EP36's Super Serial Fuzzy Balls of Fury

**Demonata** · 07-11-13, 11:07 PM

Whos more likely to upset in your mind? Kohlschreiber or Dimitrov?

**STAY STRONG** · 07-11-13, 11:26 PM

EP do you see Haas having any problems with Fognini tomorrow? Thanks.

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-11-13, 11:35 PM

Haven't really kept up with the German tourney much, so can't offer any great insight there

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-12-13, 09:53 AM

Train Wreck
ATP Doubles Newport: Ebden-Sijsling +173

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-12-13, 10:58 AM

Train Wreck 2
Isner-Karlovic Under 25.5 (-130)

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-12-13, 10:59 AM

Glad I waited on the Berdych future since it wasn't moving. What a schmuck show.

I smell that sexy Dimitrov-Verdasco final.

**Dmoneytx** · 07-12-13, 11:42 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Glad I waited on the Berducj future since it wasn't moving. What a schmuck show.

I smell that sexy Dimitrov-Verdasco final.

I can see Dimitrov or Vedasco getting there too. Maybe both...

I also agree with your analysis on the Isner match coming up. Ivo did struggle a bit with Pops yest, only 7 aces, huh??? Now we all know Ivo can pop off 15 or more today easy, but if he coming off that injury AND I spoke to him in Houston for awhile, the wrist has been an on going issue for awhile now. John is the better player big time after the serve is returned, it will all depend on that statistic I think on this match. But I do agree with you that Isner will most likely win this match. Gonna roll with that on my thread EP, BOL today sir!!!

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-12-13, 01:29 PM

Looks like a tailor made two TB match. Argh.

**Hardcoar** · 07-12-13, 01:36 PM

How do you expect them both to make the finals!?

:S

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-12-13, 01:44 PM

Only one person fell for it. Moo hoo Haha.

**Demonata** · 07-12-13, 02:07 PM

I fell for it.

**Hardcoar** · 07-12-13, 02:08 PM

Nice try dodging your error Phanboy. Not O.G enough after all...

Still, it's worth a couple of points!

**OhMyEli** · 07-12-13, 02:12 PM

Went with Jan +4.5 for no reason at all besides my coin landed on heads

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-12-13, 03:16 PM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Nice try dodging your error Phanboy. Not O.G enough after all...h

Still, it's worth a couple of points!

How does your Ferrer future look?

**Hardcoar** · 07-12-13, 04:38 PM

Don't have one.
; )

**Hardcoar** · 07-12-13, 05:00 PM

What do you think of Monroe/Stadler @ 2.3?

**ParlayininHTown** · 07-12-13, 06:16 PM

I missed all the action today thanks to a crazy day at work, but it looks like everything went by the book in Newport. I think we're headed for an Isner/Mahut final. Your thoughts, EP?

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-12-13, 06:55 PM

I would be real surprised if Russell had another one in him to beat Mahut. I tend to think it will be Isner too unless he has one of those abandon ship serve days - but so far this tourney, his serve has been pretty dam stout - although it wasn't quite as dominant today.

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-12-13, 09:51 PM

Overall Profit: +3.11

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-12-13, 10:12 PM

Thinking about a possible play in the morning in Bastad. Interesting Final Four.

**frugalgambler** · 07-12-13, 10:45 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Thinking about a possible play in the morning in Bastad. Interesting Final Four.

I did not watch Mr. Sharapova play today, but Verdasco looked solid. He might be getting a bit tired of tennis but he should beat Dimitrov. I am more interested in Hewitt vs Isner. Hewitt looked rather shaky and a bit gimpy today and his 1st serve percentage was in the 40s. I think Isner -2 is a very good play here. What do you think EP36 ?

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-12-13, 10:55 PM

I don't know. It's going to be a close match. I didn't watch much, but Hewitt's 1st serve percentage is always pretty low in the 50s at its best. The thing is Isner isn't usually a guy who makes opposing players pay as much as someone with a better return game would for seeing so many 2nd serves. The plus for taking Isner is he is a superior TB player at this point in both's careers. I don't know really, it's not like Hewitt has no chance - he beat him @ Indian Wells and the match last year here was decided on one break and a TB.

**frugalgambler** · 07-12-13, 11:08 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

I don't know. It's going to be a close match. I didn't watch much, but Hewitt's 1st serve percentage is always pretty low in the 50s at its best. The thing is Isner isn't usually a guy who makes opposing players pay as much as someone with a better return game would for seeing so many 2nd serves. The plus for taking Isner is he is a superior TB player at this point in both's careers. I don't know really, it's not like Hewitt has no chance - he beat him @ Indian Wells and the match last year here was decided on one break and a TB.

Hmm, thanks for chiming in so quickly. I watched both matches today. Ivo obviously did not really make Isner play on Isner's serve so maybe Hewitt will be able to do that with more success. But Hernych's whole tactic was to move forward on almost any ball and Hewitt struggled to hold his serve a lot, he was broken 3 times in the first two sets. I do not think Isner can play any worse than Hernych on return. I do not see Hewitt winning a tie-break or breaking Isner even once. I think Hewitt will be broken at least once in the match. I am going big on Isner -2 and/or Isner ML (or 2-0).

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-13-13, 01:58 AM

I'm gonna pass on everything tomorrow and just ride the futures I have.

**Hardcoar** · 07-13-13, 03:03 AM

You're thinking of Bakker @ 3, weren't you?

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-13-13, 12:12 PM

No. I thought Berdych choked pretty hard against him and just generally was sloppy. Troicki absolutely choked up larger in the final set TB against de Bakker too. Not that the kid did not play well enough to be in position to win, but I think it was more likely that he was going to get beat like he did today.

It was Verdasco small and had thought of Verdasco-Dimitrov Over ... but wasn't really keen enough on either. As the match played out, they both would have won - but the match sounds like it was tight throughout. I just hope 'Nando thrashes Berlocq.

**beefcake** · 07-13-13, 12:23 PM

Dammit, had hanescu at 40-1 to win Stuttgart, he gave it a go but heged with Kohli 2-0

**Hardcoar** · 07-13-13, 12:24 PM

It was pretty tight, but it was more or less bad. Plenty of errors and some poor decision-making from both players. Dimitrov was constantly on the defensive and it was a shitfest of Verdasco going wide and defaulting, with Dimitrov hitting the net. Unfortunately I did not catch Bakker–Berlocq.

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-13-13, 01:18 PM

I might have to take a shot at something related to Berlocq. Odds are ridiculous. Verdasco opens at -325.

**Hardcoar** · 07-13-13, 02:34 PM

My thoughts exactly. Unfortunate it is that I haven't seen much of Berlocq, but he cannot have done too horribly to make it here...

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-13-13, 10:23 PM

July 14th
ATP Bastad: Verdasco-Berlocq Over 22 [-115]

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-14-13, 11:54 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

I might have to take a shot at something related to Berlocq. Odds are ridiculous. Verdasco opens at -325.

Do I ever listen to myself enough? Fukk no. Stupid ass.

**Hardcoar** · 07-14-13, 11:57 AM

Technically speaking, you did listen to yourself taking a shot at something related to Berlocq.

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-14-13, 12:02 PM

Yeah, but you know I meant ML or spread. It was between +4 Berlocq or the over. Honestly did not expect Berlocq to roll in the 2nd, but it is what it is. At least I have a good hedge on the Mahut future with Hewitt pulling the win over Isner. Just going to lay enough to break even if Hewitt wins, really think Mahut stands a good chance to win with Hewitt having to work harder again today.

I did enjoy focusing on just two tournaments. Won't be a problem the rest of the Summer as the ATP doesn't have more than two tourneys scheduled per week. Going to try to utilize the Open Parlay on this level this week. Worked well in Challengers last week, but you gotta be patient. Have my usual BS write-ups on the tourneys later for anyone who gives a shit.

**Hardcoar** · 07-14-13, 12:03 PM

Yeah well nobody expected him to. He was far more likely to than the odds suggested though, IMO.

Also, I agree. I give Mahut a good edge in the finals.