Unique 350 experiment - 100 to 1000

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  • Glowww
    SBR Rookie
    • 01-07-12
    • 33

    #176
    Originally posted by p19101
    That's the whole point
    My bad guys. Just got on my labtop. Must have read my phone wrong lol. Still took Northern Illinois. GL
    Comment
    • p19101
      SBR MVP
      • 11-17-11
      • 1419

      #177
      Originally posted by pokerwhiz90
      taking northern -4.5! I think northern covers easy
      That is the 1st half spread, otherwise it's -8~
      Comment
      • mcduggly
        SBR MVP
        • 01-22-12
        • 2489

        #178
        Originally posted by Glowww
        My bad guys. Just got on my labtop. Must have read my phone wrong lol. Still took Northern Illinois. GL
        No you were right, I had it as the previous bet but changed it. I copy and paste the last one so I know what number I am on and forgot to change the numbers haha. But thank you.
        Comment
        • pokerwhiz90
          SBR MVP
          • 10-02-10
          • 2618

          #179
          hey mcduggly which plays overlapped that you also liked?
          Comment
          • mcduggly
            SBR MVP
            • 01-22-12
            • 2489

            #180
            Originally posted by pokerwhiz90
            hey mcduggly which plays overlapped that you also liked?
            South Carolina.
            Comment
            • pokerwhiz90
              SBR MVP
              • 10-02-10
              • 2618

              #181
              thank you!
              Comment
              • Glowww
                SBR Rookie
                • 01-07-12
                • 33

                #182
                How many games are we betting on this weekend Mcduggly? Or are you not sure yet?
                Comment
                • FreddDS
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 09-29-10
                  • 656

                  #183
                  Originally posted by Glowww
                  How many games are we betting on this weekend Mcduggly? Or are you not sure yet?
                  He said it a few posts back. Look on page 5. He said we should be good for 3-4 plays tomorrow.
                  Comment
                  • Glowww
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 01-07-12
                    • 33

                    #184
                    Originally posted by FreddDS
                    He said it a few posts back. Look on page 5. He said we should be good for 3-4 plays tomorrow.
                    Must not have seen that post then, but thank you FreddDS. Should be a good weekend. GL
                    Comment
                    • playr101
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-16-10
                      • 2029

                      #185
                      -290 now on 5dimes and not even reduced.

                      -playr101
                      Comment
                      • mcduggly
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-22-12
                        • 2489

                        #186
                        Originally posted by playr101
                        -290 now on 5dimes and not even reduced.

                        -playr101
                        I see -310 and -295 reduced. Knew I should have waited but oh well.
                        Comment
                        • playr101
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-16-10
                          • 2029

                          #187
                          Wow.. I see that now as well...

                          But 1 hour ago, It wasnt in the reduced section and normal was -290...
                          crazy

                          Lets get it either way

                          -playr101
                          Comment
                          • haserfauld
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 12-12-08
                            • 957

                            #188
                            Is this worth playing double, in your mind, mcduggly? I'm using it as a system play, but I also have a separate, big open parlay going with a few legs left to fill. I'm not in a huge hurry, and am willing to take time to close it out, and I only need 4 this weekend. I don't mind playing higher vig lines (had a -110 and a +105 early, so payout is acceptable even if I close out with -500s), but -300 would be sweeter. Hate to get buried on both with a single play, though.

                            I guess I'm asking, perhaps more from just a smart/patient approach, if I should mix and match so I don't lose both in one game. Or, if there are stronger plays coming up?

                            I'm new to the open parlay system, so I'm trying to be smart about it.

                            Good luck to us, sir!
                            Comment
                            • mcduggly
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-22-12
                              • 2489

                              #189
                              Originally posted by playr101
                              Wow.. I see that now as well...

                              But 1 hour ago, It wasnt in the reduced section and normal was -290...
                              crazy

                              Lets get it either way

                              -playr101
                              Yea, I'm just not sure why it's dropping. I thought the majority of bettors would be on NIU.

                              Originally posted by haserfauld
                              Is this worth playing double, in your mind, mcduggly? I'm using it as a system play, but I also have a separate, big open parlay going with a few legs left to fill. I'm not in a huge hurry, and am willing to take time to close it out, and I only need 4 this weekend. I don't mind playing higher vig lines (had a -110 and a +105 early, so payout is acceptable even if I close out with -500s), but -300 would be sweeter. Hate to get buried on both with a single play, though.

                              I guess I'm asking, perhaps more from just a smart/patient approach, if I should mix and match so I don't lose both in one game. Or, if there are stronger plays coming up?

                              I'm new to the open parlay system, so I'm trying to be smart about it.

                              Good luck to us, sir!
                              I don't know if this play is worth 2 spots, especially if they are critical ones to close out a parlay or two.
                              Comment
                              • Luca Fury
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-10-12
                                • 1136

                                #190
                                Originally posted by Glowww
                                Well dude, he has already successfully done it once out of 3 tries. So he has grossed $700 and thats not including the roughly $150 he has made on this attempt.... Just sayin'
                                3 attempts is the complete opposite of long-term. Winning 3/3 means nothing. A system is proven -- or disproven -- after thousands of bets and years of testing, not three attempts and a few weeks.

                                Originally posted by mcduggly
                                I disagree and will say that there is definitely money to be made with this system. No I have not heard of people consistently hitting 12+ team parlays because nobody ever does them, and when they do, they don't just stick with -350 favorites. They throw in a chunk of underdogs and standard -110 lines to increase the payout.

                                And it's only an "all-in approach" for each individual attempt. So the first attempt I did, we banked a little under $1,100. We lost attempt number 2, but we were still up $1,000. We would have to lose 11 attempts in order to lose money, and that's not going to happen.
                                I wish you the best of luck, the long-term, I would be shocked if this proved to be profitable. It doesn't matter that you're only doing large favorites. This large favorites one almost every time, everybody would just bet them in the books would get killed. The reason people lose long-term on 12 team parlays is not because they are tossing in risky underdogs, it's because it's a strategy that is almost impossible to win at long-term. That's really all there is to it. In order for this to work long-term, you must win in streaks. That's as completely unrealistic expectation.

                                The most important factor to being profitable long-term is proper money-management, and the strategy unfortunately utilizes very poor money management. I'm not trying to bash you or anything, I'm just trying to give you some advice based on experience.

                                Like I said, I wish you the best of luck, but I wouldn't get my hopes too high on this strategy.
                                Comment
                                • mcduggly
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-22-12
                                  • 2489

                                  #191
                                  Originally posted by Luca Fury
                                  3 attempts is the complete opposite of long-term. Winning 3/3 means nothing. A system is proven -- or disproven -- after thousands of bets and years of testing, not three attempts and a few weeks.



                                  I wish you the best of luck, the long-term, I would be shocked if this proved to be profitable. It doesn't matter that you're only doing large favorites. This large favorites one almost every time, everybody would just bet them in the books would get killed. The reason people lose long-term on 12 team parlays is not because they are tossing in risky underdogs, it's because it's a strategy that is almost impossible to win at long-term. That's really all there is to it. In order for this to work long-term, you must win in streaks. That's as completely unrealistic expectation.

                                  The most important factor to being profitable long-term is proper money-management, and the strategy unfortunately utilizes very poor money management. I'm not trying to bash you or anything, I'm just trying to give you some advice based on experience.

                                  Like I said, I wish you the best of luck, but I wouldn't get my hopes too high on this strategy.

                                  , winning in streaks is unrealistic? You're an idiot. Especially when -350 favorites and lower are hitting at over an 80% win rate, there are obviously long winning streaks that are going to happen.
                                  Comment
                                  • House
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 09-04-11
                                    • 7088

                                    #192
                                    Originally posted by mcduggly
                                    , winning in streaks is unrealistic? You're an idiot. Especially when -350 favorites and lower are hitting at over an 80% win rate, there are obviously long winning streaks that are going to happen.
                                    Comment
                                    • nic9212
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-19-12
                                      • 1536

                                      #193
                                      Northern Illinois over Western Michigan
                                      Lets Rock mcduggly
                                      Comment
                                      • p19101
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-17-11
                                        • 1419

                                        #194
                                        Western Michigan Broncos starting strong, cmon Huskies!

                                        Comment
                                        • mcduggly
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-22-12
                                          • 2489

                                          #195
                                          Originally posted by p19101
                                          Western Michigan Broncos starting strong, cmon Huskies!
                                          Yea, which is weird. NIU has one of the best defenses in the MAC but they look pitiful right now. Hopefully they make a few stops.
                                          Comment
                                          • House
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-04-11
                                            • 7088

                                            #196
                                            Come on NIU , where I can watch the game ? anyone ?
                                            Comment
                                            • House
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 09-04-11
                                              • 7088

                                              #197
                                              nice 14-14 now,NIU TD ...now lets go D ...get a stop
                                              Comment
                                              • haserfauld
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 12-12-08
                                                • 957

                                                #198
                                                Originally posted by House
                                                Come on NIU , where I can watch the game ? anyone ?
                                                It's on EPSN3 on espn.go.com if you have a cable provider.
                                                Comment
                                                • p19101
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-17-11
                                                  • 1419

                                                  #199
                                                  Originally posted by House
                                                  nice 14-14 now,NIU TD ...now lets go D ...get a stop
                                                  Unless NIU shapes up after half time I have a hard time seeing this game ending in our favor.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • AceKingHigh
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-23-09
                                                    • 3888

                                                    #200
                                                    Looks badddd
                                                    Comment
                                                    • p19101
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-17-11
                                                      • 1419

                                                      #201
                                                      Originally posted by AceKingHigh
                                                      Looks badddd
                                                      Indeed, NIU looks terrible.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • p19101
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-17-11
                                                        • 1419

                                                        #202
                                                        Terrible play calling, rush after rush after rush when clock is running out...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Erock87
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 10-24-10
                                                          • 995

                                                          #203
                                                          I tailed McD, but it doesnt look good!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • AceKingHigh
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-23-09
                                                            • 3888

                                                            #204
                                                            Lets hope they can come out strong in the 2nd half... down by 4 (21-17) nice fg in the end of the half from 54 yards
                                                            Comment
                                                            • mcduggly
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-22-12
                                                              • 2489

                                                              #205
                                                              Originally posted by p19101

                                                              Unless NIU shapes up after half time I have a hard time seeing this game ending in our favor.
                                                              Originally posted by AceKingHigh
                                                              Looks badddd
                                                              Originally posted by Erock87
                                                              I tailed McD, but it doesnt look good!
                                                              Are you guys serious? NIU is down by 4 at halftime..


                                                              This place is filled with idiots.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • haserfauld
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 12-12-08
                                                                • 957

                                                                #206
                                                                Plenty of football left, guys
                                                                Comment
                                                                • FreddDS
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 09-29-10
                                                                  • 656

                                                                  #207
                                                                  Your all jumping the gun way too early! Still half a game to go. Let's have a little faith boys, there only down by 4!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • haserfauld
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 12-12-08
                                                                    • 957

                                                                    #208
                                                                    Originally posted by mcduggly
                                                                    Are you guys serious? NIU is down by 4 at halftime..


                                                                    This place is filled with idiots.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • House
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 09-04-11
                                                                      • 7088

                                                                      #209
                                                                      NIU shot themselves in the foot the 1st half, they are hearing about it right now in the locker room guaranteed, Im sure those ears are ringing lol ... They wont shoot themselves in the 2nd half...watch ...I say 28-13 second half .. Lets Go NIU ...on another note my Pitt pick is a blowout at halftime 31-7 ... I like Ohio and Rutger's next
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • mcduggly
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-22-12
                                                                        • 2489

                                                                        #210
                                                                        Originally posted by House
                                                                        NIU shot themselves in the foot the 1st half, they are hearing about it right now in the locker room guaranteed, Im sure those ears are ringing lol ... They wont shoot themselves in the 2nd half...watch ...I say 28-13 second half .. Lets Go NIU ...on another note my Pitt pick is a blowout at halftime 31-7 ... I like Ohio and Rutger's next
                                                                        Johnyy Lee Lewis dropped a wide open pass on third down that would have been a touchdown. They could be up 3 right now, but shit happens. 2 quarters left.
                                                                        Comment
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