Australian Open: I SPY!

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  • zoo youk
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-23-11
    • 10701

    #421
    o my god, can't believe that was out.
    Comment
    • zoo youk
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-23-11
      • 10701

      #422
      wow complete meltdown city. what a fuk.
      Comment
      • zoo youk
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-23-11
        • 10701

        #423
        absolutely unreal...i have no money on this kid and i want to punch him in the face...
        Comment
        • zoo youk
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-23-11
          • 10701

          #424
          what a fkn shot to get to 40-40!!!! now put it away!!!!!!!
          Comment
          • zoo youk
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-23-11
            • 10701

            #425
            4 times hes broken ferrer this set.

            3rd time serving for the match. no way he gets broken again. he closes it out.
            Comment
            • Emerson
              SBR Rookie
              • 05-08-12
              • 46

              #426
              Almagro injured his groin..
              Comment
              • zoo youk
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 10-23-11
                • 10701

                #427
                if he retires here in the 5th will you win the under 4.5? or will it be no action?
                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #428
                  No action. He won't quit. That parlay is done. I got lucky and won a little back on a live bet for Ferrer to win the 4th set.
                  Comment
                  • EaglesPhan36
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-06-06
                    • 71662

                    #429
                    Williams Sisters choke. Again, hedging is your friend.
                    Comment
                    • zoo youk
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-23-11
                      • 10701

                      #430
                      glad to see you come out ahead.

                      sorry to shit up your thread in game stuff. Almagro was just driving me crazy for ya.
                      Comment
                      • zoo youk
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-23-11
                        • 10701

                        #431
                        wonder really how badly serena really re injured her ankle or if the announcers are just playing it up. didn't see much of that match but from what I did looked like Venus was absolutely awful.
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #432
                          Opening another Open Parlay as #3 finishes out with some profit.

                          Open Parlay #5 [7 Slots]
                          Slot #1: [QF] Djokovic -550
                          Slot #2: [QF] Sharapova -1300
                          Slot #3: Mixed Doubles - Vesnina/Paes -400
                          Comment
                          • goblue24
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 09-26-09
                            • 635

                            #433
                            Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                            Opening another Open Parlay as #3 finishes out with some profit.

                            Open Parlay #4
                            Slot #1: [QF] Djokovic -550
                            Slot #2: [QF] Sharapova -1300
                            Slot #3: Mixed Doubles - Vesnina/Paes -400
                            Is this another 7 teamer?
                            Comment
                            • EaglesPhan36
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 71662

                              #434
                              Yes. Corrected. It's actually #5 of the tournament.
                              Comment
                              • goblue24
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 09-26-09
                                • 635

                                #435
                                Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                Yes. Corrected. It's actually #5 of the tournament.

                                Great, thanks.
                                Comment
                                • zoo youk
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-23-11
                                  • 10701

                                  #436
                                  EP, question for you, if you could answer lol. thinking about putting a parlay of 1st set winners on Murray (-650) and Fed (-330) both of these guys have just quietly been mowing down their opponents having not dropped a single set and I really don't see any of these opponents giving them any trouble here. Unless it takes Fed a little time to adjust reading Tsongas serve but I doubt it after seeing Milos's huge booming serve. I may just take Fed at the -330 instead.

                                  insight?
                                  Comment
                                  • zoo youk
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 10-23-11
                                    • 10701

                                    #437
                                    or am I better off just taking Murray at the -650? (you know I don't mind laying the heavy chalk)
                                    Comment
                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-06-06
                                      • 71662

                                      #438
                                      If the price is the same on 1st set and match winner for Murray, I'd take the match where you have extra wiggle room. Always opportunities that guys come out slow and lose the 1st set. Tsonga-Fed could come down to a tie break, so not sure how strong I'd feel about the bet maybe coming down to that.
                                      Comment
                                      • shari91
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 02-23-10
                                        • 32661

                                        #439
                                        Someone else who just msg'd me just reminded me of this but I figured you'd enjoy this EP:

                                        People have been contacting me for plays so if I had something I felt ok with, I'd respond. One poster did and I said Chardy and then a total fave parlay but they both ended up plus cash. Sweet. I wrote him that night to say "hey good for us! hope you got on" since both hit but he never sent a response. And then 2 days later (I was at the match and had put ten bucks on Chardy myself FOR FUN) I got the "God I hope he pulls this off...I also took 3-0, 3-1, 3-2". I told him to pick Chardy the round before and this lovely guy didn't check the dates, bet elchardo like a normal bet at that crazy price and hit!!! After I heard that, I cashed out from 365 and got my money today. Can't mess with that juju.
                                        Comment
                                        • zoo youk
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-23-11
                                          • 10701

                                          #440
                                          man, I can not find info anywhere on any updates about Serenas ankle. she re injured yesterday during doubles?did she comment on it at all during a post presser?

                                          even if she is slightly hobbled do you expect Stephens to push her at all or is her game just still not polished enough to even compete on Serenas level?
                                          Comment
                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-06-06
                                            • 71662

                                            #441
                                            I don't know, I watched some of that match and didn't really notice her "hobbled" or anything. They labored a lot in that match because they played like dog shit and did not serve well which is where they often pound other doubles teams. I think any doubles match in which they are on the court for a long time, they are bound to look a bit tired because they don't expect to put forth a lot of energy to be able to beat most teams. She wouldn't say anything about her ankle if you had a gun to her head. She could be 100% or 10% and she's going to keep that to herself.
                                            Comment
                                            • zoo youk
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 10-23-11
                                              • 10701

                                              #442
                                              Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                              I don't know, I watched some of that match and didn't really notice her "hobbled" or anything. They labored a lot in that match because they played like dog shit and did not serve well which is where they often pound other doubles teams. I think any doubles match in which they are on the court for a long time, they are bound to look a bit tired because they don't expect to put forth a lot of energy to be able to beat most teams. She wouldn't say anything about her ankle if you had a gun to her head. She could be 100% or 10% and she's going to keep that to herself.
                                              yeah could be possible too that she knew Venus was playing awful and the only way they were going to win is if she absolutely went all out and carried them completely on their back and maybe she didn't want to exert that type of energy knowing she had a match the next night.

                                              than again that's not really her style. who knows.
                                              Comment
                                              • steveq
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 11-22-12
                                                • 661

                                                #443
                                                Turned the ferrer match off 2 sets down and went to sleep holy
                                                Comment
                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                  • 71662

                                                  #444
                                                  Record: 22-18-3 [+8.33]
                                                  Open Parlays: +0.50


                                                  Open Parlay junked out early with the Mixed Doubles loss. Today's matches much more playable for me, so I got some stuff to list here in a bit.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                    • 71662

                                                    #445
                                                    Day 10

                                                    Doubles: Bolelli-Fognini -160
                                                    The Italian duo has pulled off a couple impressive wins over seeded teams, including a win last round over experienced vest Bhupathi-Nestor. They face another team not expected to be here with Colombians Farah-Cabal. They have definitely had the easier road to this stage. Going to ride with momentum and the Italians.

                                                    Azarenka-Kuznetsova Over 19 [-135]
                                                    Not sure Kuznetsova is quite ready to challenge Azarenka for the win today, but I do think her game is good enough right now along with improved confidence to give her a shot to make this competitive. When her game is working, it can trouble the best. I also think Sveta is playing with a drive and hunger not found in all the ladies as she comes back from her injury layoff. She'll need to use her variety and not get into a baseline slugfest to give this the best shot. At the end of the day, I think she can push Azarenka - but may fall short of the upset, so I'll go with there being a competitive match that ends up over this total.

                                                    Murray-Chardy 1st Set Total Games Over 9.5 [+110]
                                                    If Chardy is going to hold any hope of taking a set off Murray, never mind beating him, he's going to have to start quick and that means service holds. That was not the case against Seppi as I think Chardy was really letting his knee issue get into his head. He kept getting the strapping for it adjusted and it definitely played with his mind and his game. Even if Chardy is a little faulty early, Murray's serve has yielded some break opps - so a break back could be there and give this a shot still to hit for at least ten games.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Boxing Champ
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-11-11
                                                      • 3358

                                                      #446
                                                      E.P. Do think Williams/Stevens Over 16.5 at -165 a good bet??
                                                      They played couple weeks ago 6-3,6-4 in Austaralia.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                        • 71662

                                                        #447
                                                        Tough to say. Serena may not have been going full speed after her in that one. Could be different tonight. I don't think I'd lay the chalk on that. Maybe at least take the price lower at 17. I think Sloane can win at least five games, but I'm also not going to be surprised if Serena lays a beat down on her. Was a match I didn't real care to bet on overall.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #448
                                                          C'mon one game Sveta. Sitting on the push. Maybe Vika can take it easy on her for just the last service game.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-06-06
                                                            • 71662

                                                            #449
                                                            Friggin pushola. Italians close to the W in doubles at least, but one more big game to get.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • goblue24
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 09-26-09
                                                              • 635

                                                              #450
                                                              ugh, what a whore. So close, but better than a loss.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-06-06
                                                                • 71662

                                                                #451
                                                                Italians close it out in doubles! Adding this other doubles for later.

                                                                Doubles: Makarova-Vesnina +220 *0.5 unit
                                                                They meet the Italians, Errani-Vinci, who beat the Williams Sisters last round. I'm looking for a little let down spot from the Italians and some added motivation for the Russians. The Russians were 2-6 last year vs. this duo, but scored both wins on hard courts where they were 2-1. The loss came here in Melbourne where they were ousted in straights. I don't think that's forgotten here or the fact that the Italians have a Bull's Eye on their back after the big win yesterday. That win though came against a Williams duo that played very poorly and handed opportunity after opportunity back to the Italians. With the exception of the opening round for each team, both have played rollercoaster three set matches the rest of the way. I don't think the price is reflective of what looks to be a closer skill level between the two.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Catchn_Picks
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-02-11
                                                                  • 2984

                                                                  #452
                                                                  Big deal in Serena's match EP...I got a good sized future bet of Serena to win the AO...I mean, who can beat her. Now she is off court working on a back issue. 1-1 set with a must set win for Serena.

                                                                  Wow, what a turn of events, maybe
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Boxing Champ
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 03-11-11
                                                                    • 3358

                                                                    #453
                                                                    I wonder if the odds on her next match(If she wins) are gonna be affected by that little "back spasms" fiasco..
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                                      • 71662

                                                                      #454
                                                                      Live IN-PLAY *0.25 unit to hedge some against the Serena future
                                                                      Stephens -105
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Catchn_Picks
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 09-02-11
                                                                        • 2984

                                                                        #455
                                                                        -130 Sloan after Serena going down 2-1 and breaking her racket...as if that is going to help a back heal
                                                                        Comment
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