Australian Open: I SPY!

[Boxing Champ]

E.P. I think Tsonga /Federer match is gonna be at least 4 sets. I'm thinking about playing Over 37.5.. What's your take on that??
WOW...The Books are giving Chardi no chance against Murray. The Over/Under is only 29.5..
I think Chardy has a more than a chance. He just beat Murray 2-0 in Cincinnati.

[Catchn_Picks]

Wow...Serena's meds kicking in...she is pissed...and just broke serve...what a match

[STAY STRONG]

Intense match.

[Catchn_Picks]

I wouldn't have believed it ..if I didn't just see it.

[Boxing Champ]

Just like the commentators said.." Sloan has a great D-Fence, that transitions into great Offense".
Sloan can beat anyone and i would not be surprised if she WON this tournament.
Sharapova is very predictable and always plays with the same speed.
I can not stand that bitch because of her faking Yelling...
It's so annoying, why doesn't any opposing player ever say anything about it..
It's so loud it distracts me watching TV, I can only imagine how distracting it has to be to someone playing against her on the same court..20 feet away.

[EaglesPhan36]

E.P. I think Tsonga /Federer match is gonna be at least 4 sets. I'm thinking about playing Over 37.5.. What's your take on that??
WOW...The Books are giving Chardi no chance against Murray. The Over/Under is only 29.5..
I think Chardy has a more than a chance. He just beat Murray 2-0 in Cincinnati.

I actually wouldn't be surprised if Fed won in straights. He's playing so well right now. Tsonga still shows mental lapses at bad times. Outside of the great Wimbledon choker by Roger in 2011, he's really worked Tsonga over mostly when they meet in Slams. Beat him twice in straights and really looked to be headed that way at Wimbledon that year. Certainly always a chance that Federer doesn't bring his best, but if we're basing this on everything we've seen thus far. I can see this match being about the same as the Tomic or Raonic match. Some tight sets, but Fed wins the big points.

[Sharp Snake]

Just like the commentators said.." Sloan has a great D-Fence, that transitions into a a great Offense".
Sloan can beat anyone and i would not be surprised if she WON this tournament.

Come on man...Sloane has a 2 % chance of beating a healthy Serena. Let's not get ahead of ourselves now.

[EaglesPhan36]

Just like the commentators said.." Sloan has a great D-Fence, that transitions into a a great Offense".
Sloan can beat anyone and i would not be surprised if she WON this tournament.
Sharapova is very predictable and always plays with the same speed.

I would bet big against it. This was a massive win and we can coulda, woulda, shoulda it to death on the injury ... bottom line is she won, but now she's in the elite stages of a Grand Slam. Azarenka and then either Li or Sharapova, will be very difficult and you also have to factor in that the next one could be a massive let down for her from what is easily the win of her career. Very few times do you get someone coming through to their first Slam semi and then final who wins it all. Usually takes a try or two. It can be done obviously, but she doesn't have an easy match on the table.

[Boxing Champ]

E.P. Why is the Total on Murray/Chardi only 29.5??
Chardy just beat Murray..
Do they expect Chardi to be tired and just lay down??

[davopnz]

Chardy beat Murray in a meaningless tournament a few weeks before he won the US open lol

[EaglesPhan36]

Chardy is about as inconsistent as they come. I took the shot that he could at least start off well and that isn't happening. Again the najority of players who make their debut in the QF of a Slam struggle. Him getting straight setted is a lot more likely than not.

[EaglesPhan36]

Well holy balls. If Murray chokes once more or doush waffle holds ....

[Emerson]

I tailed your Chardy and Murray bet for over 9.5 games first set still has a chance.

[EaglesPhan36]

Yee and haw. 1st set bet cashes.

[EaglesPhan36]

Federer 3-0 [+130] *1 unit
Federer 3-1 [+240] *0.5 unit

If one hits, profit is taken.

[riffraff24]

Yee and haw. 1st set bet cashes.

[Catchn_Picks]

helluva call on first set over EP

[hmichaelt]

had 2 big parlays with serena as fodder ... got owned today

[EaglesPhan36]

Should have skipped this Tsonga-Federer match and just watched for fun. I haven't felt good about most of the lines for the QFs, but decided to try the Fed set bets. Oh well. Looks like most of my profit for the day gets eaten, but still a slight .10 move in the right direction. These last few rounds get progressively tougher for me at least.

[EaglesPhan36]

Day 10

Doubles: Bolelli-Fognini -160
The Italian duo has pulled off a couple impressive wins over seeded teams, including a win last round over experienced vest Bhupathi-Nestor. They face another team not expected to be here with Colombians Farah-Cabal. They have definitely had the easier road to this stage. Going to ride with momentum and the Italians.

Azarenka-Kuznetsova Over 19 [-135]
Not sure Kuznetsova is quite ready to challenge Azarenka for the win today, but I do think her game is good enough right now along with improved confidence to give her a shot to make this competitive. When her game is working, it can trouble the best. I also think Sveta is playing with a drive and hunger not found in all the ladies as she comes back from her injury layoff. She'll need to use her variety and not get into a baseline slugfest to give this the best shot. At the end of the day, I think she can push Azarenka - but may fall short of the upset, so I'll go with there being a competitive match that ends up over this total.{PUSH**

Murray-Chardy 1st Set Total Games Over 9.5 [+110]
If Chardy is going to hold any hope of taking a set off Murray, never mind beating him, he's going to have to start quick and that means service holds. That was not the case against Seppi as I think Chardy was really letting his knee issue get into his head. He kept getting the strapping for it adjusted and it definitely played with his mind and his game. Even if Chardy is a little faulty early, Murray's serve has yielded some break opps - so a break back could be there and give this a shot still to hit for at least ten games.
Doubles: Makarova-Vesnina +220 *0.5 unit
They meet the Italians, Errani-Vinci, who beat the Williams Sisters last round. I'm looking for a little let down spot from the Italians and some added motivation for the Russians. The Russians were 2-6 last year vs. this duo, but scored both wins on hard courts where they were 2-1. The loss came here in Melbourne where they were ousted in straights. I don't think that's forgotten here or the fact that the Italians have a Bull's Eye on their back after the big win yesterday. That win though came against a Williams duo that played very poorly and handed opportunity after opportunity back to the Italians. With the exception of the opening round for each team, both have played rollercoaster three set matches the rest of the way. I don't think the price is reflective of what looks to be a closer skill level between the two.

Federer 3-0 [+130] *1 unit
Federer 3-1 [+240] *0.5 unit

Record: 24-21-4 [+8.43]
Open Parlays: +0.50

[zoo youk]

Yee and haw. 1st set bet cashes.

see you had the over on that. I had the ML straight up on Andy to take the first set. figuring Chardy would be inconsistent the first set due to nerves and when he is off he is wayyyyyy off and Murray has destroyed him in the past. when he went up 4-0 than all the sudden it was 4-3 and it looked like Chardy had Murray on the ropes I almost had a heart attack. that could have got ugly quick.

good thing Chardy showed some heart there for ya.

[EaglesPhan36]

More later. Booking this now.

Day 11

Parlay [-172]: Bryans [-650] + Granollers-Lopez [-270]
Bryans have been fairly consistent with the exception of dropping a set to the team of Kubot-Chardy. Granollers-Lopez have rolled through without dropping a set. These look like the two best doubles teams and it should be no surprise since they are two of the few that did not turn over partners. Consistency breeds success in doubles and I think both teams should be vying for the title after this round. Bryans get the Italian duo of Bolelli-Fognini who might be a little tricky at times. The Spaniards get the upset minded Dutch duo of Haase-Sjisling who took out Marrero-Verdasco. Booking this now because I'd expect these lines to move some as the action junkies start surfing.

[yisman]

ah, I had a bunch on Tsonga spread but also had him ML. I was watching a replay on ESPN3, but ESPN3 stopped working after the third set tiebreaker. Just died and started giving me an error. I tried a different computer, clearing cookies, different browser.
Oh well.

[EaglesPhan36]

Sharapova MORE Double Faults [-140]
Always a good one to try with Sharapova. She has not blown up with double faults yet this tournament, but has five in each of the last two rounds. Na Li has a high of six this tournament, but has been at four or below in her other four matches. In the three meetings last season between these two, Sharapova had more doubles in two of the meetings with the third seeing neither double faulting.

Djokovic 1st Serve Percentage Under 66.5% [-130]
Djuokovic has been remarkably consistent on his 1st serve percentage this tournament at 67, 66, 66, 73 and 64. He now faces the best returner he will have faced though and those numbers should drop a little bit potentially. Last year in the three meetings against Ferrer, Djokovic got 60% or less of his 1st serves in play.

[EaglesPhan36]

Spaniards f-ed that parlay all to hell with bad serving and probably sealed the dubs title to the Bryans.

[Boxing Champ]

I cannot believe these commentators...With all the prep work and helpers on the set, they can never get the right pronunciation of the player's name for the 100 time she is on TV in front of millions..
It is NOT SharapOva ....It is SharApova.......Idiots..
The court umpire calls it right, why can't these fools take notice??
Just like English soccer on TV they keep calling Man U player KAgawa..when it is KagAwa..

[Catchn_Picks]

Well, EP you def are winning the more double faults bet so far...Damn Shara is looking poor...Double faulted the opening serve.

[Boxing Champ]

Sharapova is just getting exposed by a good player..
Shara is not that good..
She always plays the same way, same speed, same scream and that same lame ass walk back and string adjustment.

[yisman]

she'd looked pretty good to this point

five bagels and no sets dropped

[Boxing Champ]

I would not necessarily call this tough competition..

22.01.13	AUS	Makarova E. (Rus)	Sharapova M. (Rus)	0 : 2
20.01.13	AUS	Flipkens K. (Bel)	Sharapova M. (Rus)	0 : 2
18.01.13	AUS	Williams V. (Usa)	Sharapova M. (Rus)	0 : 2
16.01.13	AUS	Doi M. (Jpn)	Sharapova M. (Rus)	0 : 2
14.01.13	AUS	Puchkova O. (Rus)	Sharapova M. (Rus)	0 : 2

[Catchn_Picks]

If Na wins this a massive thud sound will hit the floors of network executives. First the animalistic Serena goes down...they need Shara and those legs to carry the show. Obv if this match was based upon looks....just saying

[Catchn_Picks]

I would not necessarily call this tough competition..

22.01.13	AUS	Makarova E. (Rus)	Sharapova M. (Rus)	0 : 2
20.01.13	AUS	Flipkens K. (Bel)	Sharapova M. (Rus)	0 : 2
18.01.13	AUS	Williams V. (Usa)	Sharapova M. (Rus)	0 : 2
16.01.13	AUS	Doi M. (Jpn)	Sharapova M. (Rus)	0 : 2
14.01.13	AUS	Puchkova O. (Rus)	Sharapova M. (Rus)	0 : 2

Venus was her biggest match, imo

[Tmuston Beltics]

If Na wins this a massive thud sound will hit the floors of network executives. First the animalistic Serena goes down...they need Shara and those legs to carry the show. Obv if this match was based upon looks....just saying

wta is based on looks..

[shari91]

Serena and Venus will be giddy if Maria loses. I still don't trust Li to finish her off but I sure hope she does!

[Boxing Champ]

Venus is 1/10 a player she used to be...