Cheme82's CBB plays for November

phillybadboy · 12-09-10, 06:05 PM

i'm try to run the numbers too, i havin trouble figurin how to do it

chilidog · 12-09-10, 06:25 PM

I have:

NBA
Philadelphia +8 5.5u
Dallas -7 3.6u

I didn't know if I would have time to post them, philly; I had to go run some errands.

phillybadboy · 12-09-10, 06:31 PM

i got philli +8 2 unit,

phillybadboy · 12-09-10, 10:00 PM

Originally posted by chilidog

I have: NBA Philadelphia +8 5.5u Dallas -7 3.6u I didn't know if I would have time to post them, philly; I had to go run some errands.

hey thanks chili, i ran the numbers myself, but i mistakes and i'm really slow at it, but i'm gettin it a little

chilidog · 12-09-10, 10:56 PM

Just need temple to cover +5, and I'll have a perfect day

I was on kent state, temple, florida in cbb, and philly and dallas in the nba

chilidog · 12-09-10, 11:02 PM

wooohooo, 5-0 today, picking up +24.1 units

impper · 12-09-10, 11:16 PM

Originally posted by chilidog

wooohooo, 5-0 today, picking up +24.1 units

Same here chili, 6-0 on the day so far, I was on Xavier -1.5 for -110 since I figured the line would move (and it did). +21 units so far. I'm on Portland too so hopefully they don't ruin perfection

chilidog · 12-09-10, 11:23 PM

Awesome feeling, ain't it? +20 UNIT days are nothing short of amazing. To think that some people are ecstatic about getting +40-50 units for the season, and we can do half of that in a day.

impper · 12-09-10, 11:38 PM

Haha. I've had multiple +20, +25, +30 unit days, but then I've had a -20 unit day too haha. That's what I get for trying my "theories" with real money

impper · 12-09-10, 11:46 PM

Hey chil, I got some free play at Betus and I"m trying to think of some fun ways to use it. I know there's an optimal way to do it, but i think I'd rather take ML parlay shots and see how that goes. I was looking at parlays today, and a parlay with temple (won outright), philly (lost by 1) and portland (tie game going into half) would have paid out something like $700 on $50 bet. Definitely not outside the realm of possibility for a parlay like that to win. What do you think?

phillybadboy · 12-09-10, 11:51 PM

Originally posted by impper

Hey chil, I got some free play at Betus and I"m trying to think of some fun ways to use it. I know there's an optimal way to do it, but i think I'd rather take ML parlay shots and see how that goes. I was looking at parlays today, and a parlay with temple (won outright), philly (lost by 1) and portland (tie game going into half) would have paid out something like $700 on $50 bet. Definitely not outside the realm of possibility for a parlay like that to win. What do you think?

i got 3 gret bets for that bro, i already put these in myself, gearge stpiere - 400, amir khan -300, amri kahn vs maidana 0ver 9.5 rds -110

phillybadboy · 12-09-10, 11:52 PM

i ot one winner in nba sixers+8

chilidog · 12-09-10, 11:53 PM

Originally posted by phillybadboy

i got 3 gret bets for that bro, i already put these in myself, gearge stpiere - 400, amir khan -300, amri kahn vs maidana 0ver 9.5 rds -110

That will be a good fight night!

chilidog · 12-09-10, 11:54 PM

Originally posted by impper

Hey chil, I got some free play at Betus and I"m trying to think of some fun ways to use it. I know there's an optimal way to do it, but i think I'd rather take ML parlay shots and see how that goes. I was looking at parlays today, and a parlay with temple (won outright), philly (lost by 1) and portland (tie game going into half) would have paid out something like $700 on $50 bet. Definitely not outside the realm of possibility for a parlay like that to win. What do you think?

I think that MLs are definitely the way to go, since you can't use the free plays when you're buying points. ML parlays would be even better, just watch the line itself. I don't know betus' rules, but a lot of books don't let you use free plays on MLs greater than +200.

phillybadboy · 12-10-10, 12:55 AM

Originally posted by chilidog

That will be a good fight night!

r u a maidana fan cause you're near argentina

chilidog · 12-10-10, 01:04 AM

Originally posted by phillybadboy

r u a maidana fan cause you're near argentina

nah, i like st pierre

TheKevman · 12-10-10, 02:34 AM

What's up gents, been following this thread for a few weeks now (met impper on another forum and now we shoot the shit regularly) and started implementing this stuff the other day...two days deep and I'm having fun (and so is my miniscule- for now- bankroll)

All of the -110 play was freeplay stuff- I didn't know you could moneyline it, I tried earlier and it didn't give me the option

Thinking about moving the rest of my roll over to BetUS, just worried for the time being about payouts. I've talked to impper about this but I actually work with Gary Payton's older brother and joked about BetUS bankruptcy and having to break GP's knees

chilidog · 12-10-10, 08:07 AM

Originally posted by TheKevman

What's up gents, been following this thread for a few weeks now (met impper on another forum and now we shoot the shit regularly) and started implementing this stuff the other day...two days deep and I'm having fun (and so is my miniscule- for now- bankroll)

All of the -110 play was freeplay stuff- I didn't know you could moneyline it, I tried earlier and it didn't give me the option

Thinking about moving the rest of my roll over to BetUS, just worried for the time being about payouts. I've talked to impper about this but I actually work with Gary Payton's older brother and joked about BetUS bankruptcy and having to break GP's knees

That's awesome, Kev! Welcome to our little club here

jolmscheid · 12-10-10, 08:47 AM

HEY chili and imp I only was on philly and butler last nite which both won...but how come you guys had way more plays? You still only doing the -108+ lobby leans?

chilidog · 12-10-10, 09:10 AM

Originally posted by jolmscheid

HEY chili and imp I only was on philly and butler last nite which both won...but how come you guys had way more plays? You still only doing the -108+ lobby leans?

What time of day did you run the numbers? I ran mine around 11-11:30 yesterday

jolmscheid · 12-10-10, 11:30 AM

Really?? I thought you always ran your numbers at around 5 pm? I ran mine at 3:00

chilidog · 12-10-10, 11:40 AM

I ran the CBB numbers around 11am; I do the NBA around 5pm

incomeraise · 12-10-10, 11:48 AM

Originally posted by chilidog

Awesome feeling, ain't it? +20 UNIT days are nothing short of amazing. To think that some people are ecstatic about getting +40-50 units for the season, and we can do half of that in a day.

true thats good...but we also have to consider the fact that because we buy 3 points...our unit is actually smaller than theirs(FOR avoiding the bad swings as well...) like i used 6/unit at a certain time WITH THE system, whereas when i was just betting straith up...my units could have been anywhere around $30-40( so about 6-7 times bigger)....either way this system rocks...and as small as ur unit might be, u r going to make more money in the long run,i like it

jolmscheid · 12-10-10, 11:54 AM

I like it too incomeraise! And Chili...thanks for answering my question...I went 2-0 last night which is awesome, but would have loved to go 5-0 or 6-0 like you!!

chilidog · 12-10-10, 11:56 AM

Originally posted by incomeraise

true thats good...but we also have to consider the fact that because we buy 3 points...our unit is actually smaller than theirs(FOR avoiding the bad swings as well...) like i used 6/unit at a certain time WITH THE system, whereas when i was just betting straith up...my units could have been anywhere around $30-40( so about 6-7 times bigger)....either way this system rocks...and as small as ur unit might be, u r going to make more money in the long run,i like it

Well yah, that's true. Because of the amount of plays, and the juice involved with buying 3 points, we can't use the same unit size as we would with normal bets. But that's trivial, because as the system builds our bankroll, then our unit size will increase. Regardless, a unit is a unit. Whether you're betting $6 or $26 a unit, it's still a unit. Imagine when your bankroll is large enough where you're putting down like $25 or $50 a unit. Sheesh.

chilidog · 12-10-10, 11:58 AM

Originally posted by jolmscheid

I like it too incomeraise! And Chili...thanks for answering my question...I went 2-0 last night which is awesome, but would have loved to go 5-0 or 6-0 like you!!

Another winning day - gotta love it! Let's see what we can pull off today. We got 16 games total on the board today, let's bring in some more $$!

jolmscheid · 12-10-10, 11:58 AM

True dat Chili....and again, you are playing TO WIN your unit size right? Not RISKING your unit size?? And I am guessing you are using a 1% unit size and using impper's formula still?? Thanks Chili...

impper · 12-10-10, 12:05 PM

What's up Kev. Welcome to the thread...

jolm, I ran my numbers around 11:30 and got a play on six games. I ran my numbers again through the day and bet one more

jolmscheid · 12-10-10, 12:11 PM

Gotcha thanks imp....and imp I asked Chili already, but just want to make sure I am doing what I am doing is right....do you bet TO WIN 1% of your roll re-calculation DAILY and plugging your 1% unit into your formula? That is what I have been doing but just want to make sure that is the best way to do it longterm...thanks as always

chilidog · 12-10-10, 12:26 PM

Originally posted by jolmscheid

True dat Chili....and again, you are playing TO WIN your unit size right? Not RISKING your unit size?? And I am guessing you are using a 1% unit size and using impper's formula still?? Thanks Chili...

Yup, betting to win. Last week, after my 4 day losing streak, I did switch to betting to risk until I built my bankroll back up. It just makes more sense to bet to win, provided that you have the bankroll. Let's take yesterday's +20 unit win. Betting to risk would've only netting around +12 units for me (at -165). That's still awesome, of course, but you're leaving money on the table by doing that. I had no choice, though. My bankroll was getting dangerously low after sustaining 4 blows in a row, so yah, sometimes ya gotta what ya gotta do.

And yes, still using impper's awesome formula, but I've been using about 0.5% of my bankroll as a unit size. Kinda hard to do 1% on some days when you have like 30 bets going on.

pokerwhiz90 · 12-10-10, 12:59 PM

chili and impper? what games did you get?

Deedrik · 12-10-10, 01:02 PM

Hey guys, looking forward to your plays tonight! Been tailing since Monday!

impper · 12-10-10, 01:33 PM

Originally posted by jolmscheid

Gotcha thanks imp....and imp I asked Chili already, but just want to make sure I am doing what I am doing is right....do you bet TO WIN 1% of your roll re-calculation DAILY and plugging your 1% unit into your formula? That is what I have been doing but just want to make sure that is the best way to do it longterm...thanks as always

So far I have been betting to risk, but betting to win is better. Like chili I want to get more comfortable in my bankroll before betting to win

impper · 12-10-10, 01:38 PM

There are not very many good-looking games so far for me. Lines seem relatively efficient today. I'll update again in 30 minutes

If you can get them at your books:

Pacers -3
Wizards +6
Bulls +5
Warriros +12.5

Numbers are sensitive right now so don't play any of those unless you can get that number or better

jolmscheid · 12-10-10, 01:42 PM

Dang Impper I just placed my bets and I am on the HEAT -5.5....so hopefully we both are right on that one....I am also on:

Pistons +7

Santa Clara +5.5

Wyoming +6