My NBA Picks Round 1.

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  • H1Cypher
    SBR MVP
    • 12-25-11
    • 1494

    #456
    MLB Fade Plays:
    My pick:-1 Los Angeles Angels -130 vs Oakland Athletics+110 to win 1 unit

    Looks like I might split 3 a day minimum to build up a big sample size hopefully. Not gonna watch baseball nor have I ever watched a full inning in my life just gonna throw darts and read the pregame keep it simple. I took the Angels cause they are such big favorites that was my reasoning here.
    Comment
    • H1Cypher
      SBR MVP
      • 12-25-11
      • 1494

      #457
      Watching the Laker game and Spur game leaning Spurs team total over 52.5 but nothing strong for this game. Live in play total is too close to the original total meaning book numbers are pretty 'sharp' at this point so betting here would be tougher unless you have stronger lean.
      Comment
      • H1Cypher
        SBR MVP
        • 12-25-11
        • 1494

        #458
        Too easy both games.
        Comment
        • H1Cypher
          SBR MVP
          • 12-25-11
          • 1494

          #459
          My pick: -1 Chicago White Sox +117 vs Baltimore Orioles to win 1 unit
          My pick: New York Yankees Over 5 Team total runs -120 vs Minnesota Twins Over to win .5 units

          My pick:-1 Los Angeles Angels -130 vs Oakland Athletics+110 to win 1 unit

          I'll be picking run lines to decrease the losses tracked but I'll be tracking the fade record two ways. If I was fading myself with the moneyline instead of playing the +1 with the dog where would I be. Here is the math it is accurate, I have alot of typos but use a calculator for the + / -.

          MLB Fade Plays:
          My Record 3-3 +/-: +.23 units
          Fade Record with Moneyline dogs rather than +1 or +1.5 as the fade bet: 3-3 +.85 units
          Fade Record Playing Opposite me with Runline +1 or +1.5:3-3 fade +/-: -.45 units



          Fade Record with Moneyline dogs rather than +1 or +1.5 as the fade bet: 3-3 +.85 units
          padres moneyline: +110 ... +1.1 u
          orioles win: +140... +1.4u
          athletics win: +152 ...... +1.5 units
          subtracted fro the losses = +.85 units

          This is just day 2. I don't think it will take longer than a week for me to quickly bury his tracking data in the red. What else would happen when someone were to make picks on a sport he doesn't... hasn't ever watched.

          Didn't have any basketball bets posted today just stuck to live in play.
          Comment
          • H1Cypher
            SBR MVP
            • 12-25-11
            • 1494

            #460
            MLB Fade Plays:
            Arizona Diamondbacks -162 to win: .25 units
            (so risking .405 units to win .25 units). +152 for pirates
            Pittsburgh Pirates at Diamondbacks under 9 -120
            to win .5 units risking .6 units
            +100 on the over

            I'll come with more picks for the later games. Might have a couple of lucky days but to have neever watched baseball in my life and to have a winning year- what are the odds? If and when I'm deep in the red in MLB fading me will have seemed like a pretty good option.
            Comment
            • MikeyD323
              SBR MVP
              • 04-09-12
              • 1454

              #461
              Guaranteed patrlay:
              Brewers
              Texas rangers
              Angels -1 1/2
              $100 to win $613
              Bank it
              Comment
              • H1Cypher
                SBR MVP
                • 12-25-11
                • 1494

                #462
                MLB Fade Plays:
                Chicago White Sox -156 vs Baltimore Orioles to win 1 unit. Orioles moneyline is at +146

                Looks like I'm gonna split the other two above + for myself and + for my fade record at the same time cause of the moneyline win if the Pirates hang on to beat the Diamondbacks.

                Looking over the NBA card there is a live in play game again today I may skip pre game bets yet again since live in play is by far my strongest angle right now.
                Comment
                • H1Cypher
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-25-11
                  • 1494

                  #463
                  Gonna do an open teaser for my teaser record. 2 team teaser ties reduce 4.5 basketball points +100.
                  Milwaukee Bucks -3.5 vs Washington Wizards
                  Open Slot



                  Teaser Record: 1-0 +103

                  Some people stick to dogs, I mostly stick to favorites if you look at my picks you'll notice what kinds of picks I like and it's kept me in the black since the start of the season. With so many live in play options going into the playoffs- and even more with the playoffs I'll be decreasing my pre game picks. Will likely still play player props in the playoffs- maybe at a higher margin than now.

                  Official Thread Record:
                  Props: 12-6 +4.525units Basketball Bets: 17-11 +4.835 units
                  Total for the "Official" tagged bets thread: 29-17. +9.36 units
                  Leans/Unofficial Plays: 27-22 Units not tracked.
                  ---------------------------------------------------------------
                  Cold Plays(with live in play coldplay included): 6-2-1 Profit: +3.70 units Fade Profit: -4.45 units
                  Cold Plays(with out coldplay live in play record): 4-1-1 Profit: +2.85 units Fade Profit: -3.20 units
                  Teaser Record: 1-0 +103
                  Labby Plays: 3-3 +$2.75
                  Comment
                  • H1Cypher
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-25-11
                    • 1494

                    #464
                    MLB Fade Plays:
                    My pick: Cleveland Indians
                    +112 at Seattle Mariners mariners -122 risking 1 unit to win 1.12

                    Looks like the Whitesox are up so i gotta come with 1 more pick to end the day in the red. Just a lucky start to the day, a person who has never watched an inning in his life and is only taking a couple minutes to cap the game is allowed a lucky day or two.
                    Comment
                    • H1Cypher
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-25-11
                      • 1494

                      #465
                      If you were watching these two games you'd notice right off the bat both were tougher to decipher than the other two. The scoring of the first game didn't match the set total but the pace for the game did so it's up to you to decide if you think the scoring will continue. It did first game also went over. I have opinions on the 2nd game also but not gonna get into it. Alot of patterns I notice in each of these games when it comes to scoring and live in play- I wonder if anyone else sees it to.

                      2 more live in play games tomorrow so again I might keep it light and not have any individual NBA picks like today.

                      Open Teaser +100:
                      Milwaukee Bucks -3.5 vs Washington Wizards
                      Open Slot


                      Teaser Record: 1-1 +3


                      Arizona Diamondbacks -162 to win: .25 units(so risking .405 units to win .25 units). +152 for pirates

                      Pittsburgh Pirates at Diamondbacks under 9 -120
                      to win .5 units risking .6 units
                      +100 on the over

                      Chicago White Sox -156 vs Baltimore Orioles to win 1 unit. Orioles moneyline is at +146

                      My pick: Cleveland Indians +112 at Seattle Mariners mariners -122 risking 1 unit to win 1.12

                      Another lucky day where I dodge enough losses to avoid being in the red. Lucky for a guy who has still not watched 1 inning in MLB- and takes a couple minutes to cap each game according to the ESPN pre game write up. There is always tomorrow and the impending losing streak is sure to come meanwhile fading me the past 3 days would still yield nearly 1 unit of profit. Not much but I've yet to take the inevitable nosedive unless I'm just that lucky.

                      I win 1.5 units but lose 1.405 units an am up .095+ units for the day

                      Fading me on the moneyline on game picks nets 1 unit from the Mariners which was lost on the Orioles. .5 lost on the total but .6156 units gained from the Pirates defeating the diamondbacks. Putting that to +.1156 to fading me just round it to +.115.

                      MLB Fade Plays:
                      My Record 5-5 +/-: +.325 units
                      Fade Record with Moneyline dogs rather than +1 or +1.5 as the fade bet: 5-5 +.965 units
                      Fade Record Playing Opposite me with Runline +1 or +1.5:5-5 fade +/-: -.335 units
                      Comment
                      • H1Cypher
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-25-11
                        • 1494

                        #466
                        2 more live in play games means I might not do pre game picks. I can do pre game picks and try to go for 53%-60% or I can be patient with my live in play and hit 75% of my bets over the long term... or at least that's how It's been going for my live in play this season. Just watch and be able to identify some of the patterns the most obvious being the overs which I've gone over in my thread multiple times. Not gonna repeat myself over and over and over again.

                        Now onto baseball. I keep forgetting they have early baseball games. Haven't sat down to watch a game ever so it's understandable. Breaking evenish over 3 days- eventually I will likely put the data in the red(I'm not gonna be insane enough to bet on my own baseball picks) and then I'll see where to go from there- just gotta build up a decent sample size first.

                        I will continue to make the picks with the intention of winning unlike other cappers i'll be doing so with absolutely zero knowledge in the sport. That is what will possibly make me a god fade in baseball.

                        MLB Fade Plays(my picks are in bold):
                        LA Angels -200 to win risking 2.0 units to win 1 unit vs Oakland Athletics +185
                        Philadelphia Phillies- -115 at San Diego Padres(+105) to win 1 unit

                        Prolly come with 2 more MLB picks gotta keep working on that sample size. Gonna need something for the 7 pm games.
                        Comment
                        • H1Cypher
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-25-11
                          • 1494

                          #467
                          First let me comment on the two live in play games. Just about everytime there is a Heat game on I've commented on how they go on a scoring burst and usually don't sustain(like in the 1st quarter). I also said they can smash totals, but have not been doing it this year on national television at all. I also said they are a tricky team to live in play unless you are comfortable betting unders in tight spots where all it takes is a couple of made shots to ruin your total. None of this happened yesterday as they just went low low low and didn't score.

                          2nd game Clippers and Suns started off hot but were unable to maintain the scoring through out. If you took my advice and bet from quarter to quarter(don't take full total bets on a game, while it is still early- unless you think the current total will be dropping or rising rapidly by the next commercial which it usually won't so you can always wiat until the 4th to bet on the total for the game)- you'd have won the 1st quarter Over. lost the 1st half over. Now here in the 2nd quarter it should already be a red flag that this game will be tougher to live in play cap. At that point the total was at 199 and dropping- both benches were unable to score and game went from high scoring to low scoring- indicative of a choppy game. We can pass live betting totals on those too(choppy games)- unless we have more experience- in the playoffs with the early round broadcasts there will be many games so I can pick from 1 or 2 games that are on which one to live in bet- which ever game I like the pace of better.

                          The easiest total to live in play bet is when you have two fresh teams who are lighting it up and look like they have no intention to stop. How do you recognize this I'm not sure I just put in the work and I'm able to pick it up now. Each team seems to have tendencies that run through out the first and 2nd halves respectfully.

                          In the playoffs I expect more games to go to OT and more scoring bursts at unexpected moments so I will have to be more alert about betting the under when I feel like there is a good chance to get bit in the ass late by fouls or OT since that may be more likely to happen.

                          The games you want to avoid most in my opinion is when the total is right around what the pre game total is during the live in play betting process. For me I like the total to be going in 1 specific direction when it is right around the pre game live in play total- and just hovering around that number I would recommend a novice live in play better pass in spots like that unless he sees something in the game- like 1 team about to go on a run or an inordinate amount of foul calls or lack there of. Can keep going but I'll leave it at that.

                          Now onto my baseball fade plays.

                          MLB Fade Plays(my picks are in bold):
                          LA Angels -200 to win risking 2.0 units to win 1 unit vs Oakland Athletics +185
                          Philadelphia Phillies- -115 at San Diego Padres(+105) to win 1 unit

                          I finally stuck my foot into it on my 4th day of making baseball picks- a game I've yet to watch a single inning of in my life. Finally decided to step out and take a risk and play a moneyline on a massive favorite rather than the runline- which I've been doing to minimize my tracked losses(even though I'm not betting on my own mlb picks).
                          Still though slowly but surely I'm showing profit for the fade portion of my tracker. I've already had a 2-1 day with luck I wonder which will next a 2-1 day or a 1-2 day. We'll see tomorrow I'll be looking to make more than 2 picks to work on my sample size. Took me 4 days to put myself in the red it's a surprise I made it this far with my baseball knowledge being at -99999 give or take =p.

                          I win 1 unit off the Phils but drop 2 units from my foolish play on the Angels moneyline. -1 unit.
                          Fading drops 1 unit betting on the Padres but is recouped with a +185 win with the Athletics to finish the day +.85 units.


                          MLB Fade Plays:
                          My Record 5-5 +/-: -.675 units
                          Fade Record with Moneyline dogs rather than +1 or +1.5 as the fade bet: 6-6 +1.14 units
                          Fade Record Playing Opposite me with Runline +1 or +1.5:6-6 fade +/-: +.515 units
                          Comment
                          • H1Cypher
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-25-11
                            • 1494

                            #468
                            MLB Fade Plays:
                            Milwaukee Brewers -140 vs
                            Colorado Rockies(+130)to win 1 unit
                            -134 Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres(+124) to win 1.5 units
                            +120 -1.5 Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins(-140RL, +160moneyline) risking .5 units to win .6 units

                            No specific reason for the unit amounts just felt like making it different today. I guess I like the Phillies best which is why the higher amount. Not alot went into the picks, thanks to the espn pre game write up as and some simple minded thinking and you got these 3 picks. I'll prolly chuck 2 more and make it 5 MLB picks for today.
                            Comment
                            • H1Cypher
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-25-11
                              • 1494

                              #469
                              Spurs Laker game yesterday was like deja vu. Totals similar to the April 17 meeting. For both games I had the same leans. And both games I would call the easy over type games. Spurs came out hot- Lakers came out hot. Spurs bench sustained and Spurs broke all over totals in that game. Scroll up you can see my lean for the April 17 game during an intermission sometime before the 2nd quarter started.

                              Now to recap my MLB fade picks:

                              MLB Fade Plays:
                              Milwaukee Brewers -140 vs
                              Colorado Rockies(+130)to win 1 unit
                              -134 Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres(+124) to win 1.5 units
                              +120 -1.5 Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins(-140RL, +160moneyline) risking .5 units to win .6 units

                              Even a 1.5 unit win could not avert my data from sinking deeper in the red. Pitiful picks on my end going 1-2 playing favorites... but what can you expect from someone making picks when he's never watched the sport of baseball.

                              I lose 1.4 units on the Brewers make it back with the Phillies putting me at +.1 but the .5 loss brings me to -.4 units for the day 1-2 brings my record to 6-8.

                              Fade wins 1.3 units with the Rockies, drops 1.5 units on the Padres but comes up with another +.8 units to be +.6 units in the green for the day. No big winning streaks yet, but no big losing streaks either. Still plenty of time as I'm less than a week in. Somehow I've gotten lucky enough to win all 3 of my 1.5 unit bets lol.

                              MLB Fade Plays(my picks are in bold):

                              -110 New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants +100 to win 1 unit

                              I dunno how I came to this pick. It was either this or the Nationals for the early game. This had less juice so I just went with the Mets. As usual ESPN pre game was my only source of information that coupled with my zero baseball knowledge.

                              Imagine if I go 50% for the entire season just cause I'm picking mostly favorites and not over analyzing the picks. Where as you got some people trying to be sharp and getting themselves on 5 game + losing streaks. I wonder which will come first the winning streak or the losing streak. To get on a winning streak with my MLB picks it would be very much like a blind squirrel finding an acorn at the same time since there isn't a uniform science to my picks perhaps any streak, losing or winning, is out of reach. Will see.
                              MLB Fade Plays:
                              My Record 7-8 +/-: -1.075 units
                              Fade Record with Moneyline dogs rather than +1 or +1.5 as the fade bet: 8-7 +1.74 units
                              Fade Record Playing Opposite me with Runline +1 or +1.5:8-7 fade +/-: +.815 units
                              Comment
                              • H1Cypher
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-25-11
                                • 1494

                                #470
                                Looks like Mets might win this game hmmm Nats might win also(whups =p). Must keep picking if I am to lose more often.

                                MLB Fade Plays:


                                Milwaukee Brewers -125 vs Colorado Rockies +115 to win 1 unit
                                Chicago White Sox -110 vs Seatle Mariners +100 to win 1 unit

                                Gotta keep plugging away to work up a big sample size if I'm not too distracted I'll come with more. Minimum of 2 a day preferably 3 a day at the least.
                                Comment
                                • H1Cypher
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-25-11
                                  • 1494

                                  #471
                                  Unofficial Plays: Denver Nuggets Team Total over 58 1st half. Live In Play -115
                                  Comment
                                  • H1Cypher
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-25-11
                                    • 1494

                                    #472
                                    May have made a mistake this time and jumped the gun too early. Nuggets team total was at 56.5 going into the 2nd quarter. Could have went with over for both teams but I tried to get too sharp =p. Still a good chance both team totals and the over all hit.
                                    Comment
                                    • H1Cypher
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-25-11
                                      • 1494

                                      #473
                                      Last check out totals were 115 for both teams, 57.5 for both teams. I was gonna put a final bet in but the total dropped before the commercial would end. Why put it down so fast =(. oysters. I mean 1 commercial to go- and they put it off the board fast.

                                      I seriously wonder- I've yet to see erroneous lines on a gme that I hae difficulty capping- and I've yet to see a total pulled quick on a game that is difficult to cap. Just makes me scratch my head.
                                      Comment
                                      • H1Cypher
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-25-11
                                        • 1494

                                        #474
                                        Originally posted by H1Cypher
                                        Unofficial Plays: Denver Nuggets Team Total over 58 1st half. Live In Play -115
                                        **** you bookies. Take it up the ass for pulling the board down before the commercial intermission was over. Winner.
                                        Comment
                                        • H1Cypher
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-25-11
                                          • 1494

                                          #475
                                          Looks like Denver was cashing checks for both first and 2nd half. Damn I wanted to play Dallas team total under pre game 1st 12 minutes under 11.5 and for the 1st quarter but I thought it was possible Dallas could come out with some motivation. Dallas has like 8 points and 1st quarter is almost over.
                                          Comment
                                          • H1Cypher
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-25-11
                                            • 1494

                                            #476
                                            Unofficial Plays: Denver Nuggets Team Total over 58 1st half. Live In Play -115

                                            I've been throwing these out there all season long and I've only lost 2 in my entire thread. This one had a 20 minute window with several commercials to get a bet in at an offshore book like dimes and several other rated books here listed at sbr that have it. Official plays or unofficial plays, doesn't matter my live in plays are like a 20 minute window to cash in on a max bet, I've proven it time and time again over a span of months and several different flows of games. Leans/Unofficial Plays go 1-0 bringing that record to 28-22.


                                            Official Thread Record:
                                            Props: 12-6 +4.525units Basketball Bets: 17-11 +4.835 units
                                            Total for the "Official" tagged bets thread: 29-17. +9.36 units
                                            Leans/Unofficial Plays: 28-22 Units not tracked.
                                            ---------------------------------------------------------------
                                            Cold Plays(with live in play coldplay included): 6-2-1 Profit: +3.70 units Fade Profit: -4.45 units
                                            Cold Plays(with out coldplay live in play record): 4-1-1 Profit: +2.85 units Fade Profit: -3.20 units
                                            Teaser Record: 1-0 +103
                                            Labby Plays: 3-3 +$2.75




                                            Milwaukee Brewers -125 vs Colorado Rockies +115 to win 1 unit
                                            Chicago White Sox -110 vs Seatle Mariners +100 to win 1 unit
                                            -110 New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants +100 to win 1 unit

                                            I got distracted with real bets with all the basketball games on. lol went 3-0 remember that speech I gave about a blind squirrel finding an acorn right before I made this pick. Well whad'ya know. Odds that I'll be 50% or better yesterday are, 50/50? Only day 5 though pretty lucky. From 7-8 to 10-8 +3 units fro -1.075 to just slightly over + 2 in 5 days of tracked data. Not doing so bad when it comes to playing picks not chalked over 150. The over 150 chalks killed me. Still zero baseball knowledge wonder how long i can keep up being in the black.

                                            It's funny right after my blind squirrel speech I have a hot day lol.

                                            Fade goes -3 units from +1.74 units to -1.26 units.

                                            MLB Fade Plays:

                                            My Record 10-8 +/-: +1.925 units
                                            Fade Record with Moneyline dogs rather than +1 or +1.5 as the fade bet: 8-10 -1.26 units
                                            Fade Record Playing Opposite me with Runline +1 or +1.5:8-10 fade +/-: -2.185 units
                                            Comment
                                            • H1Cypher
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-25-11
                                              • 1494

                                              #477
                                              MLB Fade Plays(my picks are the teams on the left in bold):

                                              -132 St Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates+122 to win 1 unit

                                              What are the odds of me going on a 4 game win streak in MLB? When you think about me not making the nationals my play could be looking at a 5 game win streak for someone who is capping these games in a unorthodox haphazard way and still hasn't watched an inning of baseball. So my quest to get in the red continues I'll have more picks for tomorrow also.

                                              MLB Fade Plays:

                                              My Record 10-8 +/-: +1.925 units
                                              Fade Record with Moneyline dogs rather than +1 or +1.5 as the fade bet: 8-10 -1.26 units
                                              Fade Record Playing Opposite me with Runline +1 or +1.5:8-10 fade +/-: -2.185 units
                                              Comment
                                              • H1Cypher
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-25-11
                                                • 1494

                                                #478
                                                Anyone watching this Knick Hawk game? Fits my standards for easy overs- Can't hold peoples hands for every game and post my plays at commercial intervals. Lookin good right now, I talk about this shit so much in my thread you'd think some people would catch on to what I'm trying to say.

                                                I could look stupid since half isn't over but when it looks this good you are on the right side.
                                                Comment
                                                • H1Cypher
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-25-11
                                                  • 1494

                                                  #479
                                                  I know most of the posters don't bet over 500 a game, and that is the live in play limit. I just find it funny how so many people on here look for locks- and I'm here posting national televised game winners and the method I use to get the score. Not only that- but I'm categorizing the games into easy and difficult to live in play cap.

                                                  It's just funny to me.

                                                  over 2 minutes to go and the live in play totals hit. lol.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • H1Cypher
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-25-11
                                                    • 1494

                                                    #480
                                                    Labby Plays: Russell Westbrook 5.5 points over -125 $6.25 to win 5 dollars X- cancelled.

                                                    Just messing around. I guess you can call this a heat check =p.

                                                    Nevermind. I changed my mind. lol. its like giving away money. Actually it might be my vanity I don't want to have to put a 3-4 record on Labby plays.
                                                    Last edited by H1Cypher; 04-22-12, 02:25 PM. Reason: Nevermind lol.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • H1Cypher
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-25-11
                                                      • 1494

                                                      #481
                                                      MLB Fade Plays:

                                                      -142 Arizonda Diamondbacks
                                                      vs Atlanta Braves +132 to win risking .71 units to win .5


                                                      Have to keep coming with picks if I'm to be in the red; looks like Cardinals are winning. Will probably only be able to get up 2 MLB fade picks today. This schedule I'm not use to since I don't watch baseball. Big ups to the ESPN pre game write up for helping me come to a very quick decision, only took a couple of minutes as usual.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • H1Cypher
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-25-11
                                                        • 1494

                                                        #482
                                                        Quick recap of how the 5dimes live lines are going for the Laker OKC game.

                                                        1st commercial juice the total I want to play -140. Da ****.

                                                        2nd commercial bring the board down before the commercials are even close to over.

                                                        3rd commercial don't put the live lines up at all. Why does it say they put up the live lines 'every' commercial break? isn't that erroneous cause they **** this shit up every other day- incompetent people I swear. How hard is it to just put up the numbers every commercial like you are suppose to.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • H1Cypher
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-25-11
                                                          • 1494

                                                          #483
                                                          Leaning on OKC team total over 96.5 commercial just endde.d
                                                          Comment
                                                          • H1Cypher
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-25-11
                                                            • 1494

                                                            #484
                                                            Doesn't matter though they don't usually put up team totals after the 6 minute mark unless it is a close game or the answer isn't real obvious. Too bad only 2 nationally televised games. I need to get on one of these books with more live in play options but those are all euro books.

                                                            No strong leans for this game not betting the 1st half and the Harden injury through me off completely.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • H1Cypher
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-25-11
                                                              • 1494

                                                              #485
                                                              No basketball plays posted with any of my official tags(ie coldplays, unofficial plays, official plays etc.). So won't be updating any records there. I was wrong by the way they did actually put the OKC total up 1 more time 94.5 and 84.5 for the Lakers or something like that. Right around that 5:40 mark where there was commercial. Right around 6 minutes in the 4th quarter is usually the cut off point when they put up team totals though unless the game is close.

                                                              I had a hot weekend my best bet being Jon Jones +500 by decision. I'm happiest about this win cause I don't think many people would chance this(Jones first 5 round fight ever). My UFC picks can be streaky depending on the event, and I've had bad luck with plays I post online. I only mention this +500 win because I see touts who sell picks and they have you playing chalk like Rory Mac at -450. Most of these MMA touts that ask for money are such a joke. Was looking at some of the picks the touts had for UFC 145- I'm shocked people would pay a cent for some of the picks.

                                                              MLB Fade Plays:
                                                              -132 St Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates+122 to win 1 unit

                                                              -142 Arizonda Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves +132 to win risking .71 units to win .5

                                                              So if this wasn't mostly blind luck I might start popping off about my 5 game win streak lol. But it is mostly blind luck and I'm not betting my blind luck picks until I get a big sample size. Will see what happens today. Yesterday I said what are the odds of me winning just 4 or 5 in a row, lol well it happened. 3 days in a row that's pretty blind lucky though if it happens again today. I envision a losing day.

                                                              MLB Fade Plays:

                                                              My Record 12-8 +/-: +3.425 units
                                                              Fade Record with Moneyline dogs rather than +1 or +1.5 as the fade bet: 8-12 -2.76 units
                                                              Fade Record Playing Opposite me with Runline +1 or +1.5:8-12 fade +/-: -3.685 units



                                                              MLB Fade Plays
                                                              (my picks are in bold):
                                                              -125 LA Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves +115 to win1 unit
                                                              +117 Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks -107 risking .5 to win .585u

                                                              As usual thanks to the ESPN pre game write up and a couple minutes of simple minded thinking.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • H1Cypher
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-25-11
                                                                • 1494

                                                                #486
                                                                MLB Fade Plays(my picks are in bold):
                                                                -125 LA Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves +115 to win1 unit
                                                                +117 Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks -107 risking .5 to win .585u

                                                                3 winning days in a row, must mean today I am going to have a losing day. My method of picking games is ridiculous I read the ESPN pre game write up- and which ever team I have a 'feeling' will win is the pick. Coin will start flipping against me eventually. If it wasn't for that angels loss -200 2 units record would be up over 5 units lol. Today just feels like a day where the MLB picks will end up in the red though.

                                                                1-1 +.5 units. Fade is 1-1 -.5u.

                                                                My Record 13-9 +/-: +3.925 units
                                                                Fade Record with Moneyline dogs rather than +1 or +1.5 as the fade bet: 9-13 -3.26 units
                                                                Fade Record Playing Opposite me with Runline +1 or +1.5:9-13 fade +/-: -4.185 units


                                                                April 24th:
                                                                MLB Fade Plays(my picks are in bold):
                                                                -110 St. Louis Cardinals -1 Runline vs Chicago Cubs (-110) .55 to win .5u
                                                                -130 Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres(+120) to win .65u to win .5 units
                                                                +101 Tampa Bay Rays -1 vs LA Angels(-121) to win .5 units
                                                                -116 Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles risking to win 1 unit

                                                                Comin with 4 today. Same as usual haphazard method.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • H1Cypher
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-25-11
                                                                  • 1494

                                                                  #487
                                                                  Unofficial Plays: Celtics vs Heat 2nd quarter Under 45.5 Live in Play -115

                                                                  Betting small but it's an obvious no brainer here. I got a pre game bet on this 1st h also.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SlickRick1382
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-15-11
                                                                    • 3838

                                                                    #488
                                                                    I was on Celtics / Heat under and couldn't ask for anything better. Good work and good luck with your pick ...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • H1Cypher
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-25-11
                                                                      • 1494

                                                                      #489
                                                                      Originally posted by SlickRick1382
                                                                      I was on Celtics / Heat under and couldn't ask for anything better. Good work and good luck with your pick ...
                                                                      Thanks. Been taking it light on the pre game bets. I've found a sweet spot with this live in play total stuff, and it is mostly what I stick to. If you have 5dimes check it out. Can be tricky but once you get the hang of it

                                                                      I wasn't even watchin this Celtic game(after the first 6 minutes it was making me drowsy)- I was just listening to their sneakers squeak and if the shots swere clanking or not... and occasionally glancing at the game. This pace, this shot making- it really is a no brainer live in bet. Bet it before the live in play total drops cause it changes per commercial.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • H1Cypher
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-25-11
                                                                        • 1494

                                                                        #490
                                                                        -110 St. Louis Cardinals -1 Runline vs Chicago Cubs (-110) .55 to win .5u
                                                                        -130 Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres(+120) to win .65u to win .5 units
                                                                        +101 Tampa Bay Rays -1 vs LA Angels(-121) to win .5 units
                                                                        -116 Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles risking to win 1 unit

                                                                        Will update the win loss record when I put up my picks for the later MLB games.


                                                                        I told myself I was gonna get punished for making the Blue Jays 1 unit and the rest .5 units. Don't watch the game of baseball just trying enough to be have a winning record which I was thinking would eventually lead my data in the red. it's still early though. Only a week of MLB baseball picks in.

                                                                        April 25th:
                                                                        MLB Fade Plays(my picks are in bold):
                                                                        Chicago White Sox -125 vs Oakland Athletics to win .5u

                                                                        Same method ESPN write up and some simple minded thinking. In a week it looks like I'm on the path to 50%dom but a week of sample is small so we'll see. Would like to lose big or just be the luckiest person in the world for MLB =). That way I won't have to learn the sport .


                                                                        Errrr, lol missed the morning games again. It's a wed. =p... who the hell plays a major sport at 12 pm on a wednesday .
                                                                        Comment
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