Unique 350 experiment - 100 to 1000

[haserfauld]

Except for the ability to run concurrent plays, yes?

[mcduggly]

Had an idea this was going to be one of your plays this week, and I love it! Great pick, mcduggly! Let's start the week with a win! Thanks!


The odds remain the same though, nothing changes. What mcduggly is doing, and what someone would be doing with an open parlay, is the same thing. He already stated this earlier on page 2 when someone asked this question.

Fred, you are right, an open parlay is the exact same thing we are doing, we are just doing it one bet at a time so we don't rush and can look deeper into picks rather than just choosing them based off their vig. I personally like this way better, which is why I started a thread on it, but you can do an open parlay if you wish. Good luck.

[mcduggly]

Except for the ability to run concurrent plays, yes?

Yes, but I like to take my time and there usually aren't that many games I like at the same time anyways, so it all works out. I only pick my favorite ones, not just ones that fit the system. I'm here to make money.

[nic9212]

lets go clemson

[haserfauld]

Yes, but I like to take my time and there usually aren't that many games I like at the same time anyways, so it all works out. I only pick my favorite ones, not just ones that fit the system. I'm here to make money.

you and me both, bother! That's fine, I like the system how you have had it. And I agree there aren't often plays worth running ay lot the same time. Maybe some Saturdays. But rarely!

[pokerwhiz90]

what do you think of the first half moneyline is it worth taking a shot?

[last-1-2-know]

Attempt #2 - Bet #5 :
Clemson Tigers over Wake Forest @-410
Bet $243.29 to win $59.34


With about half of this attempt completed, I thought we could get an early start to the potentially busy weekend with a Thursday night game. Wake is ranked #93 nationally in scoring and is averaging 13pts a game in ACC play. Granted a goose egg against FSU, but they have also played most of the bottom dwellers, including a measly 3-point win over Liberty. Clemson has won every meeting since 2009 and are 5-0 against the spread in their last 5 conference games. Being 11.5 point favorites makes this pick seem safe with that statistic. Hopefully Taj Boyd and the explosive Clemson offense can bring us halfway home to that $1,000! Good luck, guys!

correct me if I'm wrong, but didn't u or another poster on this thread break down the different -350 game upsets and determine that alot of the ones that did lose were from the ACC...with that being said this is also a road team on a exclusive night game....hummm....that's rolling alot of dice i would thing...of coarse I know I don't have to play it if I don't want....just wanted to hear ur justification to play this game against these specific points....thx.

[mcduggly]

what do you think of the first half moneyline is it worth taking a shot?

Yes it is. I think it will cash, but it is too low for this system.

correct me if I'm wrong, but didn't u or another poster on this thread break down the different -350 game upsets and determine that alot of the ones that did lose were from the ACC...with that being said this is also a road team on a exclusive night game....hummm....that's rolling alot of dice i would thing...of coarse I know I don't have to play it if I don't want....just wanted to hear ur justification to play this game against these specific points....thx.

Yes, one of the other posters did, but I don't care. From what I have researched between these 2 teams, Clemson seems too overwhelming for this Wake Forest Team. I just think there are a lot of "upsets" because the ACC is so close in talent, but there is an obvious advantage here for Clemson, even on the road.
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[mcduggly]

Clemson ML up to -475. Hopefully you guys got in around when I did and got near -410.

[tj0421]

I got it at -425. Lets get this!

[nbk]

Hey McDuggly,

I was gonna PM you, but I don't have enough posts yet, so apologizes for cluttering the thread. Congrats on your success of your first attempt with CF and the -350 system. I like the idea. I'm joining on with the Clemson play today. I hope you use it with bball again so I can tail, haha. Anyway, I'm trying to educate myself, and I was wondering what criteria you run the teams with greater than -350 through to determine which ones are the best to use. I'd like to help, and come up with some of my own at some point.

Thanks for posting the system!

[mcduggly]

I got it at -425. Lets get this!

Hey McDuggly,

I was gonna PM you, but I don't have enough posts yet, so apologizes for cluttering the thread. Congrats on your success of your first attempt with CF and the -350 system. I like the idea. I'm joining on with the Clemson play today. I hope you use it with bball again so I can tail, haha. Anyway, I'm trying to educate myself, and I was wondering what criteria you run the teams with greater than -350 through to determine which ones are the best to use. I'd like to help, and come up with some of my own at some point.

Thanks for posting the system!

I have several factors that I look into after I use a system I created on Excel about a year ago. If the system like a game, I look into injuries, matchup history, etc.

[mcduggly]

what do you think of the first half moneyline is it worth taking a shot?

Hopefully you took this bet. Looking good guys, Clemson up by 35-7 at halftime.

[nic9212]

Looking great all thanks to mcduggly

[nic9212]

WINNER!

[playr101]

-playr101

[hotshotz3]

nice work

[mcduggly]

#1. San Jose State over Texas San Antonio - $100 to win $21.05 - WIN
#2. Alabama over Tennessee First Half - $121.05 to win $20.18 - WIN
#3. Houston Texans over Baltimore Ravens - $141.23 to win $44.13 - WIN
#4. New England Patriots over New York Jets First Half - $185.36 to win $57.93 - WIN
#5. Clemson Tigers over Wake Forest Demon Decons - $243.29 to win $59.34 - WIN



Clemson took a 28-point lead into the halftime break, and I turned it off after that because they looked way too talented for Wake Forest. Boyd played great and took advantage of all the weapons he's surrounded with. With that said, we head into the busy weekend with an easy win, so let's keep it up.

[mcduggly]

Looking great all thanks to mcduggly

WINNER!

-playr101

nice work

[dominate.]

Awesome! I've been doing a similar type of thing with 3 team open parlays, so it's great to see someone else with the same general idea! Can't believe I haven't seen this thread until now haha. Best of luck!

[kujo214]

thinking about doing this with 2 ML favorites..definitely tailing.

[easyliving]

saturday manchester city over Swansea is as solid as it gets @-400. City are great at home and should win easily.

[Luca Fury]

You're essentially doing an open parlay with roughly a dozen teams. Might work out in the short term, but long term it won't. The all-or-nothing type volatility of it will hurt you. You HAVE to hit ALL of the dozen or so bets to make profit, so you can then start over. But if you lose any of them, you're down $100. Being forced to hit about a dozen or so consecutive bets, or else losing money, will not work out long term.

You ever heard of someone CONSITENTLY hitting 12+ team parlays? I sure haven't.

[Glowww]

You're essentially doing an open parlay with roughly a dozen teams. Might work out in the short term, but long term it won't. The all-or-nothing type volatility of it will hurt you. You HAVE to hit ALL of the dozen or so bets to make profit, so you can then start over. But if you lose any of them, you're down $100. Being forced to hit about a dozen or so consecutive bets, or else losing money, will not work out long term.

You ever heard of someone CONSITENTLY hitting 12+ team parlays? I sure haven't.

Well dude, he has already successfully done it once out of 3 tries. So he has grossed $700 and thats not including the roughly $150 he has made on this attempt.... Just sayin'

[Titan_12]

#1. San Jose State over Texas San Antonio - $100 to win $21.05 - WIN
#2. Alabama over Tennessee First Half - $121.05 to win $20.18 - WIN
#3. Houston Texans over Baltimore Ravens - $141.23 to win $44.13 - WIN
#4. New England Patriots over New York Jets First Half - $185.36 to win $57.93 - WIN
#5. Clemson Tigers over Wake Forest Demon Decons - $243.29 to win $59.34 - WIN



Clemson took a 28-point lead into the halftime break, and I turned it off after that because they looked way too talented for Wake Forest. Boyd played great and took advantage of all the weapons he's surrounded with. With that said, we head into the busy weekend with an easy win, so let's keep it up.

Thanks for the winners!

[mcduggly]

You're essentially doing an open parlay with roughly a dozen teams. Might work out in the short term, but long term it won't. The all-or-nothing type volatility of it will hurt you. You HAVE to hit ALL of the dozen or so bets to make profit, so you can then start over. But if you lose any of them, you're down $100. Being forced to hit about a dozen or so consecutive bets, or else losing money, will not work out long term.

You ever heard of someone CONSITENTLY hitting 12+ team parlays? I sure haven't.

I disagree and will say that there is definitely money to be made with this system. No I have not heard of people consistently hitting 12+ team parlays because nobody ever does them, and when they do, they don't just stick with -350 favorites. They throw in a chunk of underdogs and standard -110 lines to increase the payout.

And it's only an "all-in approach" for each individual attempt. So the first attempt I did, we banked a little under $1,100. We lost attempt number 2, but we were still up $1,000. We would have to lose 11 attempts in order to lose money, and that's not going to happen.

[Cutler'sThumb]

You ever heard of someone CONSITENTLY hitting 12+ team parlays? I sure haven't.

\

For what it's worth, I've done large ML fav parlays in both CFB and CBB with pretty good returns. I don't "cap" the games like McDuggley does, but I take bigger favs than he does (-1250 and up). The number of teams varies depending on the slate (CBB has more opportunities, of course), but most books don't offer this and I'm realizing why: it's a loser for them. I'm usually laying $100 to win $35-65. If you're patient and consistent it works. I do get burned every now and then, but it's definately a winner overall.

[mcduggly]

I went through the entire college football card for tomorrow and have 7 potential plays tomorrow. A few of them overlap, so we won't be playing all 7, but we should get 3 or 4 good ones in. I'm just waiting for 5dimes to display their reduced lines and seeing if any lines change before I post the first play here. I will post the first play for the first group of games tomorrow by tonight.

[pokerwhiz90]

Hey McDuggly, do you mind listing the "unofficial" plays that overlap? I have a few open cards and would like to fill them in - Thanks

[mcduggly]

Attempt #2 - Bet #6 :
Northern Illinois over Western Michigan @-320
Bet $302.63 to win $94.57


This game is a little under the -350 mark that I set, but I really love this play, so I wanted to fit it in for the early games tomorrow. Northern Illinois is a highly underrated team against a suspect Western Michigan team that has only beaten 3 very bad teams and got stomped by Toledo at home. Northern Illinois is 3-0 on the road and have won 7 straight games this season after losing a tough game in their opener against Iowa. Northern Illinois has beat Western Michigan by an average of just over 23 points since 2009, and the also have a GREAT quarterback in Jordan Lynch, a guy who can both throw and run effectively. Let's start the busy weekend off right. Good luck, guys.

[Glowww]

Mcduggly, I think you made a mistake. You might have posted the Clemson wager and winnings with Northern Illinois.

[Usner21]

First time poster here but been lurking for a while. I am going to jump on board this weekend with a hundred on No. Illinois. Thanks for the picks Mcduggly!

[FreddDS]

Thanks for the early pick mcduggly! All over it. GL!

[p19101]

Mcduggly, I think you made a mistake. You might have posted the Clemson wager and winnings with Northern Illinois.

That's the whole point

[pokerwhiz90]

taking northern -4.5! I think northern covers easy