My NBA Picks Round 1.

[CallMeMrOMac]

Silly facts for tonight...

Kobe and the Lakers are 0-2 against LeBron and the Heat.

LeBron James scored 41 points on 1/27/08, the high single game total for either.

Neither Kobe nor LeBron have ever fouled out in the 15 games between them.

Kobe and LeBron have both had 12 assists in a single game between them. Kobe on 1/29/09. LeBron on 2/8/09.

Kobe has had six 30 point games in the 15 games they've played. LeBron has had four.

LeBron had a 13 rebound game on 1/13/05. Kobe had a 12 rebound game on 1/27/08.

LeBron attempted 22 free throws (18 for 22) on 2/15/07. Kobe attempted 18 (13 for 18) on 1/27/08.

LeBron hit 5 three-pointers on 12/25/10. Kobe hit 4 of them on 3/10/11.

[H1Cypher]

Silly facts for tonight... Kobe and the Lakers are 0-2 against LeBron and the Heat. LeBron James scored 41 points on 1/27/08, the high single game total for either. Neither Kobe nor LeBron have ever fouled out in the 15 games between them. Kobe and LeBron have both had 12 assists in a single game between them. Kobe on 1/29/09. LeBron on 2/8/09. Kobe has had six 30 point games in the 15 games they've played. LeBron has had four. LeBron had a 13 rebound game on 1/13/05. Kobe had a 12 rebound game on 1/27/08. LeBron attempted 22 free throws (18 for 22) on 2/15/07. Kobe attempted 18 (13 for 18) on 1/27/08. LeBron hit 5 three-pointers on 12/25/10. Kobe hit 4 of them on 3/10/11.

Where did ya pull those stats? Would like to browse around.

Also- I noticed right before the game there was alot of money on the Philly and Islander game to go under- causing the the odds to swing and alot more money came in for the under late. Any thoughts on this? Game has already started but just wondering. Gonna go post this question in the hockey forum as well.

[H1Cypher]

Official play for today is: Lakers +1.5 in the 1st quarter. -105 to win: 1 unit.

Props: 4-1 +2.55 Basketball Bets: 8-1 +6.65 units
Leans: 3-1 Units not tracked. Total for the thread: 15-3.

May have live play lean during the game. I also noticed Lakers to score 10 points first was +115. I think there is value in that bet not neccesarily a winner but definitely value.

[H1Cypher]

Play on January 19 was a loss bringing the record to:

Props: 4-1 +2.55 Basketball Bets: 8-2 +5.60 units
Leans: 3-1 Units not tracked. Total for the thread: 15-4.

May have live play lean during the game. I also noticed Lakers to score 10 points first was +115. I think there is value in that bet not neccesarily a winner but definitely value.

So far my max bets have been 1 unit- so considering that I'm doing better than most people. Also I'm betting more than 1 unit in actuality- more concerned with the record than the units i play or make in the thread. But having larger + units would make me feel good too =p.

Reason I wasn't posting was there were too many events to bet on. Didn't have time to place bets, cap games, then figure out which bet I like the most to post here. Today there aren't many sports so let's see what I can do.

Going to try something different for today.

First Official play for the day: New York Knicks to win the 1st quarter -130. Risking .65 units to win .5 units.

[H1Cypher]

First bet I am 50/50 about. More value in the Cavs and even the stats favor the Cavs but I just got a hunch. Also the small units play(betting small in real life) also makes me fine with it.

[H1Cypher]

2nd Official Play: -2.5 Miami Heat 1st Quarter -120 To win: .5 units
3rd official play: Miami Heat to win 1st Quarter straight up -190 to win: 1 unit

[H1Cypher]

Unofficial play: Houston Rockets -1 -115 for 1st quarter. 6 minutes till the game starts.

[H1Cypher]

See- had I bet based on the stats... and on my head... rather than this 'hunch' I would be 3-0 Knicks did tie it up in the 2nd quarter. That's the risk of betting the 1st but oh well..... had I won I'd just not say anything. What should I have done there... prolly went with the value right?

Record for today: 2-1 +.85 units for the day

Official Thread Record:

Props: 4-1 +2.55 Basketball Bets: 10-3 +6.45 units
Leans: 3-1 Units not tracked. Total for the thread: 15-4.

Have never bet to win more than 1 unit thus far- that is why the + units are so small compared to the actual record.

Lean play is dead Bucks up 12-0

Official Thread Record:
Props: 4-1 +2.55 Basketball Bets: 10-3 +6.45 units
Total for the thread: 15-4.
Leans: 3-2 Units not tracked.

[H1Cypher]

Most of my plays are before the game. Also I needed to pick a better title for this thread barely getting any reads. With a record like this and a catchy title I'd have more views

Record is deserving of more attention. But title of the thread is worthless lol.

Oh typo Official Thread Record: 14-4.

[H1Cypher]

Oh and if you think that who to score first prop is luck and not part of the official record(first bet I made of the thread). I'm 5-0 on that prop, lucky 5 times apparently. Yes the bets have been small everytime- cause well shit I don't want to get unlucky =p.

[H1Cypher]

Ended up betting the Clippers +1 for the 1st quarter. They were up 19-9 now tied 23-23. very normal in the NBA... just wish it happened Rockets vs Bucks. Hopefully Clips can at least keep it close for the remainder of the quarter. Not gonna add this to the record.

Just mentioning a loss I'm about to take since I always seem to be talking about my wins.

[H1Cypher]

27-25 Clippers. Reverse Jinx no can defend?

I don't believe in it fails on me all the time =p.

[H1Cypher]

That may have sounded confusing Clips did win the quarter 27-25.

Was going to take the over for the first half too.... but the line went down 3 minutes before the game started =/. Not tracking any of this stuff- only tracking the official and unofficial plays.

Only two games tomorrow I might have a live play official play during the game if I see something but most likely not. Even so it'll only be up momentarily.

Official Thread Record:
Props: 4-1 +2.55 Basketball Bets: 10-3 +6.45 units
Total for the thread: 14-4.
Leans/Unofficial Plays: 3-2 Units not tracked.

[H1Cypher]

Going to try what I did yesterday again today. Might make more than 1 pick. As usual picks are 5 to 20 minutes before tip off.

First Official Play: 76ers -4.5 for 1st quarter -125 To win: .5 units

[H1Cypher]

2nd Official Play: Atlanta Hawks -1.5 -120 risking .60 to win .50 units

5 minutes before tip.

[H1Cypher]

Philly hits that 1-0

Hopefully Hawks won't crumble.

[H1Cypher]

1-1 today. -0.1units for the day will update official record once day ends

3rd Official Play for the day: Denver Nuggets -4 1st quarter -125 risking .625 to win .5 units.

[H1Cypher]

2-1 +.4 units for the day didn't bet to win big units though but the record is good enough.


Have a Lean for the Next game:
Leans/Unofficial Plays: -5.5 Portland for First Half -110

Official Thread Record:
Props: 4-1 +2.55 Basketball Bets: 12-4 +6.85 units
Total for the thread: 16-5.
Leans/Unofficial Plays: 3-2 Units not tracked.

[H1Cypher]

Was going to set it as an official play I see the Suns getting blown out sometime in the first half. Not sure if it happens in the 1st or the 2nd. Could easily be wrong. Didn't want to blemish the days official record. If I'm wrong that'll bring my unofficial plays to 3-3 for the thread.

[H1Cypher]

Not one congratulatory high five, lol... this thread title is seriously killing me and I'm too stubborn to start a new one.

Need to make one of those I'm 16-5 going on 17-5 threads lol.

[H1Cypher]

1-0 Lean Not tracking Units bringing Official Thread Record to:

Official Thread Record:
Props: 4-1 +2.55 Basketball Bets: 12-4 +6.85 units
Total for the thread: 16-5.
Leans/Unofficial Plays: 4-2 Units not tracked.

I wanted to post +3 Suns 1st quarter and -5.5 Blazers. But then I would look like an idiot I am sure and even more stupid if I lost both bets and still very stupid had I gone 1 for 2- I passed on +3 suns 1st quarter went with -5.5 blazers 1st half. Both hit- game went exactly how I thought it would. Lucky.

[H1Cypher]

Yesterday Official Plays went 2-1 Unofficial plays/Leans went 1-0.
Yesterdays overall record(jan 27): 3-1

Official Thread Record:
Props: 4-1 +2.55 Basketball Bets: 12-4 +6.85 units
Total for the thread: 16-5.
Leans/Unofficial Plays: 4-2 Units not tracked.

Might have some games today. UFC is on so I may not have time to post my NBA picks. As usual they will be 5 minutes to half hour before tip.

[H1Cypher]

First Official Play: Philadelphia 76ers -7 1st half at -115 to win: .5 units

[H1Cypher]

Joe Rogan is an idiot he thinks Chael is down the 1st 2 rounds. Sonnen odds dropped to -160 before the third round on Sonnen.

Big elbows according to joe in the last 3 seconds.

[H1Cypher]

Thank you Joe Rogan and your bias announcing and who ever was doing t he live odds at the bookies

[H1Cypher]

1-0 +.5 units on the Official Play yesterday.

Bringing my overall thread record to:

Official Thread Record:
Props: 4-1 +2.55 Basketball Bets: 13-4 +7.35 units
Total for the thread: 17-5.
Leans/Unofficial Plays: 4-2 Units not tracked.

+ units are small cause the max bet has been to win 1 unit so far with alot being only to win .5. I'm betting more on some of the plays I post.
And like I said I'm 5-0 on the first to score prop and posted 1 earlier so that 1 definitely including in the official record.

[rizon76]

Need more followers

Hey H1 followed your link from a post you made in another thread. Not seeing much of a following on your forum yet. if your stats are correct then your picks are worth looking into for sure. I will follow them. When do you typically make a pick and do you see one for today? I am leaning on the Hawks 1H -1 at the moment.

[H1Cypher]

Probably don't have a following cause relative new thread. The title sucks... at the bare minimum I should have put season picks.

Most of all what would make my picks unappealing is most of my picks go up 5 minutes half hour before tip off. Seems to be working so why change it.

Haven't looked at that game. I'm having trouble calling the Hawks. It should an easy cover -1 1st half against a bad team missing two key guys. It's a make or miss league.... and Hawks are unpredictable especially on the road. Jeff Teague being a tame time decision cause of his ankle sprain last game might have something to do with it. Hawks bad road play also.

[H1Cypher]

First Official Play: Chicago Bulls 1st quarter vs Bulls +1.5 -105 risking .525 to win: .5 units

[H1Cypher]

Make that +100 .5 to win .5 units. Just switched as I was about to place my bet think of that what you will.

[SpreadSniper]

representing a "lean" as a "W" in your record is misleading....

Your overall record should reflect your Win/Loss total.... not what you thought was going to happen..... just my 2 cents.

BOL on the season

[H1Cypher]

representing a "lean" as a "W" in your record is misleading.... Your overall record should reflect your Win/Loss total.... not what you thought was going to happen..... just my 2 cents. BOL on the season

You think so? They are marked as leans- and I've only made 6 lean plays, and have been marking them as leans with a separate record. If I called them B bets would you find it more satisfactory?

My lean plays are actual bets I am making they are just not good enough to make the official play list. As you can see my official record is what it is... and my lean record is 4-2 and they are kept separate so there is no confusion.

The reason I decided to add a lean column was so I can post my lean picks to see how that record shapes up also. I should have called it unofficial B plays =).

Criticize my picks brah, not my categorizing system. I'm sorry youre confused and didn't read everything.

I'm on a hot streak I don't want anyone to tail me unless they like my pick and were swaying in that direction either. I've only blindly tailed a pick twice on this website and both times I lost- =p.

Before you try to point to the begin- they were all official plays at the beginning. Categorized into 2 plays. halfway through I added Lean plays- and then began categorizing that also. Once I added the lean plays... I began using Official and Unofficial to denote which is which.

If you don't read everything you'll be confused.

[SpreadSniper]

my bad... sorry mang... I thought your "leans" going 4-2 were integrated as part of your overall record....

keep up the good work

[H1Cypher]

my bad... sorry mang... I thought your "leans" going 4-2 were integrated as part of your overall record....

keep up the good work

Ahh I see. Yeah I can see that happening.

0-1 so far.

Rose went out with 2 fouls, Miami pushed it to 11. Basically sealed the deal... 5dimes put up +2 in the last 10 minutes before tip that woulda pushed but Chicago could have easily lost that quarter by 5 so those are the breaks of playing 1 quarter. Might do something later for the day.

0-1 from Bulls -.5 units
Bringing my overall thread record to:

Official Thread Record:
Props: 4-1 +2.55 Basketball Bets: 13-5 +6.85 units
Total for the thread: 17-6.
Leans/Unofficial Plays: 4-2 Units not tracked.

+ units are small cause the max bet has been to win 1 unit so far with alot being only to win .5. I'm betting more on some of the plays I post.
And like I said I'm 5-0 on the first to score prop and posted 1 earlier so that 1 definitely including in the official record.

[H1Cypher]

2nd Official Play: 2nd Quarter: Boston Celtics Cavaliers under 44.5 -110 risking .55 to win .50