Unique 350 experiment - 100 to 1000

[nic9212]

any plays tonight mcduggy? or are we going to wait? I trust your judgement

[mcduggly]

You forgot to thank the Patriots MVP Mark Sanchez.

Haha, yea he had that one bad pick but he actually made several great throws to be honest.

[mcduggly]

any plays tonight mcduggy? or are we going to wait? I trust your judgement

Well there's only the Pitt and Cinci game, so I don't think so. I don't like putting baseball into this system anymore, and props are always scary.

[nic9212]

Well there's only the Pitt and Cinci game, so I don't think so. I don't like putting baseball into this system anymore, and props are always scary.

Yeah Playoff baseball is usually a coin flip.

[nic9212]

dang patriots freaking me out with ml pick. But it wins

[aldo5408]

nice will follow this till the wheels fall off

[haserfauld]

I need a shower from all this sweat.

[mcduggly]

I need a shower from all this sweat.

The play was the first half, so it wasn't that bad haha.

[nic9212]

The play was the first half, so it wasn't that bad haha.

and less juice

[Glowww]

Hey Mcduggly, just did a little research on the Bears and Lions game. Just wondering what your take is on playing the Bears tomorrow night?

[utmoody10]

The only thing I don't like about those numbers is that they include -1000 or higher favorites. If there was a way to break that down, that would be extremely beneficial.

I have a master sheet at which I can sort and tabulate based on ML or spreads and let you know how its been going. For instance, I ran a quick sort to see how home dogs of 20 points or less were performing against the spread (-350 eligible games of course). What returned is a 24-20 record of home dogs covering. This was running pretty good previous to week 8 where home dogs +20 or less went 1-5. In games higher than 20 point spreads the home dogs have a 8-3 record ATS. These will be your 1000+ games which leave smaller value in return.

Let me know if there is a certain way you would like to look at the figures and I can get you a result fairly quickly.

[mcduggly]

Hey Mcduggly, just did a little research on the Bears and Lions game. Just wondering what your take is on playing the Bears tomorrow night?

Unlike most people, I like the Lions to cover tonight. They're coming off a bye, it's a rivalry and in-conference game, and it's prime time, which means anything can happen. I also think their pass rush gets to Cutler fairly easily and making him less effective.

[mcduggly]

I have a master sheet at which I can sort and tabulate based on ML or spreads and let you know how its been going. For instance, I ran a quick sort to see how home dogs of 20 points or less were performing against the spread (-350 eligible games of course). What returned is a 24-20 record of home dogs covering. This was running pretty good previous to week 8 where home dogs +20 or less went 1-5. In games higher than 20 point spreads the home dogs have a 8-3 record ATS. These will be your 1000+ games which leave smaller value in return.

Let me know if there is a certain way you would like to look at the figures and I can get you a result fairly quickly.

From the sound of it, it doesn't sound like you have many games implemented in your sheet so it doesn't really help that much yet.

[pokerwhiz90]

what do you think of the bears ml tonight?

[utmoody10]

Eligible College Football Moneylines as of 10:00AM EST (5Dimes)

Thursday 10/25/12:
Clemson (-490) @ Wake

Saturday 10/27/12:
Texas (-1600) @ Kansas
Tennessee @ USC (-550)
Kentucky @ Mizzou (-650)
Utah St (-1500) @ UTSA
Colorado @ Oregon (-210000)
Memphis @ SMU (-1375)
Boise St (-900) @ Wyoming
Kent St @ Rutgers (-500)
EMU @ Bowling Green (-670)
Toledo (-350) @ Buffalo
Duke @ FSU (-6000)
Fresno St (-470) @ New Mexico
Texas St @ SJSU (-1300)
Washington St @ Stanford (-1600)
S Alabama @ UL Monroe (-3000)
Texas A&M (-550) @ Auburn
UMASS @ Vandy (-13500)
La Tech (-9000) @ New Mexico St
Notre Dame @ Oklahoma (-360)
Miss St @ Alabama (-2500)

[pokerwhiz90]

Eligible College Football Moneylines as of 10:00AM EST (5Dimes)

Thursday 10/25/12:
Clemson (-490) @ Wake

Saturday 10/27/12:
Texas (-1600) @ Kansas
Tennessee @ USC (-550)
Kentucky @ Mizzou (-650)
Utah St (-1500) @ UTSA
Colorado @ Oregon (-210000)
Memphis @ SMU (-1375)
Boise St (-900) @ Wyoming
Kent St @ Rutgers (-500)
EMU @ Bowling Green (-670)
Toledo (-350) @ Buffalo
Duke @ FSU (-6000)
Fresno St (-470) @ New Mexico
Texas St @ SJSU (-1300)
Washington St @ Stanford (-1600)
S Alabama @ UL Monroe (-3000)
Texas A&M (-550) @ Auburn
UMASS @ Vandy (-13500)
La Tech (-9000) @ New Mexico St
Notre Dame @ Oklahoma (-360)
Miss St @ Alabama (-2500)

I love USC, toledo and Fresno St - those 3 are ideal

[mcduggly]

Eligible College Football Moneylines as of 10:00AM EST (5Dimes)

Thursday 10/25/12:
Clemson (-490) @ Wake

Saturday 10/27/12:
Texas (-1600) @ Kansas
Tennessee @ USC (-550)
Kentucky @ Mizzou (-650)
Utah St (-1500) @ UTSA
Colorado @ Oregon (-210000)
Memphis @ SMU (-1375)
Boise St (-900) @ Wyoming
Kent St @ Rutgers (-500)
EMU @ Bowling Green (-670)
Toledo (-350) @ Buffalo
Duke @ FSU (-6000)
Fresno St (-470) @ New Mexico
Texas St @ SJSU (-1300)
Washington St @ Stanford (-1600)
S Alabama @ UL Monroe (-3000)
Texas A&M (-550) @ Auburn
UMASS @ Vandy (-13500)
La Tech (-9000) @ New Mexico St
Notre Dame @ Oklahoma (-360)
Miss St @ Alabama (-2500)

Thanks for the info! I think the bet play out of all of them is San Jose State, so hopefully the first half line isn't too high.

[pokerwhiz90]

are you skipping tonights bears game?

[Brutus84]

If yall want to win money a little quicker but play it safe. Take a 7 pt. teaser and play Detroit and ULL (tuesday night). I've lost this bet recently but no runs 1st inning of tonights game is also -175. Pettigrew ov. 4.5 receptions is -125 prop that will cash.

[mcduggly]

If yall want to win money a little quicker but play it safe. Take a 7 pt. teaser and play Detroit and ULL (tuesday night). I've lost this bet recently but no runs 1st inning of tonights game is also -175. Pettigrew ov. 4.5 receptions is -125 prop that will cash.

None of those bets fit into this system.

[mcduggly]

Hey guys, I have all the picks ready for this weekend, as well as backups in case the vig in my primary choices gets absurd. I will post the first play of the weekend tomorrow, so stay tuned.

[Einstein2u]

Let's do it

[nic9212]

Hey guys, I have all the picks ready for this weekend, as well as backups in case the vig in my primary choices gets absurd. I will post the first play of the weekend tomorrow, so stay tuned.

Thank You mcduggly !

[LarryF]

Did you see this?


What a day! A man’s 23-team, $100 college football parlay paid $25,772
The 23-team, $100 parlay placed at BetOnline.ag began on Thursday. A man bet Oregon (-300) and the San Francisco 49ers (-380) on the money line. The Ducks won easily and the 49ers barely won, but both outcomes were what the bettor needed.

Two down, 21 to go.

On Saturday, the pieces began falling into place, one by one. Wisconsin (-780) destroyed Minnesota. Bowling Green (-780) manhandled Massachusetts. Northern Illinois routed Akron. And on and on it went.

The biggest early scares were LSU (-165), Ohio State (-940) and Rutgers (-205). All three teams trailed at halftime (the Buckeyes on their home field) but managed to come back and secure victories.

The bettor took ONE underdog. Longtime readers of this site will never guess who. Yep, it was Kansas State. And the Wildcats (+125) spanked West Virginia, 55-14.

In the end, it all came down to the Oregon State-Utah game. The Beavers (-400) led 14-7 at the half and eventually won 21-7, helping the bettor score an incredible $25,772 payday.

Courtesy of BetOnline brand manager Dave Mason, here’s the parlay:

Oregon -300
Wisconsin -780
Bowling Green -780
N. Illinois -660
Rutgers -205
LSU -165
Ohio St -940
Vandy -260
Notre Dame -5oo
Bama -1100
Michigan -350
FSU -1300
Louisville -245
Tulsa -1300
Mississippi St -880
Kansas St +125
Florida -175
Central Florida -1300
Texas -340
Fresno State -675
Oregon St -400
49ers -380
Clemson -310

[tj0421]

Holy Shit. I need a parlay like that.

[mcduggly]

Did you see this?


What a day! A man’s 23-team, $100 college football parlay paid $25,772
The 23-team, $100 parlay placed at BetOnline.ag began on Thursday. A man bet Oregon (-300) and the San Francisco 49ers (-380) on the money line. The Ducks won easily and the 49ers barely won, but both outcomes were what the bettor needed.

Two down, 21 to go.

On Saturday, the pieces began falling into place, one by one. Wisconsin (-780) destroyed Minnesota. Bowling Green (-780) manhandled Massachusetts. Northern Illinois routed Akron. And on and on it went.

The biggest early scares were LSU (-165), Ohio State (-940) and Rutgers (-205). All three teams trailed at halftime (the Buckeyes on their home field) but managed to come back and secure victories.

The bettor took ONE underdog. Longtime readers of this site will never guess who. Yep, it was Kansas State. And the Wildcats (+125) spanked West Virginia, 55-14.

In the end, it all came down to the Oregon State-Utah game. The Beavers (-400) led 14-7 at the half and eventually won 21-7, helping the bettor score an incredible $25,772 payday.

Courtesy of BetOnline brand manager Dave Mason, here’s the parlay:

Oregon -300
Wisconsin -780
Bowling Green -780
N. Illinois -660
Rutgers -205
LSU -165
Ohio St -940
Vandy -260
Notre Dame -5oo
Bama -1100
Michigan -350
FSU -1300
Louisville -245
Tulsa -1300
Mississippi St -880
Kansas St +125
Florida -175
Central Florida -1300
Texas -340
Fresno State -675
Oregon St -400
49ers -380
Clemson -310

Holy Shit. I need a parlay like that.

There was a guy on SBR this past year who turned $500 into $250,000 on a 25-teamer at 5dimes.

[mcduggly]

Attempt #2 - Bet #5 :
Clemson Tigers over Wake Forest @-410
Bet $243.29 to win $59.34


With about half of this attempt completed, I thought we could get an early start to the potentially busy weekend with a Thursday night game. Wake is ranked #93 nationally in scoring and is averaging 13pts a game in ACC play. Granted a goose egg against FSU, but they have also played most of the bottom dwellers, including a measly 3-point win over Liberty. Clemson has won every meeting since 2009 and are 5-0 against the spread in their last 5 conference games. Being 11.5 point favorites makes this pick seem safe with that statistic. Hopefully Taj Boyd and the explosive Clemson offense can bring us halfway home to that $1,000! Good luck, guys!

[A4K]

Attempt #2 - Bet #5 :
Clemson Tigers over Wake Forest @-410
Bet $243.29 to win $59.34


With about half of this attempt completed, I thought we could get an early start to the potentially busy weekend with a Thursday night game. Wake is ranked #93 nationally in scoring and is averaging 13pts a game in ACC play. Granted a goose egg against FSU, but they have also played most of the bottom dwellers, including a measly 3-point win over Liberty. Clemson has won every meeting since 2009 and are 5-0 against the spread in their last 5 conference games. Being 11.5 point favorites makes this pick seem safe with that statistic. Hopefully Taj Boyd and the explosive Clemson offense can bring us halfway home to that $1,000! Good luck, guys!

I love this selection. Good luck my friend.

[haserfauld]

I'm tailing these, of course, and closing out the last 4 of a 12 team $20 open parlay with them as well. If there are any you think are the best looking 4, I'll play them. -500 or under, preferably.

Good luck to us!

[A4K]

I'm tailing these, of course, and closing out the last 4 of a 12 team $20 open parlay with them as well. If there are any you think are the best looking 4, I'll play them. -500 or under, preferably.

Good luck to us!

I know this is off topic, but how do you do these open parlays? I see on 5Dimes that they are available, but how do you select the additional teams?

[haserfauld]

I know this is off topic, but how do you do these open parlays? I see on 5Dimes that they are available, but how do you select the additional teams?

Once you place one, when you go back to the Parlay, it shows:

Parlay

Select the sports for your parlay and click on Continue above or below.You have 1 pending parlay with open spots. Click here to fill.

You can then make a new one, or click the link to add teams to the existing one.

[tb1984]

I know this is off topic, but how do you do these open parlays? I see on 5Dimes that they are available, but how do you select the additional teams?

Check this out: http://5dimes.eu/sb_charts/CloseOpenParlay.htm

[A4K]

Thanks guys!

[haserfauld]

Here's an interesting question. Would it be smarter to open a 10 or 12 team parlay for this system? It's similar, but not exactly the same. You'd have to guess on when you'd hit $1k, but you could add the next play and run them concurrently if you found two good overlapping plays. Hmm.

[FreddDS]

Attempt #2 - Bet #5 :
Clemson Tigers over Wake Forest @-410
Bet $243.29 to win $59.34


With about half of this attempt completed, I thought we could get an early start to the potentially busy weekend with a Thursday night game. Wake is ranked #93 nationally in scoring and is averaging 13pts a game in ACC play. Granted a goose egg against FSU, but they have also played most of the bottom dwellers, including a measly 3-point win over Liberty. Clemson has won every meeting since 2009 and are 5-0 against the spread in their last 5 conference games. Being 11.5 point favorites makes this pick seem safe with that statistic. Hopefully Taj Boyd and the explosive Clemson offense can bring us halfway home to that $1,000! Good luck, guys!

Had an idea this was going to be one of your plays this week, and I love it! Great pick, mcduggly! Let's start the week with a win! Thanks!

Here's an interesting question. Would it be smarter to open a 10 or 12 team parlay for this system? It's similar, but not exactly the same. You'd have to guess on when you'd hit $1k, but you could add the next play and run them concurrently if you found two good overlapping plays. Hmm.

The odds remain the same though, nothing changes. What mcduggly is doing, and what someone would be doing with an open parlay, is the same thing. He already stated this earlier on page 2 when someone asked this question.