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Well the double fault prop was easy peezy. Feels good because I also wanted to bang the under, but chickened out for the prop instead.Comment -
Did Azarenka have a heat stroke here last year?? or did I misunderstand?Comment -
E.P. any thoughts on Aza match coming up??Comment -
She won the title last year. The heat problem was like three years ago against Serena.Comment -
Shari..you absolutely right about the bad blood. I was actually replying to another poster who said that Shara was playing well this tourney, beat Venus and hung couple of donuts on opponents, and I said that Shara didn't really play anyone and Venus is 1/10 a player she used to be.
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Have you seen that pic of Serena's ankle, EP? Every time I see that stuff I always appreciate even more the players who don't retire just because they've broken a nail or whatever.Comment -
Sorry - you didn't quote anyone and replied after me so I figured it was directed to me. All good... just happy to see Li in the final as I'm sure a lot of us are!Shari..you absolutely right about the bad blood. I was actually replying to another poster who said that Shara was playing well this tourney, beat Venus and hung couple of donuts on opponents, and I said that Shara didn't really play anyone and Venus is 1/10 a player she used to be.Comment -
Yeah that was f-ing gnarly. Looked like she had gout or something it was so swollen.Comment -
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The Bookmakers are not giving Ferrer too much of a chance against Joker..
The Over/Under is just 32.5..
Joker usually handles Ferrer without any problems..
I think it's an easy win foe Joker..
-387 for -1.5 Sets for Joker is outrageous..
E.P. Do you have any good ideas for that match???
Joker -6.5?? Maybe...Comment -
Playing the only thing I liked, the serve percentage prop. If you think it's an easy win for Djokovic, you could play 3-0 @ -115 and/or 3-1 @ +250. Total is pretty lazily set based on their last Grand Slam meeting. If Ferrer manages a set, I don't think it would stay under this time - but I'm not sure Ferrer is going to get a set.Comment -
Sloane is going to keep getting pounded if she tries to play baseline rallies with Vika. Azarenka is hammering the ball. She needs to make her move and come in some.Comment -
Aza smokin right now...great volley winsComment -
Anyone see that Serena told Stephens she needs to more more sounds on the court?
I guess you can't be a top women's player unless you make awful noises when hitting the ball.
Stephens, who has never made it to a Grand Slam quarterfinals nor beat Williams in a match) mentioned that before the fourth round Williams reached out to her and mentioned she needed to make more noise on the court (i.e., grunting during shots).[quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
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[quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]Comment -
Kind of sexy if you have a bet on them, imo....lolAnyone see that Serena told Stephens she needs to more more sounds on the court?
I guess you can't be a top women's player unless you make awful noises when hitting the ball.
http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/tennis-busted-racquet/Comment -
dude check out pic Serena tweeted of her ankle. sick.
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wooops doh!!!! see u guys already spoke about lmaoComment -
i think Sloan has a voodoo doll for her opponentsComment -
Somebody has got to find out how bad her injuries are before you can bet with confidence.Comment -
Record: 26-22-4 [+8.73]More later. Booking this now.
Day 11
Parlay [-172]: Bryans [-650] + Granollers-Lopez [-270]
Bryans have been fairly consistent with the exception of dropping a set to the team of Kubot-Chardy. Granollers-Lopez have rolled through without dropping a set. These look like the two best doubles teams and it should be no surprise since they are two of the few that did not turn over partners. Consistency breeds success in doubles and I think both teams should be vying for the title after this round. Bryans get the Italian duo of Bolelli-Fognini who might be a little tricky at times. The Spaniards get the upset minded Dutch duo of Haase-Sjisling who took out Marrero-Verdasco. Booking this now because I'd expect these lines to move some as the action junkies start surfing.
Sharapova MORE Double Faults [-140]
Always a good one to try with Sharapova. She has not blown up with double faults yet this tournament, but has five in each of the last two rounds. Na Li has a high of six this tournament, but has been at four or below in her other four matches. In the three meetings last season between these two, Sharapova had more doubles in two of the meetings with the third seeing neither double faulting.
Djokovic 1st Serve Percentage Under 66.5% [-130]
Djuokovic has been remarkably consistent on his 1st serve percentage this tournament at 67, 66, 66, 73 and 64. He now faces the best returner he will have faced though and those numbers should drop a little bit potentially. Last year in the three meetings against Ferrer, Djokovic got 60% or less of his 1st serves in play.
Open Parlays: +0.50
Parlay sucked up a lot of the profit, but still managed to grind out a little more.Comment -
Federer-Murray play later, this for now.
Day 12
Mixed Doubles: Gajdosova-Ebden +130
Fate. Aussie pairing has had brilliant results against much better doubles players. Down 4-7 in the Super Breaker last night and match point at 9-10, they reeled off a 4-1 finish to move to the semis. Sometimes teams defy logic, this one seems to foot the bill and at plus money, fate me.Comment -
E.P. What are your thoughts on Federer/Murray match tonight???
Their last 7 matches Head to head on hard court have been to 0(zero)
Why is that?
And why is the Over/Under is 40 in that case???
That seems like waaaaay too high, given their past history...Comment -
Federer-Murray Total Service Breaks Over 7.5 [-135]
Federer goes against one of the top returners in the game and that is going to lead to some break opportunities in this match-up. Federer lost serve five times against Tsonga after not being broken a single time through four rounds. Murray has been breaking opponents at a break neck pace with 35 breaks of serve in five matches, a minimum of five in each match. Murray meanwhile has scuffled on-serve a bit with two breaks or more given out in four of his five matches. Federer should get some looks at break opportunities as well and I think it is likely his conversion rate that will make or break this prop. Obviously the more sets played, the better. I think if this goes at least four, this should be right on-track to have a shot if both guys can convert somewhere between 40-50% of the opportunities.Comment -
Great pick EP...makes total sense...ty for putting this pick together and sharing.
BOLComment -
EP
do you put any stock into Murray not having played on Rod Laver in night conditions yet and Fed has?
trying to decide here what to choose either Fed +2.5 or over 3.5 sets....I do think Murray has a chance to win in straights the way he's been playing BUT he has had such a cup cake draw and Fed has the hardest draw of any player so its tough to gadge. if you were me which one wit u side with?Comment -
Nah not really. Weather is great. Murray has played in a ton of big matches, so I don't see any edge with that. It's been windy during the day and at night, so I don't think Murray is going to have many issues. I looked hard at the Over 3.5, but did not want to lay the chalk at the end of the day. I would honestly be shocked if this was a straight sets win for either guy. I think people are underestimating some with how Murray has been a little wonky on his own serve even in what were total blowouts. In a closer match, those service breaks will mean the difference in winning or losing a set. I would probably just go with the cheaper price of those two options.Comment -
me too. even though he dominated Chardy there was one point in the first set he was up 4-0 and Chardy started rolling and all the sudden in the blink of an eye it was 4-3 and i think Chardy even got close to break point. and that wasn't the first time that i have seen that happen either with Murray this tournament.
I ended up laying the chalk on the over 3.5 at -240. figured it was better than taking fed +2.5 at -420, in my eyes they are virtually the same bet, I would be shocked like you said if either one takes this in straights.Comment -
I would totally tail your play instead but not available at Heritage.Comment -
Good luck dude!Comment -
Aussie Power.Comment -
Opened up pinnacle just when the Women's Final props were released and saw "Total number of breaks in the match" set at 4 (-105). By the time it took me to read through all the props and look stuff up, I was ready to hammer the over there for my largest bet of the tournament. As soon as I refreshed the page, the line up was up to 6 and juiced at -220. Sigh.Comment -
Wow. Great get on that #.Comment
