Ulver's Tennis Picks

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  • Ulver86
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-15-09
    • 579

    #1
    Ulver's Tennis Picks
    Going to take the reigns of the smaller tourney tennis picks. All plays are assumed to be/to win 1unit each unless dictated otherwise.

    For this night/morning

    Safin -160

    Seems like a last hurrah for Safin, who actually hasn't' been playing poorly lately just getting beat by better players.

    Gasquet -175

    I think people are still a bit skeptical of Gasquet since his return. Richard has Top 10 talent and there is some good value here even at -175 against former top 10'er Johansson. Johansson recently beat Lleyton Hewitt, but I can't help but think that Llyeton might have been distracted by the fact Johansson dated his sister for 5 years (kidding about the distraction, serious about the dating his sister). He had a bunch of shoulder injuries which have kept him sidelined. A bit of a wildcard but I believe Gasquet is on the road to a comeback.

    Iveta Benesova +550 (.5u)

    Purely a value play. Benesova is a formidable opponent and no way Sharapova should be getting -950 odds against her.

    Azarenka -175

    I see Azarenka as a top 5 player. She has done incredibly well this year, amassing over 40 wins and has proven to be a fearsome opponent.

    BOL to you.
    Last edited by Ulver86; 09-30-09, 10:32 PM.
  • Ulver86
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-15-09
    • 579

    #2
    also adding

    Isner -165

    Isner is the new Ivo Karlovic, get out of the way when he serves
    Comment
    • RobbReport
      SBR MVP
      • 09-22-09
      • 2042

      #3
      might play Isner spread with you Ulver.
      Comment
      • GoldRush7
        SBR MVP
        • 04-27-09
        • 2014

        #4
        which one are you most confident about?
        Comment
        • Ulver86
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 09-15-09
          • 579

          #5
          Robb - the only thing about Isner is he doesn't break serve much, but then again his serve hardly ever gets broken, i think he mentally can wear people down though because it is so futile to try and break his serve

          GoldRush -- all plays are 1 unit, although I'm kind of riding Safin here. He's about to retire and I think he is extremely motivated to go out a winner. He just beat PP and he usually beats himself most of the time, but I think you will see him very motivated the rest of the way.
          Comment
          • GoldRush7
            SBR MVP
            • 04-27-09
            • 2014

            #6
            I really like isner especially at that price.. you feel good about it?
            Comment
            • Ulver86
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-15-09
              • 579

              #7
              Isner has gone down to -150 at my other book, I'd take it.

              zverev is 5-11 on hard courts this year, perfect fodder for isner
              Comment
              • GoldRush7
                SBR MVP
                • 04-27-09
                • 2014

                #8
                alright man you talked me into it! BOL to us
                Comment
                • makoed
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 12-09-08
                  • 437

                  #9
                  Isner - Zverev
                  I think it's better to play OVER 23 here -147 Pinnacle
                  Radwanska - Rybarikova
                  I'll take Rybarikova spread (+3) +110 Pinnacle
                  Comment
                  • Ulver86
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 09-15-09
                    • 579

                    #10
                    Isner takes first set in the tiebreak

                    your over is looking good too makoed
                    Comment
                    • GoldRush7
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-27-09
                      • 2014

                      #11
                      he just broke zverev early in the 2nd set too!
                      Comment
                      • GoldRush7
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-27-09
                        • 2014

                        #12
                        Comment
                        • RobbReport
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-22-09
                          • 2042

                          #13
                          Comment
                          • Ulver86
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 09-15-09
                            • 579

                            #14
                            benesova fighting hard, getting my money's worth out of +550
                            Comment
                            • Ulver86
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 09-15-09
                              • 579

                              #15
                              bleh, safin only gets broken once but thats enough, and Azarenka completely falls apart in the 1st set after being up 2 breaks and has lost 9 of the last 10 games,
                              Comment
                              • RobbReport
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-22-09
                                • 2042

                                #16
                                never ever taking Tsonga again, **** that guy.
                                Comment
                                • RobbReport
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-22-09
                                  • 2042

                                  #17
                                  not another shootout God kill me now!
                                  Comment
                                  • RobbReport
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-22-09
                                    • 2042

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by RobbReport
                                    never ever taking Tsonga again, **** that guy.


                                    take that back hit a nice parlay thanks to him.



                                    gotta give it to Gulbis though, he had that match in the bag.
                                    Comment
                                    • GoldRush7
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-27-09
                                      • 2014

                                      #19
                                      tsonga has killed me a few times in parlays... i am one that will never bet on that man again
                                      Comment
                                      • Ulver86
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 09-15-09
                                        • 579

                                        #20
                                        will post some plays later tonight

                                        and yea, i imagine anyone who took Tsonga was having heart spasms
                                        Comment
                                        • Ulver86
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 09-15-09
                                          • 579

                                          #21
                                          Gilles Simon -300 (3u)

                                          Simon has the pedigree, if he loses this its because of retirement (he has had knee problems) but he rested for a month after the US open. Should be an easy contest

                                          Berdych +220

                                          Can't ignore Berdych at these odds. Soderling has had a great year, but lets not get ahead of ourselves. This is a no play or take the upset with Berdych..

                                          Gasquet +210

                                          Another guy I can't stay away from. With his talent he should only be +200 against top tier players. Verdasco is solid but I don't see him staying in the top 10 for very long.

                                          no women's tennis, bad odds for now, plus i'm tired of little girls who can't hold serve, lol

                                          edit: taking Gonzo off the board, head to head history concerns me, adding units to Simon

                                          Last edited by Ulver86; 10-01-09, 09:38 PM.
                                          Comment
                                          • RobbReport
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-22-09
                                            • 2042

                                            #22
                                            Men's tennis has been more scary for me. Gonzo was cutting it close, although I knew he would win. Tsonga self-explanatory and Gasquet had a hard time yesterday with Johannsen's serve.


                                            thank God they all won but damn it was stressful.
                                            Comment
                                            • Ulver86
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 09-15-09
                                              • 579

                                              #23
                                              edits made to tonights pick

                                              also taking Na Li @ +160 for .5u
                                              Comment
                                              • Ulver86
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 09-15-09
                                                • 579

                                                #24
                                                well simon wins by the skin of his teeth, but a wins a win
                                                Comment
                                                • GoldRush7
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-27-09
                                                  • 2014

                                                  #25
                                                  im going with verdasco and isner this morning BOL Ulver
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Ulver86
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 09-15-09
                                                    • 579

                                                    #26
                                                    Simon -170

                                                    I'm riding him the rest of the way, it's his tournament to lose - I think he beats Tsonga in the finals

                                                    Soderling -220

                                                    He's beat Davydenko the last 4 times they've played each other, and seems to have the guy's number. Not to mention he's been playing lights out tennis recently.

                                                    ---
                                                    Not playing the others, bol to you all.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • RobbReport
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-22-09
                                                      • 2042

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Ulver86
                                                      Simon -170

                                                      I'm riding him the rest of the way, it's his tournament to lose - I think he beats Tsonga in the finals

                                                      Soderling -220

                                                      He's beat Davydenko the last 4 times they've played each other, and seems to have the guy's number. Not to mention he's been playing lights out tennis recently.

                                                      ---
                                                      Not playing the others, bol to you all.
                                                      parlay?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Ulver86
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 09-15-09
                                                        • 579

                                                        #28
                                                        sure, playing them separate though, but a small wager on a parlay of them isn't a bad idea
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Ulver86
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 09-15-09
                                                          • 579

                                                          #29
                                                          adding

                                                          Sharapova -105 (.5u)

                                                          small play hear but a gut feeling that this is Maria's tourney
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Ulver86
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 09-15-09
                                                            • 579

                                                            #30
                                                            Simon takes first set, Soderling up a break
                                                            Comment
                                                            • RobbReport
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-22-09
                                                              • 2042

                                                              #31
                                                              bullshit...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Ulver86
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 09-15-09
                                                                • 579

                                                                #32
                                                                Soderling up 4-3 in second set and up a break, proceeds to take a shit the rest of the match
                                                                Comment
                                                                • RobbReport
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-22-09
                                                                  • 2042

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I made a grip this week off tennis ,then gave it all back with soderling. I have to think shit thru.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Ulver86
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 09-15-09
                                                                    • 579

                                                                    #34
                                                                    he just fell apart after being up that break at 4-3, seemed to be cruising to victory..... bleh

                                                                    will take Simon in the finals tonight, surprised that its Troicki but i would have taken him over tsonga anyway
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Ulver86
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 09-15-09
                                                                      • 579

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Gilles Simon -210 (3 units)

                                                                      like i said, Simon wins the tourney here, and you can always feel confident that Simon will not fade mentally or not fight, hes a scrappy player a la Michael Chang of the 90's

                                                                      bol to all
                                                                      Comment
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