My NBA Picks Round 1.

**H1Cypher** · 05-12-12, 10:49 PM

5/12/12 11:40pm	Win	Pending	5/12/12 10:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9747 Denver Nuggets/Los Angeles Lakers 1st Half Over 89 -130*

5/12/12 11:30pm	Win	Pending	5/12/12 10:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9747 Denver Nuggets/Los Angeles Lakers 1st Half Under 96 +100*

GOAL!!!!!

00:01.0	Bynum Jump Shot: Missed
	00:00.4	Gasol Rebound (Off:3 Def:4)
	00:00.2 [LAL 48-42]	Gasol Putback Layup Shot: Made (13 PTS)

**H1Cypher** · 05-13-12, 12:26 AM

5/13/12 12:53am		Loss	Pending	5/12/12 10:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9748 Los Angeles Lakers Under 95 -115* <small>vs</small> Denver Nuggets

5/13/12 12:46am	Win		Pending	5/12/12 10:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9747 Denver Nuggets/Los Angeles Lakers Under 186½ -110*

5/13/12 12:19am	Win		Pending	5/12/12 10:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9747 Denver Nuggets +13½ +100* <small>vs</small> Los Angeles Lakers

Ruined a clean sweep. What was that 2 for 2 for the first game, and 4/5 in the 2nd game. With results like this why bother betting pre game. I made a mistake obviously at the end there. When I bet Lakers under 95 total was still 186. Stupid ass tried to get all sharp at the end of the game

. Karl and his fouling ways they just had to do it. Ah well, shoulda bet that over 182 had a feeling this would happen in the last minute. Other than that last error another day of just crushing these numbers

If the Lakers lost I was thinking to myself: Well at least I'll make more money cause the Nuggets are a much more live in play friendly team.

**Bdolan33** · 05-13-12, 12:42 AM

Any leans on tomorrows two games brother?

**H1Cypher** · 05-13-12, 04:38 AM

Originally posted by Bdolan33

Any leans on tomorrows two games brother?

I've been sticking to live in play can't you tell? I stopped doing picks pretty much a day or two into the playoffs. Pre game I expect Memphis to win game 7 and win the series. I called Memphis to win the series and I still think they will win it. Memphis is the better team, they are getting better meanwhile the Clippers luck is running out. Memphis has figured out the Clippers and has outplayed them for most of the series in my eyes. It's gonna take a great shooting performance and a great game from CP3.... or a great defensive effort with the Grizzlies missing shots. Grizzlies are clearly the deeper team and this series could easily be over 4-2 Grizz right now.

Who knows I could look like an idiot with the prediction, but it won't matter cause I'll be doing all my betting in game. Look at all the last couple of pages of stuff it's all live in play bets. I use 5dimes and bet at commercial intervals. I'd be a dote to bet point spreads when I can easily get a much better number live in play betting. And in general my specialty is live in play totals.

**Bdolan33** · 05-13-12, 04:58 AM

Originally posted by H1Cypher

I've been sticking to live in play can't you tell? I stopped doing picks pretty much a day or two into the playoffs. Pre game I expect Memphis to win game 7 and win the series. I called Memphis to win the series and I still think they will win it. Memphis is the better team, they are getting better meanwhile the Clippers luck is running out. Memphis has figured out the Clippers and has outplayed them for most of the series in my eyes. It's gonna take a great shooting performance and a great game from CP3.... or a great defensive effort with the Grizzlies missing shots. Grizzlies are clearly the deeper team and this series could easily be over 4-2 Grizz right now.

Who knows I could look like an idiot with the prediction, but it won't matter cause I'll be doing all my betting in game. Look at all the last couple of pages of stuff it's all live in play bets. I use 5dimes and bet at commercial intervals. I'd be a dote to bet point spreads when I can easily get a much better number live in play betting. And in general my specialty is live in play totals.

I know your style cypher, was basically just asking your strategy going into tomorrow. Are you looking for a Grizzlies lead to jump on the Clippers? A Clippers lead to jump on the Grizz? A fast start to jump on the unders?

**H1Cypher** · 05-13-12, 05:23 AM

Originally posted by Bdolan33

I know your style cypher, was basically just asking your strategy going into tomorrow. Are you looking for a Grizzlies lead to jump on the Clippers? A Clippers lead to jump on the Grizz? A fast start to jump on the unders?

Difficult to answer. I use a combination of things when I live in play. If one doesn't work the other will.

If one team jumps on another I will not play the point spread unless it is for the first half. I mean... I can't tell you what I expect. I just play it by ear. If I absolutely had to tell you what I expect it's this.... but what I expect is irrelevant. I'll explain both(what I expect), and why it's irrelevant.

I expect that if the Clippers jump on the Grizzlies betting the point spread will be very difficult. Because the number will likely not be inflated enough. You'll be getting small + numbers because the books expect Memphis to go into the game with the lead.

If the Grizzlies jump on the Clippers early which is more likely to happen then there will be live in play opportunities. The key is figuring out when to bet it. I usually look at the prop the largest lead margin. So if pre game the prop was set at 14 and I'll expect that to be closer to the peak. More so in this game because it is game 7.

Why is this irrelevant? Because i've realized in the PLAYOFFS it's more about timing.

It doesn't matter what I expect because if the commercial isn't on at the right time it's gonna be difficult for me.

Okay what do I expect. I expect that if the first quarter starts off with both teams shooting well you'll be able to get a 1st half under.

If the 1st quarter starts off with both teams shooting badly you should be able to get a 1st half over once the numbers drop low. This is all based on commercials if I can get a 1st quarter line of 30-41 I might bet the over depending on what I see- it's difficult to tell you how I'll live in play bet a game when it hasn't even happened yet- you know?

If the line is around 44 for the 1st quarter total points for both it'll probably be a no play. If they go over big in the 1st quarter I'll look for an under in the 1st half. If I can get a team total to get close to 56 or better I might take the under depending on how much time is remaining.

For example today, When the Sixers jumped out to an early lead and I saw that that number of 51(52 is a loser) I thought that was a great number. For the Grizz I'll need a number above 54-55 to keep it safe so I can bet the under. Numbers between 53-55 are might be no plays. Numbers between 50-52 I'll consider. Numbers between 41-49(though 46-49 is still in the 'no play, I'll consider' range) I'll likely be playing the overs. I think there is a possibility we will even get to see a total in the 30s for a team, maybe the Clippers.(see triple edit)

Definitely if they jump out to an early scoring run I can wait for it to peak and take an under. Better yet if one team goes on a scoring binge I might target their team total and try to go over / under and hit a middle. I like to do that alot(if you know my style =p).

I probably haven't answered your question or maybe I have. Reply and lemme know I can try again =p.

Edit:
Best case scenario would be for the Clippers to allow the Grizzlies to jump on them early. That way there is a big offensive 1st quarter. When the benches come out there will more likely be opportunities at an under. If the game is ugly early you'll be more conflicted what to bet. I don't expect either team to stay hot for a full game. It's the playoffs you can consistently target high totals and bet unders and win money. Even the Spurs had several moments where there team totals were over inflated cause they got out to runs early- and can't sustain it in a 7 game series. Allowing you to actually farm it and make money.

When people talk about this play has to win 60% of the time to be profitable; this isn't poker you won't be getting that huge a sample size in. I laugh at that. Like the Denver play vs the Lakers today. It's 1 game. Well in this case you're betting a score, and if you notice every single series has a pattern to it. I'm not assuming well this play has to hit this % of the time. I already have field data that is telling me what is likely to happen. That's what has happened in the games in this series thus far.

Double Edit:

If the Clippers jump on the Grizzlies early target them for unders also. The grizz will be looking to lock them down so if you can get a big total for either team go with the under. This might be more difficult cause their numbers might not be as inflated if they were to go under this speculated run. It works both ways really.

Playoff style is based on series to series pattern to pattern. If the Bulls go on a dry run I'm still not gonna bet the over in their 1st half. If the Clippers, Nuggets, heat, etc. teams with offense go on a dry run this gives me a chance to wait for the right time to get an over on their team total. And will hit 2/3 times in a series.

Triple Edit:
Numbers between 41-49(though 46-49 is still in the 'no play, I'll consider' range) I'll likely be playing the overs. I think there is a possibility we will even get to see a total in the 30s for a team, maybe the Clippers.(see triple edit)
Well seeing as how the totals are set so low for this game. Anything above 50 is an under. Anything between 44-50 is for the Clippers is a no play unless it is late in the game. Anything between 44-50 matter of fact is a no play unless it's later in the 2nd half. So if the totals are set this low and the grizzlies are -7.5 then you should be able to snag a Clippers OVER somewhere in the 30s. Bookies get pigheaded and like to stick to their totals early in the game. More so in these playoffs. Can't blame them they got more sharp numbers it seems.

I really never hold myself to a specific number. I'm trying to explain what I will bet on- and the event hasn't happened. I just have a feel for it. Once a team looks really bad. Like it can't get any worse for them. Well bing! This is the time to bet the over. Lol, they will pick it up they are professionals trust me.

Didn't notice the totals for the game were set so low. I kinda stopped bothering looking at totals pre game lol a week ago hehe. You can cross reference the covers scoreboard with the 5dimes scoreboard. When you think the total is at it's peak- and that is usually because of 1 team. Bet the under for that team in the 1st half. I have yet to see a first half with exclusively 1 unders or overs. Also understand, the bookmakers are trying to not get middled but there will be a shot at some point. Usually they are good about it though like they'll hang 4 numbers 3 will go over or under and just 1 will go the opposite.

That is why I saw a total of 96.5 then a total of 96 today in that Laker game. it should have been Total for first half 96.5, then 94(when I bet 96- it should have definitely been 94 or 95, but they were being stubborn and expected the pace to pick back up after slowing down... notice the next commercial these idiots dropped it to 89). When they are stubborn- and are wrong it's a great thing.

Fixed some typos sorry.

**H1Cypher** · 05-13-12, 11:57 AM

I had this idea yesterday. Risky idea. With games like this I just bet largest lead under 16.5 -115 to win 50 dollars. If I lose it's not a big deal I'll just double up on the point spread once a team goes down by the right amount. If they are never down by more than 16 then I win rather easily. If they are down by a bigger number I can get in another bet. Will see how it goes. Won't be a big loss if I lose but I can't pass up a chance to like a genius or an idiot depending on how you look at it ;p.

**H1Cypher** · 05-13-12, 12:25 PM

Obviously not the best case scenario. With numbers like this I'm gonna wait until I think they drop to their absolute lowest or just bet it as late in the half as I possibly can. Totals last commercial 60 seconds ago were 38.5 and 39.5(grizz).. 76.5 for both teams o/u 1st half.

Could just skip this half in general I don't feel comfortable betting unders when the totals of the game were 176 pre and now are 167 and dropping. Depends on the number I can get here obviously.

**Bdolan33** · 05-13-12, 12:30 PM

Originally posted by H1Cypher

Difficult to answer. I use a combination of things when I live in play. If one doesn't work the other will.

If one team jumps on another I will not play the point spread unless it is for the first half. I mean... I can't tell you what I expect. I just play it by ear. If I absolutely had to tell you what I expect it's this.... but what I expect is irrelevant. I'll explain both(what I expect), and why it's irrelevant.

I expect that if the Clippers jump on the Grizzlies betting the point spread will be very difficult. Because the number will likely not be inflated enough. You'll be getting small + numbers because the books expect Memphis to go into the game with the lead.

If the Grizzlies jump on the Clippers early which is more likely to happen then there will be live in play opportunities. The key is figuring out when to bet it. I usually look at the prop the largest lead margin. So if pre game the prop was set at 14 and I'll expect that to be closer to the peak. More so in this game because it is game 7.

Why is this irrelevant? Because i've realized in the PLAYOFFS it's more about timing.

It doesn't matter what I expect because if the commercial isn't on at the right time it's gonna be difficult for me.

Okay what do I expect. I expect that if the first quarter starts off with both teams shooting well you'll be able to get a 1st half under.

If the 1st quarter starts off with both teams shooting badly you should be able to get a 1st half over once the numbers drop low. This is all based on commercials if I can get a 1st quarter line of 30-41 I might bet the over depending on what I see- it's difficult to tell you how I'll live in play bet a game when it hasn't even happened yet- you know?

If the line is around 44 for the 1st quarter total points for both it'll probably be a no play. If they go over big in the 1st quarter I'll look for an under in the 1st half. If I can get a team total to get close to 56 or better I might take the under depending on how much time is remaining.

For example today, When the Sixers jumped out to an early lead and I saw that that number of 51(52 is a loser) I thought that was a great number. For the Grizz I'll need a number above 54-55 to keep it safe so I can bet the under. Numbers between 53-55 are might be no plays. Numbers between 50-52 I'll consider. Numbers between 41-49(though 46-49 is still in the 'no play, I'll consider' range) I'll likely be playing the overs. I think there is a possibility we will even get to see a total in the 30s for a team, maybe the Clippers.(see triple edit)

Definitely if they jump out to an early scoring run I can wait for it to peak and take an under. Better yet if one team goes on a scoring binge I might target their team total and try to go over / under and hit a middle. I like to do that alot(if you know my style =p).

I probably haven't answered your question or maybe I have. Reply and lemme know I can try again =p.

Edit:
Best case scenario would be for the Clippers to allow the Grizzlies to jump on them early. That way there is a big offensive 1st quarter. When the benches come out there will more likely be opportunities at an under. If the game is ugly early you'll be more conflicted what to bet. I don't expect either team to stay hot for a full game. It's the playoffs you can consistently target high totals and bet unders and win money. Even the Spurs had several moments where there team totals were over inflated cause they got out to runs early- and can't sustain it in a 7 game series. Allowing you to actually farm it and make money.

When people talk about this play has to win 60% of the time to be profitable; this isn't poker you won't be getting that huge a sample size in. I laugh at that. Like the Denver play vs the Lakers today. It's 1 game. Well in this case you're betting a score, and if you notice every single series has a pattern to it. I'm not assuming well this play has to hit this % of the time. I already have field data that is telling me what is likely to happen. That's what has happened in the games in this series thus far.

Double Edit:

If the Clippers jump on the Grizzlies early target them for unders also. The grizz will be looking to lock them down so if you can get a big total for either team go with the under. This might be more difficult cause their numbers might not be as inflated if they were to go under this speculated run. It works both ways really.

Playoff style is based on series to series pattern to pattern. If the Bulls go on a dry run I'm still not gonna bet the over in their 1st half. If the Clippers, Nuggets, heat, etc. teams with offense go on a dry run this gives me a chance to wait for the right time to get an over on their team total. And will hit 2/3 times in a series.

Triple Edit:
Numbers between 41-49(though 46-49 is still in the 'no play, I'll consider' range) I'll likely be playing the overs. I think there is a possibility we will even get to see a total in the 30s for a team, maybe the Clippers.(see triple edit)
Well seeing as how the totals are set so low for this game. Anything above 50 is an under. Anything between 44-50 is for the Clippers is a no play unless it is late in the game. Anything between 44-50 matter of fact is a no play unless it's later in the 2nd half. So if the totals are set this low and the grizzlies are -7.5 then you should be able to snag a Clippers OVER somewhere in the 30s. Bookies get pigheaded and like to stick to their totals early in the game. More so in these playoffs. Can't blame them they got more sharp numbers it seems.

I really never hold myself to a specific number. I'm trying to explain what I will bet on- and the event hasn't happened. I just have a feel for it. Once a team looks really bad. Like it can't get any worse for them. Well bing! This is the time to bet the over. Lol, they will pick it up they are professionals trust me.

Didn't notice the totals for the game were set so low. I kinda stopped bothering looking at totals pre game lol a week ago hehe. You can cross reference the covers scoreboard with the 5dimes scoreboard. When you think the total is at it's peak- and that is usually because of 1 team. Bet the under for that team in the 1st half. I have yet to see a first half with exclusively 1 unders or overs. Also understand, the bookmakers are trying to not get middled but there will be a shot at some point. Usually they are good about it though like they'll hang 4 numbers 3 will go over or under and just 1 will go the opposite.

That is why I saw a total of 96.5 then a total of 96 today in that Laker game. it should have been Total for first half 96.5, then 94(when I bet 96- it should have definitely been 94 or 95, but they were being stubborn and expected the pace to pick back up after slowing down... notice the next commercial these idiots dropped it to 89). When they are stubborn- and are wrong it's a great thing.

Fixed some typos sorry.

This guy knows his stuff

**H1Cypher** · 05-13-12, 12:34 PM

These 2nd quarter bets are always speculation 72, 43 for this quarter or not? 36.5 for Clips, Grizz 36.5? You can gamble here or you can bet no money and gamble that it still has time to drop lower. I don't bet inbetween quarters unless I have strong leans and for from this 1st quarter - I have no strong leans on how the next quarter will go. Still waiting it out until later in the half.
With gun to head Grizz over 36 is the play but really it's a no play.

**H1Cypher** · 05-13-12, 12:45 PM

See now total for both is 69. Still dropping. Now comes the skill knowing when to bet it; here or the next commercial. This game is really ugly. If it goes by the identity of what these 2 teams have done in the series. It will pick back up again before the half ends. I'm waiting for around the 6 minute mark to make my bet if I make 1 at all.

Edit: Problem with betting the under in this 1t half is the total didn't gradually go down giving me a chance to track it and bet it. Teams came out and within the firsts 6 minutes cut 10 points off the original total leaving my hands tied. If they had just slowly missed buckets instead of coming out like gangbusters on defense and like shit on offense I wouldn't be so conflicted.

This is like a Bulls defensive effort in that Sixer series.

**H1Cypher** · 05-13-12, 12:52 PM

+4 or -4 not a big enough 1st half margin. I've been keeping my real high percentage plays when it comes to point spreads and +4 is not a high percentage move even though it'll prolly hit. No team totals up for 5:55 in the 1st half looks like I'm leaving this 1st half with no bets placed.

**Bdolan33** · 05-13-12, 01:04 PM

interesting im keeping an eye on this one

**H1Cypher** · 05-13-12, 01:15 PM

Over 69, 71, ,and 73.5 totals I saw but under 76 and under 80 which was earlier in the 1st quarter. Uhm, yeah I said what to play but I didn't pull the trigger this time so I'm sitting here sucking my thumb wondering why I didn't win a bet in that first half

5/13/12 12:53pm

Pending

5/13/12 12:55pm Props Basketball 7114 Largest lead under 16½ points -115* vs Largest lead over 16½ points

At least I got something to show for the game. Genius.

**JOSHKROTCHNECK** · 05-13-12, 01:20 PM

Originally posted by H1Cypher

Over 69, 71, ,and 73.5 totals I saw but under 76 and under 80 which was earlier in the 1st quarter. Uhm, yeah I said what to play but I didn't pull the trigger this time so I'm sitting here sucking my thumb wondering why I didn't win a bet in that first half

5/13/12 12:53pm

Pending

5/13/12 12:55pm Props Basketball 7114 Largest lead under 16½ points -115* vs Largest lead over 16½ points

At least I got something to show for the game. Genius.

Nice, you liking anything totals wise ? I grabbed clippers plus 8

**H1Cypher** · 05-13-12, 02:01 PM

Originally posted by JOSHKROTCHNECK

Nice, you liking anything totals wise ? I grabbed clippers plus 8

I assume you mean 2nd half. No, I actually do look at the 2nd half totals alot but didn't even get a chance to look at it this time. I'm answering live in play questions =p not pre game questions. Live in play is my specialty I am a beast of beasts in live in play.

I didn't hve a lean this time, but I didn't even get a chance to see it. TMI, I had a bowel movement felt like a horse kicked me in the gut and I had to use the restroom at 6 minutes in that 2nd quarter. Sat through the quarter but had to drop some bombs at halftime.

4th quarters might be the most tricky quarter because of the end game. I would not rec. betting on a total going into the 4th quarter before it starts because the last 2 minutes of the game are a result of the point differential. if one team has a big lead the end game will be totally different from a 2 point lead, where as a 6 point lead again is totally different from the end game in a 2 point game or a 10 point game. One of the reasons 4th quarters take on identities of their own.

**H1Cypher** · 05-13-12, 02:05 PM

I pay close attention to team totals in the 4th quarter. Before the last couple minutes of the game you might be able to get a really sweet number for a team.

**Bdolan33** · 05-13-12, 02:06 PM

Over/under is 158 right now

**H1Cypher** · 05-13-12, 02:10 PM

I don't see myself placing any bets here either unless a team can get out to a bigger lead. In a close game you don't expect fouls but if the team gets out to a 5 point lead in the last minute the game will change and there will be fouls.

You'll find yourself having bet the under thinking- they won't foul the game is too close.

Basically what I'm saying is the closer the score the more unpredictable the results at the end of the game. This game has been razor close. If I see a number that is too low because of defensive pressure then I can bet that.

Oh Clippers getting out to a lead as I type this. That is a good thing. I'm signing off until the end of the 4th quarter this end game moment takes the most focus for me.

**H1Cypher** · 05-13-12, 02:13 PM

Leaning under 81 for Clippers. Still way too much time to bet totals. Any surge can potentially screw you with the foul game. But defensive pressure can lead to lower totals. There will still be commercials 8 minutes to go wait it out.

Take the +5 Grizzlies point spread now that is the only play for this promo.

**H1Cypher** · 05-13-12, 02:20 PM

I haven't chosen anything yet it's looking like I will end up playing the spread instead of the total for this end game. I'm rooting for a commercial Clippers are up 8 please be a commercial with them still up by 8 or more =p.

Commercial timing has been absolutely terrible in this game. over 8 minutes ot play, an eternity commercial. Now there is almost 4 minutes to play and I haven't seen any commercials. 1 more commercial 4-6 minute mark would be great but it's just not happening. See what I mean about timing being so essential.

**JOSHKROTCHNECK** · 05-13-12, 02:26 PM

So you never take pre-game prices ? Isnt there value when the market over reacts ? Surely sometimes you can get a good bet in early on the game totals.

**H1Cypher** · 05-13-12, 02:37 PM

Weren't really any safe bets in this game. I broke down the totals well in the first half but was too patient. And my only lean +5 grizz I was hoping Clippers would go to a promo up 8 or more and that didn't happen. I hope you didn't force anything because of me, BDolan?

Originally posted by JOSHKROTCHNECK

So you never take pre-game prices ? Isnt there value when the market over reacts ? Surely sometimes you can get a good bet in early on the game totals.

Yeah I was betting alot of half time totals and 1st quarter totals and 1st half totals. In the regular season. In the playoffs my pre game bets have been all prop, the Grizzlies moneyline game 6, and a couple of first to score 10, 15, 20 points at halftime. For the playoffs it's been purely live in play.

**Bdolan33** · 05-13-12, 02:43 PM

Originally posted by H1Cypher

Weren't really any safe bets in this game. I broke down the totals well in the first half but was too patient. And my only lean +5 grizz I was hoping Clippers would go to a promo up 8 or more and that didn't happen. I hope you didn't force anything because of me, BDolan

Yeah I was betting alot of half time totals and 1st quarter totals and 1st half totals. In the regular season. In the playoffs my pre game bets have been all prop, the Grizzlies moneyline game 6, and a couple of first to score 10, 15, 20 points at halftime. For the playoffs it's been purely live in play.

Nope, had the clippers ML so i laid off since u didnt feel too strong. came close a few times though!

**H1Cypher** · 05-13-12, 02:45 PM

Originally posted by Bdolan33

Nope, had the clippers ML so i laid off since u didnt feel too strong. came close a few times though!

Nice

What do you think about my break down yesterday. I said I would be conflicted if Clippers had the lead and they did =p. I think i wasn't too off on the scenarios yesterday.

**H1Cypher** · 05-14-12, 06:59 PM

5/14/12 7:39pm

Loss

Pending

5/14/12 7:05pm Live In-Play Basketball 9510 Boston Celtics 1st Half Over 41½ -120* vs Philadelphia 76ers

First bet of the day in live in play a loss. Games like this wonder why they don't just contract the league. Defense, good. Shot making, ******* terrible. Celtics of past years had faster rotation, and their defense was much more on a string. I see a bunch of late rotations, and a shit load of short shots. They should pay you to watch this game I want to claw out my eyes, this isn't good defense this isn't good offense. This is shit ball is what it is.

Are people still following LTA cause of his write ups? The man is cold as ice and is concentrating on MLB if it isn't obvious. Go follow Lee Earnest in the service plays section most of you guys can't even pick good cappers let alone the right games to bet on.

**Bdolan33** · 05-14-12, 07:02 PM

Originally posted by H1Cypher

5/14/12 7:39pm

Loss

Pending

5/14/12 7:05pm Live In-Play Basketball 9510 Boston Celtics 1st Half Over 41½ -120* vs Philadelphia 76ers

First bet of the day in live in play a loss. Games like this wonder why they don't just contract the league. Defense, good. Shot making, ******* terrible. Celtics of past years had faster rotation, and their defense was much more on a string. I see a bunch of late rotations, and a shit load of short shots. They should pay you to watch this game I want to claw out my eyes, this isn't good defense this isn't good offense. This is shit ball is what it is.

Interested to see if it will pick up any, hard to say

**H1Cypher** · 05-14-12, 07:13 PM

Originally posted by Bdolan33

Interested to see if it will pick up any, hard to say

If it doesn't pick up you'll get a really sweet number for the total in the 4th quarter. Games like this are scary. and my opinion is limited I missed half of the 1st quarter. When my 'radar' is this off I get extra careful. Might be an opportunity in live in play late in the game you never know.

Just like in the 1st half 1 low scoring and 1 high scoring. If the high scoring quarter is in the 3rd I would reckon they slow it down right after in the 4th. Idealy you want a low scoring 3rd quarter, a low scoring 4th quarter to start- then you cna grab a really low number and take the over.

If they have a high scoring 3rd quarter. you are more left to wonder if they can continue it in the 4th or not. Odds are they will not. So if they have a high scoring 3rd quarter, 4th quarter should go under.

I'll probably look to get in 1 winning bet in this 2nd half or nothing. If i get in more than 1 winning bet the totals will probably be obvious to anyone betting.

These teams will not have many high scoring consecutive quarters in this series. Something to consider. My opinion.

I can count the number of games on 1 hand these playoffs I've won with with less than 2 minutes to go in the 1st half. In the regular season I would need 4+ hands to count the number of bets I won with ease. QQ sharp numbers and bad shot making

.

**H1Cypher** · 05-14-12, 07:21 PM

Nothing but slow rotations(bad defense) and brick shots(bad offense). =/ Rotations are awful on D. C'mon make some shots(as a basketball fan this is hard to watch).

**H1Cypher** · 05-14-12, 07:50 PM

Doc Rivers someone needs to smack that smile off your face your team sucks. Give me a Greg Poppovich interview so I can hear some honesty and reality.

**H1Cypher** · 05-14-12, 08:29 PM

5/14/12 9:18pm

Win

Pending

5/14/12 7:05pm Live In-Play Basketball 9509 Philadelphia 76ers -135* vs Boston Celtics

I'm such a pussy. I even wrote it down during half time; exactly what I should d. If they have a low scoring 3rd quarter and a slow start to the 4th quarter bet the over. 153.5 to start the 4th. 148.5 in the middle of the 4th quarter. Exactly the ideal situation, but my inner pussy surfaced and I just went with the winning team.

**H1Cypher** · 05-14-12, 08:33 PM

->>>>>

Pussy. Man up next time. Just talking to myself =p.

**Bdolan33** · 05-14-12, 08:38 PM

There was about an 10 point swing in the last few seconds between free throws and 2 prayer 3 pointers.

**H1Cypher** · 05-14-12, 08:43 PM

Originally posted by Bdolan33

There was about an 10 point swing in the last few seconds between free throws and 2 prayer 3 pointers.

That happens 2/3 games it is expected. I didn't expect them to beat 153.5 but they had 148.5 beat with over 1:38 to go to basically. The fouling game happened at the end but that was a surprise. It wasn't the referee call which led to the points being amped up evenv more.

if they don't call that moving screen it is probably lower scoring. That 3 isn't hit at the end by Allen, and those extra ft's are likely not made. Game might go to ot, but I very very highly doubt it. Why do I doubt it? I've watched this team send enough games to OT I just doubted it. good doubt cause it didn't happen.

Bottom line, I made the call and I didn't play it. I have to chastise myself for this because when I make the call it's correct more often than not.

**H1Cypher** · 05-14-12, 09:06 PM

5/14/12 10:00pm

Pending

5/14/12 9:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9507 Los Angeles Lakers/Oklahoma City Thunder 1st Quarter Under 59 -110*

I wasn't gonna bet here it is funny because. Why would they put up 57.5 with 6 minutes to go? that is 24 in 6 minutes. Based on current pace they will smash that.

based on playoff pace it'll be really close. Well when I saw the number go to 59 in the same comercial break for both teams in 1st uarter- meaning 60 total was a loser for me i absolutely have to bet it there. In the regular season this is an over or a no play bet. In the playoffs this is an under or a no play bet. You wanna hit 60% of your plays? this is how you'll play it.

Thanks bookies, fuckers. Adjust that line bitches.