Did you guys take glatch or the other chick in wta 2nite? I took glatch, she's good, but i hope she wins... I dunno
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blog '09-'10: 37-16: +$31,900
mlb 2010; 16-12: +$4,540
gellyhoops 2010: 10-6 +$3,150
overall: 63-34 +$40,290Comment -
GCube
didn't play that, but its not looking good for you
O"Brien won first set 6-3
edit: O'brien won 6-3, 6-4Last edited by Ulver86; 10-12-09, 12:32 AM.Comment -
yeah, uh i just guessed there. Obrien had no info on WTA's website, so I figured she'd get worked. But she whooped the other girl, Glatch.
Oh well, do you have any good ones for later???
That's actually all the matches for tonight I think???blog '09-'10: 37-16: +$31,900
mlb 2010; 16-12: +$4,540
gellyhoops 2010: 10-6 +$3,150
overall: 63-34 +$40,290Comment -
No theres more. I took mayer -120 over petzner. Petzner is dropping like a brick, down 48 spots in the rankings, so mayer looks like a solid play.blog '09-'10: 37-16: +$31,900
mlb 2010; 16-12: +$4,540
gellyhoops 2010: 10-6 +$3,150
overall: 63-34 +$40,290Comment -
im hoping karlovic hangs on .got the 1st set 6-3 also got a bit on the over.Comment -
Both Gasquet and Petsch lost in two sets.Comment -
my only bets for the night where
ferrer to win, x $1.67
ferrer + safin multi x $1.75
ferrero
gulbis
gonzales
safin multi x $2.93Comment -
fking brutalComment -
brutal day yesterday
today's picks
PHM +220
I love Monfils but PHM is getting great odds here. Monfils play has been lagging a bit lately, hasn't quite made a leap forward and looked rather dull. Also, PHM is 2-0 vs Monfils all time.
Benneteau +115
Anyone seen Ljubicic lately? Guy can't run on the court at all, get in any kind of rally and he has no way of winning the point.Comment -
Ulver's Picks
Ulver - Congrats - your picks
finally made me join this sbrforum...but unfortunately it was because I couldn't stand by and read such terrible picks and lack of insight - maybe its a bad few weeks for you...i have only been following you for a few weeks I admit. - and thankfully i did not follow you on your picks...but was amazed by them nonetheless...
some of the rougher picks you have made lately - youzhny over tsonga - ouch - no reason for that - petz over mayer (awful) petz has been crazy bad and has no confidence - your recent hunch for gong was ok but you should have taken the games +6 (like i did) and you would have been fine....
I will post some picks too and we will see who is the more consistent...maybe I can win you back some of the change you lost over the past few days...
i have nothing against you and hope that you are in a bad spell........
I will admit that my first pick for you is a somewhat obvious one but....i will go with soderling over hanescu - the last few times they have played soderling has handled him pretty well - soderling is in great form right now and djokovic was great the last time they played - soderling to me is a very safe pick
haas is my 2nd pick over becker at -450 (medium)...becker has not been playing well and haas should do well in shanghai this week...has the possibility of being close - but Haas should prevail. Becker is 2-8 for his last ten and has lost to the likes of Ihan, Korolev, Phau, Dancevic - Haas is a big step up from those guys.
3rd pick is Inser and Hewitt over 23 games (small wager) -117 . Should be a decent battle here.Last edited by Tsonga; 10-12-09, 07:17 PM.Comment -
Against you on the Monflis versus Mathieu - I think Monfils comes out on top for the first time after 2 losses to Mathieu. Mathieu just lost to Ljubicic last time out....Monfils still has an outside chance of making the finals with a really good tourney (not that I think he will get there)Comment -
good to know my awful picks inspired you Tsonga :sarcasm:
real easy to come in after the outcomes of the matches have been determined, also, chalk much? -900 and such picks? not really telling us something we dont know, thats like picking the Florida Gators to beat Vanderbilt at home,
adding
Craybas +175
Stosur -115Comment -
Chardy -120 vs melzer -110, looks like a good matchup as far as value goes. Ulver what is the absolute final answer as to who is gonna win this? You got the breakdown?
I took melzer, but chardy is way better huh? Not too late to hedge. Melzer is 28, chardy 22, both are in the 40's rank-wise and both are dropping a little.
But i think chardy off the loss to the swedish guy, just will keep slipping...blog '09-'10: 37-16: +$31,900
mlb 2010; 16-12: +$4,540
gellyhoops 2010: 10-6 +$3,150
overall: 63-34 +$40,290Comment -
Yeah melzer's gonna mess this guy up. He's a lefty.
Has chardy ever beat a lefty, recently??? It doesn't look like it. In fact how many lefty's are better than melz? I can't imagine trying to volley against that guy coming right back at you when you swing. Well see, i don't really know much about tennis. It's still a dog fight, so i'll take the dog. Chardy seems like the more elite player though, so chardy-120 would be a good bet too, shoot.blog '09-'10: 37-16: +$31,900
mlb 2010; 16-12: +$4,540
gellyhoops 2010: 10-6 +$3,150
overall: 63-34 +$40,290Comment -
i like Chardy here personally
might make a small play on it, Melzer kind of blew up his last match
Nadal's a better lefty than Melz ;-)Comment -
Yeah nadal, that's the king lefty.
Chardy is better huh? I'll stick with the crazy underdog play then, with melzer, instead of doubling up on chardy.
It seems like anyone would have a tough time against a solid lefty. I'm thinking about mlb capping, and trying to translate, i'm an am. At tennis.blog '09-'10: 37-16: +$31,900
mlb 2010; 16-12: +$4,540
gellyhoops 2010: 10-6 +$3,150
overall: 63-34 +$40,290Comment -
if you've got mlb tips let me know, i usually just go off pitcher matchupsComment -
Melzer handled Chardy!!! Not suprised, seeing that he's older and actually at a high point in his career, despite the recent rank drop.
I had a decent MLB season. I can go on some serious hot streaks, this season I found a few teams who were very solid. Not great teams but just solid, and choke-proof when they fit in my system.
Def. go with pitching, but that's just the defensive half of it. It's tricky, cuz its like hockey with a different goalie every night. Or its actually just more work. Hitting and Power Hitting are maybe bigger factors or at least equal factors.
Playoffs are tough though, cuz all the teams have top notch everything. But there are a few mismatches. Or flaws. Basically, the Dodgers seem to be in over their heads. The Angels have a pitching adv. but the Yankees jhave a hitting (and other) advantages.blog '09-'10: 37-16: +$31,900
mlb 2010; 16-12: +$4,540
gellyhoops 2010: 10-6 +$3,150
overall: 63-34 +$40,290Comment -
good call on Melzer, glad i stayed away
thanks for the input
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Well Ulver,
You didn't prove me wrong yet! Wrong on Monfils, Benneteau (and your advice on taking Chardy)...right on your ladies picks though. Soderling was a -650 pick for me...not sure where you get -900 but that wasn't what i got...
my strategy is that i like to win more than i lose....maybe yours is different - from when i've started to follow you it seems like you hit about 30-40% of your picks at best....if that's making you money then OK...
Only my little tip missed last night with the Hewitt/Isner going under in games.Last edited by Tsonga; 10-13-09, 09:55 AM.Comment -
getting make believe lines tsonga, it was -850 most everywhere
like i said, chalk more
your tip that missed was the one that wasn't completely obvious, and by the way, that Haas match was actually very closeLast edited by Ulver86; 10-13-09, 12:16 PM.Comment -
i did say the haas match could be close if you checked what i wrote....and I did get -650 on pinnacle so i guess you are not using a good book....and it went up to -730 up until the match so go with pinnacle if you want to get these numbers that I am making up.
regardless - if you keep up your current trend you are going to lose the people that follow your picks a lot of $...gelatinous cube seems to know his tennis a little better -
Good luck - i will post my picks later today and we will see what you come up with this time
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another -500 favorite i assume?
just a matter of time for one of those to miss and you're broke
like i said, its like picking Florida to beat Vanderbilt, or USC to beat Oregon State w.o the spread, not a very enlightening pickComment -
this is why I don't post my plays and ive been killin' tennis.Comment -
It would be nice if you did post your plays.Comment -
I've got 3 plays that I'm thinking of right now - Verdasco over Ljubicic at -455. I think this has an outside chance of 3 sets but Verdasco will get by Ljubicic. Ljubicic has won against Verdasco on hard court 4 years ago - when Ljubicic was playing much better tennis (close to when he was ranked 6th in the world). Now things have changed and Verdasco is playing much better tennis. Ljubicic has won 54% of his hard court matches of his last 50 played. Verdasco has won 72% of his last 50 on hardcourt and is 30-9 since oct 13 2008. This match seems clear to me. Not to mention Verdasco should be making a push to reach the tour finals.
Tsonga will win in straight sets - don't know the line on that one right now. Tsonga is playing great right now and won't want to have a long match this early. Zeng shouldn't get more than 6-7 games total.
3rd pick is Berdych over Safin -253. I watched Safin play his last match against Gong and I wasn't impressed. He beat someone he was supposed to beat but I don't take much from that win. Safin was comfortable on serve for the most part but his groundstrokes were inconsistent. I think Berdych will get his first win over Safin here and their records lately show good tennis from Berdych. Safin is 23-27 in his last 50 on hardcourt. Berdych is 33-17. Berdych just beat Cilic who was playing very good tennis.Last edited by Tsonga; 10-13-09, 07:19 PM.Comment -
theres a lot of heavy favorites tonight... i'm thinking about taking 3 in a parlay to win at least even money... tsonga and djokers odds are way too high to take... so whos got 3 guys they like to win over night tonight? At first glance I like Nadal, Verdasco, and HaasComment -
Goldrush - I like your thinking. Nadal, Verdasco, and Haas seem like solid bets to me.Comment -
James Blake +350
Had a very close match vs Nadal last tournament and has started to play better again. On hardcourts this match should be very close and Blake should break several of Nadal's games. Nadal was driven off the court in his last match against Cilic and seems vulnerable at the moment.
Fognini +1300 (.2u)
Pure value play. If Djokovic comes out remotely flat Fog could theoretically win. This is of course very unlikely, but with odds of +1300 (basically would Fog win 1 out of every 12 matches between these two and you would cash profit).
Melzer +550 (.25u)
Potro has a knee injury and his last match was a loss against unknown Roger-Vasselin. If it's still bothering him, Melzer will take this.
Almagro +500 (.25u)
Almagro is solid from the baseline and one of the hardest hitters on the tour and has the chance of controlling rally's vs Soderling.
As you can tell, I'm going against the grain with so much chalk you'd have to lay on the others.Comment -
Brave Picks Ulver...can't say it will help you and your stats but you might get lucky.
You strongest play (in your opinion) I think is Blake and I don't think Nadal will be one and done here. Mentally Nadal won't give up here.
Almagro is good and could possibly upset Soderling if he plays great...not very likely....but worth a small play.
Del Portro should win but you never know because of last week....
I think Djokovic has a good chance of winning this tournament....so I don't think he will be stopped by Fognini...but its worth a play for you considering the odds....
Good luck....1/4 would be good for you...if you hit 2/4 you will get a
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Ulver, Tsonga, or anyone who wants to add input what do you think of the Hewitt vs. Monfils matchup and the Troicki vs Simon matchup?Comment -
the only matches Nadal has beat Blake in all went 3 sets (not major tourneys), and the career head to head is 3-3
at +350 its a solid play, especially with Nadal not at the top of his gameLast edited by Ulver86; 10-13-09, 11:04 PM.Comment -
i think Hewitt is a bit overrated at this stage of his career personally, a lot of people still bet Hewitt because of the name, he's really just an OK player now, i think Simon wins more of the matches against Troicki but Troicki has better odds here, so staying away from it
id sooner player Monfils over Hewitt personallyLast edited by Ulver86; 10-13-09, 11:05 PM.Comment
