My NBA Picks Round 1.

H1Cypher · 03-01-12, 05:39 PM

Unofficial Play: Grant Hill under 12.5 points -125

No big science to this I'm getting a good price I think at -125 it's tough not to try the under here. Stats support the under, shots taken do not support the under... shots made kinda do considering how many times he has gone over this number. 9-4 in february going under 12.5. 2-1 in his last 3 though going over 12.5.

H1Cypher · 03-01-12, 06:22 PM

Damn someone really loves this Lebron James points + rebounds 33.5. I really liked it too immediately when I noticed it but it was -165 now it's -195. I need to start just start arbing most of these plays cause if you get to them early enough you can almost guarantee a small buck if you want to every time if you are good at anticipating the market.

H1Cypher · 03-01-12, 07:25 PM

I'm gonna try to get a live play if I can get a good idea of what the total of one teams score will be.

I like the Clippers to score first vs the Kings lol. Let's see how that goes feel free an fade for action ;p.

H1Cypher · 03-01-12, 08:29 PM

Unofficial Play: Under 49.5 first quarter OKC vs Magic. live in play

H1Cypher · 03-01-12, 08:41 PM

Originally posted by H1Cypher

Unofficial Play: Under 49.5 first quarter OKC vs Magic. live in play

Got that one off really fast also was a snap decision I had the score in my mind before they even put it up.

H1Cypher · 03-01-12, 08:45 PM

Going to pass on the 2nd quarter see how the subs play. If I see something during the 2nd quarter I'll try to put something up but going to be difficult I already have under 93.5 which is still ahead of their number that was just up right now at commercial but could very very easily lose.

H1Cypher · 03-01-12, 09:50 PM

Thinking about playing Blake Griffin over 11.5 rebounds Sacramento ranks in the bottom 3 in offensive and defensive rebounds allowed. Also Blake to score over 22.5 seems to be cashing so often him and Bynum both are machines.

H1Cypher · 03-01-12, 10:43 PM

Damn 1-1 on my unofficial plays today. Out of the picks I liked when I put up Hill: Durant over, Nash assists over, Howard points + rebounds over, Howard rebounds 14.5 under. I posted the safest play and that is the one that misses and all the rest would have hit.

H1Cypher · 03-01-12, 11:56 PM

Was not able to post for the Heat vs Portland game because the live in play totals that were put up every commercial break were too sharp. My plays would have gone 3/4(3 out of 4 correct) if i had posted 1 play at each commercial but each play would have only won or lost by 1 or 2 points. The numbers in the first game weren't sharp at all compared to what I was tracking.

H1Cypher · 03-02-12, 01:26 AM

Unofficial Play: Grant Hill under 12.5 points -125

Unofficial Play: Under 49.5 first quarter OKC vs Magic -115 live in play

Live in play continues to be successful. Grant Hill was unfortunate but for some reason I didn't feel good about it. Could have made almost any one of my other picks with more risk and they would have hit oh well. Leans go 1-1 today bringing the record to 15-10. Out of 64 picks that is 62% I am happy about that *gulp*.

Official Thread Record:
Props: 10-5 +4.1units Basketball Bets: 15-9 +4.96 units
Total for the thread: 25-14. +9.06 units
Leans/Unofficial Plays: 15-10 Units not tracked.

H1Cypher · 03-02-12, 10:52 AM

Too much clutter today. A couple public favorites win and the trolls on this forum go nuts with their threads.

It's worse than 2 months ago when the NBA just started.... I can't weed through anything now that the NBA is in full swing there's only a couple of people worth following. I find it funny how many people fall for dumb ass gimmicks cause they have no clue how to place wagers. Only person who is worth tailing is LTA the rest of these so called cappers on the NBA forum are.... fill in the blank.

H1Cypher · 03-02-12, 11:27 AM

It's sad how many people on this forum give out false information. They just wanna bury others cause they are broke too. Man people have no shame. Misery does love company.

H1Cypher · 03-03-12, 08:23 AM

Didn't care to come and put up my picks. Maybe on Saturday. In a good mood just takes more effort than I care to to put up my plays every day. You'd think a 60%+ hitter would get a couple more views but I gotta create a dumb ass thread, nothing constructive on this website. Clippers hit the live in plays again. Whoop!

H1Cypher · 03-07-12, 06:54 PM

Moment I stop posting my props I go on a 4-1 prop run. Nothing I like today prop wise. Haven't been good with pre game bets lately but my live in play have been on target.

Official Basketball Bet: Phoenix Suns at OKC Thunder -5.5 1st half -115 to win: .5 units
Official Basketball Bet: Los Angeles Lakers -2 1st Quarter at Wizards -110 to win: .5 units

Official Thread Record:
Props: 10-5 +4.1units Basketball Bets: 15-9 +4.96 units
Total for the thread: 25-14. +9.06 units
Leans/Unofficial Plays: 15-10 Units not tracked.

H1Cypher · 03-07-12, 10:43 PM

Official Basketball Bet: Phoenix Suns at OKC Thunder -5.5 1st half -115 to win: .5 units

Official Basketball Bet: Los Angeles Lakers -2 1st Quarter at Wizards -110 to win: .5 units

1-1 on official plays. -.75 units. OKC comes back covers the original total of 9.5 winning by 11(they were down at halftime). They also cover the adjusted spread bet at halftime.

Official Thread Record:
Props: 10-5 +4.1units Basketball Bets: 16-10 +4.21 units
Total for the thread: 26-15. +8.31 units
Leans/Unofficial Plays: 15-10 Units not tracked.

H1Cypher · 03-08-12, 01:31 AM

My live in play totals are insanely accurate lately I haven't had a losing week in live in plays in 3 weeks. If I posted all my live in plays the bookmaker would have to adjust how they set the lines or not post them up anymore that is how high % I've been hitting. I am waiting for it to cool down, and have been waiting for 2 weeks.

I got the screenies as proof. It's unnatural how accurate I've been. Must stop betting on everything else except for live in play.

H1Cypher · 03-08-12, 03:57 PM

Just woke up with less than 6 hours of sleep and a hangover. Went 2/2 in NCAA live in play ball 2 minutes later in 2 separate games. Live in play is tooo soft!

Kansas and texas A n M under first half live in play under

Cincy team total under.

H1Cypher · 03-08-12, 05:02 PM

Originally posted by H1Cypher

Just woke up with less than 6 hours of sleep and a hangover. Went 2/2 in NCAA live in play ball 2 minutes later in 2 separate games. Live in play is tooo soft!

Kansas and texas A n M under first half live in play under

Cincy team total under.

Both of those lost of course. Could not fade OT in the 2nd game. That's why I try to not be cocky bites you more often than not, but with these live in plays. Managed to salvage with some other live in play stuff. Still pretty damn soft Over 140.5 in the 2nd OT. Missed most of the first half of all these games too.

H1Cypher · 03-08-12, 09:48 PM

Unofficial Live in Play: Chicago Bulls -120 over Magic

I almost exclusively stick to totals but it looks like a good price the way the game is going.

H1Cypher · 03-08-12, 10:24 PM

Bought out of the -120 and kept the +175 I also have on the Bulls to win. Not sure what to do with the record though.

H1Cypher · 03-08-12, 10:26 PM

Right after I took -120 Bulls took the lead for less than 30 seconds lol. Then nexxt line was +280, then +175, and then +105 which is when I bought out of the -120. The original bet I did like though- that was the only time in the game the Bulls head the lead right after I made the bet so what ever I saw I still think it was the right bet at that time.

H1Cypher · 03-08-12, 10:33 PM

Magic now +130. Didn't get a track of the total in this game except for Orlando Magic over in the first half was an easy call. I always struggle with live in play totals when the Bulls are playing.

H1Cypher · 03-08-12, 10:46 PM

Unofficial Live in Play: Chicago Bulls -120 over Magic

Even bought out of the +175 when I saw +190 with Bulls up 2. 2 point game with 2 minutes to go. I knew there was a reason I stick to totals. However, the fair thing is to grade it as a loss on the record. 15-10 taking the record to 15-11.

Official Thread Record:
Props: 10-5 +4.1units Basketball Bets: 16-10 +4.21 units
Total for the thread: 26-15. +8.31 units
Leans/Unofficial Plays: 15-11 Units not tracked.

H1Cypher · 03-17-12, 01:24 AM

Murdering these live in play totals. Been engrossed with the madness that is march, lol. Wish I knew I would be running godly hot I would have bet more. Just started doing live in play NCAA games a couple weeks ago- but I've taken to it light in a bulb. Only trick is to not get over confident... I can regularly go on 3-0 or 4-0 runs and simply lose focus for the last game.... and just don't bother checking all the dots before I make the live wager. Just gotta make sure I stay focused like at the beginning of the day and it keeps rolling. Great thing about college teams is they are more predictable than NBA teams. Also I stick strictly to totals- only betting spreads if it is a huge dog- that has no plans of laying down. Its great cause the favorite gets over valued even going into halftime down for the game. Lots of situations where you can scale the edge in your favor- and you just gotta fade the bad beat.

H1Cypher · 03-17-12, 12:10 PM

Bink! Under 58.5(-115), Under 60.5(+105, -115, -130 and -160 huge movement at the last commercial), Under 61.5 -110 Kansas vs Syracuse. I apologize if it is not in good taste to post winners after they have been played but it is my thread after all.

Edit:
Just a tip never bite on team totals too early in the game unless you feel the team cannot sustain that scoring and you are going under. Like I bit on over 30.5 Kansas when they were off to a red hot start- and got burned. Luckily that was 1x and the total for half was 3x.

H1Cypher · 03-17-12, 12:42 PM

5 minutes into the 2nd half is usually a no play for me unless I have very good lock on the score. Pace can easily to change midway through the 2nd half and there's no reason to lock anything now.

H1Cypher · 03-17-12, 01:22 PM

Am I the only one who loves the fouling at the end? Not being sarcastic I really love this aspect of college ball.

H1Cypher · 03-17-12, 01:29 PM

These are the games that make me feel like pretty good but disappointed I'm still underbetting. Nailed the team total for both teams and the total for the game + the first half total.

H1Cypher · 03-17-12, 01:47 PM

Official Play Prop Samuel Dalembert Rebounds over 7.5 -115 to win .5 units

Dalembert career averages are 8.3. He is an able rebounder. Rockets are short handed, he will hopefully play big minutes. He is starting and if he plays big minutes with a thin front court he can go over here. 3-2 in his last 5 over this number. Not such a good stat but in his last 8 games in march when he plays over 30 minutes he is 5-1 going over 7.5. Makes this a good bet.

Official Thread Record:
Props: 10-5 +4.1units Basketball Bets: 16-10 +4.21 units
Total for the thread: 26-15. +8.31 units
Leans/Unofficial Plays: 15-11 Units not tracked.

H1Cypher · 03-17-12, 01:53 PM

He is 9-1 on the season when he plays over 30 minutes going over 7.5. Just looked at the entire season to see.

H1Cypher · 03-17-12, 04:59 PM

Originally posted by H1Cypher

Official Play Prop Samuel Dalembert Rebounds over 7.5 -115 to win .5 units

Dalembert career averages are 8.3. He is an able rebounder. Rockets are short handed, he will hopefully play big minutes. He is starting and if he plays big minutes with a thin front court he can go over here. 3-2 in his last 5 over this number. Not such a good stat but in his last 8 games in march when he plays over 30 minutes he is 5-1 going over 7.5. Makes this a good bet.

Official Thread Record:
Props: 10-5 +4.1units Basketball Bets: 16-10 +4.21 units
Total for the thread: 26-15. +8.31 units
Leans/Unofficial Plays: 15-11 Units not tracked.

Mchale subs him out early in the third. And then he gets 3 quick fouls in the 4th. Under 30 minues 6 rebounds. 5 boards in 15:41 minutes and then nothing after that. I don't know who to blame was well on pace, oh well if that's not unlucky then what is.

Official Thread Record:
Props: 10-6 +3.525units Basketball Bets: 16-10 +4.21 units
Total for the thread: 26-11. +7.735 units
Leans/Unofficial Plays: 15-11 Units not tracked.

H1Cypher · 03-17-12, 08:38 PM

My book stopped putting up halftime lines and they won't put up the team total for Kentucky. Pussy ass bookmakers try their best to make you flip a coin.

H1Cypher · 03-17-12, 10:01 PM

Baylor team total over is cash. Sprinkled something on the over for both teams also. Argh, Colorado is killing me. No one wants to take the shot. Down 15 with 2 minutes to go, why are you playing straight up defense? Foul or force turn overs or just go home. Smart teams start going for steals and full court press here. Why are you still playing straight up half court D down 15? I could care less about my bet- but some of these teams are stupid. What did your coach teach you to do down 15? Go to the locker room if you're gonna give up otherwise lets start playing with pride, heart... playing for the over.

Oh look full court pressure and a turn over and a conversion for Colorado what do ya know.

H1Cypher · 03-18-12, 02:55 PM

Lol I notice something about Griffin- he is either a semi tool jock, oblivious, or an ass. He just drills this lady in the game. Most players apologize- he just gets up and walks away like nothing. Just funny. Mo Williams went over to joke with her. Not a big deal I just think he is just kinda toolish. Cause he plays hard when he doesn't have to at the risk of injury, and then sometimes looks tired. Also fouls at the end of games regularly for absolutely no reason.

H1Cypher · 03-18-12, 08:05 PM

What the hell. No quarter live lines today. No half time live in play lines today unless its still early in the game. Make me wait until the end of the game to place my bet and its not hurting me at all. But now I gotta sit through 1 game for just 1 or 2 bets instead of like 3-5 bets per game. Don't they want my action. Put up the live quarter and halftime lines you pussies.

Tip:

They line for the game 177.5 for Heat means nothing going into the 4th it's just the 4th quarter line(maybe slightly adjusted). unless you are sure 4th quarter goes over- just wait another couple minutes ot place the bet on the score IN the 4th quarter. unless you are worried total will go to a number you can't cap.

I'm just pissed I had the totals accurate for each quarter 1, 2, and 3... but they didn't put up any live lines.