Ulver's Tennis Picks
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MiyagiturboSBR Hustler
- 08-05-09
- 64
#211Comment -
PASS IT ONSBR Sharp
- 10-04-09
- 453
#212Monflis Nadal multi for me, $1.89Comment -
GELATINOUS CUBESBR MVP
- 08-09-09
- 4534
#213Monfils -200 right now.
WHATS THE DEAL? MONFILS WINS THIS ONE OR THE OTHER GUY??
TSONGA, EXPERTS???blog '09-'10: 37-16: +$31,900
mlb 2010; 16-12: +$4,540
gellyhoops 2010: 10-6 +$3,150
overall: 63-34 +$40,290Comment -
RobbReportSBR MVP
- 09-22-09
- 2042
#214I think monfils wins this oneComment -
GELATINOUS CUBESBR MVP
- 08-09-09
- 4534
#215Never mind, it s lamonf -200.
Hewitt was #1 in the world in 2001!! But it's monfils time to shine. He's never been #1, and i think is still on the rise. Did he beat tsonga the other day though? What happened? I guess this is replecharge or a new tournament or not a single-elim. Dunno how it works, sorry not a tennis expert.blog '09-'10: 37-16: +$31,900
mlb 2010; 16-12: +$4,540
gellyhoops 2010: 10-6 +$3,150
overall: 63-34 +$40,290Comment -
Ulver86SBR Wise Guy
- 09-15-09
- 579
#216monfils is the better play here gcube
new tourney, monfils lost that to tsonga (tsonga won the tourney in the next match)Comment -
GELATINOUS CUBESBR MVP
- 08-09-09
- 4534
#217Oh man, this hewitt guy is good, former #1= solid underdog, shit.blog '09-'10: 37-16: +$31,900
mlb 2010; 16-12: +$4,540
gellyhoops 2010: 10-6 +$3,150
overall: 63-34 +$40,290Comment -
GELATINOUS CUBESBR MVP
- 08-09-09
- 4534
#218Typical night, i go 4-1 on 'american' sports, and then blow it in the middle of the night on this tennis stuff/japanese hockey, etc...blog '09-'10: 37-16: +$31,900
mlb 2010; 16-12: +$4,540
gellyhoops 2010: 10-6 +$3,150
overall: 63-34 +$40,290Comment -
Ulver86SBR Wise Guy
- 09-15-09
- 579
#219he's had break chances just can't convert them, still can turn it around thoughComment -
RobbReportSBR MVP
- 09-22-09
- 2042
#220was never worried bout Monfils.Comment -
RobbReportSBR MVP
- 09-22-09
- 2042
#221wow what an asshole, up 4-1 and blows the lead.Comment -
RobbReportSBR MVP
- 09-22-09
- 2042
#222sorry for calling you an asshole MonfilsComment -
Ulver86SBR Wise Guy
- 09-15-09
- 579
#225I've got 3 plays that I'm thinking of right now - Verdasco over Ljubicic at -455. I think this has an outside chance of 3 sets but Verdasco will get by Ljubicic. Ljubicic has won against Verdasco on hard court 4 years ago - when Ljubicic was playing much better tennis (close to when he was ranked 6th in the world). Now things have changed and Verdasco is playing much better tennis. Ljubicic has won 54% of his hard court matches of his last 50 played. Verdasco has won 72% of his last 50 on hardcourt and is 30-9 since oct 13 2008. This match seems clear to me. Not to mention Verdasco should be making a push to reach the tour finals.
Tsonga will win in straight sets - don't know the line on that one right now. Tsonga is playing great right now and won't want to have a long match this early. Zeng shouldn't get more than 6-7 games total.
3rd pick is Berdych over Safin -253. I watched Safin play his last match against Gong and I wasn't impressed. He beat someone he was supposed to beat but I don't take much from that win. Safin was comfortable on serve for the most part but his groundstrokes were inconsistent. I think Berdych will get his first win over Safin here and their records lately show good tennis from Berdych. Safin is 23-27 in his last 50 on hardcourt. Berdych is 33-17. Berdych just beat Cilic who was playing very good tennis.Comment -
TsongaSBR MVP
- 10-12-09
- 2349
#2262/3 this time on my posted picks - believe it or not I made $ last night. I also threw in a late OVER on Nadal/Blake.
Looks like you were 0/4(1/4 depending on your perspective)on your pick since you most likely received no action on Del Potro since they didn't complete 2 sets....so I was up for the day again and you didn't make anything.... again? Hopefully your book gives you your money back on cancelled bets...it was worth the try on Del Potro - he doesn't seem to be back yet.
Soderling - no...Djokovic - nope.....Blake (nice try)but Nadal was not going to be one and done....and Del Potro most likely no action.....
Will you pick some winners tonight?This is your thread and I'm waiting for you to turn things around.
Comment -
TsongaSBR MVP
- 10-12-09
- 2349
#227My first pick of the night is the Birdman (Berdych) over Simon at +152. I think there is a pretty good possibility of an upset here. Berdych has beaten Simon twice in a row and is playing well. I wouldn't play this heavy but I think there is a good chance - once I see the games that might be a play as well. +2.5 berdych -111 for games.
Djokovic is a lock - this should be straight sets but definitely a win regardless. Straight sets at -380 is my pick for this one.
Wawrinka has a possibility of upsetting Stepanek as well at +127....this is an outside chance though - Stepanek has handled Wawrinka everytime they have played so far. But this could be Wawrinka's moment.
Small one on Robredo +5 in games versus Nadal -103Last edited by Tsonga; 10-14-09, 11:13 PM.Comment -
Ulver86SBR Wise Guy
- 09-15-09
- 579
#228I also call picks after the match has happened --- lol, what a joke
Also, why are you basing things off number of correct picks? It's about UNITS over the long run, not that you can pick Tsonga to beat some unknown Chinese player, that's not winning anything.
If you just want a correct picks contest I'll start just picking super heavy favorites at -1600 odds and stuff, not really capping anything though.
It was 4-4 in the 3rd set of the Blake match, if you see value in laying -400 on that kind of a match you're dumber than your posts.
No, Melzer didn't cash, but pretty much lined up right with my advice no?
You're really not going to start tearing my picks apart in which I wager .2units on a severe set of underdogs at +500 and greater are you? Are you that dumb?
It's about units, not who picked what right. If you want that kind of contest I'll just go ahead and pick Djokovic at -1500 even though I would never play -1500 odds unless it was like Djokovic vs me at tennis.Comment -
Ulver86SBR Wise Guy
- 09-15-09
- 579
#229You didn't cash, your top pick was Verdasco at -500 or so, you lost units (not that I won any, but don't brag about your capping skills when you just pick straight -500 and greater favorites, I don't claim to be a pro, just knowledgeable about the players relative to their odds, taking players at -500 and such is just a dumb idea that will kill your bankroll in the long run). Also, coming in the day after the matches and saying you picked this and that is beyond hilarious.
Oh yea I picked Ljubicic yesterday too.... *rolls eyes*
You crack me up TsongaComment -
Ulver86SBR Wise Guy
- 09-15-09
- 579
#230Lopez +140 (1u)
Lopez has had a difficult year, no doubt. However, he is primarily a hard court player (flag of Spain, but not a clay first guy).Comment -
TsongaSBR MVP
- 10-12-09
- 2349
#231OK Ulver - Here we go...I started out posting and joining here because of the lack of quality and boldness to your picks. I was thinking how can someone who purports to know tennis post such lousy picks? As far as picking people who lose - you are very consistent....it wasn't just that you were losing - it was the boldness of your misses...."gasquet over tsonga" "santoro over hewitt" "gulbis over tsonga" were a few of recent one's I saw no chance on.....your play on cilic over nadal was a good one and one that I thought would be close.
Thanks for letting me know about units - today is my first day- I do realize you were using percentages of your unit for the last few longshots that you had. That didn't go over my head in case you were wondering
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When I started posting my picks I was going to let you know the people that I thought were going to win - or tennis wagers that I thought were going to win....you've got your own thread that I could track now and make public and you are down units for this thread as far as I can tell. I did not say what my unit was or whether or not I was going a for a full unit at any particular bet except for the one's I said LOCK or heavy or something like that....first pick for me does not imply strongest or heaviest unless I state that....so you know. Verdasco for example - i did not wager large on that one at all....and I made enough on the other 3 wins that I was up for the day....that was 1 miss....
and I could be making up the nadal/blake over that I placed but didn't post....but if I didn't post it then I didn't play it right?
i never said you had to believe me - but I will try to be more prompt for you.
I have no reason to lie here to make my bankroll look better than it is- you can just judge the picks that I made before the matches and see that I get more right....and sometimes I go with higher odds than you would if I think it will cash.....I'm not saying that you don't have a good philosophy - just not many correct picks....using bits of units for incorrect picks loses you cash as well as missing on a big one....so I try not to miss on the bigger one's but its going to happen sometimes.....
we will see with your 1 pick for the night (limiting your misses?)....it should be pretty close anyways and the over would be my take....good luck
and i didn't take anyone at -1600, -500 - so at least quote me properly and stop inflating every bit of odds i give you...."quote as it is written" - i do realize you don't have as good a book - must be from the states where pinnacle is not allowed.
to refresh you memory - tsonga in straight sets was -465 (not -1600) (that one was heavy for me) - soderling over hanescu was not -900 - I got -650 when it first was released -
There we go.......Comment -
Ulver86SBR Wise Guy
- 09-15-09
- 579
#232keep the storytelling coming you're like reading the bible
a great tale of fiction
Comment -
Ulver86SBR Wise Guy
- 09-15-09
- 579
#233Soderling +100 (1u)Comment -
GELATINOUS CUBESBR MVP
- 08-09-09
- 4534
#234whats up ulver??? ready for some Tennis??? I'm not betting it, but I like the You vs. Tsonga .. some good stuff.
I don't know whos gonna win this Katie Obrien vs. Wosniaki match, but they can definitely both come shower off at my place afterwards, damn.blog '09-'10: 37-16: +$31,900
mlb 2010; 16-12: +$4,540
gellyhoops 2010: 10-6 +$3,150
overall: 63-34 +$40,290Comment -
GELATINOUS CUBESBR MVP
- 08-09-09
- 4534
#235Tsonga is too funny though. If you post hundreds of plays, of course they are gonna hit around 50%. He's just posting and it is nice to see the insight and the writeup, not necessarily to follow them.. Has Tsonga posted some plays?? How'd he do tonight? Hey how'd you do tonight Tsonga?blog '09-'10: 37-16: +$31,900
mlb 2010; 16-12: +$4,540
gellyhoops 2010: 10-6 +$3,150
overall: 63-34 +$40,290Comment -
Ulver86SBR Wise Guy
- 09-15-09
- 579
#236haha its w/e man, i dont claim to be a pro by any means, but im a smart enough better to know you dont take -500 favs unless you want to live in a van down by the river
he posts plays the day after the match happened
shit is primetime tv no doubtComment -
GELATINOUS CUBESBR MVP
- 08-09-09
- 4534
#237Anyway Gentlemen. You guys like Waw or Step right now?
What about the russian guy or... Gonzalez.
I like Gonzalez but the Ruskie probably pulls it out at the end.blog '09-'10: 37-16: +$31,900
mlb 2010; 16-12: +$4,540
gellyhoops 2010: 10-6 +$3,150
overall: 63-34 +$40,290Comment -
GELATINOUS CUBESBR MVP
- 08-09-09
- 4534
#238step got waked round 1 last torny, and waw made it all the way to Monf, then lost.blog '09-'10: 37-16: +$31,900
mlb 2010; 16-12: +$4,540
gellyhoops 2010: 10-6 +$3,150
overall: 63-34 +$40,290Comment -
Ulver86SBR Wise Guy
- 09-15-09
- 579
#239lean Wawrinka but im staying away, Wawrinka had an ankle injury pop up against Kubot the match before Roddick retired against him
Gonzalez is 0-5 against the russian, but no way im laying the -200 or so on the Russian, Gonzalez is streaky and could catch fire on the hardcourt at any momentComment -
moses millsapSBR Hall of Famer
- 08-25-05
- 8289
#240stepanek is getting destroyed, looks like he doesn't want to play at all; should've gone WawaComment -
Ulver86SBR Wise Guy
- 09-15-09
- 579
#241lol as soon as you say that Wawa gets broken backComment -
moses millsapSBR Hall of Famer
- 08-25-05
- 8289
#242must be watching on delay here, wawa is injured i think, think i saw the trainer with him before the 4-1 game but not sure, got so many windows open hereComment -
Ulver86SBR Wise Guy
- 09-15-09
- 579
#243yea hes got an ankle injury on his right foot i thinkComment -
moses millsapSBR Hall of Famer
- 08-25-05
- 8289
#244Stepanek is tanking this match from watching it IMO
double fault to give the break back. Wawarinka will win this match then give his opponent in the next round a walkover byeComment -
moses millsapSBR Hall of Famer
- 08-25-05
- 8289
#245what are the live odds on this match?Comment
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