TomJSports Soccer Picks - Bundesliga/Champ League/Internat'l/Other

[TomJSports]

then over is good but both team to score is perfect huh ?
did I understand correct ?

that would be my assumption, friend

[phenomenon]

ty so much mate

[decado]

good to see you back (again), tom.

good luck today!

[Galego]

I like the Blackburn vs. City - Over 2.5!!! Actually, I'll be on the Over 3.5

[TomJSports]

ty so much mate

Wow, Köln let us down today. At least their defense did not disappoint!

good to see you back (again), tom.

good luck today!

Thanks, I think it's shaping up pretty well, just the Valencia match outstanding. I have strange hours, so when I'm sans my personal laptop, I feel naked.

I like the Blackburn vs. City - Over 2.5!!! Actually, I'll be on the Over 3.5

Yeah, 3.5 would've hit. You had to know with the Bayern game and the Tevez 'issue' that ManCity would come out pissed off.

[TomJSports]

Bundesliga
BVB -1.75 -110 5x +5 (I accidentally bet this at 10x, lucky for me it worked out)
Gladbach +140 10x -7.14
Bayern -1 -130 5x -6.5
Köln /Berlin o2.75 -110 10x +5 (Again, graded full +10 win, I can't complain, but don't get it)

2.Bundesliga:
St. Pauli/Cottbus o3 +105 10x +10
Bochum/Ingolstadt o2.75 -115 10x +10
Ingolstadt +150 10x -6.67

Other Leagues:
(La Liga) Valencia HT / Valencia FT -110 5x +5
(La Liga 2) Barcelona B/Sabadell o2.75 -120 5x -6
(EPL) Blackburn/ManCity o2.5 -150 5x +5

Pretty good day. Obviously the misgrade and mistake in playing 10x on BVB paid off a little more than advertised. I'll take a 60% correct day and up 1.3% anyday though, throw in that it was actually 2.3% for whatever reason and I'm good. So I'm fine with Bayern, Ingolstadt, and Gladbach letting me down. Glad I went light on the La Liga 2. Still solid with overs at 4-0-1 or 3.5-0.5-1 if you want to be technical. Great day in football, just like most Saturdays!

Club play today: 6-0-4 +13.69
Club play this week: 11-1-9 +20.34
Club play last week: 17-3-11 +55.99 (+5.6%)
Club play total: 57-5-41 +158.92

[TomJSports]

Other Leagues:
Norrköping/Helsingborg o2.75 -105 5x

Norrköping allows a lot on the road, and Helsingborg scores a lot at home. Helsingborg will be resting a few bodies, but the general talent should allow a few goals in this one.

[TomJSports]

Other Leagues:
(Allsvenskan) Hacken -1 -115 5x

Trelleborg is on a seven match winless streak total and a nine match winless streak on the road. I doubt it ends here with Hacken wanting to jump into continental competition.

[TomJSports]

Other Leagues:
(Superligaen) Lyngby/Brøndby o3 -120 5x

These two clubs will be fighting to avoid relegation. Brøndby home matches feature an average of 4.2 goals and Lyngby road matches feature an average of 3.4 goals. This should hit 4 or more.

[TomJSports]

Bundesliga:
Schalke/Hamburg o2.75 -110 10x
Hamburg +200 5x

Schalke has been a great over team, as has Hamburg. Hamburg has shored up their defense lately, with just a goal allowed in each of the last two games. Howeve, Schalke is still a scoring side, as they let in their fair share of goals, too. I also put something small on Hamburg to get their first home win of the season, as this is a grudge match of sorts.

I also stay away from the 'other' Nordderby between Hannover and Werder. Hannover has conceded a goal and scored a goal in every home match, so both to score is a solid play, and maybe the over. I steer clear of this and maybe would think Hannover edges it out, or it's a draw.

[TomJSports]

Other Leagues:
(EPL) Chelsea/Bolton o2.75 -125 5x

Both are solid over teams and Chelsea has something to prove by trouncing a lesser team. Like Bolton to score maybe.

[Galego]

Good luck today!! I like the Bolton vs. Chelsea Over (already 1-0 to Chelsea) and really like the Over in Hamburger vs. Schalke!!

[TomJSports]

Other Leagues:
(EPL) QPR/Fulham u2.25 -110 5x
(EPL) Swansea/Stoke u2.25 -130 5x
(EPL) Tottenham/Arsenal o2.75 -110 10x

Probably shouldn't be playing o/u in every damn EPL match, but what the hell. QPR and Fulham are under teams 2/3 of the time, and besides, SiMON2g is playing them. Swansea had been a solid under team until they exploded for 3 in the last home match. I think that was the apparition and we see another 1-0 or 0-0 match in Wales. North London Derby should mean goals after a 3-3 and 2-3 showing last year. Year before was 2-1 and 3-0. And the year before that was 0-0 and 4-4. So I love these teams to score goals and both have a lot to prove after mediocre starts to the year.

[TomJSports]

Good luck today!! I like the Bolton vs. Chelsea Over (already 1-0 to Chelsea) and really like the Over in Hamburger vs. Schalke!!

thanks mate, good luck to you, too!

[TomJSports]

Other Leagues:
(Nemzeti Bajnokság I) Videoton -1 -115 5x

Videoton is still looking for their first road win of the year and should be extra motivated against bottom two Ferencváros, who is 1-1-2 at home.

[TomJSports]

Other Leagues:
(Gambrinus) Hradec Králové -0.75 -115 5x
(Gambrinus) Viktoria Plzeň -1.75 -130 5x

Both of these are road fades of the two worst teams in Gambrinus: České Budějovice and Baník Ostrava.

[TomJSports]

Alright I think I'm done for now. 1860/Dresden over got me and early win and Fürth gave me an early loss, but I didn't post them, so they don't count.

Bundesliga:
Schalke/Hamburg o2.75 -110 10x
Hamburg +200 5x

Other Leagues:
(Allsvenskan) Norrköping/Helsingborg o2.75 -105 5x
(Allsvenskan) Häcken -1 -115 5x
(EPL) Chelsea/Bolton o2.75 -125 5x <-- hit early, hopefully they'll all be this easy!
(EPL) QPR/Fulham u2.25 -110 5x
(EPL) Swansea/Stoke u2.25 -130 5x
(EPL) Tottenham/Arsenal o2.75 -110 10x
(Gambrinus) Hradec Králové -0.75 -115 5x
(Gambrinus) Viktoria Plzeň -1.75 -130 5x
(Nemzeti Bajnokság I) Videoton -1 -115 5x
(Superligaen) Lyngby/Brøndby o3 -120 5x

[TomJSports]

Fulham up 3-0 killed the good start. Swansea has one, hopefully they just stick with one.

[TomJSports]

Bundesliga:
Schalke/Hamburg o2.75 -110 10x +5 (hit full again)
Hamburg +200 5x -2.5

Other Leagues:
(Allsvenskan) Norrköping/Helsingborg o2.75 -105 5x -5
(Allsvenskan) Häcken -1 -115 5x PUSH
(EPL) Chelsea/Bolton o2.75 -125 5x +5
(EPL) QPR/Fulham u2.25 -110 5x -5.5
(EPL) Swansea/Stoke u2.25 -130 5x +2.5 (but, again calculated in full)
(EPL) Tottenham/Arsenal o2.75 -110 10x +2.5 (calculated in full, too)
(Gambrinus) Hradec Králové -0.75 -115 5x -5.75
(Gambrinus) Viktoria Plzeň -1.75 -130 5x -6.5
(Nemzeti Bajnokság I) Videoton -1 -115 5x PUSH
(Superligaen) Lyngby/Brøndby o3 -120 5x -6

Not a great end to a solid week. Bundesliga and EPL (of all leagues) treated me pretty well. I'm on a bad run with Scandinavian Leagues, 0-0-3, so fade accordingly. Gambrinus hit me hard too, ohh well. The fact that my three half wins were calculated as full wins obviously help out a lot bankroll-wise, but I won't count them here. But seriously, if you play quarter lines, my book does not seem to calculate them correctly. Instead of -16.25 on the day, I was -6.25. At any rate, hope for another good week!

Club play today: 4-2-6 -16.25
Club play this week: 15-3-15 +4.09 (+0.41%)
Club play last week: 17-3-11 +55.99 (+5.6%)
Club play total: 61-7-47 +142.67

[TomJSports]

Other Leagues:
(K-League) Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors -1.5 -150 5x
(K-League) FC Seoul/Suwon Samsung BlueWings o2.75 +105 5x

Starting the week off with something different. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors has all but secured an AFC Champions spot, but is still fighting off Pohang Steelers for the league title and every point and goal counts. I like them to win big (as the do at home) against Sangju Sangmu Phoenix who is near the bottom of the standings. I'd normally play that harder, but that is a lot of juice and Phoenix is a decent road team, although they are 1-1-12 in their last 14. I like the league leader's chances. FC Seoul and Suwon Samsung BlueWings are fighting for position, and should be a solid game. Last year in Suwon, it was 4-2, though they seem to play low scorers on Seoul, thankfully this is in Suwon. Plus the BlueWings beat FC Seoul in Seoul earlier this year. With revenge and league standings on the line, I like there to be goals. Seoul is o2.5 in 6 of the last 7, and Suwon is o3 in the last three at home.

Hopefully this gets the week off to a good start!

[TomJSports]

Other Leagues:
(Eliteserien) Aalesund -1 EV 5x
(Gambrinus) Jablonec/Slovácko o2.5 -110 5x
(Superligaen) Midtjylland/Horsens o2.75 -125 5x
(Süper Lig) Beşiktaş -0.5 +120 5x

In Norway, Start has been absolutely pathetic on the road and I doubt that changes travelling north to Ålesund. Maybe bumping this down to -0.75 would be more likely to yield some income, as Aalesund is the kings of the 1-0 home win.

In the Czech Republic, I like the over as Jablonec road games tend to go well over. Slovácko is a low-scoring, low-allowing team, but I think Jablonec's superior squad allows them to play at their pace, and they want to do better than their 1-0 cup win.

In Denmark, Midtjylland has hit the over in 4 of the last 5 and Horsens in 3 of the last 4. Midtjylland has scored in every home game so far, and Horsens has scored in every away game. So I think this has a solid chance to hit. As a warning, all three matches last year were under, and I'm cold on Scandi plays, but I think recent form has this as a 2-2 type draw.

In Turkey, I like what I've seen out of Beşiktaş continentally and aside from the opener, they've done well domestically. They also have a nice little Portuguese influx with Carvalhal managing and the Portuguese and Brazilian players, not to mention top-notch internationals like Rüştü. Don't know much about the league, but I like them to win vs bottom tier Gaziantepspor.

[decado]

wow, i really need to get 5dimes to play those overs.

aren't you playing 2.bundesliga tonight? i'm tending to over here.

[decado]

For the fun of it, today German Basketball Bundesliga starts with the opener Bayern v Bonn. Bayern just got promoted into BBL. They are kind of a Hoffenheim-ambitioned team. Picked full of stars.

The reason was, I think, Hoeneß wanted Bayern to have something else in higher leagues other than football, so there were the women footballer first, now it's his basketball project.

Though Bayern is missing some key players atm, I think they will come out with a bang against a relatively weak Telekom Bonn and compete for Top five in this season.

Bayern -4.5 vs Telekom Bonn (starts in less than 2.5 hours)

[TomJSports]

wow, i really need to get 5dimes to play those overs.

aren't you playing 2.bundesliga tonight? i'm tending to over here.

yeah, damn peculiar if you ask me.

interesting on the basketball, i had no clue fcb had a basketball team,

[robert_wrath]

Here's my lineup for today:

Czech Republic Gambrinus Liga
12:30PM...[.581]...FK Jablonec...............MoneyLine........ ..(-105).* MARQUEE
12:30PM...[.581]...FK Jablonec...............Spread -½..........(-...).*

Denmark Superligaen
.1:00PM...[.612]...MIDTYLLAN.................MoneyLine.. ........(-107).*
.1:00PM...[.612]...MIDTYLLAN.................Spread -½..........(-...).*

Finland Veikkausliiga
11:30AM...[.642]...INTERTURKU................MoneyLine.. ........(-769).* MARQUEE

Israel Ligat haAl
.1:30PM...[.711]...Hapoel / METANYA..........Over 2½............(-108).*

Republic of Ireland Premier
.2:45PM...[.721]...St. Patricks..............MoneyLine......... .(-185).* MARQUEE
.2:45PM...[.721]...St. Patricks..............Spread -1..........(-104).*

Romania Liga 1
.2:30PM...[.841]...Vaslui....................MoneyLine.. ........(-104).*
.2:30PM...[.841]...Vaslui....................Spread -½..........(-108).*

Singapore Division 1
.7:30AM...[.885]...HOUGANG...................MoneyLine.. ........(-155).*
.7:30AM...[.881]...Young Lions...............MoneyLine..........(-125).*

Sweden Superettan
.1:00PM...[.901]...Brommapojkarna............MoneyLine.. ........(+117).*
.1:00PM...[.901]...Brommapojkarna............Spread ½...........(+118).*
.1:00PM...[.905]...LANDSKRONA................MoneyLine.. ........(-345).* MARQUEE
.1:00PM...[.907]...Falkenbergs FF............Spread +½..........(-121).* MARQUEE
.1:00PM...[.907]...Falkenbergs FF............MoneyLine..........(+265). * Units Play

Sweden Division 1 North
.1:00PM...[.912]...VASBY.....................MoneyLine.. ........(-110).* Units Play
.1:00PM...[.912]...VASBY.....................Spread -½..........(-108).* Units Play

Switzerland Challenge League
.2:10PM...[.962]...BELLINZONA................MoneyLine.. ........(-215).* MARQUEE

Turkey Super Lig
.1:00PM...[1001]...Besiktas..................Spread -½..........(+124).*
.1:00PM...[1001]...Besiktas..................MoneyLine.. ........(+120).*

[TomJSports]

Definitely a solid card. I chickened out of the Turku over and spread, and of course Rouvaniemi lost 2-6. Same thing with Landskrona, which looks to be the same came. Qviding is a bad bad squad. Looks like BP just bagged a goal, too, so things are looking good for you, mate!

[TomJSports]

2.Bundesliga
Düsseldorf +200 10x
Düsseldorf/Braunschweig o2.5 -120 5x

As per here. Hopefully the Germans bail out what's looking like a bad day.

[TomJSports]

Beşiktaş and Aalesund are red carded, and Braunschweig has already gotten a goal.

[FindTheLock]

I played the bundy 2 over when it was +102, but the linesmen called back a good goal due to an BS off sides call. The player who was in the off side position never touched the ball and the player who scored the goal got robbed. I hope they pick up the pace in the 2H because the home team is flopping all over the field and getting every damn call to go their way. should be 1-1 right now...

[TomJSports]

Yeah, the game should've hit the over and Düsseldorf should've won. Ohh well, it happens every day to some team, somewhere. Kind of a terrible call though, and Braunschweig didn't look too impressive. Lucky to get the draw. At any rate, I should've stuck with my gut and played the draw or PK, but I got to excited about Düsseldorf. Ehh, it happens.

[TomJSports]

2.Bundesliga:
Düsseldorf +200 10x -5
Düsseldorf/Braunschweig o2.5 -120 5x -6

Other Leagues:
(Eliteserien) Aalesund -1 EV 5x -5
(Gambrinus) Jablonec/Slovácko o2.5 -110 5x -5.5
(K-League) Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors -1.5 -150 5x +5
(K-League) FC Seoul/Suwon Samsung BlueWings o2.75 +105 5x -5.25
(Superligaen) Midtjylland/Horsens o2.75 -125 5x -6.25
(Süper Lig) Beşiktaş -0.5 +120 5x -4.27

Moral of the story: stick to K-League?? Ehh, days like this happen to every one. Not pretty at all, though.

Today's Club Play: 1-0-7 -32.27

[TomJSports]

And I should've known it would be a bad day after this. I seriously think being 0 for 6 is as much of a winner as 6 for 6

91164003-1 10/3/11 2:10am $1.00 $43.53 $0.00 Loss 6 Team Parlay
Loss 10/3/11 3:15am ATP Tennis 108 A.Dolgopolov Games Won -4½ +100* vs F.Cipolla Games Won
Loss 10/3/11 7:30am ATP Tennis 119 A.Roddick Games Won -2½ -120* vs K.Anderson Games Won
Loss 10/3/11 3:00am WTA Tennis 303 C.Wozniacki Games Won -6½ -120* vs L.Hradecka Games Won
Loss 10/3/11 3:15am WTA Tennis 327 D.Cibulkova Games Won/F.Schiavone Games Won Over 20½ -110*
Loss 10/3/11 7:30am WTA Tennis 331 A.Ivanovic Games Won/S.Kuznetsova Games Won Over 21 -112*
Loss 10/3/11 8:45am WTA Tennis 335 S.Arvidsson Games Won/P.Kvitova Games Won Under 18½ -120*

[The Special One]

I know, they should give a prize for getting none

[beeps220]

I forget the book, it was a few years ago. They actually would give a payout on going 0 for on a parlay. It was a minimum 5 or 6 teams.

[FindTheLock]

that is a good idea. I can usually get at least 50 percent, but if they started giving money out for getting them all wrong I think I would start catching fire haha. Lately I am on a roller coaster. I went up big and now I am right back to where I started. I keep catching some bad breaks that I was getting to go in my favor prior to this bad run I've been on.