Cheme82's CBB plays for November

[chilidog]

will you have any more plays today Chili?

Yah, I'll have more NBA later this afternoon.

Wow thanks so much for that info Chili...that is what I will do from now ON!!!! 10 AM all my plays will be ran using the -108 filter!!!

Keep in mind that this is just from 1 weeks' worth of testing, but it was definitive - 10am was the best, with 11am being right behind it. The results between 10am and 11am are so similar, but 10am was ahead by about +20 units.

What do you think about Providence -6?

It's one of my plays that I listed above - Providence -3 for 2.3 units.

I have also been playing around with NHL totals using the calculator and you can get edges if you use PINNY as the book you go off, and you can get some edges by placing the bets at Matchbook....don't know if that would contradict each other tho??

Anything is worth testing. I haven't focused on anything except for hoops.

[chilidog]

No play for me on the grizzlies/clippers game, so I'll update with tonight's NBA games before I have to leave.

[phillybadboy]

good afternoon guys,gona be a busy bettin day, i've been putting a ton of between basketball, boxing ,mma,

[jolmscheid]

I do like the earlier in the day betting because I think by that time the "sharps" have placed their bets and the "squares" have not yet....so then maybe we get the lines before the "squares" put 'em out of wack...maybe that's why it's better to bet earlier...

Anyways, I think betting earlier in the day works better for me anyways..

[ghost xx]

Providence is a nail biter

[ghost xx]

No nail biter.

What the hell was I talking about?

[impper]

Example....Pinny may have over 5.5 at -115 and under 5.5 at +105 and at Matchbook you could get the UNDER 5.5 at +110, which creates about a 1.1% edge in the calc....

What do you think impper and Chili...this is how I think Cheme did it for MLB too

This is a great idea jolm. When we're betting this system using pinny's numbers, we're running on the assumption that pinny is a more efficient market than our normal books. That is, pinny's lines are "sharp" and indicate a truer lean and a better line than the ones at our book. Well, when you're betting at matchbook, you're going against some random yahoo who put that line out there. When there's $10,000 on each side at matchbook there's a market going on, but much of the time it's just some individual out there somewher...

[jolmscheid]

Good point impper...I really think that is exactly what cheme does in MLB....he looks where he can get a better line on the TOTAL than Pinny, and plugs it in to the calc.....and you do the same thing with NHL....

So I KNOW we have basketball covered, and I THINK we have MLB and NHL covered now, so what about football and your teaser plays impper?? Could you let me and Chili know how we do that?

Then we would have ALL sports covered for this "edge" system!

[chilidog]

And here's my NBA plays for tonight:

NBA
Charlotte +10.5 5.6u
Houston -5 3.5u
Miami -6 4.4u

GL!!

[jolmscheid]

Well impper and Chili...I found 5 NHL totals tonight that would have our .75% or higher edges, so I will track them and get back to you guys in a week or so to see how it's doing...

Can't wait til we can figure something out for NFL, then we got all sports covered baby

[mrkron]

NBA plays are all of yours Chili but I found cleveland going the other way since i got an extra 1/2 point...BOL

[Gtownguy487]

I lost about 40 last night and i missed all the plays this morning and u didnt lose not a 1... Congrats and best of luck tonight guys wish i woulda been here sooner to catch that streak!!!

[GGZOLA]

chili, you posted dallas mavs and clevland earlier.
Did you take cleveland as well as hou for a middle?
And did u play dallas, thanks.

[impper]

Good point impper...I really think that is exactly what cheme does in MLB....he looks where he can get a better line on the TOTAL than Pinny, and plugs it in to the calc.....and you do the same thing with NHL....

So I KNOW we have basketball covered, and I THINK we have MLB and NHL covered now, so what about football and your teaser plays impper?? Could you let me and Chili know how we do that?

Then we would have ALL sports covered for this "edge" system!

I placed the teaser bets on Friday and earlier today Saturday. I'll report back how they go

20 units in play, all from my winnings on Thursday/Friday

[impper]

Man, I was up as much as 30 units yesterday but Golden St., WYoming, and a couple of other plays came to bite me in the ass late night. So I "only" gained 18 yesterday

[jolmscheid]

I'm running my plays at 11 like you Impper...I've been breaking even the last few days now...been placing my bets at around 3:00

[chilidog]

Alright, back from spending the afternoon with the in-laws. I see that I killed it in CBB, going 10-2, and picking up +19.5 units. Now let's see how NBA does, and hopefully it'll push me over a +20 unit day

[chilidog]

Well impper and Chili...I found 5 NHL totals tonight that would have our .75% or higher edges, so I will track them and get back to you guys in a week or so to see how it's doing...

Can't wait til we can figure something out for NFL, then we got all sports covered baby

Keep us posted on how that does; I'd be very interested in it.

NBA plays are all of yours Chili but I found cleveland going the other way since i got an extra 1/2 point...BOL

Well, I ended up taking both sides, so I'm hoping for a middle here. Cleveland was the play this morning, so I took it. Houston was the play right before I left, so I took it.

I lost about 40 last night and i missed all the plays this morning and u didnt lose not a 1... Congrats and best of luck tonight guys wish i woulda been here sooner to catch that streak!!!

Sorry that you caught me on a losing night But today has more than made up for it!

chili, you posted dallas mavs and clevland earlier.
Did you take cleveland as well as hou for a middle?
And did u play dallas, thanks.

Yup, I'm on dallas, cleveland, charlotte, houston, and miami. If I list a play twice, it's because I bet it twice. If I list both sides, then I'm playing both sides, because there's a big enough edge there, and hoping for a middle. They do hit pretty often.

Man, I was up as much as 30 units yesterday but Golden St., WYoming, and a couple of other plays came to bite me in the ass late night. So I "only" gained 18 yesterday

Yah, 'only' 18 units. Time to pack it up and quit gambling, lol.

I'm running my plays at 11 like you Impper...I've been breaking even the last few days now...been placing my bets at around 3:00

Yup, 10-11am seems to be working out very well for me.

[TheKevman]

I mean, I guess it's one of those things that will never quite go away entirely, but the amount of people coming in and just straight up asking for picks/amounts to wager is troubling.

I can't say it enough, and I guess degens won't read it anyways since they're like addicts looking for the "next fix(picks)" but it really, really, REALLY behooves you to read the thread in its entirety, plus some of the other Cheme threads listed on page 1.

Learning new theories/techniques/concepts can only help you become a more +EV bettor in the long run. So why be lazy and copy/paste everything that everyone else has done?

It's really nice to be able to do it for yourself, guys, and it's REALLY not that hard, especially since there are a lot of people here who are super cool and willing to answer even the "dumbest" of questions.

If I list a play twice, it's because I bet it twice. If I list both sides, then I'm playing both sides, because there's a big enough edge there, and hoping for a middle. They do hit pretty often.

Impper and I were talking about middling plays the other day. I should really start live tracking/back testing these because it really seems like there are some times where it could be optimal. It's totally anecdotal but it seems like plays between something like 5 up through 9 over the past few weeks that I've watched (where you're buying it down to 3 or up to 12) are prime candidates.

[chilidog]

I mean, I guess it's one of those things that will never quite go away entirely, but the amount of people coming in and just straight up asking for picks/amounts to wager is troubling.

I can't say it enough, and I guess degens won't read it anyways since they're like addicts looking for the "next fix(picks)" but it really, really, REALLY behooves you to read the thread in its entirety, plus some of the other Cheme threads listed on page 1.

Learning new theories/techniques/concepts can only help you become a more +EV bettor in the long run. So why be lazy and copy/paste everything that everyone else has done?

It's really nice to be able to do it for yourself, guys, and it's REALLY not that hard, especially since there are a lot of people here who are super cool and willing to answer even the "dumbest" of questions.

Very well said. But I think that it's going to fall on deaf ears. True, it's not hard to understand at all, and we've explained it rather thoroughly, step-by-step, in this thread. And people just don't seem to realize that my plays won't work for everybody. I put my bets in as I find the edge, and when I'm done, I post what I have. But what if my book is giving me a 1/2 point in a certain direction, and your book isn't? You might not have the edge anymore, and you just might lose the bet. It really is the best for people to learn how to do it themselves, combined with the lines that their book gives them.

[mrkron]

Its amazing how many bets just skim by the 1/2 point in either direction.

[chilidog]

damn it! NBA is gonna ruin my killer CBB day. fukkin idiots!! grrrrrrrrrrrr

[chilidog]

it all comes down to miami covering the -6 points. if they do, it's a profitable day for me. if they fukk up, then it's a losing day. how depressing. i'm on my 2nd captain and coke now, lol. grrrrrrr. i HATE going 10-2 in one sport, and a few of my bigger unit bets ruining my +20 unit day. mudderfukkers

[fennigan]

I hear you Chili. I had a great day in College too then I do the same thing I have been doing and bet the games with the edge in the NBA right before they start and BAM!! Day sucks. Whats weird is that the NBA has always been so consitent. I only lose one or two a night even on the days with a lot of games and today I lose 3 or 4. I stopped looking I was so frustrated. I gotta think its a fluke and do the same thing tomorrow.

[chilidog]

I hear you Chili. I had a great day in College too then I do the same thing I have been doing and bet the games with the edge in the NBA right before they start and BAM!! Day sucks. Whats weird is that the NBA has always been so consitent. I only lose one or two a night even on the days with a lot of games and today I lose 3 or 4. I stopped looking I was so frustrated. I gotta think its a fluke and do the same thing tomorrow.

Yup, exactly! NBA is incredibly consistent for me, doing it an hour or so before gametime. I did them 2 hours before today, but that's not usually a big deal. Charlotte was a bigger unit bet for me, so that hurt when they lost. Miami is looking really good right now, but we'll see.

I still don't know what I should do about doing NBA so early in the day. The days that I don't bet the NBA numbers around 11am, the plays do really good. The days that I actually bet them around 11, I end up losing. It's damn frustrating! CBB has become pretty consistent by doing them early, and NBA is very consistent doing them before gametime. I just HATE going from a +20 unit day down to maybe a +5 unit day. That blows. A lot.

[phillybadboy]

on a positive note fellas, i just won on amir khan 1xwinner, and over 9.5ds 1xwinner,
gsp 1x next, and also a parlay and a few others mma

[chilidog]

on a positive note fellas, i just won on amir khan 1xwinner, and over 9.5ds 1xwinner,
gsp 1x next, and also a parlay and a few others mma

GL! I have the miami game open in one window, and the gsp fight in another

[orlandito]

[COLOR=#000000 ! important]Providence is a nail biter[/COLOR]

[chilidog]

+2.4 unit profit today. Sucks ass. Better than a losing day, I know.

[phillybadboy]

on a positive note fellas, i just won on amir khan 1xwinner, and over 9.5ds 1xwinner, gsp 1x next, and also a parlay and a few others mma

khan 1x winner, gsp1x winner, parlay mma boxing winner, khan vs maidana over 9.5rounds 1x winner, great night of fights

[chilidog]

khan 1x winner, gsp1x winner, parlay mma boxing winner, khan vs maidana over 9.5rounds 1x winner, great night of fights

although the gsp fight was rather boring

[Gtownguy487]

I got 109 Bucks left what should my (1) unit be for tomorrow?

Im gonna tyr to be here early so i can catch some of these plays

[chilidog]

With that small of a bankroll, you're going to be having to bet the sportsbook's minimum bet, which is usually $5 (but typically you can bet to risk $5). I'm not around on sundays, because I go and watch the NFL games with some friends all day, but I'll have the CBB games posted. I've decided not to be the NBA at all, unless I'm going to be around 1-2 hours before gametime starts. Heh, watch the NBA picks hit tomorrow. They always seem to do that when I decide to lay off. It's just so up and down when I run the NBA numbers so early in the day. CBB is usually accurate when I do the numbers early, and NBA is also pretty accurate when I do them before gametime.

With just $109, and just keep in mind that I've had a few captain and cokes, heh, I would put nearly 100% of my bankroll into play each day (assuming this is already postup money, and you can afford to lose it). At least today was a winning day (although a very tiny winning day - still a winning day). It's up to you do the math and figure out what you want to set as your unit amount. We can't hold your hand for you.

I know that this system seems awesome, but keep in mind what we are really doing. As the original poster cheme says, we're buying $1 bills for 90-99 cents. So, you need a bankroll to play this. Otherwise, your bank is going to grow slowly.

[Gtownguy487]

So may i ask what your units are?

[chilidog]

So may i ask what your units are?

0.05% of my bankroll.