My NBA Picks Round 1.

**H1Cypher** · 02-04-12, 12:37 AM

Is a Denver player actually complaining about his foot not being on the line. Homers

**H1Cypher** · 02-04-12, 12:52 AM

The referee from 2 feet away thought Matt barnes hit him.....

that is one of the worse calls in the history of the NBA. Barnes elbow was a foot away from Fernandez- this european \*\*\*\*\*\* cocks his head back like hes giving head out of thailand...
and the refs call it. Replay shows an obvious flop- no contact but rudy somehow falls from the invisible elbow while the ref is staring at both players.

**H1Cypher** · 02-04-12, 01:04 AM

Look at Kobe up Bynums butt right now after the timeout(he's giving him props). Both are kinda cut from that Ball hog mold(Bynum is the black hole he doesn't pass often). Which I'm okay with once Kobe leaves the NBA it's gonna be not as fun. Him and Nash are both unreplaceable for me.

I remember when he wanted Bynum out for Kidd.

**H1Cypher** · 02-04-12, 01:28 AM

Both frontcourt players went over, only put one of them up as an official pick or lean. Kobe didn't go over, had a bad day dished it more(I wanted to take the points + assists sand I would have but 5dimes didn't put it up for this game

). Lakers won didn't post that either.

Recap of the day on posted Official or Unofficial Plays:

Official Play: Andrew Bynum points + rebounds over 28 +120 to win .5units

Official Play:Kobe Bryant 29.5 points over -135(it was at like -115 earlier shoulda bet it then props fluctutate fast grrr) to win: .5 units

Official Play: Prop Carmelo Anthony OVER 6 rebounds vs Celticcs -120 risking .6 units to win .5

Unofficial play: Ty Lawson points +assists over 20 -140

Leans/Unofficial Play: Carmelo Anthony 25.5 points Over +100.

Total for the day is 1-2 on Official Plays. 2-0 on Leans/Unofficial Plays. Pretty much been batting .500 lately on my posted picks. Total loss: -.575 units

Leans/Unofficial Plays were 2-0. Lean Units not tracked.

Official Thread Record:
Props: 6-3 +2.475units Basketball Bets: 14-8 +5.00 units
Total for the thread: 20-12. +7.475 units
Leans/Unofficial Plays: 6-3 Units not tracked.

I adjusted the odds for Bynum when I got it it was +120, when I posted I was looking at the wager menu and not my actual bet right after m y bet went to +115. Wish I had also posted the over on Gasol points + rebounds oh well.

**H1Cypher** · 02-04-12, 02:48 PM

Just messing around with these 1st period totals in the NHL. Betting very small. I'm such good fade material- at one point I was incorrect on 7 first periods in a row. I've yet to win more than 10 first periods and am wrong well over 20 times by now.

I just bet on all 3 favorites(canadiens, bruins, and penguins) to win their first periods and all lost. That is 0-3 yesterday I went 0-4.... LOL!!!!!!!!!!

Not mad cause I'm not losing money(well im not losing alot)- but how do I go about fading myself? I've been doing it for weeks now- occasionally I'll throw in a bigger bet somewhere in there to get my losses back.

I got the Canucks to win the first period next. Let's see if I can go 0-4.

**iam5011** · 02-04-12, 02:55 PM

Today I am doing a four team parlay with the Thunder, Mavericks, Clippers and Knicks.. How do you guys like my chances? 100 risk to win 472. Also I made a little bet on the side playing the ML on the Canucks beating the Avalanche

**H1Cypher** · 02-04-12, 04:48 PM

Originally posted by iam5011

Today I am doing a four team parlay with the Thunder, Mavericks, Clippers and Knicks.. How do you guys like my chances? 100 risk to win 472. Also I made a little bet on the side playing the ML on the Canucks beating the Avalanche

Whats wrong with it: It's a four teamer =p. Clippers haven't been on the road much, but I like them to win and I think Chris Paul is putting his mental imprint on this team. Alot of veteran player- but in the end the NBA is a make or miss league. If Durant has an off night Spurs could win. Any of these four teams can have a bad shooting night.

Don't you think 3 road teams is risky for a parlay?

**H1Cypher** · 02-04-12, 04:51 PM

I haven't really looked at the card nothing I like a whole lot. And I'll be doing watching this UFC event once it begins.

Parlaying fights is risky since one punch can **** it all up. Fighters I like to throw into parlays: Matt Riddle and Josh Koscheck. Riddle cause he may be a mediocre fighter... but he is still a fighter. Even if he punches the air he shouldn't have trouble hitting his opponent who fights at 145-155... not 170. Riddle is a huge 170 pounder. I think the size advantage is gonna be huge in this fight. Hernandez is gonna have to pull something out of his bag to win this. I don't usually weigh size as a major factor unless both guys are equally skilled, and I feel this is the case... and the size difference in this fight is one of the biggest I've ever seen. Also his opponent took the fight on short notice- so his cardio is in question since he didn't get a full training camp in. Riddle has solid cardio. Riddle is now -380 solid pick for a parlay.

Josh Koscheck -220 opened now at -260. I really like Koscheck over his opponent. Kos pretty much does everything better than his opponent Pierce who has come up short both times he has stepped up in competition with losses to Johny hendricks, and Jon Fitch. Kos is just as big if not bigger step up for Pierce.

www.bestfightodds.com if you wanna check out the odds movement on all the online books.

**H1Cypher** · 02-04-12, 05:05 PM

Fight to stay away from: Nick Diaz vs Carlos Condit

I bet on Diaz against BJ Penn when he was +120 now he is fighting Condit. he is riding a massive hype train right now- and there is no way Condit should be +170 for this fight. Diaz is over valued. With that said for this event I would feel most nervous betting against Diaz but Condit at +170 is very hard.

Diaz is always prone to losing a fight. Hell a cut could easily open up his eye and the fight would end in a doctor stoppage(Diaz cuts easy). Condit is a tough guy who will take him into deep waters. There is absolutely no way this fight shouldn't be closer. Diaz is the type of cardio machine with his slap punching can make me look very dumb in the 3rd round. But Diaz is clearly overvalued in this fight. Clearly.

**iam5011** · 02-04-12, 06:34 PM

Originally posted by H1Cypher

Whats wrong with it: It's a four teamer =p. Clippers haven't been on the road much, but I like them to win and I think Chris Paul is putting his mental imprint on this team. Alot of veteran player- but in the end the NBA is a make or miss league. If Durant has an off night Spurs could win. Any of these four teams can have a bad shooting night.

Don't you think 3 road teams is risky for a parlay?

It is absolutely risky but I like the 3 road teams chances given their opponents.. OKC was the wild card and I picked them because I wanted an underdog in my parlay that I thought had the best chance to win. Hopefully I can pull it off but if not its not the end of the world, but I do like my chances despite the big risk

**H1Cypher** · 02-04-12, 07:55 PM

Guys I like to get the upset Clifford Starks and Scott Jorgensen. Already hit Scotty when he went up to +220. Shoulda got on Starks thought he'd be even more of a dog right before the fight, was wrong.

**H1Cypher** · 02-04-12, 08:21 PM

Riddle still fancies himself a striker even though it's obviously not his game. Kissing this parlay goodbye. Wow, not adjusting his gameplan.... just losing. This guy has been mentally broken for over a year now. You'd think he'd fight harder for his UFC career against a guy he should soundly beat but he is not only is losing the fight but he doesn't realize he is losing the fight.

Koscheck parlay still alive. But man Riddle really didn't come to get it against this dude.

**H1Cypher** · 02-04-12, 08:25 PM

Gets the 1 takedown he attempted against his clearly smaller opponent. This guy is killing me

Where was this in round 1?

2 for 2 in takedowns where was one of these in round 1 or 2? Man Matt you're killin me......

Riddle had all the traits I described against this 155 pound Hernandez but didn't show any of them in the fight. If you have a much better gas tank than your opponent you push the pace from the onset of the fight you twit.

Why did you finally decide to get aggressive at the end of the 2nd round. 2nd round was close though... maybe we can get a favorable decision. 3rd round was by far the most dominant round of the 3- which Riddle won.

**H1Cypher** · 02-04-12, 08:30 PM

Riddle is luckier than me- that 2nd round was so ******* close. He is so lucky his opponent gassed. Live to fight another day ol'boy.

**H1Cypher** · 02-04-12, 09:14 PM

My bets never come easy- close fight. Got money on Edwin when he is mounting offense he gets it in the balls for the 2nd time in this fight. Herb should take a point at the very least- wonder what will happen here. If Herb doesn't deduct a point(assuming it isn't a DQ right now) it will be a travesty for Figs.

I've always thought this would be great offense- you always get a free lowblow. Sometimes if the ref is dogshit you get 2 lowblows. Herb usually takes away points if he doesn't do it here- it'll be interesting. Considering he usually does, bad luck for me.

Figs could have taken the DQ(though I would never expect a fighter to go out like that, some do though)... right after the action starts no mobility for Figueroa.

**H1Cypher** · 02-04-12, 09:20 PM

At least Figs has recovered some of his mobility. Anyone that watched the Mcdonald Figueroa fight is an idiot if they thought Caceras was going to be able to finish this guy. Bruce Leroy is gonna get knocked out soon he fancies himself a karate kickboxer.... and he really isn't. By soon I mean the next time he faces a striker with decent power.

Only round you can give to Figs is the first. Depends on what you value more striking + nearly finishing your opponent vs recovery and ground control. If Figs won the 1st round there is a good chance this is a draw. Do the judges go back and edit previous rounds or tally all at once... the way some of these scores come out I wouldn't be surprised if they just fill in the blanks at the end once they pick who won.

**H1Cypher** · 02-04-12, 09:29 PM

FoTN material especially since Dana likes Leeroy and prolly thinks he won(which he did if you don't count the deductions). Gonna be hard to top this for FoTN. Condit and Diaz has a great chance lol.

**H1Cypher** · 02-04-12, 09:41 PM

Poirier inside distance cash it! Damn hopefully max is okay- he should have tapped earlier. Great stand up just work on the ground game.

I was gonna take Poirier by sub but didn't =/.

**H1Cypher** · 02-04-12, 09:43 PM

If Jorgensen can pull out the upset it would be pretty awesome right now. +200 is still a good price considering the match up. Barao has looked like an absolute killer and is coming out of Nova Unaio which is Aldo's camp(and they've been producing some killers)- so the price is probably as it should be some would say.

As far as match ups go I think it is a good match up Scott is a good wrestler and a gritty guy.. I think he can win this fight. As far as +200 dogs go you won't find many dogs with this much bite in other sports.

**H1Cypher** · 02-04-12, 09:48 PM

Thus far no upsets and the 3 I predicted most possible are coming up. Starks and Jorgensen I give them a great shot I'd call it evevn but we'll see after the fight starts(for Jorgensen vs Barao).

**H1Cypher** · 02-04-12, 10:13 PM

Let's do it Starks like Greg Jackson said to GSP many years ago If they're booing you're winning.

**H1Cypher** · 02-04-12, 10:19 PM

Herman always comes out on fire. I'm hoping Starks takess him into deep waters and usess his superior wrestling while avoiding subs.

**H1Cypher** · 02-04-12, 10:26 PM

Right when he got the trip I knew it was lights out. Oh well it was a value play for me.

**H1Cypher** · 02-04-12, 10:43 PM

Looking like it is going to be a difficult night for Scotty.

**H1Cypher** · 02-04-12, 10:56 PM

Barao implemented his gameplan. Wish it was more entertaining of a fight though. When my guy is losing at least hopefully the fight won't be a snooze but meh. 0/2 on the dogs tonight. So far it is a clean sweep for all the favorites.

**H1Cypher** · 02-05-12, 12:52 AM

Didn't wanna jinx Condit by saying it out loud but I had a feeling he would play spoiler. I think the books made money on Condit. Also- everyone in the world seemed to be begging for Diaz GSP- someone had to say wait a minute.

**H1Cypher** · 02-05-12, 12:56 AM

lol Diaz thinks he is Marvin ******* Hagler retiring cause of that decision. Look at your face boss hog. He frustrated you and beat you with a great strategy. Diaz will be back and he'll fight GSP I'm sure of it- this fight was too close. After GSP returns and Condit loses to him- the fans will be begging for this fight and it will happen. Put GSP and Anderson on the never will happen(though i didn't think it ever would).

Back to the NBA on monday.

**H1Cypher** · 02-05-12, 01:45 AM

Lol Dana compared it to Hagler Hearns at the post fight just now what wave length am I on

lol bet Koscheck is praying that GSP is out so he can step in.

**H1Cypher** · 02-07-12, 05:29 PM

Making significantly larger wagers on NHL my online bankroll couldn't handle a double loss in both sports so sticking to the NHL.

**H1Cypher** · 02-07-12, 10:27 PM

I'll get into my NHL bets once the wager is officially over pretty paranoid about talking while the wager is still running it's route ESPECIALLY if it's looking good then my mouth stays shut until it ends.

Unofficial Play/Lean: 104.5 1st Half Under OKC Thunder vs GS Warriors

**H1Cypher** · 02-07-12, 11:11 PM

Had 400 on the grand salami under. Was really confident about the pick, but then I decided to throw another 300 on the Flyers + 40 in parlays. Lost all the parlays(cause the Flyers were in them) and lost the Flyers game. Killed all my profits from the Grand Salami. I was tracking the Salami for weeks now it was a perfect moment to bet under. Didn't want to post the bet since I'm very new to hockey watching- evevn though I'm sure no one would have tailed just didn't wanna give out my newb NHL picks.

**H1Cypher** · 02-07-12, 11:15 PM

1 minute into the 2nd quarter I'm gonna go ahead and

this ticket cause it's already ash. Done with burned over. May have a halftime lean.

**H1Cypher** · 02-07-12, 11:58 PM

Unofficial Lean/PLay: 2nd Half Over 103 For OKC and GSW game

It opened at 104... waited for it to be bought down. I wanted to bet under also, both teams are not playing defense... and the over is more likely. Fading the popular play and going over.

**H1Cypher** · 02-08-12, 12:41 AM

As a huge Laker fan.... I can say this is what it use to be like watching the Lakers until this year. The best team in the league gets the best call from the best refs in the league.

I feel bad for any GSW backers getting it up the rear from these refs. Lol announcers said it perfectly it would be wonderful to see the players decide this game.

**H1Cypher** · 02-08-12, 01:38 AM

1-1 on the Leans/Unofficial Plays. Units not tracked. From 6-3 to 7-4.
Official Thread Record:
Props: 6-3 +2.475units Basketball Bets: 14-8 +5.00 units
Total for the thread: 20-11. +7.475 units
Leans/Unofficial Plays: 7-4 Units not tracked.