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Sorry guys my schedule is all off and SBR blocks my VPN, wifi around here is pretty unsecure, lots of scammers around.
Play of the day is NY Rangers.Comment -
Not to hijack Nunya's thread, but since it seems kosher to talk about non-MMA betting opportunities, you guys should really look into tonight's Spurs/Heat game. It should be a good game and there are reasons to favor the Heat, but +200 for a team that is deservedly up 2-1 in the series is... a pretty generous line. Don't like them outright? Then buy them a point buffer. I have the Spurs at various prices for various amounts, but even after adding 8 points to their score you can still get them for -167. Definitely something to think about.Comment -
Not to go full thor here, BUT beware betting this game.. Spurs are clearly much better at basketball, but this is the nba... Its blatantly fixed. Joey crawford is reffing tonite. Spurs don't do well when he refs. See game 2 and game 6 of last years finals. The nba also makes a lot of money on each game which is why they will extend the series to 7 games. But i completely agree Jax, if this were a legit sporting event I would hammer the spurs..Comment -
I hope others tailed on this. Last night I made... a substantial amount of money. The lucrative moment is past, but if you're ok with pennies instead of dollars, you can still get the Spurs at -1500 for the series. They're up 3-1 and heading back to San Antonio for the next game. Basically free (albeit small) money. No team in the history of the NBA has come back from a 3-1 deficit to win in the finals and, with they way they've been playing (not to mention the way the Spurs have been playing), the Heat definitely aren't going to be the first to do so.
Edit: As long as I'm giving out chalky picks, I should probably mention that the Kings are in the same situation as the Spurs (ie, up 3-1 and playing at home), but you can get them at a better price (-1175). Free money's free money.Last edited by Das Jax; 06-13-14, 01:11 PM.Comment -
Heat are a joke, they dont get past the first round in the westComment -
Chile -1 in contest tonightComment -
Australia +1 it is thenComment -
Spain to win at Bookmaker?Comment -
Lol sharpComment -
I dont know if its -1 asian or euro handicap! Im assumin and hopin the formerComment -
Took spain in the contest.Comment -
damn, spain cost me my award on bookmaker.Comment -
Should'v listened to V.. Hedged though.Comment -
One would assume they're looking for poker site login credentials.
There's all sorts of fake Wifi hotspots set up at the rio with the names of other poker rooms wifi. So, if you've connected to say the Aria wifi in the past, your computer might try to automatically connect to the fake one with the same name, rather than to the Rio one.
Not a problem for me as I use a VPN, but I have to disconnect from my VPN everytime I want to check messages here or whatever, it's a PITA.Comment -
Where are you nunya?Comment -
wsop at the rio in las vegasComment -
Went with Ivory Coast PK for tonights pickComment -
They have as good a chance as anybody. All depends what mood messi is in. If i had to pick a team at this point id pick them tho. No team in this world cup has an outstanding defence tho (including argentina) so anybody has a chance....tht is why every game so far has had 3 or 4 goals so far apart from mexico game but tht was only cos of a dodgy linesman who disallowed two mexico goals for no reason. Other thn tht the over 2.5 has hit in every game...and this italy england game is 1-1 at HT so is on courseComment -
Was looking at Argentina for tomorrow, along with the SF Giants.Comment -
TNA
If Magnus is a dog, that is the only one I would play.Comment -
Id lean more towards the market being off, however there a lot of factors/variables involved. As i mentioned in post above (response to ronpaul)... There isnt one team in this tournament who has an outstanding backline. When looking at the majority of sides' lineups, the defense is the area where you would say they are weakest...out of the teams tht have played so far it is quite clear that these sides are England, Italy, Netherlands, Chile, Cameroon, ivory coast, colombia, croatia, and brazil. Now just because a team has an average backline or their backline is weaker compared to their midfield and attack doesnt mean a team will automatically concede goals...some will make up for weakness by playing a more reserved and compact style as a team, or will just play with more defenders and more defensive minded midfielders. An example of this is Netherlands who have reverted to a 5-3-2 formation which on paper seems more negative than their normal style. In their warmup games they were using this formation because their Coach was aware of their vulnerability in defense, and consequently in their friendlies they didnt score a lot but also didnt concede (beat ghana 1-0 and wales 2-0). This was partly why the over totsl in their game against spain was over 2 rather than over 2.5. Yet holland went and won 5-1! This is where it is hard to determine whether its off markets or variance.
A lot of teams are also playing more to their strengths rather than weaknesses. Teams like colombia and chile for example have coaches that realise their best players are their attacking players so have adapted the style of the team to suit this and have an attacking pressing based game. Obviously sbr donks arent necessairly representative of the whole market but there where guys beforethe tournament started saying things like "Chile are very defense minded team" which couldnt be farther from the truth!
The humidity factor has also been significant. For example, a lot was made before the game last night about the england italy game being in Manaus so in the Amazon where temperatures/conditions that arent exactly condusive to fast freeflowing football! Tht was a big reason why the total was Over 2 at -115 or something. Had the game been in europe tht would of been nearer -200. Again though, its a very tricky one, but it seems that so far the conditions havent been as difficult as perhaps expectedLast edited by Vaughany; 06-15-14, 05:54 PM.Comment -
Another game just went over 2.5 with last min winner despite being one of the games expected to go under.
ALso, another game where the altitude and humidity wasnt anywhere near as big a factor as expected...many where playing ecuador based on fact tht conditions should suit them..obviously very different to what swiss players are used to, but it was switzerland who looked fresher and more energetic late on and they came back from 1-0 down to winComment
