My NBA Picks Round 1.

4/29/12 10:32pm

4/29/12 9:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9515 Los Angeles Clippers/Memphis Grizzlies 1st Half Over 95½ -125*

4/29/12 10:30pm

4/29/12 9:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9515 Los Angeles Clippers 1st Half Over 41½ -105* <small>vs</small> Memphis Grizzlies

4/29/12 10:07pm

4/29/12 9:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9516 Memphis Grizzlies 1st Half Over 53½ -115* <small>vs</small> Los Angeles Clippers

**H1Cypher** · 04-28-12, 11:24 PM

197 perfect

*checks score again to make sure he isn't blowing smoke out of his rump*.

Gonna update the day in a second, none of these plays are tallied as usual I don't tally my non recorded plays to keep it fair. Nice drive in the end to come out in the green slightly was breaking even most of the day. Should've been more aggressive, I had alot of great leans but was too patient.

Sick thing is it was at 196.5 and I wasn't gonna bet it then but then someone bought it up to 197.5 and that's when I made my move at the last commercial to go for middle. Wish I had grabbed that OKC +4.5, my instinct is keen sometimes the weird odds play mind games with me. I see -120 and -125 and I know it's a flip or even favoring the +. Bookies are such con artists.

Updating my mlb record first.

April 28th:
MLB Fade Plays(my picks are in bold):
St Louis Cardinals - 147 vs Milwaukee Brewers +137 to win 2 units

LA Angels -132 vs Cleveland Indians +122 to win 1 unit

Cincinatti Reds -192 vs Houston Astros +181 to win 1 unit

-140 Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates +130 to win .7 to win .5

After dropping 7 straight I wasn't surprised I came with some back to back winners considering the chalk I am playing. They say it's long term and I'm hoping my zero longterm knowledge will equal a less than 50% record picking all this chalk. Still haven't watched 1 inning of baseball and using espn pre game as my only source of information to make the picks. Not shopping prices either.

+4u -.7u = +3.3u I was gonna put up some 5x 10x plays to get my MLB back in the green today since I'm not betting my own MLB picks and was pretty sure I'd win today. lol would have worked =p haha.
4.945u - 3.35
9.82-3+1.3=8.12u flat bet fading me

MLB Fade Plays(my picks are in bold):
My Record 19-20 +/-: -1.615u units
Fade Record with Moneyline dogs rather than +1 or +1.5 as the fade bet: 20-19 +1.595 units
Fade Record Playing Opposite me with Runline +1 or +1.5:15-16 fade +/-: +.465 units
Flat Bet Fading my MLB picks on the moneyline 1 unit per pick: 20-19 +8.12u

**H1Cypher** · 04-29-12, 04:08 AM

Labby Plays:
Carmelo Anthony 27 Points Over vs Miami Heat -110 $5.50 to win $5.00
Carmelo Anthony Assists + Rebounds Over 10.5 +120 $5.00 to win $6.00

Just to illustrate a point- even when my prop was losing I wrote this: Now how could I write this ingame with my prop losing? I'm not over confident sometimes I just got ultra strong leans even when they look bad I'm not worried. I literally meant change- see how much I bet. Get it change? People brag about plays when they look like locks, not when they look like absolute losers. lol who does that? Lucky I know =p.

Originally posted by H1Cypher

Can't believe Melo props went to +135 and +140 on over points and over boards + assists before the game. Could've gotten some extra change for my labby play category if I had just waited.

He fought hard and when I made the picks I had little doubt I would win at least one of them that is why I made both. And even when it looked like I might lose I was whining about not getting the better odds of +135 and +145, could have really hammered my point. That's basically why I posted those two for 5 bucks each, to prove a point. Which was? Drive to the finals is pretty good at picking who will have a good game one way or the other. Who would have thought the Knicks would get blown out by that much and not been in the game? A 20 - 10 - 5 game would have been a big game for Melo. Instead he had an abysmal shooting game and had 13 combined boards and assists.

Originally posted by H1Cypher

NBA Drive to the Finals 19% of the players have Melo as their 1st pick in that fantasy game. The 2 years i've played the fans are good in the early rounds. Nothing to take seriously, just a fun observation.

Labby Plays: Bulls Over 103 Live in Play -115 to win $5.00 Push

Labby Plays: Heat -1.5 vs Knicks 1stquarter -130 Live in Play to win $5.00

Labby plays go 2-1-1. I was just messing around with the early games kind of like warming up. In reality I missed out on several chances being timid I dunno what I was thinking. Yes I haven't actually labby'd any of the plays in this category lol.

Leans/Unofficial Plays:Oklahoma City Thunder -4 vs Dallas Mavericks -115

I think I'm just trying to prove a point with the pre game bets, this one didn't work out. I need to stick to my bread and butter(live in play). Thoughts?

Unofficial Plays: Dallas Mavericks Over 48.5 1st Half live in play -115

Wait scratch this. I said that cause i thought bet wasn't accepted but it was. And it's a win. Missed some chances in the other games that I should have went with. Was so use to it being so easy in the regular season I missed out on several wins cause I was so selective in a category(live in play) I excel in. I'll have to take a little more risk I suppose but I'm confident the results will be the same or similar. My live in play leans, most of which I openly mentioned while watching the game did well. I only started to get aggressive in the last game with my live in play bets.

Leans/Unofficial Plays go 1-1. I'll update the 3 parlays once the bet loses or wins. I still like the Pacers in the series. It is a make or miss league Orlando could get hot for a whole series, too late now though already locked in.

Official Thread Record:
Props: 12-6 +4.525units Basketball Bets: 17-11 +4.835 units
Total for the "Official" tagged bets thread: 29-17. +9.36 units
Leans/Unofficial Plays: 30-23 Units not tracked.
---------------------------------------------------------------
Cold Plays(with live in play coldplay included): 6-2-1 Profit: +3.70 units Fade Profit: -4.45 units
Cold Plays(with out coldplay live in play record): 4-1-1 Profit: +2.85 units Fade Profit: -3.20 units
Teaser Record: 1-1 +3
Labby Plays: 5-4-1 +$8.25
Action Plays:1-0 +$10.00

**H1Cypher** · 04-29-12, 11:58 AM

Action Plays: Al Jefferson Points + rebounds 27.5 Over +130 10.00 to win 13.00

Just woke up and hit this with basically 0 seconds of thought. Gonna hit this live in play game and see if I can find something. I expect the game to be choppy again so I likely will not even get a chance to post my plays. Pace, shot making, officiating all my little tips on live in play still apply. Went to lock in odds changed from +110 to +130 just now.

It is his first playoff game, perhaps someone is predicting him struggling here.

**H1Cypher** · 04-29-12, 12:36 PM

Yes. Choppyness is no problem. Spurs/Jazz 50.5 under 1st quarter for a quick cash to start the day. Yes, if Manu hits that 3 in the last 20 seconds it is a loss for me. Like I said no more easy wins- all of my leans yesterday would have won by 1 or 2 points in the 3 early games yesterday. Well no more easy wins, but wins are wins. Numbers may be sharp, but I'm sharper when it comes to live in play.

Choppy games so betting before the 2nd quarter starts- and after the 1st quarter is over can be a death sentence. Unless I have a strong play nothing for me until I see the flow of the game per quarter.

**H1Cypher** · 04-29-12, 12:47 PM

Commercial half way over I'm leaning Spurs over 53 1st half. nothing definitive, must wait till last commercial possibly to make bet because of choppyness of game. 9:15 2nd quarter promo.

5dimes put up the halftime lines 2 commercials in this time- giving me 1 commercial to think of my play and post it. Impossible. Sometimes they put it up early sometimes nope. What can I do. I took Jazz over 49 in the last commercial break though. About 4:40 remaining in 2nd quarter promo
Numbers at 4:40 were 49 for Jazz and 54.5 for Spurs. 103.5 for both in 1st half.

**H1Cypher** · 04-29-12, 01:21 PM

Not a bad start. I've been live in playing long enough to where I can take chances that a normal bettor might not take.

4/28/2012	Spread	win		Basketball - 9508 Oklahoma City Thunder +3½ +100 for 1st Half
4/28/2012	Team Total		loss	Basketball - 507 Dallas Mavericks (1st 6 min) team total over 11 -105 for 3rd Quarter
4/28/2012	Team Total		loss	Basketball - 9507 Dallas Mavericks team total over 23 -125 for 3rd Quarter
4/28/2012	Team Total	win		Basketball - 9507 Dallas Mavericks team total over 96 -115 for Game
4/28/2012	Total	win		Basketball - 9507 Dallas Mavericks/Oklahoma City Thunder over 187 -110 for Game
4/28/2012	Team Total	win		Basketball - 9507 Dallas Mavericks team total over 94 -115 for Game
4/28/2012	Total	win		Basketball - 9507 Dallas Mavericks/Oklahoma City Thunder under 197½ -110 for Game
4/29/2012	Total	win		Basketball - 9509 Utah Jazz/San Antonio Spurs under 50½ -115 for 1st Quarter
4/29/2012	Team Total	win		Basketball - 9510 San Antonio Spurs team total over 53 -115 for 1st Half
4/29/2012	Team Total		loss	Basketball - 9509 Utah Jazz team total over 49 -115 for 1st Half

**H1Cypher** · 04-29-12, 02:23 PM

I don't believe in steam when it comes to player props. Somene had an angle, I had an angle. Jefferson had a bad game. I'm annoyed with myself I bet 10 bucks on Parker points + assists over -120, and Al Jefferson for action before the game. I didn't want to look like a degen so I post the stronger pick, and of course the one I posted loses. I need to stop doing that, it never seems to work out.

Everything is 50% Day 2 of playoffs. Still in the green thanks to my wizardy of live in play.

Leans/Unofficial Plays: LA Lakers -2 1st quarter vs Denver Nuggets -110

Lakers come out punch their opponent in the mouth and win the 1st by 4 or more I think. Denver gets back into it in the 2nd quarter. Not sure who finishes the 1st half with the lead, but Lakers will win........ the series =p.

Oh shit is that clown Bleek88 on the lakers too. I'm screwed

**H1Cypher** · 04-29-12, 03:07 PM

Under 42.5 also hit for Lakers/Denver a nice start to this game and 1st quarter for me. Denver will try and speed it up in this quarter. I still have 93.5 under for 1st half pending.

They also had 88.5 1st half and 92.5 1st half for both teams.

I bet my under 93.5 early in the 1st quarter questionable since I usually bet that later in the 2nd. I saw both teams speeding up the game at the end of the 1st quarter but already had it locked in. Good thing I have a 2-0 cushion for this game cause it looks like Denver is cranking the machine. And is now only down by 4- lol my prediction pre game is coming true.

Totals up with around 8 minutes to go in 2nd qtr commercial: 92.5 43.5 Denver, 49.5 Lakers. I hedged.

I don't want to keep replying to myself- and have like 20 replies per game, that is why when I start to do commentary on a game- I just do it on 1 page like this.

5:43 left in 2nd quarter 94.5 totals for both teams 44.5 Denver 50.5 lakers. glad i hedged.

Incase you are new to my thread. I've never tallied a win after the fact. All my plays are posted before, my wins I don't post I'm just mentioning =).

**H1Cypher** · 04-29-12, 05:14 PM

Leans/Unofficial Plays: Blake Griffin Rebounds Over 10.5 +100

Watched Blake play enough games since he has been in the NBA, alot of winners have come with the Clippers this year. I know value when I see it. Blake going over 10 boards, there is a good chance his happens if he doesn't get in foul trouble.

Here are all of the bets i won/lost during the Laker Nugget 2nd half. I don't do commentary as much 4th quarter can be a tricky quarter. Told you bookies are con artists look at them chalk that juice late in the game. Chalk the losing side lol, it's 50/50 why chalk 1 side? tricksters.

4/29/2012	Spread		Loss	Basketball - 9512 Los Angeles Lakers -7½ -115 for 3rd Quarter
4/29/2012	Total		Loss	Basketball - 9511 Denver Nuggets/Los Angeles Lakers over 194½ -110 for Game
4/29/2012	Team Total		Loss	Basketball - 9511 Denver Nuggets team total over 91 -115 for Game
4/29/2012	Team Total	Win		Basketball - 9511 Denver Nuggets team total under 90½ -115 for Game
4/29/2012	Total	Win		Basketball - 9511 Denver Nuggets/Los Angeles Lakers over 188½ -110 for Game
4/29/2012	Team Total	Win		Basketball - 9512 Los Angeles Lakers team total over 100½ -130 for Game
4/29/2012	Team Total	Win		Basketball - 9512 Los Angeles Lakers team total over 102 -105 for Game
4/29/2012	Team Total	Win		Basketball - 9512 Los Angeles Lakers team total over 102 -105 for Game
4/29/2012	Spread	Win		Basketball - 9511 Denver Nuggets +16½ +145 for Game

**H1Cypher** · 04-29-12, 05:57 PM

Action Plays: Rajon Rondo Assists over 12.5 $11.00 to win $10.00
Action Plays: Kevin Garnett Points + Rebounds over 25 $12.50 to win $10.00

I have no pre game bets on this Hawks Celtic game will stick to live in play but I'm doing this for fun -110 is a good price still up 5 minutes before the game.

**H1Cypher** · 04-29-12, 07:06 PM

Interesting game to live in play cap. These refs are on the under like no other. You gotta drop your opponent to the hardwood otherwise it's a no call.

Any and all under backers that hit should thank the gambling gods these refs took control of this game otherwise it was going over =p.

**H1Cypher** · 04-29-12, 08:33 PM

Took this game off got a snack and didn't bother deciphering this mess of a game easy under but I didn't pull the trigger didn't even get back home until the 4th quarter. Back now. Likely will be no commentary on this game Clipper game I wanna zone in and cash in on the totals in live in play.

I wouldn't be surprised if some people lost a couple hundred max bets in the 1st quarter and 1st half though. Chalk kept flying around- I was looking and Celtics +14 +10.5 +8.5 kept getting hammerred in the 1st half.... and they didn't cover any of those. I really wish I could be the only one live in play betting- when the juice is jumping back and forth it makes it tougher to bet.

**H1Cypher** · 04-29-12, 08:44 PM

Action Plays: Clippers Over 22.5 vs Memphis Grizzlies -110 1st quarter $11.00 to win $10.00

Meh, let's make 6 minutes before a commercial interesting. I just like being right- if it isn't already obvious. I knew I should have played Rondo points + assists instead of assists. I made the 'right' call and got ****** for it whether it was a 10 dollar play or a hundred dollar play. Right call is what ever I tell myself to play, not what the stats tell me to play -_-;;

Now to the live in play, good luck to me =).

**H1Cypher** · 04-29-12, 09:00 PM

See now that is a bad decision I can live with Clippers not hitting 22.5 I'm fine with. Unlike that Rondo prop which is still annoying me.

Totals in the first commercial were 27.5 Memphis, 20.5 Clippers, 48.5 1st quarter. I will watch the 1st quarter then bet the half time.

Memphis team total 27.5 with 7 minutes to go was -110- then went to -120... -130... -150. Lol everyone hammerred that. 17 points with 5 minutes to go- you guys still like your -150 chalk bet? It will likely hit Memphis now has 23 points but wow that is alot of juice to pay live though.

**H1Cypher** · 04-29-12, 09:19 PM

These late night games are getting more action today at least. I will have to stop commentary- I can't lock in bets, make posts, etc. before the chalk moves.

I was lucky enough to grab Memphis Grizz over 53.5 1st half hopefully it hits. Yet another obstacle to overcome if lines are gonna open at -110 or -115 and move to -130 in 30 seconds.

**H1Cypher** · 04-29-12, 09:43 PM

Had to pay the juice it was jumping too fast. I'm still mad about that Rondo prop. My gut doesn't let me down, why bother ignoring it.

Chalk was jumping around for this game was tough to get a bet. I wish I had bet that 1st quarter Grizz over but the chalk jumped up so fast- it startled me a bit.

Lol thought about getting under when Clippers were at 44.5 and when Grizz went up to 56.5. Wish I did now that there are 2 minutes left- every game the numbers have been sharp for the past 2 days. So sharp if I had went for middle I would have hit with impunity.

**H1Cypher** · 04-29-12, 09:48 PM

2/3 should have been a sweep. I knew I should've went for the Under 44.5(clippers) under 56.5(grizz) under 99.5. Boom 4/6, oh well I'll take 2/3 though. Those were the numbers at the last commercial. Up from the numbers I had bet.

Been a chance to middle in every game so far cause of the up and down pace with the playoffs while during the regular season middling was much more difficult less opportunities to middle in the regular season.

**H1Cypher** · 04-29-12, 10:51 PM

Gilbert Arenas about to get out of the 1st round with the Grizzlies, lol. Making 20 million +, now just get to ride the bench still make millions, and have that baller life. Must be good.

Commercial break with over 8 minutes to go:

<small>Los Angeles Clippers at Memphis Grizzlies - Live In Play wagering during every commercial break - Internet Only</small>
Sun 4/29	9515 Los Angeles Clippers	<input id="editx" name="S1_0" size="4" maxlength="5"> +21½ -110	<input id="editx" name="L1_0" size="4" maxlength="5"> o200 -110	<input id="editx" name="E1_0" size="4" maxlength="5"> o89 -115	<input id="editx" name="E3_0" size="4" maxlength="5"> u89 -115
9:35PM	9516 Memphis Grizzlies	<input id="editx" name="S2_0" size="4" maxlength="5"> -21½ -110	<input id="editx" name="L2_0" size="4" maxlength="5"> u200 -110	<input id="editx" name="E2_0" size="4" maxlength="5"> o110 -115	<input id="editx" name="E4_0" size="4" maxlength="5"> u110 -115

I thought I was late to the party when I got 106, but better late than never.

4/29/12 11:40pm

Pending

4/29/12 9:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9516 Memphis Grizzlies Over 106 -115* <small>vs</small> Los Angeles Clippers

**H1Cypher** · 04-29-12, 11:37 PM

Sweet day, what a game. My last live in play lost but still in the black. Yet another middle opportunity, well hedge in this case. Vinny Del Negro looks like a genius lol.

Kenny Smith preaching truth- those Memphis idiots. Down 1- you don't try to win it in the playoff there it's not a regular season game. You take the shot- you leave a small margin of clock- and then if it backfires you play the foul game. Horrible execution by Memphis in the last minute.

Action Plays: Al Jefferson Points + rebounds 27.5 Over +130 10.00 to win 13.00

Action Plays: Rajon Rondo Assists over 12.5 $11.00 to win $10.00

Action Plays: Kevin Garnett Points + Rebounds over 25 $12.50 to win$10.00

Action Plays: Clippers Over 22.5 vs Memphis Grizzlies -110 1st quarter $11.00 to win $10.00

Still mad about that Rondo prop

. If you're going to degen make sure you do it for only 10 dollars. Damn that's an 8th of kush in southern cali those 3 losses. These action plays are snap decisions it's going to be streaky. Action Plays go 1-3 bringing it to 2-3.

Action Plays: 2-3 -$12.00

Leans/Unofficial Plays: Blake Griffin Rebounds Over 10.5 +100

I might stop complicating it and just start taking the -130 picks that are more likely winners. This was still a good pick and I would not take the under on a Blake prop at -130. Leans/Unofficial Plays go 0-1. Bringing that record to 30-24.

As usual I don't tally or record any winners that I didn't post on time before the fact during the opportunity not after betting is closed. So none of those will be recorded I just like sharing and I'm going to do it through out the rest of the playoffs. Just about every game has given you several windows to middle, I might have to try to middle more games.

As you can see I am super active in my live in play bets. Betting first halves, and 1st quarters, and end of games but there's still chances to catch some better picks or just make some money you don't have to be so aggressive/degen like myself in live in play. But even in my live in play picks, I like to stick to certain times in the game where I find more success.

Official Thread Record:
Props: 12-6 +4.525units Basketball Bets: 17-11 +4.835 units
Total for the "Official" tagged bets thread: 29-17. +9.36 units
Leans/Unofficial Plays: 30-24 Units not tracked.
---------------------------------------------------------------
Cold Plays(with live in play coldplay included): 6-2-1 Profit: +3.70 units Fade Profit: -4.45 units
Cold Plays(with out coldplay live in play record): 4-1-1 Profit: +2.85 units Fade Profit: -3.20 units
Teaser Record: 1-1 +3
Labby Plays: 5-4-1 +$8.25
Action Plays:2-3 -$12.00

Check out my MLB fade plays: I went 0-2 today up 10 units fading me in under 2 weeks putting my fade on the side of all dogs and I'm hiting under .500 cause I have zero baseball knowledge.

SBR Forum - Sports Betting Talk - Sportsbook Review Forum

http://forum.sbrforum.com/newreply.php?do=newreply&noquote=1&p=14593234

Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.

**H1Cypher** · 04-30-12, 06:47 AM

Originally posted by H1Cypher

Leans/Unofficial Plays: Blake Griffin Rebounds Over 10.5 +100

I might stop complicating it and just start taking the -130 picks that are more likely winners. This was still a good pick and I would not take the under on a Blake prop at -130. Leans/Unofficial Plays go 0-1. Bringing that record to 30-24.

Official Thread Record:
Props: 12-6 +4.525units Basketball Bets: 17-11 +4.835 units
Total for the "Official" tagged bets thread: 29-17. +9.36 units
Leans/Unofficial Plays: 31-24 Units not tracked.
---------------------------------------------------------------
Cold Plays(with live in play coldplay included): 6-2-1 Profit: +3.70 units Fade Profit: -4.45 units
Cold Plays(with out coldplay live in play record): 4-1-1 Profit: +2.85 units Fade Profit: -3.20 units
Teaser Record: 1-1 +3
Labby Plays: 5-4-1 +$8.25
Action Plays:2-3 -$12.00

I forgot this one. Missed it with all my live in play clutter.

Leans/Unofficial Plays: LA Lakers -2 1st quarter vs Denver Nuggets -110

Leans/Unofficial Plays go 1-1 yesterday bringing that record to 31-24 not 30-24. Blake prop didn't work out but I still will likely come back to it at some point in the series. Laker game was a great game pre game and live in play for me.

**H1Cypher** · 04-30-12, 05:37 PM

Leans/Unofficial Plays: -5 Indiana Pacers 1st Half vs Orlando Magic -110

Magic came out and shot the ball well yesterday but the Pacers coughed up that game, if the Pacers have any heart what so ever they should be up by at least 8 at half time against this team.

I got this(I bet it) yesterday at -5 but I was hoping to get a better prop(bet a prop also, and post that instead of posting my earlier bet) but I don't like any of the props for either of the early games so I'm going with this for the pre game stuff.

I keep saying I won't talk to myself in this thread during a game(in game commentary) but end up doing it anyway.

**H1Cypher** · 04-30-12, 11:49 PM

Leans/Unofficial Plays: -5 Indiana Pacers 1st Half vs Orlando Magic -110

Leans Unofficial plays go 0-1. Thread not doing so well.

Always have one thing I am not quite fast enough. Regret not being fast enough and betting OKC/Dallas Mavs under 211 would have topped the day off nicely. Mostly live in play stickin to whats workin. If I were really sharp I could get off 1,500-2,000 on live bets in 1 game. Live bet 1st quarter, live bet half, live bet 3rd, live bet last quarter. They get graded before the next quarter is over so you can keep maxing it if you were a sharpie baller

You'll see lots of weird bets because sometimes I choose to hedge- and get rid of a risky bet when I got more money on another live bet already. I find it helps me win more money in the long run. I've tried point spreads I don't have the same success in live in play point spreads.

For example I didn't think Dallas was going into 2nd half down below 9- but I had more on the +15, and I chose to erase the +9.5 bet and just stick wit hthe +15 which was very safe at that point.

Recap of all my bets today:

4/30/2012	Spread		L	Basketball - 520 Indiana Pacers -5 -132 for 1st Half
4/30/2012	Total		L	Basketball - 9517 New York Knicks/Miami Heat under 42½ -105 for 1st Quarter
4/30/2012	Team Total		L	Basketball - 9518 Miami Heat team total under 23½ +110 for 1st Quarter
4/30/2012	Team Total	W		Basketball - 9517 New York Knicks team total over 41½ -115 for 1st Half
4/30/2012	Team Total		L	Basketball - 9517 New York Knicks team total over 23½ -120 for 2nd Quarter
4/30/2012	Team Total	W		Basketball - 9517 New York Knicks team total over 46½ -120 for 1st Half
4/30/2012	Total		L	Basketball - 9517 New York Knicks/Miami Heat under 97½ -115 for 1st Half
4/30/2012	Total		L	Basketball - 9517 New York Knicks/Miami Heat under 97½ -115 for 1st Half
4/30/2012	Spread		L	Basketball - 9520 Indiana Pacers -2 -120 for 1st Half
4/30/2012	Spread	W		Basketball - 520 Indiana Pacers -3½ -115 for 3rd Quarter
4/30/2012	Team Total		L	Basketball - 9520 Indiana Pacers team total under 27½ -115 for 3rd Quarter
4/30/2012	Team Total	W		Basketball - 9518 Miami Heat team total over 102 -115 for Game
4/30/2012	Total	W		Basketball - 9517 New York Knicks/Miami Heat over 193 -110 for Game
4/30/2012	Team Total	W		Basketball - 9518 Miami Heat team total over 100½ -115 for Game
4/30/2012	Total	W		Basketball - 9517 New York Knicks/Miami Heat over 189½ -110 for Game
4/30/2012	Team Total	W		Basketball - 9517 New York Knicks team total over 89 -115 for Game
4/30/2012	Spread			Basketball - 522 Oklahoma City Thunder (1st 6 min) -1 -120 for 1st Quarter
4/30/2012	Team Total	W		Basketball - 9522 Oklahoma City Thunder team total over 53 -115 for 1st Half
4/30/2012	Team Total		L	Basketball - 9522 Oklahoma City Thunder team total under 55½ -115 for 1st Half
4/30/2012	Spread	W		Basketball - 9521 Dallas Mavericks +9½ -115 for 1st Half
4/30/2012	Spread	W		Basketball - 9521 Dallas Mavericks +15 -115 for 1st Half
4/30/2012	Team Total	W		Basketball - 9522 Oklahoma City Thunder team total over 56 -115 for 1st Half
4/30/2012	Spread		L	Basketball - 9522 Oklahoma City Thunder -9 -110 for 1st Half
4/30/2012	Money Line (EL)	W		Basketball - 521 DAL scores 10 points first -105 for 2nd Half
4/30/2012	Total		L	Basketball - 9521 Dallas Mavericks/Oklahoma City Thunder over 205½ -110 for Game
4/30/2012	Total	W		Basketball - 9521 Dallas Mavericks/Oklahoma City Thunder under 202½ -110 for Game
4/30/2012	Team Total	W		Basketball - 9522 Oklahoma City Thunder team total under 105½ -115 for Game

Official Thread Record:
Props: 12-6 +4.525units Basketball Bets: 17-11 +4.835 units
Total for the "Official" tagged bets thread: 29-17. +9.36 units
Leans/Unofficial Plays: 31-25 Units not tracked.
---------------------------------------------------------------
Cold Plays(with live in play coldplay included): 6-2-1 Profit: +3.70 units Fade Profit: -4.45 units
Cold Plays(with out coldplay live in play record): 4-1-1 Profit: +2.85 units Fade Profit: -3.20 units
Teaser Record: 1-1 +3
Labby Plays: 5-4-1 +$8.25
Action Plays:2-3 -$12.00

**H1Cypher** · 05-01-12, 05:07 PM

Drive to the Finals the fans usually do well in the early rounds kinda like I said. They were wrong with Al Jefferson and Carmelo Anthony(actually they had 1-1 Melo in game 1 he had a big rebounding game that day) in their respective game 1s.... but they had Dirk Nowitzki(10% owned which was a high percentage that day) game 1 and 2 picked. They had Carmelo Anthony game 2 correct(over 24% drive to the finals players had him intheir slots for game 2).

Josh Smith Game 1(19% owned in drive to the finals), and his odds were +140 and it hit no problem. Game 2 Josh Smith(15% owned) now chalk is at -150.

So far if I go by Drive to the Finals %s played I'd be at least 5-2. In the early rounds fans are good at killing it.

I'm gonna start tracking the fans results- day 1 and 2 they did well.

Let's see how they do in day 3; if they get enough right thats 3 winning days for the fans if the majority were bettors: These are Drive to the finals top picks for today(nba fan game to win that auto trader car package for fans)

J. Smith (15%)
P. Pierce (12%)
J. Holiday (10%)
K. Bryant (8%)
K. Garnett (8%)

Props I noticed Luol Deng over 16 points -145.

**H1Cypher** · 05-01-12, 06:16 PM

Leans/Unofficial Plays: Paul Pierce over 21 points -145

Had I gotten to this sooner I know I could have locked it in at better odds. Right after I got it it moved to -155. Not a big bet but I'm sticking to live in play- stickin to whats working.

**H1Cypher** · 05-01-12, 08:11 PM

Playing on an Ipad, using wifi my internet cut off and I missed a chance to hedge and win more money. 2/3 though with some luck I guess.

5/1/12 9:02pm	Win for me	Pending	5/1/12 8:05pm Live In-Play Basketball 9525 Philadelphia 76ers/Chicago Bulls 1st Half Over 94 -115*

5/1/12 8:39pm	Win for Me	Pending	5/1/12 8:05pm Live In-Play Basketball 9525 Philadelphia 76ers 1st Half Over 46½ -115* <small>vs</small> Chicago Bulls

5/1/12 8:32pm	Loss for me	Pending	5/1/12 8:05pm Live In-Play Basketball 9525 Philadelphia 76ers/Chicago Bulls 1st Half Under 97½ -115*

**H1Cypher** · 05-01-12, 09:21 PM

5/1/12 10:10pm	Win	Pending	5/1/12 8:05pm Live In-Play Basketball 9525 Philadelphia 76ers Over 104½ -115* <small>vs</small> Chicago Bulls

5/1/12 10:00pm	Loss	Pending	5/1/12 8:05pm Live In-Play Basketball 9525 Philadelphia 76ers Under 104½ -115* <small>vs</small> Chicago Bulls

5/1/12 9:43pm	Win	Pending	5/1/12 8:05pm Live In-Play Basketball 9525 Philadelphia 76ers Over 98 -115* <small>vs</small> Chicago Bulls

1 game 4/6 I'll take it. 2/3 per half.

Iguodola has not alot of lift left lol at them talking about his dunk during the 3rd quarter.

**H1Cypher** · 05-01-12, 10:47 PM

5/1/2012	Spread			Basketball - 528 Los Angeles Lakers (1st 6 min) -1 -115 for 1st Quarter
5/1/2012	Team Total	Win		Basketball - 528 Los Angeles Lakers (1st 6 min) team total over 13 -105 for 1st Quarter
5/1/2012	Total	Win		Basketball - 9527 Denver Nuggets/Los Angeles Lakers over 53 -115 for 1st Quarter
5/1/2012	Total	Win		Basketball - 9527 Denver Nuggets/Los Angeles Lakers under 103½ -115 for 1st Half
5/1/2012	Total		Loss	Basketball - 9527 Denver Nuggets/Los Angeles Lakers over 107½ -115 for 1st Half
5/1/2012	Total	Win		Basketball - 9527 Denver Nuggets/Los Angeles Lakers under 106 -115 for 1st Half

I admit I got lucky this time. Should have been over 103 under 107.5 and under 106- allowing me to go 2 out of 3. Instead of I went with under 103.5 Under 106, and over 107.5- but still went 2/3 for the half. 1/1 for the quarter. Got the pre game bets with the Lakers which I've done all season long with both la teams if I see an edge. What luck though with those 3 decisions in the 1st half!

I got unlucky wih that -1 though, that was a winner. Refs called a foul allowing Denver to get 2 free ones with 9 seconds to go- Lakers scored at 5:54 or something. Were up big in the 1st for most of it- real unlucky timing for that push.

**H1Cypher** · 05-02-12, 12:23 AM

Didn't like the way the totals were for the 2nd half. Bookmakers refused to come down below 201 even when it was under pace to be at 199 or so late in the 4th when I like to bet it which was odd; I know bookmakers anticipate fouls too but the pace wasn't at 201 yet another sharp total for live in play from the bookmakers but it can't stop me from winning(regular season totals weren't this sharp for live in play)- kept putting up 106 for Lakers- when it should have been a lower number.

That last second shot by Faried was a bummer could have been a really good 2nd half for me. I always have 1 regret when live in playing win or lose and this time it was not betting Nuggets +11.5 and +10.5 late in the 4th I wanted to bet it but then they made a run and thought damn missed my chance. Then Lakers made a run and +10.5 was up 2nd chance- and I passed again ahh snap.

5/1/2012	Team Total		Loss	Basketball - 9527 Denver Nuggets team total under 97½ -130 for Game
5/1/2012	Team Total	Win		Basketball - 9528 Los Angeles Lakers team total under 106 -115 for Game
5/1/2012	Total			Basketball - 9527 Denver Nuggets/Los Angeles Lakers under 204 -110 for Game
5/1/2012	Total	Win		Basketball - 9527 Denver Nuggets/Los Angeles Lakers over 201½ -110 for Game

NBA Drive to the Finals fans killinng it today like I suspected!!!! 4/5, would have went 5/5 if Josh Smith didn't get injured. Fans that don't bet money are good =p. 3 winning days in a row since the start of playoffs- they make of us forum posters look bad so far. I'll recap those in my next post.

I got lucky last time, I got unlucky twice in this game. Could have been a huge game for me then again could have been a bad game too so I'll take it: I haven't forgotten about the Sixers earlier today or what happened in the 1st half =p. I don't only focus on my unlucky moments.

Gallinari Jump Shot: Missed	00:03.9
Faried Rebound (Off:6 Def:4)	00:02.5
Faried Tip Shot: Made (14 PTS)	00:02.3 [DEN 100-104]
End of 4th Quarter

**H1Cypher** · 05-02-12, 02:50 PM

Leans/Unofficial Plays: Paul Pierce over 21 points -145

Hit em up in the regular season when Allen was out and he came through. No Rondo even better situational spot. After I hit it it went to -155 but went right back to -145 shortly. Loss one, win one- that's how it's going for my posted plays.

Official Thread Record:
Props: 12-6 +4.525units Basketball Bets: 17-11 +4.835 units
Total for the "Official" tagged bets thread: 29-17. +9.36 units
Leans/Unofficial Plays: 32-25 Units not tracked.
---------------------------------------------------------------
Cold Plays(with live in play coldplay included): 6-2-1 Profit: +3.70 units Fade Profit: -4.45 units
Cold Plays(with out coldplay live in play record): 4-1-1 Profit: +2.85 units Fade Profit: -3.20 units
Teaser Record: 1-1 +3
Labby Plays: 5-4-1 +$8.25
Action Plays:2-3 -$12.00

J. Smith (15%) = 1/3 prop wins
P. Pierce (12%) = 2/2 prop wins
J. Holiday (10%) = 2/2 prop wins
K. Bryant (8%) = 2/2 prop wins
K. Garnett (8%) =2/3 prop wins
Total is 9/12 props won for Drive to the finals fans!

Yesterday these were and with them came a third day where Drive to the Finals fans had a winning player prop day. Killed it yesterday actually. Player props fluctuate alot most of them open around from + money to -105 to -135 and then fluctuate wildly during the day. Like J Smith was -150 when I looked but dropped down to -125 for a couple hours before tip.

3027 J.Smith points over 19½(LOSS), 3029 J.Smith rebound over/under 11(WIN), 3031 J.Smith points+rebounds over 30(LOSS) = 1/3 Josh Smith, would be 3/3 if it wasn't for the ankle injury- he needed 2 more points for the 30.
K.Garnett points over 17½ / 3016 K.Garnett points under 17½ Loss
K.Garnett points+rebounds over 26½ Win
3019 K.Garnett FT's made over 3½ Win
3021 P.Pierce points over 21 Win
3023 P.Pierce FT's made over 4½ Win
3117 J.Holiday points over 13½ WIN
3119 J.Holiday points+assists over 19 WIN
3223 K.Bryant points over 28 WIN
3225 K.Bryant points+assists over 33½ WIN

Most of these I noticed at -120 or even and alot of them were +100 or better at some point during the day. Drive to the Finals Fans going for winning day number 4 out of 4. Will these fans continue to kill the player props? I dunno, should be interesting though.

When I was playing fantasy basketball 3 years ago I really feel I would have been a better prop bettor, not that I'm bad now but I just feel 3 years ago I would have been much better.

I'm also playing the game I don't expect to win. 2 years ago I was in the top 100(and in the top 15 at some point during the playoffs out of thousands of people) in my first and only try, and the NBA finals killed me didn't pick any of the right players - and all my guys had horrible shooting performances when I picked em.

I'm 3/3(didn't make a selection on sunday) in the game yet the player props I post only go 50/50. It's the pressure of being correct. I wanna post absolute winners- so I post my safest picks for that day. And what happens? You have to think out of the box is what happens. No pressure = easier to pick I guess.

Sat 04/28
Player Info
Dirk Nowitzki #41 Mavericks

Final Score

32 Points

Points: 25
Rebounds: 5
Assists: 2

Daily Point Leaders:

D. Rose (41)
L. James (39)
R. Westbrook (37)
K. Durant (35)
D. Nowitzki (32)

Sun 04/29
Games Locked

Daily Point Leaders:

J. Smith (44)
T. Parker (40)
K. Bryant (40)
K. Garnett (35)
R. Rondo (35)

Playing it right now too. Player Info
Carmelo Anthony #7 Knicks

Final Score - Daily Point Leader

40 Points

Points: 30
Rebounds: 9
Assists: 1

Daily Point Leaders:

C. Anthony (40)
D. Nowitzki (38)
K. Durant (37)
L. James (35)
R. Westbrook (33)

Tue 05/01
Player Info
Paul Pierce #34 Celtics

Final Score - Daily Point Leader

54 Points

Points: 36
Rebounds: 14
Assists: 4

Daily Point Leaders:

P. Pierce (54)
K. Bryant (44)
A. Bynum (38)
J. Holiday (34)
J. Noah (34

I'm playing the game for fun. Even if I do insanely well(because I have before) in the 1st round I don't expect to win. I didn't lock in a player on day 2 was too busy worrying about real bets missed my chance, and the games had started. Those are my picks for the drive to the finals fantasy game- Dirk(day1), no pick(missed it was busy betting), melo(day 3), Pierce(day 4). All 3 picks were player prop winners also that night(dirk, Pierce, and Melo).

Let's see how the fans do in day 4. Their picks for today:

Hot Picks:

A. Jefferson (22%)
P. Millsap (17%)
R. Gay (10%)
T. Parker (10%)
G. Davis (9%)

Blake Griffin and Chris Paul both at 6% get honorable mentions.

**H1Cypher** · 05-02-12, 04:27 PM

Action Plays: Al Jefferson Points + rebounds Over 27.5 -115 $23.00 to win $20.00

He played bad in the first game, and the Spurs locked him down. Alot of his points were meaningless points. He didn't have a good game in my opinion so I dunno if he turns it around in San Antonio or in in Utah. Going back to this cause I lost game 1 Jefferson prop that is my main reason. Those are the odds at 5dimes right now I think they could fluctuate and get them at + but for a 20 dollar bet it doesn't matter for me.

Thinking about that clipper game will stick to live in play how I usually do. I also like Tony Parkere points + assists prop over 28. Harris is a fast guard but I think Tony showed what he can do in game 1 against this team.

**H1Cypher** · 05-02-12, 07:12 PM

That was a dirty 1st half one as has been in the playoffs.

5/2/12 8:03pm	Win	Pending	5/2/12 7:05pm Live In-Play Basketball 9530 San Antonio Spurs 1st Half Over 48½ -115* <small>vs</small> Utah Jazz

5/2/12 8:03pm	Loss	Pending	5/2/12 7:05pm Live In-Play Basketball 9529 Utah Jazz 1st Half Over 32½ -115* <small>vs</small> San Antonio Spurs

5/2/12 8:02pm	Win	Pending	5/2/12 7:05pm Live In-Play Basketball 9529 Utah Jazz/San Antonio Spurs 1st Half Over 80½ -120*

5/2/12 7:53pm	Loss	Pending	5/2/12 7:05pm Live In-Play Basketball 9529 Utah Jazz/San Antonio Spurs 1st Half Over 88½ +100*
5/2/12 7:53pm	Win	Pending	5/2/12 7:05pm Live In-Play Basketball 9530 San Antonio Spurs 1st Half Over 48 -115* <small>vs</small> Utah Jazz

5/2/12 7:51pm		Pending	5/2/12 7:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9532 Orlando Magic Under 86½ -115* <small>vs</small> Indiana Pacers

**H1Cypher** · 05-02-12, 08:26 PM

Action Plays: Memphis vs Clippers Largest Lead Under 16.5 -115 $11.50 to win $10.00
Chris Paul Points + Assists Over 28.5 -145 $14.50 to win $10.00
Chris Paul Assists Over 9.5 +100 $10.00 to win $10.00

No bets pre game may as well throw away another 30 dollars on props before the game. 5 minutes before the game starts I need something to bet on =p.

**H1Cypher** · 05-02-12, 08:41 PM

Action Plays:
Clippers vs Grizzlies 1st Quarter Over 47 -105 $10.50 to win $10.00
Clippers 1st Quarter Over 22 -110 $5.50 to win $5.00

I'm a cheap degenerate but at least I know when not to bet big =p.

**H1Cypher** · 05-02-12, 09:14 PM

It seems like I'm getting lucky every time I live in play. But like the boxer who lands the KO punch- if you train for it and you land it. How can it be luck?

5/2/12 10:07pm	Win	Pending	5/2/12 9:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9534 Memphis Grizzlies 1st Quarter +4½ +100* <small>vs</small> Los Angeles Clippers

5/2/12 10:06pm	Win	Pending	5/2/12 9:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9534 Memphis Grizzlies 1st Quarter +4½ -125* <small>vs</small> Los Angeles Clippers

5/2/12 10:00pm	Loss	Pending	5/2/12 9:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9533 Los Angeles Clippers/Memphis Grizzlies 1st Quarter Under 48½ -115*

**H1Cypher** · 05-02-12, 09:17 PM

5dimes is playing bull shit games for live in play during play offs. I've never seen this where they consistently anticipate the score- meaning they adjust their totals as the game continues. Like a team total will be 27.5 for 1st quarter- 1st half total will be 53.5. That team will only score say 27 for a quarter- and the next team total is a half point higher. Just some weird stuff I've noticed since the playoffs- they are more proactiv in adjusting the lines and making them sharper I guess. Seems that way at least.

For example. If a teams total is 27.5 and t hey only score 27 points- and you hung 53.5 1st half. Now that the 1st quarter is over- and they only have 27 instead of 28- why is the new halftime total for that team 54 instead of 53? Hypothetical example, just wanna show the math how their totals are adjusted in ways that have made me scratch my head.

Like Clippers didn't exceed the hung total during the 1st quarter- but the next halftime score was higher than their team total- whey were on pace for a higher 1st quarter. So when they were on pace for a higher score- and didn't hit the total you hung at that time- the total is now higher than before? even though they scored less than your anticipated- what kinda bull shit you trying to pull?!?