| 5/18/12 10:54pm | Win | Pending | 5/18/12 10:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9523 Oklahoma City Thunder 1st Quarter Under 20½ -115* <small>vs</small> Los Angeles Lakers | |||
| 5/18/12 10:41pm | Pending | 5/18/12 10:35pm NBA Basketball 524 Los Angeles Lakers Under 96 -110* <small>vs</small> Oklahoma City Thunder | ||||
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Good start yet again 1st quarters and 1st halves are better to me than end game or is it just me? Seems that way. I mean I'm good all around at live in play just seems like 1st quarters and 1st halves are better.Comment -
OKC team total over 39 I missed it, thats the bet I should have grabbed. Then OKC team total 41.5 I wanted to bet over but didn't feel like getting dicked by half a point or even risking it. So at that time I bet +5, simple thinking safe bet. Then next total was 44.5 and 44.5 for both teams and 89.5. My hands were tied OKC has some weird ass last minute endings- prolly has something to do with their athleticism. Anyway as you can see by that weird last minute I made the right call kind of. A win is all that matters in the end, or so they say. 2-0 in this 1st half =p.5/18/12 11:26pm Win Pending 5/18/12 10:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9523 Oklahoma City Thunder 1st Half +5 -125* <small>vs</small> Los Angeles Lakers 5/18/12 10:41pm Pending 5/18/12 10:35pm NBA Basketball 524 Los Angeles Lakers Under 96 -110* <small>vs</small> Oklahoma City Thunder
lol blake getting threats son twitter is idiotic according to the announcers. and im like yeah it is kinda dumb tweeting someone telling them how bad they suck. then announcers are like, you know how dumb you have to be to threaten someones family and im like what?!?! lol!Comment -
You know I should have just bet over 89 La Lakers team total live; of course I didn't know that at the time =p. 2 wins in 1 game with 1 pre game bet pending. One of them had to be a sweat. Too good for my own good =/. Gambling gods have to throw out unfair losses at me.
Edit: Lol unintentional jinx(just playing I don't believe in those). Just funny as I typed my bitch reply both teams were busy going on scoring droughts.Last edited by H1Cypher; 05-18-12, 11:21 PM.Comment -
All the good opportunities were earlier in the game I'm probably done in this game. Sticking with the 2-0 and 1 pending. Nothing left game is close totals pretty sharp. leaning under explosive teams, can go on droughts. I expect droughts, but missed out on so many other numbers I'm good with the first half results and just enjoying the rest of the game.
187 and 93.5 for both teams at this point at this promoComment -
Couldn't decide what to bet on so I just bet on it all. Lol what a strip for the first half =p. Look at them bets. The last 2 bets were just small hedges when I realized I had bet too much on 1 side.5/19/12 4:28pm Loss Pending 5/19/12 3:30pm Live In-Play Basketball 9525 San Antonio Spurs/Los Angeles Clippers 1st Half Under 93½ -115* 5/19/12 4:21pm Loss Pending 5/19/12 3:30pm Live In-Play Basketball 9526 Los Angeles Clippers 1st Half -15½ +105* <small>vs</small> San Antonio Spurs 5/19/12 4:21pm Win Pending 5/19/12 3:30pm Live In-Play Basketball 9526 Los Angeles Clippers 1st Half Under 54½ -115* <small>vs</small> San Antonio Spurs 5/19/12 4:12pm Win Pending 5/19/12 3:30pm Live In-Play Basketball 9525 San Antonio Spurs 1st Half Over 37½ -115* <small>vs</small> Los Angeles Clippers 5/19/12 4:12pm Win Pending 5/19/12 3:30pm Live In-Play Basketball 9526 Los Angeles Clippers 1st Half Under 55½ -115* <small>vs</small> San Antonio Spurs 5/19/12 4:02pm Win Pending 5/19/12 3:30pm Live In-Play Basketball 9525 San Antonio Spurs 1st Half Over 37 -115* <small>vs</small> Los Angeles Clippers 5/19/12 4:02pm Win Pending 5/19/12 3:30pm Live In-Play Basketball 9526 Los Angeles Clippers 1st Half Under 54 -115* <small>vs</small> San Antonio Spurs 5/19/12 4:01pm Win Pending 5/19/12 3:30pm Live In-Play Basketball 9525 San Antonio Spurs 1st Half +17½ -115* <small>vs</small> Los Angeles Clippers
Didn't plan on posting my live in play bets today but my first half strip was too funny had to post it. I was gonna just bet the Spurs +17.5 but then I said why limit myself I can probably get both totals right as well. My thinking wasn't too off =p.Comment -
I got Clippers under 88 small bet, and I won Spurs live in play -4.5 in the 3rd quarter. Not even gonna bet this end game. Basically a sweep. Man if I were betting the max I could have won 2k in this game easily just betting totals or spreads -110 or -115.Comment -
No and 1 call for Kobe and I'm looking at a sweep. Just posting a sequence where I pay juice / lose cause it feels like all I do is post winners past couple days. 1 thing though, happy I didn't lose on any point spread bets +7.5 just didn't feel right for this game. Lakers haven't haven't had a goo half yet and this may have been their best half, to be expected eventually.5/19/12 11:17pm Loss Pending 5/19/12 10:30pm Live In-Play Basketball 9528 Los Angeles Lakers 1st Half Under 55½ -115* <small>vs</small> Oklahoma City Thunder 5/19/12 11:08pm Win Pending 5/19/12 10:30pm Live In-Play Basketball 9527 Oklahoma City Thunder/Los Angeles Lakers 1st Half Over 99½ -130*
Trying to be too sharp finally cost me game goes under 104, and over 99.5 Right after I bet over 99.5 next total was 104 at the next commercial. Ah snap it is what it is.Comment -
5/20/12 3:42pm Win Pending 5/20/12 3:30pm Live In-Play Basketball 9529 Miami Heat 1st Quarter Under 18½ -125* <small>vs</small> Indiana Pacers
I love you Lebron James =). Fist pump when you miss the free throw in the 1st quarter. Lol, fist pump at the weirdest moments for me. That ft miss as fist bump worthy though.
Oh and 15 seconds of think time cost me -10 of juice. Lol Team totals weren't jumping as much before.
I thought this was the safest bet of the quarter. Heat -5.5, Pacers 23.5 team total, 42.5 for both teams. Under 9 minutes 19 points, yes it is the Heat. The same Heat who can't hit a jump shot, and Pacers are making it tough tough to drive the ball.
I did think Pacers would go over 23.5 but to me the Heat under 19 seemed like the safest of the possibilities. Safe picks in live in play are good picks, esp early in the game they are hitting for me nice. It's also a pattern I've identified in these playoffs for teams to have low scoring 1st quarters in situations like this.
As usual I expect a better first half than end game, and I'll lower my bets for the 4th quarter or not bet at all. Lately no opportunity in the 4th quarter.
Laker rant nothing to do with the game:
Didn't bet the end of the OKC game yesterday. Happy I laid off. Just felt like something weird might happen. ofcourse I didn't think Kobe would choke again. I expect more from this guy, what a pathetic human being. Bet Kobe couldn't play live in play totals like I could, and he calls himself a baller =p. Wtf was that yesterday, some jv college team. Horribble shots and turnovers to end the game. I gave the Lakers absolutely no chance to beat OKC and game to end in less than 6, but for the series to end like this. Salty, real salty.
I've been a Durant fan since he came into the league. Who knows if I'm a thunder fan. I'm rooting for history: KG to win a chip(history), Kobe to win 5(history), Kobe to win 6(history), Duncan to win 5(history), teams to repeat, etc. Stuff like that is what I love to see. History being made. What a salty way to lose, could be up 3-1 instead down 3-1. Felt like I was watching the Memphis Grizzlies smh.Comment -
Only 1 bet for the 1st half 91.5 I think is too sharp. I am leaning over sure but a cold drought and it easily goes under. Really I should be looking to take an under in this game cause of the defense being played.
If an over reveals itself I could play it. Pacers over 47 isn't bad. Tough time deciding right now sensing what ever I pick for this 1st half may end up being a coin flip anyway.
Whether it becomes a flip is irrelevant. before I bet if I think it is a strong play it is a strong play, how I win isn't as important. When I picked Heat total it turned out to be a coin flip at the end of the quarter, but when I made the bet I saw it far from a flip. Result was a win. That's why so many times I say shit like "I felt like some weird shit might happen." I have to go with the gut when it's been this accurate for me.Comment -
Totals with 3:38 to go are even sharper. Now I'm leaning over Miami 42, and over 48.5 for pacers but not liking these last numbers at all. I already found my first half bet- and I bet it in accordance to what I've been saying about this game. Bet unders, look for a good spot, follow my feelings.Comment -
5/20/12 4:21pm Loss Pending 5/20/12 3:30pm Live In-Play Basketball 9529 Miami Heat 1st Half Under 44½ -115* <small>vs</small> Indiana Pacers
Shit happens =). Over 11 points scored in 3 minutes it happens; I made an excellent bet regardless. The moment Wade hits that three I'm thinking my bet is a loss. I got the best number, I made 1 first half bet... and it was a great bet even if I say so myself. Like I said i'm too good for my own good. Gambling gods have to throw wrenches at me otherwise I'm doing the impossible hitting a larger percentage of my bets than any man should
. I'm so good I could have just bet all my leans and I would have went 3-1 with my *best* bet of the first half being a loser, and 1-0 in the 1st quarter for 4-1 instead 1-1. Funny isn't it?
Edit: I might make a bet in the 3rd quarter but I doubt I'll bet in this 4th quarter unless I can snag something sweet in this half. I do expect some bull shit to happen but if I can get a good enough number it'll negate the bull shit =p. If.......
only will post the results if I bet in this 2nd half. After getting screwed on one bet I wouldn't be surprised if some bull shit happens in this 4th quarter so I won't bet it unless I get a sweet number.Last edited by H1Cypher; 05-20-12, 03:45 PM.Comment -
5/20/12 5:09pm Win Pending 5/20/12 3:30pm Live In-Play Basketball 9530 Indiana Pacers 3rd Quarter Under 21 -110* <small>vs</small> Miami Heat
I love being able to just go, and switch sides every quarter. Never worried about 1 bet and rarely out of reach. Boom, just like I said before the half started. Love it when I say what will happen and then it happens just how it was suppose to. I did exactly what I said I was going to do.
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5/21/2012 Parlay W Basketball - 10120 PHI/BOS series won't end in 5 games -359 for Game
Basketball - 10227 Los Angeles Lakers series games won/Oklahoma City Thunder series games won over 5 -248 for Game5/21/2012 Parlay W Basketball - 4036 S.Hawes points under 10½ -135 for Game
Basketball - 10228 Oklahoma City Thunder series games won -1½ -266 for Game5/21/2012 Money Line (EL) L Basketball - 2037 R.Rondo points+assists over 27½ -140 for Game 5/21/2012 Spread W Basketball - 9533 Philadelphia 76ers pk -120 for 1st Half 5/21/2012 Spread W Basketball - 9534 Boston Celtics +4½ -120 for 1st Half 5/21/2012 Total L Basketball - 9533 Philadelphia 76ers/Boston Celtics under 41½ -120 for 3rd Quarter 5/21/2012 Money Line (EL) W Basketball - 3041 R.Westbrook points over 24½ -130 for Game 5/21/2012 Total L Basketball - 9535 Los Angeles Lakers/Oklahoma City Thunder under 45 -105 for 1st Quarter 5/21/2012 Spread W Basketball - 9536 Oklahoma City Thunder -1½ -115 for 1st Half 5/21/2012 Spread W Basketball - 535 Los Angeles Lakers (1st 3 min) +1 -105 for 3rd Quarter 5/21/2012 Team Total W Basketball - 9535 Los Angeles Lakers team total under 29 +100 for 3rd Quarter
Laid off the night game yesterday. I haven't had many bad days in the playoffs. It's getting repetitive posting my plays after the fact every day but here they are. The strip for the entire day, the 2 parlays I made at earlier dates. Once I have a day with bad results I'll post it asap =p. Didn't even feel like posting my plays but when you post nothing but winners for weeks and then take a day off it'll seem like you had a bad day. Anything but that though with the results =p.Comment -
I wonder what I would have bet on in the Pacer game. I probably would have lost money on the point spread, and made it back on the totals but who knows. I do have to say one thing though. You know you're getting lucky when the 1 game the 1 day you decide to not watch and bet live is a game where the Pacers lose by 30+ points. Could have missed out on some easy opportunities, like Paccers unders and Miami overs... and possibly given it back with the point spread... or lost both. As we go deeper in the playoffs I wonder if I should change my style, and not be so maniacal with my bets.
If I can't do that then I'm handcuffing myself and making myself just a regular bettor. So I dunno if I can do that. Will just keep looking for totals that don't make enough sense in game but with out a boat load of games to rely on I doubt I'll be so aggro now.
Why are people upping their units in the playoffs? The regular season results were easier to call if you ask me. Don't numbers get more sharp in the playoffs? Seems that way
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Playoffs for me have been a live in play utopia. Different story I have a great reason to get super aggressive. All the games were live in play games.Comment -
Looked like a losing 1st half but I got really lucky with a late three by Pietrus. Not feeling this game much. Just gonna play it conservative and probably conservative for tomorrows game too. Was about to be a terrible first half till that three. I either have a great innate feeling of when to bet big or small like thinking I should be conservative from here on out with less games remaining and each game meaning more... or I just am the conservative type of person after I've built a lead who knows =p. Coulda just taken this game off too =/. Let's not forget I was unlucky in the 1st quarter could easily be 3-1 too though =p.5/23/2012 Total Loss Basketball - 9541 Boston Celtics/Philadelphia 76ers under 40½ -115 for 1st Quarter 5/23/2012 Total Win Basketball - 9541 Boston Celtics/Philadelphia 76ers under 82½ -115 for 1st Half 5/23/2012 Team Total Loss Basketball - 9541 Boston Celtics team total over 40 -115 for 1st Half 5/23/2012 Spread Win Basketball - 9541 Boston Celtics -1½ -125 for 1st Half
First quarter bet was a salty loss, after that I was thinking just take under 84.5 but it could be not having a 2nd game to bet on as a cushion is why I'm not wanting to be as aggressive or it could be the way the game was going not sure why myself.Comment -
In the 3rd quarter I look at the totals and I think. 46.5, hmmm it might go over because of Philly. Then I look at the Philly total 25- with them shooting fts and still 7 ish minutes to play. Anyway, think about it bet and think again bet again a minute later. Quarter goes to 47, Philly scores 27. Funny cause with less than 3 minutes to go and Celtics needing 10 points to hit 22 it should be an easy win... but I knew they'd still get close lol. That's just how it's been.5/23/2012 Total Loss Basketball - 9541 Boston Celtics/Philadelphia 76ers under 40½ -115 for 1st Quarter 5/23/2012 Total Win Basketball - 9541 Boston Celtics/Philadelphia 76ers under 82½ -115 for 1st Half 5/23/2012 Team Total Loss Basketball - 9541 Boston Celtics team total over 40 -125 for 1st Half 5/23/2012 Spread Win Basketball - 9541 Boston Celtics -1½ -125 for 1st Half 5/23/2012 Team Total Win Basketball - 9541 Boston Celtics team total under 21½ -115 for 3rd Quarter 5/23/2012 Team Total Win Basketball - 9541 Boston Celtics team total under 21½ -115 for 3rd Quarter
About 3 or 4 games ago I decided to take 4th quarters off and I added more 3rd quarter bets and it's seemed to be working better than before no? I mean both were working well but it's a head scratcher I think.
Take the win and be done with the game, this game most likely.Comment -
Took a minute off watching MMA to get in 1 game. The hilarious thing about this game is I didn't watch more than 1 minute of it but I had the totals right. Under, Under, and more under =p. Under 84.5, I didn't bet. Under for the Philly I missed. Late with less than 2 minutes go and totals at 74 with Boston shooting freethrows. Of course I made the sharpest pick. Total of 74? no. Celtics over 41.5? Maybe but if they make these 2 free throws you are behind the bullet. Philly team total? Okay sure it's low but based on how the game is going =p.
I'm not going to be posting all my plays like I said. and from here on out with only 3 series remaining I am being conservative no reason to go on a swing and pick losers in the end of the playoffs which ahve been so good to me. Live in play for the playoffs- in summary was all about picking off patterns. The series seem to be going 1 of 2 ways most of these playoffs, as far as totals.
In the regular season everything was linear I thought and much less based on pattern based I thought. The key to winning in live in play is understanding what is going on relation to the totals and the game, and I do that very well.
Oh I didn't post the Indy Heat live in play yesterday but to sum it up. I made the right decisions lost by half points then got bailed out at the end of the game to be significantly + money for that game when I bet under 202 way late in the game. I was lucky but I was also conservative in the 1st half of that game(2 days ago), so when I got the bail out I wouldn't call it chasing.
5/26/12 9:04pm Win Pending 5/26/12 8:00pm Live In-Play Basketball 9549 Philadelphia 76ers 1st Half Under 36½ -115* <small>vs</small> Boston Celtics Comment -
Sliced up this first half like a Dr. with a PhD in live in play betting. Under 49.5 Spurs -130 or Over OKC either one I was very okay with. Both totals 92 or 93 I wasn't sure. When it was at 94 I didn't want to jump on either there. I actually was asleep and woke up with 5 minutes to go in this 1st quarter. I don't know many people who can wake up groggy from a nap and within an hour pick several winners lol. I wish the NBA wasn't coming to an end. Will be conservative for the 2nd half as i've been doing towards the end of these playoffs.... unless of course I lost the 1st half ;o. 3-0 right out of bed =p. I almost went with OKC moneyline +425 for the 1st half, I know I'm on fire when my totals are aligning with who wins the ML while down in the game.5/27/12 9:20pm Win Pending 5/27/12 8:30pm Live In-Play Basketball 9701 Oklahoma City Thunder 1st Half Over 44½ -115* <small>vs</small> San Antonio Spurs 5/27/12 9:13pm Win Pending 5/27/12 8:30pm Live In-Play Basketball 9701 Oklahoma City Thunder 1st Half Over 44 -115* <small>vs</small> San Antonio Spurs 5/27/12 9:06pm Win Pending 5/27/12 8:30pm Live In-Play Basketball 9701 Oklahoma City Thunder/San Antonio Spurs 1st Half Under 93½ -110* 5/27/12 4:02pm Pending 5/27/12 8:25pm Props Basketball 8505 K.Durant points+rebounds over 35 -140* <small>vs</small> K.Durant points+rebounds under 35
Here are my bets for the Miami Indiana game I didn't post 2 days ago or so. Just like I said I got bailed out:
5/24/2012 Total Loss Basketball - 9545 Miami Heat/Indiana Pacers under 45½ -120 for 1st Quarter 5/24/2012 Team Total Loss Basketball - 9545 Miami Heat team total under 50½ -110 for 1st Half 5/24/2012 Total Basketball - 9545 Miami Heat/Indiana Pacers under 104 -120 for 1st Half 5/24/2012 Total Basketball - 9545 Miami Heat/Indiana Pacers under 104 -120 for 1st Half 5/24/2012 Team Total Win Basketball - 9545 Miami Heat team total over 23½ -110 for 3rd Quarter 5/24/2012 Total Loss Basketball - 9545 Miami Heat/Indiana Pacers under 196½ -110 for Game 5/24/2012 Total Win Basketball - 9545 Miami Heat/Indiana Pacers under 202 -110 for Game 5/24/2012 Total Win Basketball - 9545 Miami Heat/Indiana Pacers under 202 -110 for Game 5/24/2012 Total Win Basketball - 9545 Miami Heat/Indiana Pacers under 201½ -110 for Game Comment -
Couldn't even get a bet off in this 2nd half. The timing was pretty off. Team totals went up with over 7 minutes to go. Anyway I can point out the exact time I would have liked for commercials but bottom line is commercial time was off. I won't break it down but it was at a bad time. Then with under 6 minutes to go no more totals and SA with a 4 point lead...a nd +4.5 live there is nothing I can bet on. Just bull shit bets that favor the bookmaker. I would have bet the over but I didn't want to bet totals with over 7 minutes to go in the game. Cleaned house in the first half though so I'm okay with it =).Comment -
After the 1st quarter ended totals were at 77 I wasn't sure if I wanted the under or the over. 44 points in the 2nd quarter. In the playoffs I've had maybe 1 or 2 bets inbetween 1st and 2nd quarters at intermission. In the regular season I had plenty. Here none of the leans are strong enough I guess. After the totals went to 82.5, 88.5, 92.5 etc. See the problem here is they can easily slow down the pace. I correctly went from wanting to make a bet to making it a no play. My thoughts were if it slows down again I could easily lose- and once it hit 88.5 I can no longer bet the over at 82.5 I basically missed my chance unless I felt real confident about the over with big numbers(you've seen me make plays that contradict my way of thinking before- that's because I felt real confident about that in live in play). Anyway once the totals went up so high in such a game I couldn't bet the under or over. That was my reasoning whether it was correct or not I dunno. Had I went with my no play theory for this game I'd be 3-0 rather than 3-1 so clearly I should have just went with my original Plan A I guess but meh it is what it is. I have to fix these mistakes somehow hopefully talking about it to myself will help.
Was about to go 3-0 but in the last minute of the commercial I couldn't resist making a 'value play'. I know how accurate these playoff numbers have been at 5dimes and they try their best not to give away free money. Anyway, I saw the refs were making alot of bs calls but I figured with some defensive stops I could easily hit it +120 ended up losing by 1 basket. Was probably the wrong play cut into my profits. I'm not a believer of value plays this isn't poker where you can A. win the hand before showdown and B. have the same outs as always(cards). In sports theres unforeseen circumstances and each event takes an identity of its own. Of course I don't believe in action plays but I make alot of those anyways. Since it's monday I'll show my entire strip for monday. Could not sleep so I ended up making messing around with tennis late at night.
See I bet a totally weird juiced spread in the 1st quarter. I felt confident about it. I wanted to bet -5.5 but there was too much time to go. Here I was putting myself in a tight spot losing points but I chose to wait. That's the cost of waiting sometimes. Information can come at a price in live in play =p. But i usually make good use of the information I'm given within a game to make good decisions in live in play.
5/28/2012 Total Win Tennis - 283 S.Giraldo Games Won/A.Falla Games Won over 37½ -115 for Game 5/28/2012 Spread Loss Tennis - 103 N.Djokovic Games Won -11 -120 for Game 5/28/2012 Total Win Tennis - 139 X.Malisse Games Won/B.Baker Games Won under 39½ -125 for Game 5/28/2012 Money Line (EL) Win Tennis - 138 Brian Baker -175 for Game 5/28/2012 Total Loss Tennis - 151 V.Troicki Games Won/T.Bellucci Games Won under 38½ -135 for Game 5/28/2012 Team Total Win Basketball - 704 Miami Heat (1st 3 min) team total under 6½ -120 for 1st Quarter 5/28/2012 Spread Win Basketball - 9704 Miami Heat -6½ -125 for 1st Quarter 5/28/2012 Spread Win Basketball - 9704 Miami Heat -6½ -135 for 1st Quarter 5/28/2012 Total Loss Basketball - 9703 Boston Celtics/Miami Heat under 92½ +120 for 1st Half Comment -
Oh they didn't count the basket I win. See I was hoping for a special set of circumstances. I luck boxed my way into 4-0 but 3-1 would have still be spectacular. Still was a bad bet I shouldn't have made it.
Edit: Still was a bad bet I shouldn't have made it. I won but it's not an excuse. Let my temporary cheer forget what I was trying to tell myself.5/28/2012 Total Win Basketball - 9703 Boston Celtics/Miami Heat under 92½ +120 for 1st Half Last edited by H1Cypher; 05-28-12, 09:07 PM.Comment -
Bah. First commercial I'm super patient totals finally have Celtics at 18 when they opened at 17.5 and 42.5 for both teams went up to 44. Didn't bet the under in either of those. Commercial time ran out. Then next commercial I see -8.5 get bought down to -7.5 but at this point I had like 10 seconds to bet. It happens lol missed my bet by literally 1 second maybe a half a second.Comment -
1st quarter they didnt put up any totals at 5dimes, lame asses. I almost never bet before the 2nd quarter in these playoffs. This was the first time in weeks. Its looking solid with over 5 minutes to play right now. Here was my thinking process when i bet this: Celtics are playing well. I went and checked the rotations. Okay KG is resting with over 3 minutes to play I know he'll get in the game in the 2nd quarter to start. So I'm liking the rotations for the Celtics in this game. I liked the way they came out hot- and I thought that the totals would go away from me. I thought there was a greater chance of the number being higher than 44 the next commercial so I bet there. That was pretty much my exact thought process before I bet over 44 to start the 2nd quarter.
And it was at 47 the next commercial after 44- here I wanted to bet again and clearly I should ahve bet the over again. Next commercial after that totals were at 50.5 and there it's a no play or an under... and if you have a strong lean then it can be what ever you think it is. Celtics have had games like this where they don't cool down at all in the 1st half. Not many but when it happens they've smashed the totals set for them.
5/30/12 9:11pm Win Pending 5/30/12 8:30pm Live In-Play Basketball 9707 Boston Celtics 1st Half Over 44 -115* <small>vs</small> Miami Heat
I didn't bet yesterdays totals I thought the numbers were jumping all over the place. Thunder kept making tough to make shots, and the pace was furious but I thought the defense was strong too. I also missed part of the 1st quarter, well I didn't miss it I was watching just not paying attention. It's almost like when I know all the good betting opportunities are gone I go into ADD mode and just start ignoring the game. Kinda like how after I saw the Celtic totals at 50.5 in this game, and time running out here in the half my mind immediately lost interest and started to wander. Must mean all the good betting opportunities have been eaten up =p.Comment -
I'm like a baby orange, only a little bit of juice. What is sad is I could have went 2-1. I kinda wanna bet Miami -4.5 but talk myself out of it. Then I wanna bet Celtics under 24, but I talk myself out of that too. I decide the safer pick would be 52.5 and bang lol. I said Celtics won't have a big 3rd, which I was correct on but to keep it safe I bet the overall score. Oh well, hm. Betting the over here was pretty damn risky on my part I have to say.5/30/12 10:27pm Win Pending 5/30/12 8:30pm Live In-Play Basketball 9707 Boston Celtics/Miami Heat 3rd Quarter Over 54½ -130* 5/30/12 10:21pm Loss Pending 5/30/12 8:30pm Live In-Play Basketball 9707 Boston Celtics/Miami Heat 3rd Quarter Under 52½ -105* Comment -
Finally got bit by the OT bug but I took my own advice in the 3rd quarter and instead of betting on 1 thing I bet on all the totals. Lucky I made those 2nd bets to cover my ass / get juiced. Can't win em all, though I can come close. Not gonna bet the totals in OT could go to double OT, though I'm leaning under but with the foul game at the end anything can happen. Just take the juice it'd be nice to win em all though.5/30/12 11:09pm Win Pending 5/30/12 8:30pm Live In-Play Basketball 9707 Boston Celtics/Miami Heat Over 200 -110* 5/30/12 10:58pm Win Pending 5/30/12 8:30pm Live In-Play Basketball 9707 Boston Celtics Over 101 -115* <small>vs</small> Miami Heat 5/30/12 10:58pm Loss Pending 5/30/12 8:30pm Live In-Play Basketball 9708 Miami Heat Under 102 -115* <small>vs</small> Boston Celtics 5/30/12 10:52pm Loss Pending 5/30/12 8:30pm Live In-Play Basketball 9708 Miami Heat Under 103½ -115* <small>vs</small> Boston Celtics
Allow me a moment to sulk. If only Miami makes that shot in the last 30 seconds 2 shots taken and none of them go in. Score ends over 200, under 102 for Miami, and I go 3-1 =/ in this 4th quarter.Comment -
Your totals for the playoffs are still pretty good by my count CypherComment -
Will try and get in 1 more winner for the 1st half. I'll post yesterdays game later today. My discpline and intelligence really shined yesterday. I avoided a ton of traps and gave myself a chance to get a winning bet in. I'll post the bets later today, of course proud I didn't lose any money n a point spread =). I recognize this thunder team when they get rolling the blow outs are bad, and was a terrific call anyway will post those later today.6/1/12 8:53pm Win Pending 6/1/12 8:30pm Live In-Play Basketball 9711 Miami Heat 1st Quarter Over 28 -120* <small>vs</small> Boston Celtics Comment -
Son of a bitch, make that a push. Missed the move by a couple seconds. Could have gotten 27.5 over, but it was only up for a matter of seconds. Oh well it happens scoreless for 2 minutes, no sweat I'm up too much to let bad luck bother me. *glares at gambling gods* Had to dick me though didn't they.Comment -
Nothing for this 1st half. It's funny because lately I've noticed the time outs in the 2nd quarter are far between totals will be up at 8:54 and then team totals won't be up anymore because the next promo will be at like 3 minutes. Half the time if they feel like putting up the totals they will or they won't. Not sure why they do this, for me it doesn't matter. You could put up a number on any game just give these mofos a ball. and give me a score and I'll let you know if they will go over or under =p. lol, I'm just bull shitting cause if this was the case I would have bet this 1st half.
anyway at 8:59 i see the team totals I'm leaning Miami Heat under 46.5 for 1st half. But there is just too much time in this half. Perfect time for a commercial for the bookies so much time left in the quarter- I know the next commercial will be after 6 or 5 minute mark... they'll bitch out and not put up team totals. Next commercial is up at 7:44 and they still elect not to put up team totals, which is what I was targetting for this game by the way it was going. not feeling the combined totals for the half. Anyway, lookin like a push and that's it for this half.
Bookmaker definitely catching some inadvertent luck with the timing of this game, and commercial timing etc.Comment -
Sick, I not only capped the score of the game but I capped what the 5dimes live in play operative would do after each commercial. Psychic =). I'm like a cold stone clairvoyant.Comment -
When I post in my MLB thread I tend to not feel like blabbibg on this one. When I post here, vice versa. Anyway check out my MLB Fade Plays in the MLB section, I'm the 2nd best capper in in the MLB forums record / and units up =). Soon to be 1st =p.
I'll break down all 3 games I didn't post starting with yesterdays the most fresh on my mind:
Here is my thought process for this game, not exact but it was pretty basic. All that complicated shit I talk about in my thread I don't always do I just hope by now it comes automatic to me because I have such a great feel for the game.
1st quarter I bet the under based on pace and shots made. It looked good but I knew I could easily lose- when the pace started to pick up and KG had a tip in for the Heat(not a typo) I said shit 44.5 is dead. I saw 48.5 and I said- shit this is going way over I know it. Of course I don't bet it becacuse the 'smart' thing here is to not get middled because if they slow it down I lose- they didnt slow it down.
Here I stick to what i've said in this very thread, light bulb. I've said this before in my thread and used it 2 or 3 times(went with it and bet it) and won every time. I bet the Celtics over because in these situations they have gone over alot more than under. In the playoffs every time I've recognized this I've made the bet and won all but once I think.
59.5 I bet that I knew I was getting greedy there and told myself it was a no play. Exactly what I said speaking to myself.... lol I still made the play =p. Greed, smh.
Here in the 3rd quarter before it even started I wanted to take the under 45 thinking that the pace will slow and in most Celtic halves where it is high scoring early it has slowed down in the 2nd half.
In the 3rd quarter I actually bet the Miami heat saying to myself this might be a mistake. Bam another call ignoring my original intuition that bites me in the ass.
The game continues because at this point I've already think this game is going to OT. But i'm in a position where I have to bet the under.
Now the game is going into OT. I'm cursing at every furniture object in sight and at myself in the mirror. Then I'm like what ever shit happens immediately calm down and tell myself I called this game exactly how it should have gone. And when you lose to OT with a 6 point gap between you and the bet- you obviously made the right call.
Edit: I dunno if I was annoyed when I bet the Celtics moneyline there at the end or if it was Lebron had just got fouled out of the game. Most likely, it was both. If Lebron hadn't just fouled out and the Celtics didn't have the lead- I definitely wasn't annnoyed enough to bet there though.
I was no longer mad but I was still very quietly annoyed. So annoyed I didn't notice they only put up 6 points in overtime until today, lol..... lol. All bets are graded usually after the 2nd quarters start at 5dimes resetting my limit allowed for each quarter but I've capped out maybe only once(and that was in football live betting).
I'll post the other 2 games in a minute gonna grab a snack. Lost one of them games so maybe the observers will enjoy those results more =p6/3/2012 Total Loss Basketball - 9715 Miami Heat/Boston Celtics under 44½ +100 for 1st Quarter 6/3/2012 Total Win Basketball - 9715 Miami Heat/Boston Celtics over 92½ -115 for 1st Half 6/3/2012 Team Total Win Basketball - 9716 Boston Celtics team total over 50½ -120 for 1st Half 6/3/2012 Team Total Win Basketball - 9716 Boston Celtics team total over 50½ -120 for 1st Half 6/3/2012 Team Total Loss Basketball - 9716 Boston Celtics team total under 59½ -115 for 1st Half 6/3/2012 Team Total Loss Basketball - 9715 Miami Heat team total under 20½ -110 for 3rd Quarter 6/3/2012 Total Win Basketball - 9715 Miami Heat/Boston Celtics under 39½ -115 for 3rd Quarter 6/3/2012 Spread Win Basketball - 9715 Miami Heat -5½ -130 for 3rd Quarter 6/3/2012 Total Win Basketball - 9715 Miami Heat/Boston Celtics under 184½ -120 for Game 6/3/2012 Total Win Basketball - 9715 Miami Heat/Boston Celtics under 186½ +100 for Game 6/3/2012 Total Win Basketball - 9715 Miami Heat/Boston Celtics under 201½ -130 for Game 6/3/2012 Money Line (EL) Win Basketball - 9716 Boston Celtics -220 for Game Last edited by H1Cypher; 06-04-12, 04:18 PM.Comment -
I don't remember much about this game except oh yeah I remember now. I based everything in this game off math and pace and all this bs, forgetting the golden rule. My opinion on how the game is going and my feel for the game out weighs all of that. In the first quarter my heart said over- but statistical stand point it was clearly should have gone under. Sure it's never a guarantee and each game is different and that is why in live in play if you have a feel for the game you just gotta stick to that above other things sometimes.6/2/2012 Total Loss Basketball - 9713 San Antonio Spurs/Oklahoma City Thunder under 51 -130 for 1st Quarter 6/2/2012 Spread Loss Basketball - 9713 San Antonio Spurs +6½ -125 for 1st Half 6/2/2012 Team Total Loss Basketball - 9714 Oklahoma City Thunder team total under 54 -120 for 1st Half 6/2/2012 Team Total Win Basketball - 714 Oklahoma City Thunder team total under 25 -110 for 3rd Quarter 6/2/2012 Total Loss Basketball - 9713 San Antonio Spurs/Oklahoma City Thunder under 46½ -125 for 3rd Quarter 6/2/2012 Total Loss Basketball - 9713 San Antonio Spurs/Oklahoma City Thunder under 46½ -125 for 3rd Quarter 6/2/2012 Total Win Basketball - 9713 San Antonio Spurs/Oklahoma City Thunder over 201½ -110 for Game 6/2/2012 Team Total Win Basketball - 9713 San Antonio Spurs team total over 97½ -115 for Game 6/2/2012 Team Total Win Basketball - 9714 Oklahoma City Thunder team total over 102½ -115 for Game
I didn't notice any patterns to lean on for this game, I only noticed that the totals were higher than they should have been based on where the score was at and the pace. it would take more than exceptional shot making to lose- my feel for the game as I call it told me somehow some way they would hit the over. Well of course fuckin Serge Ibaka and Kendrick Perkins have to go off. Anyway a loss is a loss but it is what it is.
Finally in the 4th quarter I got into a bit of a groove and I should have possibly bet the limit considering how confident I was about the last total but I didn't have the stones or it might have something to do with the playoff season nearing an end.
---------------- 05/31 game-
This game started out rough and at half time it got a little degen even with me betting inbetween halves. I still showed discipline in not betting certain things but showed some stupidity too.
So in the 1st quarter I tell myself not to bet n the moneyline, what the **** am I doing out of character. I do it anyway, I dunno I'm human. Then after they lose the 1st quarter I say to myself they will win the halfa nd -.5 is a steal. I don't bet it I stick to what I do because I've already averted from the plan once.
Is it a strong lean here, or am I just making a guess it felt strong. Regardless I hit the nail on the donkey and now I can't bet on OKC I end up taking the + points on the Spurs in the 1st half. I didn't like any totals in the 1st half- but my leans on totals would have hit and I'm playing nothing but the spread =/. Anyway, literally a second after I make that -132 -1 bet on the spread I say to myself what the hell am I doing stop stop! lol. bet on the totals. so I switch it up and salvage a losing game into a slightly winning one.
My excuse for the mental lapse early in the game was the environment is fast paced when you do live in play and you are prone to bad decisions. Considering I play almost every game except for a few that have been nationally televised i'd say my live in play bets are probably in the top .1% of people. lol, I just don't know many people that can sit there day by day and take on the challenge that I've taken on.
Also tacking the under on a game with these 2 teams and not losing any money on the Spurs point spread after the 3rd quarter. Shows some discpline despite all of the other errors I made in this one lol.
5/31/2012 Money Line (EL) Win Basketball - 5006 OKC scores 10+ points first -125 for Game 5/31/2012 Spread Loss Basketball - 9710 Oklahoma City Thunder -1½ -115 for 1st Quarter 5/31/2012 Money Line (EL) Loss Basketball - 9710 Oklahoma City Thunder -140 for 1st Quarter 5/31/2012 Team Total Win Basketball - 9710 Oklahoma City Thunder team total over 51½ -115 for 1st Half 5/31/2012 Spread Loss Basketball - 9709 San Antonio Spurs +11½ -145 for 1st Half 5/31/2012 Money Line (EL) Loss Basketball - 709 SAS scores 25 points first -145 for 2nd Half 5/31/2012 Spread Loss Basketball - 709 San Antonio Spurs -1 -132 for 3rd Quarter 5/31/2012 Total Win Basketball - 9709 San Antonio Spurs/Oklahoma City Thunder under 48½ -115 for 3rd Quarter 5/31/2012 Total Win Basketball - 9709 San Antonio Spurs/Oklahoma City Thunder under 49½ -125 for 3rd Quarter 5/31/2012 Team Total Win Basketball - 9709 San Antonio Spurs team total under 85½ -115 for Game 5/31/2012 Total Win Basketball - 9709 San Antonio Spurs/Oklahoma City Thunder under 186 -110 for Game 5/31/2012 Total Win Basketball - 9709 San Antonio Spurs/Oklahoma City Thunder under 186½ -110 for Game Last edited by H1Cypher; 06-04-12, 05:14 PM.Comment -
Talk about this game while it's fresh on my mind. After the real slow start I expected the totals to be lower when I saw the totals at 46.5 for both teams 21 for OKC and 25.5 for the Spurs- I looked it over and I deduced that under was the play for both. over or no play for Spurs- and under for OKC. if the 46.5 was going to lose it would be because of the spurs- so I finally decided the best and only bet fr the 1st would be OKC under 21, and maybe make a side bet on the total for both teams.
then as i was going to enter my bet the line moved to 44.5 for both teams and 20.5 for OKC- which is a totally different set of circumstances. all of that thought is wasted with only 10 seconds left and no bet for this commercial or for the 1st quarter of this game
to summarize:
i expected a lower total to bet the over. didnt see it wanted to bet the under, line moved. not enough time to decide nothing strong. no bet.Comment -
Not sure how this will go but this 1st quarter is a zig zag of 6/2/2012 spurs okc first quarter. Home team hits 10 first, road team hits 20 and 30 first wins the 1st quarter(OKC hasn't won yet), then home team comes back to win the 1st half and the game. Might change eventually might not, it is basketball.
Edit: home not road typo.Comment
