Ulver's Tennis Picks

BIG · 10-08-09, 12:47 AM

long match now its my bed time good luck

Ulver86 · 10-08-09, 12:48 AM

made it much more interesting than it should have been, but a win's a win

Ulver86 · 10-08-09, 01:53 AM

melzer's checked out mentally, this could be bad

marabdl86 · 10-08-09, 02:50 AM

it's like Nadal trying to loose on purpose.

marabdl86 · 10-08-09, 03:06 AM

1st set had me nervous. Set 1 Nadal, just 1 more Rafa!

marabdl86 · 10-08-09, 03:21 AM

blake is mentally falling apart. Looks like his ankle is bothering him or something.

marabdl86 · 10-08-09, 04:01 AM

impressive comeback from Blake

Ulver86 · 10-08-09, 03:45 PM

poor day yesterday, bad play from Melzer and close loss from Simon

new plays for today coming soon

Ulver86 · 10-08-09, 05:01 PM

Gulbis +200 (1u)

playing well lately, nearly beat Tsonga last match, makes a breakthrough here

Davydenko -220 (1u)

Davy's playing very well right now, while I think Cilic is being overrated by many people and just basing everything off his victory over Murray

Verdasco +230 (.25u)

odds play, downed units from previous post

RobbReport · 10-08-09, 05:24 PM

don't do it Ulver! did you see what Djokovic did to Troiki?

RobbReport · 10-08-09, 05:24 PM

play Gulbis and the over. trust me. the over will definitely hit I think.

Ulver86 · 10-08-09, 05:44 PM

i like Gulbis a lot, good to see we cap that the same

and no i didn't see that match, what all happened?

its only .5 units as it is, but I am curious about your insight Robb -

RobbReport · 10-08-09, 06:54 PM

he won the first set 6-3 then bageled him in the second set, and we all know how good Viktor has been playing. Pretty much embarrassed him with all the drop shots he got him with. Verdasco is great but Djokovic is in top form here.

Gulbis has a great chance to win, but i'd bank more on the over...Tsonga is a slow starter and he can turn it up later if he feels it.

Ulver86 · 10-08-09, 07:07 PM

thanks for the insight robb, im downing the units played (just a quarter unit now) --- what sort of line are you getting on the over for gulbis/tsonga?

i really want to play Shuai Peng for the upset, however the oddsmakers have made her not a very valuable dog at around +140

will be posting 1 or 2 more plays later

RobbReport · 10-08-09, 07:08 PM

none yet, book waits till a bit before to post them up.

Ulver86 · 10-08-09, 09:20 PM

Radwanska +285 (.5u)

Last match between these 2 was a tight 3 setter, no reason to believe this won't be competitive. I like Radwanska with these odds and upset potential.

moses millsap · 10-08-09, 11:03 PM

think verdasco has a chance against djoker

Ulver86 · 10-08-09, 11:17 PM

fukking denko, dude never wins when you bet him, up a break early in 1st set and gives it away

Ulver86 · 10-08-09, 11:26 PM

again, takes a break, only to immediately give it back

GoldRush7 · 10-08-09, 11:45 PM

welp, there goes my parlay for the night... fuk davydenko!

Ulver86 · 10-08-09, 11:47 PM

lol he would break cilic and then immediately give it back the next game and then lose the service game after that

Ulver86 · 10-09-09, 01:35 AM

well dasco looked to be on top of things then gets broken at love

also adding

zvonerava -220 (1u)

this play is based on history between the players, while history is no precursor to future events (delpo had lost to fed 6 times before finally beating him at the us open) - i find this line interesting

http://www.sonyericssonwtatour.com/headtohead/marion-bartoli_2255881_1007/0,,12781~1007~9376,00.html

8-1 against her all time, has to mean something

Ulver86 · 10-09-09, 03:02 AM

Gulbis playing very solid

Fthenorm · 10-09-09, 03:45 AM

Another dog chokes in the third. Not a positive trend for most of us.

Ulver86 · 10-09-09, 01:06 PM

all my dogs choke in the third

Radwanska pulls it out in 2 though, very nice for her

Ulver86 · 10-09-09, 01:38 PM

Tsonga -145 (3u)

This is purely a matchups play. Tsonga's style of play will make it very difficult for Monfils, who likes to use his athleticism and defense to win points. Tsonga is primarily a serve and volley player, looking to end points quickly. For Monfils to win, he will have to hit winners up and down the line, something that is not yet a part of his arsenal. His ability to chase down shots on the baseline serves him no advantage here, as Tsonga looks to end points quickly and challenges his opponents to hit it by him, beat him. In this regard, I see little chance for Monfils to win here.

Ulver86 · 10-09-09, 05:24 PM

Cilic +330 (1u)

although I believe Nadal will win this tournament, nadal is at best a 2 to 1 favorite here on the hard courts. Cilic's best chance is obviously on hard courts against Nadal. If his serve is big and he can get into some of Nadal's service games he has a shot at taking 2 sets. I would be very surprised to not see Cilic take at least 1 set here.

CollegePro · 10-09-09, 11:08 PM

Originally posted by Ulver86

Tsonga -145 (3u)

This is purely a matchups play. Tsonga's style of play will make it very difficult for Monfils, who likes to use his athleticism and defense to win points. Tsonga is primarily a serve and volley player, looking to end points quickly. For Monfils to win, he will have to hit winners up and down the line, something that is not yet a part of his arsenal. His ability to chase down shots on the baseline serves him no advantage here, as Tsonga looks to end points quickly and challenges his opponents to hit it by him, beat him. In this regard, I see little chance for Monfils to win here.

I am with you on Tsonga. Let's cash this. GL!!!!

GELATINOUS CUBE · 10-09-09, 11:33 PM

i THINK LA WHATS HIS NAME COMES OUT STRONG AND WINS.

OR LA WHATS HIS NAME COMES OUT STRONG, THEN MONFILS PULLS THE UPSET.

SO I GRABBED TSONGA SET #1 -135 SOUNDS LIKE I GOT A FAIR PRICE, IF YOU GUYS HAVE -145!!!

WATUP COLLEGEPRO??

Ulver86 · 10-09-09, 11:49 PM

good deal GCube

yes you did, that line moved to -150 a closing time

set prices are usually lower than Match prices, as a rule

bol to you

GELATINOUS CUBE · 10-09-09, 11:58 PM

so has this game started yet???

i can't see it on livescore. How do you watch it play by play online??

Ulver86 · 10-10-09, 12:08 AM

fromsport.com

and no, not live yet

CollegePro · 10-10-09, 12:36 AM

Originally posted by GELATINOUS CUBE

OR LA WHATS HIS NAME COMES OUT STRONG, THEN MONFILS PULLS THE UPSET.

SO I GRABBED TSONGA SET #1 -135 SOUNDS LIKE I GOT A FAIR PRICE, IF YOU GUYS HAVE -145!!!

WATUP COLLEGEPRO??

what's up GC.... I bet on Tsonga set#1 too.... also Nadal -4

CollegePro · 10-10-09, 12:38 AM

http://atdhe.net will have this match live

moses millsap · 10-10-09, 01:15 AM

Nadal getting killed, think he wants to go to Shanghai without dealing with Djokovic