TomJSports Soccer Picks - Bundesliga/Champ League/Internat'l/Other

[Fl6j66]

haha everytime there is a lock its a loss so .... do you really want that lock ??

Don't take me too serious.

[decado]

haha everytime there is a lock its a loss so .... do you really want that lock ??

even better, i hope that schalke will lose.

[escou]

If they loose then it is deffinetely and OVER according to you ?

[TomJSports]

I know Duisburg isn't the greatest 2.Bundesliga team, but how about Holstein Kiel moving on?

[escou]

yeah that was a nice display

[TomJSports]

Hell of a game for Nils. Good to see Usami get a goal, too.

[decado]

Hell of a game for Nils. Good to see Usami get a goal, too.

had over 4, buried my hopes after 1H. glad to see it worked out well.

especially usami looks happy after scoring. i'm happy for him too, he really needed this moment.
alaba is just awesome, if he can keep it going, he'll be very valuable one day.

[escou]

How does the over in Union-st pauli game look TJ? I know it looks good, but according to you?

[TomJSports]

had over 4, buried my hopes after 1H. glad to see it worked out well.

especially usami looks happy after scoring. i'm happy for him too, he really needed this moment.
alaba is just awesome, if he can keep it going, he'll be very valuable one day.

Yeah, I hope Usami can do well with a lot of time. I know they were thinking of buying him, but it would be nice to see him get some more goals/assists, because Müller and Kroos will be tough to overtake in the forseeable future.

I love Alaba, he's going to keep getting better and better. Tough to get him in the starting 11 consistently. Maybe in Gustavo's place, but he's not a defensive midfielder.

[TomJSports]

How does the over in Union-st pauli game look TJ? I know it looks good, but according to you?

Most St Pauli games are almost a sure over. I'll likely play it, but not heavily. The pirates are a little tamer on the road, which is why I wouldn't play it too much. 16 goals for at home, 9 away. 11 goals against at home, 4 away. But in a game with these two squad, 2-1 isn't really too much to ask, in my opinion. St Pauli's road stats will leave me from playing it harder.

[escou]

Hmm well it is not too bad I guess 9 goals in 5 games, but it mostly, because of the Cottbus game I guess where they score 4 goals. On the other hand I am thinking St Pauli will be fighting for promotion and they have lost some points already, they will want the win but they have NOT conceded a goal in only one game vs Karlsruhe. That means to me that if Union scores a goal, which they should in the 1h, because they are very agressive at home in the 1h (atleast the games I've seen them play), so if they score one, game will open up and goals will come in at both ends.

The other two games doesnt looks so good ATM, mediocre teams that we cant expect much from I guess.

How about Friburg-Leverkusen? Leverkusen should take this one, but they have not been performing on the road, their last win is Vs Augsburg some time ago. Maybe over here as well as Friburg plays open football at home and looses the games. Problem is they had two 1-0 games in their last 3, but that was vs deffensive Gladbach and awlful Keiserslautern. I guess biggest value here is the draw, as both teams will want the win badly. And we all know what happens when players are pressed to play and win, they don't .

[TomJSports]

Hmm well it is not too bad I guess 9 goals in 5 games, but it mostly, because of the Cottbus game I guess where they score 4 goals. On the other hand I am thinking St Pauli will be fighting for promotion and they have lost some points already, they will want the win but they have NOT conceded a goal in only one game vs Karlsruhe. That means to me that if Union scores a goal, which they should in the 1h, because they are very agressive at home in the 1h (atleast the games I've seen them play), so if they score one, game will open up and goals will come in at both ends.

The other two games doesnt looks so good ATM, mediocre teams that we cant expect much from I guess.

How about Friburg-Leverkusen? Leverkusen should take this one, but they have not been performing on the road, their last win is Vs Augsburg some time ago. Maybe over here as well as Friburg plays open football at home and looses the games. Problem is they had two 1-0 games in their last 3, but that was vs deffensive Gladbach and awlful Keiserslautern. I guess biggest value here is the draw, as both teams will want the win badly. And we all know what happens when players are pressed to play and win, they don't .

I like the other two 2.Bundesliga games for the under. B04 is eager to pull together some good performances in domestics, I think they win against Freiburg. Freiburg's coach sounds way too passive about this game, so I like B04 to win a 2-1 or 3-1 type match. Freiburg's going to have to unload Cissé and use that money to buy a full team if they want to stay on the first tier.

[TomJSports]

Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen to win v. Freiburg +110 5x
B04/Freiburg o3 +120 5x

2.Bundesliga
St. Pauli/Union Berlin o2.75 EV 5x
Bochum win v. Aachen EV 5x
Bochum/Aachen u2.5 -105 10x
Cottbuss/Rostock u2.25 +125 5x

Analysis in the Bundesliga thread.

Good luck today!

[cesar8000]

Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen to win v. Freiburg +110 5x B04/Freiburg o3 +120 5x 2.Bundesliga St. Pauli/Union Berlin o2.75 EV 5x Bochum win v. Aachen EV 5x Bochum/Aachen u2.5 -105 10x Cottbuss/Rostock u2.25 +125 5x Analysis in the Bundesliga thread. Good luck today!

with you with bayer

[TomJSports]

Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen to win v. Freiburg +110 5x +5
B04/Freiburg o3 +120 5x -4.17

2.Bundesliga
St. Pauli/Union Berlin o2.75 EV 5x -5
Bochum win v. Aachen EV 5x +5
Bochum/Aachen u2.5 -105 10x +10
Cottbuss/Rostock u2.25 +125 5x +5

Decent day. Glad the 2.Bundesliga unders hit. Not an under league, but couldn't see those being high scorers. Union let me down in being a high scorer. Bayer had no business winning their match, but oh well.

Club plays today: 4-0-2 +15.83
Club plays last week: 3-0-2 0
Club play total: 77-7-69 +125.67

[TomJSports]

Bundesliga
Gladbach/H96 u2.25 +115 5x
Gladbach to win v. H96 +110 5x
Bayern -2 v. Nürnberg -110 20x
Bremen to win v. Mainz +165 5x

2.Bundesliga
Dynamo Dresden win v. Karlsruhe -105 5x
Aue/Paderborn u2.25 EV 5x
Paderborn -0.75 +105 5x

Analysis is in the Bundesliga thread. Going pretty big on Bayern, they had better not let me down!

Good luck on your plays today!

[decado]

Bayern -2 v. Nürnberg -110 20x

yup, I also expect them to come out big after resting some players and that stupid loss against Hannover last week. Let's get it!

[FindTheLock]

I am thinking about unloading on bayern too, but I am nervous. I will have to wait a few hours to make my decision.

[EasyPicks]

tailling u on the Bayern -2

GL

[decado]

Tom, got a vid for you. Ribery vs Rafinha.

http://www.facebook.com/photo.php?v=269338809777078

[Fl6j66]

No Dortmund ML plays?

[FindTheLock]

I went the chicken route on bayern -1.5,-2 -174 juice. I did this just in case they only win by 2.

[FindTheLock]

well that didn't take long. 1-0 bayern inside the first minute.

[FindTheLock]

2-0 couldn't be a better start so far!

[MrGerrard]

awesome day dude
Keep it up!

[TomJSports]

No Dortmund ML plays?

...and you saw why I just have no faith in three 'good' teams: Schalke, BVB, and Bremen.

awesome day dude
Keep it up!

Thanks, hope so.

[TomJSports]

tailling u on the Bayern -2

GL

Solid hit.

I went the chicken route on bayern -1.5,-2 -174 juice. I did this just in case they only win by 2.

C'mon friend, Bayern at home should have a -3.5 line.

[TomJSports]

Tom, got a vid for you. Ribery vs Rafinha.
http://www.facebook.com/photo.php?v=269338809777078

Franck cracks me up. I wasn't huge on Rafinha during his time at Schalke, but he's been playing great thus far with Bayern.

[TomJSports]

Bundesliga
Gladbach/H96 u2.25 +115 5x -4.35
Gladbach to win v. H96 +110 5x +5
Bayern -2 v. Nürnberg -110 20x +20
Bremen to win v. Mainz +165 5x +5

2.Bundesliga
Dynamo Dresden win v. Karlsruhe -105 5x +5
Aue/Paderborn u2.25 EV 5x +5
Paderborn -0.75 +105 5x +2.5

Bundy 2 went pretty much as expected. Surprised at Dresden's goal scoring. Only team that let me down was Gladbach going over. Bayern of course marches on!

Club plays today: 6-0-1 +38.15
Club plays today: 10-0-3 +53.98
Club plays last week: 3-0-2 0
Club play total: 83-7-70 +163.82

[SlowNsteady]

Bundesliga
Gladbach/H96 u2.25 +115 5x -4.35
Gladbach to win v. H96 +110 5x +5
Bayern -2 v. Nürnberg -110 20x +20
Bremen to win v. Mainz +165 5x +5

2.Bundesliga
Dynamo Dresden win v. Karlsruhe -105 5x +5
Aue/Paderborn u2.25 EV 5x +5
Paderborn -0.75 +105 5x +2.5

Bundy 2 went pretty much as expected. Surprised at Dresden's goal scoring. Only team that let me down was Gladbach going over. Bayern of course marches on!

Club plays today: 6-0-1 +38.15
Club plays today: 10-0-3 +53.98
Club plays last week: 3-0-2 0
Club play total: 83-7-70 +163.82

Excellent day! You got skills

[MatI]

Yeah excellent day. Top job sir.

[EasyPicks]

amazing run today!

thank you

[TomJSports]

Bundesliga
Hamburg win v. Lautern -105 5x

2.Bundesliga
Duisburg/1860 o2.75 -105 5x
Eintracht Frankfurt -1 v. Ingolstadt -120 10x
Eintracht/Ingolstadt o3 -110 5x

May add a couple of leans as discussed. Analysis is in the Bundesliga thread.

Good luck on your plays today!

[escou]

Well how about Fortuna, looks like there is value on them right now 1.92 odds?

[matrix325]

What's Bundesliga
Hamburg win v. Lautern -105 5x

-105 5x ?