Ulver's Tennis Picks

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  • Miyagiturbo
    SBR Hustler
    • 08-05-09
    • 64

    #211
    Originally posted by Ulver86
    i think Hewitt is a bit overrated at this stage of his career personally, a lot of people still bet Hewitt because of the name, he's really just an OK player now, i think Simon wins more of the matches but Troicki has better odds here, so go figure

    id sooner player Monfils over Hewitt personally
    Ok thanks for the info.
    Comment
    • PASS IT ON
      SBR Sharp
      • 10-04-09
      • 453

      #212
      Monflis Nadal multi for me, $1.89
      Comment
      • GELATINOUS CUBE
        SBR MVP
        • 08-09-09
        • 4534

        #213
        Monfils -200 right now.

        WHATS THE DEAL? MONFILS WINS THIS ONE OR THE OTHER GUY??

        TSONGA, EXPERTS???
        blog '09-'10: 37-16: +$31,900
        mlb 2010; 16-12: +$4,540
        gellyhoops 2010: 10-6 +$3,150
        overall: 63-34 +$40,290
        Comment
        • RobbReport
          SBR MVP
          • 09-22-09
          • 2042

          #214
          I think monfils wins this one
          Comment
          • GELATINOUS CUBE
            SBR MVP
            • 08-09-09
            • 4534

            #215
            Never mind, it s lamonf -200.

            Hewitt was #1 in the world in 2001!! But it's monfils time to shine. He's never been #1, and i think is still on the rise. Did he beat tsonga the other day though? What happened? I guess this is replecharge or a new tournament or not a single-elim. Dunno how it works, sorry not a tennis expert.
            blog '09-'10: 37-16: +$31,900
            mlb 2010; 16-12: +$4,540
            gellyhoops 2010: 10-6 +$3,150
            overall: 63-34 +$40,290
            Comment
            • Ulver86
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-15-09
              • 579

              #216
              monfils is the better play here gcube

              new tourney, monfils lost that to tsonga (tsonga won the tourney in the next match)
              Comment
              • GELATINOUS CUBE
                SBR MVP
                • 08-09-09
                • 4534

                #217
                Oh man, this hewitt guy is good, former #1= solid underdog, shit.
                blog '09-'10: 37-16: +$31,900
                mlb 2010; 16-12: +$4,540
                gellyhoops 2010: 10-6 +$3,150
                overall: 63-34 +$40,290
                Comment
                • GELATINOUS CUBE
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-09-09
                  • 4534

                  #218
                  Typical night, i go 4-1 on 'american' sports, and then blow it in the middle of the night on this tennis stuff/japanese hockey, etc...
                  blog '09-'10: 37-16: +$31,900
                  mlb 2010; 16-12: +$4,540
                  gellyhoops 2010: 10-6 +$3,150
                  overall: 63-34 +$40,290
                  Comment
                  • Ulver86
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 09-15-09
                    • 579

                    #219
                    he's had break chances just can't convert them, still can turn it around though
                    Comment
                    • RobbReport
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-22-09
                      • 2042

                      #220
                      was never worried bout Monfils.
                      Comment
                      • RobbReport
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-22-09
                        • 2042

                        #221
                        wow what an asshole, up 4-1 and blows the lead.
                        Comment
                        • RobbReport
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-22-09
                          • 2042

                          #222
                          sorry for calling you an asshole Monfils
                          Comment
                          • PASS IT ON
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 10-04-09
                            • 453

                            #223
                            Originally posted by RobbReport
                            sorry for calling you an asshole Monfils
                            Comment
                            • ACoochy
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 08-19-09
                              • 13949

                              #224
                              Originally posted by RobbReport
                              sorry for calling you an asshole Monfils
                              lol hewitt can certainly stretch the best though. In this form he is almost always worth an over wager against all but the best. Good game
                              Comment
                              • Ulver86
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 09-15-09
                                • 579

                                #225
                                Originally posted by Tsonga
                                I've got 3 plays that I'm thinking of right now - Verdasco over Ljubicic at -455. I think this has an outside chance of 3 sets but Verdasco will get by Ljubicic. Ljubicic has won against Verdasco on hard court 4 years ago - when Ljubicic was playing much better tennis (close to when he was ranked 6th in the world). Now things have changed and Verdasco is playing much better tennis. Ljubicic has won 54% of his hard court matches of his last 50 played. Verdasco has won 72% of his last 50 on hardcourt and is 30-9 since oct 13 2008. This match seems clear to me. Not to mention Verdasco should be making a push to reach the tour finals.

                                Tsonga will win in straight sets - don't know the line on that one right now. Tsonga is playing great right now and won't want to have a long match this early. Zeng shouldn't get more than 6-7 games total.

                                3rd pick is Berdych over Safin -253. I watched Safin play his last match against Gong and I wasn't impressed. He beat someone he was supposed to beat but I don't take much from that win. Safin was comfortable on serve for the most part but his groundstrokes were inconsistent. I think Berdych will get his first win over Safin here and their records lately show good tennis from Berdych. Safin is 23-27 in his last 50 on hardcourt. Berdych is 33-17. Berdych just beat Cilic who was playing very good tennis.
                                hows that -500 favorite?
                                Comment
                                • Tsonga
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-12-09
                                  • 2349

                                  #226
                                  2/3 this time on my posted picks - believe it or not I made $ last night. I also threw in a late OVER on Nadal/Blake.

                                  Looks like you were 0/4 (1/4 depending on your perspective)on your pick since you most likely received no action on Del Potro since they didn't complete 2 sets....so I was up for the day again and you didn't make anything.... again? Hopefully your book gives you your money back on cancelled bets...it was worth the try on Del Potro - he doesn't seem to be back yet.

                                  Soderling - no...Djokovic - nope.....Blake (nice try) but Nadal was not going to be one and done....and Del Potro most likely no action.....

                                  Will you pick some winners tonight? This is your thread and I'm waiting for you to turn things around.
                                  Comment
                                  • Tsonga
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-12-09
                                    • 2349

                                    #227
                                    My first pick of the night is the Birdman (Berdych) over Simon at +152. I think there is a pretty good possibility of an upset here. Berdych has beaten Simon twice in a row and is playing well. I wouldn't play this heavy but I think there is a good chance - once I see the games that might be a play as well. +2.5 berdych -111 for games.

                                    Djokovic is a lock - this should be straight sets but definitely a win regardless. Straight sets at -380 is my pick for this one.

                                    Wawrinka has a possibility of upsetting Stepanek as well at +127....this is an outside chance though - Stepanek has handled Wawrinka everytime they have played so far. But this could be Wawrinka's moment.


                                    Small one on Robredo +5 in games versus Nadal -103
                                    Last edited by Tsonga; 10-14-09, 11:13 PM.
                                    Comment
                                    • Ulver86
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 09-15-09
                                      • 579

                                      #228
                                      I also call picks after the match has happened --- lol, what a joke

                                      Also, why are you basing things off number of correct picks? It's about UNITS over the long run, not that you can pick Tsonga to beat some unknown Chinese player, that's not winning anything.

                                      If you just want a correct picks contest I'll start just picking super heavy favorites at -1600 odds and stuff, not really capping anything though.

                                      It was 4-4 in the 3rd set of the Blake match, if you see value in laying -400 on that kind of a match you're dumber than your posts.

                                      No, Melzer didn't cash, but pretty much lined up right with my advice no?

                                      You're really not going to start tearing my picks apart in which I wager .2units on a severe set of underdogs at +500 and greater are you? Are you that dumb?

                                      It's about units, not who picked what right. If you want that kind of contest I'll just go ahead and pick Djokovic at -1500 even though I would never play -1500 odds unless it was like Djokovic vs me at tennis.
                                      Comment
                                      • Ulver86
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 09-15-09
                                        • 579

                                        #229
                                        You didn't cash, your top pick was Verdasco at -500 or so, you lost units (not that I won any, but don't brag about your capping skills when you just pick straight -500 and greater favorites, I don't claim to be a pro, just knowledgeable about the players relative to their odds, taking players at -500 and such is just a dumb idea that will kill your bankroll in the long run). Also, coming in the day after the matches and saying you picked this and that is beyond hilarious.

                                        Oh yea I picked Ljubicic yesterday too.... *rolls eyes*

                                        You crack me up Tsonga
                                        Comment
                                        • Ulver86
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 09-15-09
                                          • 579

                                          #230
                                          Lopez +140 (1u)

                                          Lopez has had a difficult year, no doubt. However, he is primarily a hard court player (flag of Spain, but not a clay first guy).
                                          Comment
                                          • Tsonga
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-12-09
                                            • 2349

                                            #231
                                            OK Ulver - Here we go ...I started out posting and joining here because of the lack of quality and boldness to your picks. I was thinking how can someone who purports to know tennis post such lousy picks? As far as picking people who lose - you are very consistent....it wasn't just that you were losing - it was the boldness of your misses...."gasquet over tsonga" "santoro over hewitt" "gulbis over tsonga" were a few of recent one's I saw no chance on.....your play on cilic over nadal was a good one and one that I thought would be close.

                                            Thanks for letting me know about units - today is my first day - I do realize you were using percentages of your unit for the last few longshots that you had. That didn't go over my head in case you were wondering .

                                            When I started posting my picks I was going to let you know the people that I thought were going to win - or tennis wagers that I thought were going to win....you've got your own thread that I could track now and make public and you are down units for this thread as far as I can tell. I did not say what my unit was or whether or not I was going a for a full unit at any particular bet except for the one's I said LOCK or heavy or something like that....first pick for me does not imply strongest or heaviest unless I state that....so you know. Verdasco for example - i did not wager large on that one at all....and I made enough on the other 3 wins that I was up for the day....that was 1 miss....

                                            and I could be making up the nadal/blake over that I placed but didn't post ....but if I didn't post it then I didn't play it right? i never said you had to believe me - but I will try to be more prompt for you.

                                            I have no reason to lie here to make my bankroll look better than it is- you can just judge the picks that I made before the matches and see that I get more right....and sometimes I go with higher odds than you would if I think it will cash.....I'm not saying that you don't have a good philosophy - just not many correct picks....using bits of units for incorrect picks loses you cash as well as missing on a big one....so I try not to miss on the bigger one's but its going to happen sometimes.....

                                            we will see with your 1 pick for the night (limiting your misses?)....it should be pretty close anyways and the over would be my take....good luck

                                            and i didn't take anyone at -1600, -500 - so at least quote me properly and stop inflating every bit of odds i give you...."quote as it is written" - i do realize you don't have as good a book - must be from the states where pinnacle is not allowed.

                                            to refresh you memory - tsonga in straight sets was -465 (not -1600) (that one was heavy for me) - soderling over hanescu was not -900 - I got -650 when it first was released -

                                            There we go.......
                                            Comment
                                            • Ulver86
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 09-15-09
                                              • 579

                                              #232
                                              keep the storytelling coming you're like reading the bible

                                              a great tale of fiction

                                              Comment
                                              • Ulver86
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 09-15-09
                                                • 579

                                                #233
                                                Soderling +100 (1u)
                                                Comment
                                                • GELATINOUS CUBE
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-09-09
                                                  • 4534

                                                  #234
                                                  whats up ulver??? ready for some Tennis??? I'm not betting it, but I like the You vs. Tsonga .. some good stuff.

                                                  I don't know whos gonna win this Katie Obrien vs. Wosniaki match, but they can definitely both come shower off at my place afterwards, damn.
                                                  blog '09-'10: 37-16: +$31,900
                                                  mlb 2010; 16-12: +$4,540
                                                  gellyhoops 2010: 10-6 +$3,150
                                                  overall: 63-34 +$40,290
                                                  Comment
                                                  • GELATINOUS CUBE
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-09-09
                                                    • 4534

                                                    #235
                                                    Tsonga is too funny though. If you post hundreds of plays, of course they are gonna hit around 50%. He's just posting and it is nice to see the insight and the writeup, not necessarily to follow them.. Has Tsonga posted some plays?? How'd he do tonight? Hey how'd you do tonight Tsonga?
                                                    blog '09-'10: 37-16: +$31,900
                                                    mlb 2010; 16-12: +$4,540
                                                    gellyhoops 2010: 10-6 +$3,150
                                                    overall: 63-34 +$40,290
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Ulver86
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 09-15-09
                                                      • 579

                                                      #236
                                                      haha its w/e man, i dont claim to be a pro by any means, but im a smart enough better to know you dont take -500 favs unless you want to live in a van down by the river

                                                      he posts plays the day after the match happened

                                                      shit is primetime tv no doubt
                                                      Comment
                                                      • GELATINOUS CUBE
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-09-09
                                                        • 4534

                                                        #237
                                                        Anyway Gentlemen. You guys like Waw or Step right now?
                                                        What about the russian guy or... Gonzalez.
                                                        I like Gonzalez but the Ruskie probably pulls it out at the end.
                                                        blog '09-'10: 37-16: +$31,900
                                                        mlb 2010; 16-12: +$4,540
                                                        gellyhoops 2010: 10-6 +$3,150
                                                        overall: 63-34 +$40,290
                                                        Comment
                                                        • GELATINOUS CUBE
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-09-09
                                                          • 4534

                                                          #238
                                                          step got waked round 1 last torny, and waw made it all the way to Monf, then lost.
                                                          blog '09-'10: 37-16: +$31,900
                                                          mlb 2010; 16-12: +$4,540
                                                          gellyhoops 2010: 10-6 +$3,150
                                                          overall: 63-34 +$40,290
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Ulver86
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 09-15-09
                                                            • 579

                                                            #239
                                                            lean Wawrinka but im staying away, Wawrinka had an ankle injury pop up against Kubot the match before Roddick retired against him


                                                            Gonzalez is 0-5 against the russian, but no way im laying the -200 or so on the Russian, Gonzalez is streaky and could catch fire on the hardcourt at any moment
                                                            Comment
                                                            • moses millsap
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 08-25-05
                                                              • 8289

                                                              #240
                                                              stepanek is getting destroyed, looks like he doesn't want to play at all; should've gone Wawa
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Ulver86
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 09-15-09
                                                                • 579

                                                                #241
                                                                lol as soon as you say that Wawa gets broken back
                                                                Comment
                                                                • moses millsap
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 08-25-05
                                                                  • 8289

                                                                  #242
                                                                  must be watching on delay here, wawa is injured i think, think i saw the trainer with him before the 4-1 game but not sure, got so many windows open here
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Ulver86
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 09-15-09
                                                                    • 579

                                                                    #243
                                                                    yea hes got an ankle injury on his right foot i think
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • moses millsap
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 08-25-05
                                                                      • 8289

                                                                      #244
                                                                      Stepanek is tanking this match from watching it IMO

                                                                      double fault to give the break back. Wawarinka will win this match then give his opponent in the next round a walkover bye
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • moses millsap
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 08-25-05
                                                                        • 8289

                                                                        #245
                                                                        what are the live odds on this match?
                                                                        Comment
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