SuicideKings 2011-12 NBA Thread

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • suicidekings
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-23-09
    • 9962

    #316
    Originally posted by demens
    I dont get why the Wiz is so bad. Roster has talent, way too much to be as bad as they are. Obviously Flip Saunders can be a guy that loses a team, and they have a bunch of young cancer type players as it is, so my guess would be that is why. Still surprising they are THAT bad.
    Just a lack of leadership in general, both on the floor and at the HC position, and even up at the GM level. The organization has no identity.
    Comment
    • suicidekings
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 03-23-09
      • 9962

      #317
      Originally posted by demens
      Ha, NBA is awesome isn't it. A little bit of all and you're in the green. Nice! Is it just me or has there been more blowouts this year then in previous years, it seems like every other game is a 20 or 30 point loss. Also, 1 thing i like to do to kind of gauge if i'm just making bad picks or having bad/good luck is to keep a record of all games w/l by 1 possession (3 points), a last second meaningless 3 is something you can't really cap. It seems by the end of the season it evens out, so if you've been on the losing end of a bunch of these i think it'll turn around at some point./
      Agreed on gauging the degree of the wins/losses. I think that gets overlooked a lot by people regarding their record, letting a couple close losses discourage you. I swear, if they offered a pregame line for score at the end of the 3Q, I would be all over it...
      Comment
      • suicidekings
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 03-23-09
        • 9962

        #318
        1/24

        LIVE (29-22 IND, end of 1Q)

        Magic ML (+271) x1.5
        Comment
        • suicidekings
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 03-23-09
          • 9962

          #319
          Originally posted by suicidekings
          1/24

          Magic ML (+271) x1.5

          4.5 pt Teaser: Raptors +10 / Grizzlies +10.5 (+100) x3
          Raptors +5.5 (+100) x1
          Grizzlies +6 (-101) x1
          Comment
          • suicidekings
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 03-23-09
            • 9962

            #320
            The officiating in the Magic/Pacers game is horrible so far, with bad calls being granted both ways... The net impact is small, but its still ugly.
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #321
              Nice call on the Magic comeback SK.
              Comment
              • suicidekings
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 03-23-09
                • 9962

                #322
                Originally posted by suicidekings
                1/24

                Magic ML (+271) x1.5
                4.5 pt Teaser: Raptors +10 / Grizzlies +10.5 (+100) x3
                Raptors +5.5 (+100) x1
                Grizzlies +6 (-101) x1
                1/24: 2-2 (+1.06u)
                YTD: 31-32-2 (+2.23u)

                I definitely thought Camby was not supposed to be playing tonight...
                Comment
                • suicidekings
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 03-23-09
                  • 9962

                  #323
                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                  Nice call on the Magic comeback SK.
                  Comment
                  • lakerboy
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 04-02-09
                    • 94379

                    #324
                    Don't play teasers in the nba buddy.
                    Comment
                    • suicidekings
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 03-23-09
                      • 9962

                      #325
                      Originally posted by lakerboy
                      Don't play teasers in the nba buddy.
                      I don't usually. This time I liked both teams to play strong games, and was considering a spread/ML combo for both, but +10 or better on both teams seemed like a better option than the ML. The game finished in a 13 point win with Camby (who I expected not to play) pulling in 22 rebounds and 5 blocks. I don't think this was a bad play, however it was obviously based on bad info.
                      Comment
                      • suicidekings
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 03-23-09
                        • 9962

                        #326
                        1/25

                        Knicks 1H -1.5 (-113) x1
                        Heat 1H -4.5 (-113) x1
                        Dallas 1Q -1.5 (-110) x1
                        Comment
                        • PR9
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-30-11
                          • 2813

                          #327
                          Originally posted by suicidekings

                          I don't think this was a bad play, however it was obviously based on bad info.
                          plays based on bad info are obviously bad plays
                          Comment
                          • suicidekings
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 03-23-09
                            • 9962

                            #328
                            Originally posted by PR9
                            plays based on bad info are obviously bad plays
                            Point being, bad logic and bad info are two different elements. But I don't want to argue about it...
                            Comment
                            • suicidekings
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 03-23-09
                              • 9962

                              #329
                              Originally posted by suicidekings
                              1/25

                              Knicks 1H -1.5 (-113) x1
                              Heat 1H -4.5 (-113) x1

                              Dallas 1Q -1.5 (-110) x1
                              1/25: 1-2 (-1.23u)
                              YTD: 32-34-2 (+1.00u)

                              Comment
                              • suicidekings
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 03-23-09
                                • 9962

                                #330
                                1/26

                                Celtics +10 (-110) x4
                                Celtics ML (+483) x2


                                This line's not right. Rondo and Allen didn't even play in the last game, so I'm not that concerned about them being out today. O'Neal being out is a little more of a problem, but Pietrus, Dooling, and Wilcox are all supposed to play tonight, so we're talking about a Celtics team that's in better overall shape than they have been in a while. The line opened at -8 and the movement has been one sided for the most part, sliding up to 10 on the "revenge" angle, which I think is the most overused angle in sports-betting.

                                IMO, Boston's dramatic roster changes left them in a tough spot early and they've also faced some tough teams this year. Since January 1, they've beaten the bad teams they've faced, while losing to IND x2, CHI, MIA, DAL & OKC. The only loss that looks bad for them was the loss to Phoenix. I see this being a much closer game than the last one, but for Orlando to completely turn it around and dominate the Celtics here doesn't really make sense to me. I'm a lot more confident in the spread than the ML, but at +483, this is worth a larger stake. The Celtics are definitely more likely to win this game than the ~18.5% shown by the line.
                                Comment
                                • Pauulzcappin
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 04-23-10
                                  • 20295

                                  #331
                                  I agree with your assessment, sk. Thinking about playing them myself.
                                  Comment
                                  • No coincidences
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-18-10
                                    • 76300

                                    #332
                                    Good luck SK. Don't like the low total, or the fact that Boston beat them down the last time out.
                                    Comment
                                    • suicidekings
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 03-23-09
                                      • 9962

                                      #333
                                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                                      Good luck SK. Don't like the low total, or the fact that Boston beat them down the last time out.
                                      Why? Under what circumstances would you be expecting the total in this game to be high?

                                      And forget about the final score from the last game and look at HOW Boston beat Orlando. It was a matter of preparation and solid execution of a strong plan.
                                      Comment
                                      • No coincidences
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-18-10
                                        • 76300

                                        #334
                                        Originally posted by suicidekings
                                        Why? Under what circumstances would you be expecting the total in this game to be high?

                                        And forget about the final score from the last game and look at HOW Boston beat Orlando. It was a matter of preparation and solid execution of a strong plan.
                                        I don't expect it to be high, but a combination of a DD point spread and a total under 175 would have me leery to take Boston. I guess I just don't see the angle in taking either team tonight, but that's just me. Why in the hell would Boston be +10 after beating the living shit out of the Magic just last week with the same personnel?
                                        Comment
                                        • JR007
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 02-21-10
                                          • 5279

                                          #335
                                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                                          I don't expect it to be high, but a combination of a DD point spread and a total under 175 would have me leery to take Boston. I guess I just don't see the angle in taking either team tonight, but that's just me. Why in the hell would Boston be +10 after beating the living shit out of the Magic just last week with the same personnel?

                                          monday's game opened at 4 and steamed to 7.5.......allen, rondo, someone else was out
                                          same tonight, line reflects a blowout, ml as well
                                          Last edited by JR007; 01-26-12, 07:51 PM.
                                          Comment
                                          • suicidekings
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 03-23-09
                                            • 9962

                                            #336
                                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                                            I don't expect it to be high, but a combination of a DD point spread and a total under 175 would have me leery to take Boston. I guess I just don't see the angle in taking either team tonight, but that's just me. Why in the hell would Boston be +10 after beating the living shit out of the Magic just last week with the same personnel?
                                            When a total is surprisingly low, then I could see the argument to a certain extent. But to me, the total makes a lot of sense. Pretty much identical to the total in the last one.

                                            As for the side, I think a far better question is why does Orlando deserve to be a -10 favourite here? Of their 12 wins, 8 of them have come against: CHA x2, HOU, NJN, TOR, WAS, SAC, & GSW, who are almost all in the bottom third of the league. Against the better teams they've faced, the Magic have been about 50/50. I think the books have a pretty good read on the Magic, and underestimated Boston in the last game. Given another chance at it, I suspect Orlando would have been a short road fave of -1/-2 in the last game, given the -8 opener today.
                                            Last edited by suicidekings; 01-26-12, 08:07 PM.
                                            Comment
                                            • No coincidences
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-18-10
                                              • 76300

                                              #337
                                              Buy any lottery tickets lately SK?



                                              What a week of comebacks for you. Wow.
                                              Comment
                                              • demens
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-22-10
                                                • 2785

                                                #338
                                                Nice hit on the Celts. Looks like those guys got their defensive swagger back. Beating the Magic is not exactly a benchmark for a contender but maybe the Cs aren't all done just yet? Maybe not, but i think its great how these bench scrubs can come in and pick up that defense like that, it says a lot about the coaching staff and Doc Rivers.

                                                Really wanna fade them tomorrow on a b2b after this big win but i think Indy is in a really shitty spot. Also a let down spot and a bit of a look ahead to Orlando who they lost to at home. Maybe better to leave it alone.

                                                How pathetic is that Orlando team, holy crap. Dwight, come to the Nets man, i guarantee it wont be worse then it is now, even if Deron leaves.lol.
                                                Comment
                                                • demens
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-22-10
                                                  • 2785

                                                  #339
                                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                  Buy any lottery tickets lately SK?



                                                  What a week of comebacks for you. Wow.
                                                  it started when i said he was having shit luck with that Mavs push
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Dexter
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 12-24-08
                                                    • 25829

                                                    #340
                                                    Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                    1/26

                                                    Celtics +10 (-110) x4
                                                    Celtics ML (+483) x2
                                                    wow....nice SK
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Love The Action
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 11-08-10
                                                      • 10952

                                                      #341
                                                      Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                      1/26

                                                      Celtics +10 (-110) x4
                                                      Celtics ML (+483) x2


                                                      This line's not right. Rondo and Allen didn't even play in the last game, so I'm not that concerned about them being out today. O'Neal being out is a little more of a problem, but Pietrus, Dooling, and Wilcox are all supposed to play tonight, so we're talking about a Celtics team that's in better overall shape than they have been in a while. The line opened at -8 and the movement has been one sided for the most part, sliding up to 10 on the "revenge" angle, which I think is the most overused angle in sports-betting.

                                                      IMO, Boston's dramatic roster changes left them in a tough spot early and they've also faced some tough teams this year. Since January 1, they've beaten the bad teams they've faced, while losing to IND x2, CHI, MIA, DAL & OKC. The only loss that looks bad for them was the loss to Phoenix. I see this being a much closer game than the last one, but for Orlando to completely turn it around and dominate the Celtics here doesn't really make sense to me. I'm a lot more confident in the spread than the ML, but at +483, this is worth a larger stake. The Celtics are definitely more likely to win this game than the ~18.5% shown by the line.
                                                      Great job buddy. I've seen you've had a great couple of days.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • suicidekings
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 03-23-09
                                                        • 9962

                                                        #342
                                                        Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                        1/26

                                                        Celtics +10 (-110) x4
                                                        Celtics ML (+483) x2

                                                        1/26: 2-0 (+13.66u)

                                                        YTD: 34-34-2 (+14.66u)

                                                        Damn, that felt good...
                                                        Last edited by suicidekings; 01-27-12, 02:50 AM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • No coincidences
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-18-10
                                                          • 76300

                                                          #343
                                                          Originally posted by suicidekings

                                                          1/26: 2-0 (+13.66u)

                                                          YTD: 32-34-2 (+14.66u)

                                                          Damn, that felt good...
                                                          What were you thinking when they were down 26?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • suicidekings
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 03-23-09
                                                            • 9962

                                                            #344
                                                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                            Buy any lottery tickets lately SK? What a week of comebacks for you. Wow.
                                                            Originally posted by demens
                                                            it started when i said he was having shit luck with that Mavs push
                                                            Originally posted by Dexter
                                                            wow....nice SK
                                                            Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                            Great job buddy. I've seen you've had a great couple of days.


                                                            I think we all know that one was VERY lucky. The Celtics had no right to win that game after the awful start. I was getting ready to go out, hopped in the shower with them still down 12, then they were tied when I checked again.

                                                            I'm buying a lottery ticket tomorrow, just for fun.
                                                            Last edited by suicidekings; 01-27-12, 02:44 AM.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • suicidekings
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 03-23-09
                                                              • 9962

                                                              #345
                                                              Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                              What were you thinking when they were down 26?
                                                              At that point I didn't worry about it. Nothing you can do when your team is down 26. It was the last 3 minutes of the 1Q that were the most stressful part because it was just a ridiculous string of poor shot selection, dangerous cross-court passes, and no Celtics within 15 feet of the Magic rim. Just KILLING themselves...
                                                              Last edited by suicidekings; 01-27-12, 02:46 AM.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JR007
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-21-10
                                                                • 5279

                                                                #346
                                                                nice call on the celtics, the moneyline progression fooled me
                                                                Comment
                                                                • SparJMU
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-18-10
                                                                  • 1648

                                                                  #347
                                                                  Originally posted by suicidekings

                                                                  4.5 pt Teaser: Raptors +10 / Grizzlies +10.5 (+100) x3
                                                                  Raptors +5.5 (+100) x1
                                                                  Grizzlies +6 (-101) x1
                                                                  Where do you get your 4.5 point teasers at +100?

                                                                  Nevermind, found it on 5D. I look forward to betting a lot of these in the playoffs.
                                                                  Last edited by SparJMU; 01-27-12, 11:28 AM.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • alamo
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-21-09
                                                                    • 7131

                                                                    #348
                                                                    Sports betting is a results based game SK and yours are top class right now.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • suicidekings
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 03-23-09
                                                                      • 9962

                                                                      #349
                                                                      Originally posted by JR007
                                                                      nice call on the celtics, the moneyline progression fooled me
                                                                      Originally posted by alamo
                                                                      Sports betting is a results based game SK and yours are top class right now.
                                                                      Thanks guys
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • suicidekings
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 03-23-09
                                                                        • 9962

                                                                        #350
                                                                        1/27

                                                                        Celtics +3.5 (-110) x1
                                                                        Celtics ML (+150) x0.5 Celtics ML (+140) x0.5

                                                                        This is a confident team right now, with a score to settle vs the Pacers. Friday night at TD Gardens should be bumping.
                                                                        Last edited by suicidekings; 01-27-12, 04:38 PM. Reason: Incorrect price listed
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...