championship (odds via our best sportsbooks).
TCU vs. Georgia Odds
CFP National Championship Expert Picks: TCU vs. Georgia
|Henry John||Brenden Schaeffer||Mike Spector||Philip Wood|
|Pick||Alternate game total Over 61.5||Over 62.5||TCU team total Over 24.5||Kenny McIntosh Over 60.5 rushing yards|
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Alternate game total Over 61.5 (-125 via DraftKings)
Georgia’s defensive secondary struggled in the Peach Bowl against the elite Ohio State receiving corps. TCU also has a dangerous group of pass-catchers. Quentin Johnston is likely to be one of the first wideouts off the board in the NFL Draft. Taye Barber, Jordan Hudson, and Derius Davis are all capable of challenging the banged-up UGA secondary.
Meanwhile, unlike Michigan, Georgia has a proven passing attack to complement its bruising ground game. TCU will once again have to stack the box against the run which will only open things up down the field. The fact that QBs Max Duggan and Stetson Bennett are both capable of salvaging broken plays only increases the edge for the offenses.
The difference in alternate total odds between sportsbooks is slim, but the -125 price at DraftKings is currently the best available value. - John
Over 62.5 (-110 at Caesars)
Georgia has the sixth-highest scoring average in the nation (39.8 points per game), scoring 33 points or better against all but three FBS opponents. The Bulldogs reached 42-plus points eight times.
Though TCU is credited with a top-20 defensive efficiency, the Horned Frogs allow 400-plus yards of total offense per game and rank 63rd in the country in defensive scoring average (27.2 PPG). With its big-play ability, Georgia almost certainly flirts with 40-plus points.
A massive underdog, TCU is too explosive to be stymied for four quarters. The Horned Frogs have scored fewer than 29 points just once all season. The best value for Over bettors is currently found at DraftKings, FanDuel or Caesars (62.5, -110o). - Schaeffer
TCU team total Over 24.5 (-102 via FanDuel)
Given Georgia’s elite talent on the defensive line, one needs to hit explosive plays in the passing game in order to move the ball against the Bulldogs. The Horned Frogs can do just that, as Duggan has an FBS-leading 13 completions of 50-plus yards. TCU has scored at least 25 points in all but one game, and should have success against Georgia’s second-ranked scoring defense.
We are making this wager at FanDuel, whose juice is a much better value than DraftKings’ -110 odds to back the Over. - Spector
Kenny McIntosh Over 60.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel)
Only two sportsbooks are currently offering this prop, and they disagree by a full eight yards. FanDuel is the correct play, as they're offering Over 60.5 rushing yards compared to 68.5 from DraftKings.
Georgia running back Kenny McIntosh carried the ball just five times against Ohio State, but he still managed 70 yards. The only reason he didn’t get more carries was that the game quickly became a shootout and the Bulldogs were trailing. McIntosh does split time with Daijun Edwards, yet he has been the preferred back of late. On the year, he has 142 carries, and he has 70 or more yards in three of his last four games. - Wood
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