SuicideKings 2011-12 NBA Thread
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suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
#316Comment -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
#317Ha, NBA is awesome isn't it. A little bit of all and you're in the green. Nice! Is it just me or has there been more blowouts this year then in previous years, it seems like every other game is a 20 or 30 point loss. Also, 1 thing i like to do to kind of gauge if i'm just making bad picks or having bad/good luck is to keep a record of all games w/l by 1 possession (3 points), a last second meaningless 3 is something you can't really cap. It seems by the end of the season it evens out, so if you've been on the losing end of a bunch of these i think it'll turn around at some point./Comment -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
#3181/24
LIVE (29-22 IND, end of 1Q)
Magic ML (+271) x1.5Comment -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
#320The officiating in the Magic/Pacers game is horrible so far, with bad calls being granted both ways... The net impact is small, but its still ugly.Comment -
No coincidencesSBR Aristocracy
- 01-18-10
- 76300
#321Nice call on the Magic comeback SK.Comment -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
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lakerboySBR Aristocracy
- 04-02-09
- 94379
#324Don't play teasers in the nba buddy.Comment -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
#325I don't usually. This time I liked both teams to play strong games, and was considering a spread/ML combo for both, but +10 or better on both teams seemed like a better option than the ML. The game finished in a 13 point win with Camby (who I expected not to play) pulling in 22 rebounds and 5 blocks. I don't think this was a bad play, however it was obviously based on bad info.Comment -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
#3261/25
Knicks 1H -1.5 (-113) x1
Heat 1H -4.5 (-113) x1
Dallas 1Q -1.5 (-110) x1
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suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
#3301/26
Celtics +10 (-110) x4
Celtics ML (+483) x2
This line's not right. Rondo and Allen didn't even play in the last game, so I'm not that concerned about them being out today. O'Neal being out is a little more of a problem, but Pietrus, Dooling, and Wilcox are all supposed to play tonight, so we're talking about a Celtics team that's in better overall shape than they have been in a while. The line opened at -8 and the movement has been one sided for the most part, sliding up to 10 on the "revenge" angle, which I think is the most overused angle in sports-betting.
IMO, Boston's dramatic roster changes left them in a tough spot early and they've also faced some tough teams this year. Since January 1, they've beaten the bad teams they've faced, while losing to IND x2, CHI, MIA, DAL & OKC. The only loss that looks bad for them was the loss to Phoenix. I see this being a much closer game than the last one, but for Orlando to completely turn it around and dominate the Celtics here doesn't really make sense to me. I'm a lot more confident in the spread than the ML, but at +483, this is worth a larger stake. The Celtics are definitely more likely to win this game than the ~18.5% shown by the line.Comment -
PauulzcappinSBR Posting Legend
- 04-23-10
- 20295
#331I agree with your assessment, sk. Thinking about playing them myself.Comment -
No coincidencesSBR Aristocracy
- 01-18-10
- 76300
#332Good luck SK. Don't like the low total, or the fact that Boston beat them down the last time out.Comment -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
#333
And forget about the final score from the last game and look at HOW Boston beat Orlando. It was a matter of preparation and solid execution of a strong plan.Comment -
No coincidencesSBR Aristocracy
- 01-18-10
- 76300
#334I don't expect it to be high, but a combination of a DD point spread and a total under 175 would have me leery to take Boston. I guess I just don't see the angle in taking either team tonight, but that's just me. Why in the hell would Boston be +10 after beating the living shit out of the Magic just last week with the same personnel?Comment -
JR007SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-21-10
- 5279
#335I don't expect it to be high, but a combination of a DD point spread and a total under 175 would have me leery to take Boston. I guess I just don't see the angle in taking either team tonight, but that's just me. Why in the hell would Boston be +10 after beating the living shit out of the Magic just last week with the same personnel?
monday's game opened at 4 and steamed to 7.5.......allen, rondo, someone else was out
same tonight, line reflects a blowout, ml as wellLast edited by JR007; 01-26-12, 07:51 PM.Comment -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
#336I don't expect it to be high, but a combination of a DD point spread and a total under 175 would have me leery to take Boston. I guess I just don't see the angle in taking either team tonight, but that's just me. Why in the hell would Boston be +10 after beating the living shit out of the Magic just last week with the same personnel?
As for the side, I think a far better question is why does Orlando deserve to be a -10 favourite here? Of their 12 wins, 8 of them have come against: CHA x2, HOU, NJN, TOR, WAS, SAC, & GSW, who are almost all in the bottom third of the league. Against the better teams they've faced, the Magic have been about 50/50. I think the books have a pretty good read on the Magic, and underestimated Boston in the last game. Given another chance at it, I suspect Orlando would have been a short road fave of -1/-2 in the last game, given the -8 opener today.Last edited by suicidekings; 01-26-12, 08:07 PM.Comment -
No coincidencesSBR Aristocracy
- 01-18-10
- 76300
#337Buy any lottery tickets lately SK?
What a week of comebacks for you. Wow.Comment -
demensSBR MVP
- 10-22-10
- 2785
#338Nice hit on the Celts. Looks like those guys got their defensive swagger back. Beating the Magic is not exactly a benchmark for a contender but maybe the Cs aren't all done just yet? Maybe not, but i think its great how these bench scrubs can come in and pick up that defense like that, it says a lot about the coaching staff and Doc Rivers.
Really wanna fade them tomorrow on a b2b after this big win but i think Indy is in a really shitty spot. Also a let down spot and a bit of a look ahead to Orlando who they lost to at home. Maybe better to leave it alone.
How pathetic is that Orlando team, holy crap. Dwight, come to the Nets man, i guarantee it wont be worse then it is now, even if Deron leaves.lol.Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#3411/26
Celtics +10 (-110) x4
Celtics ML (+483) x2
This line's not right. Rondo and Allen didn't even play in the last game, so I'm not that concerned about them being out today. O'Neal being out is a little more of a problem, but Pietrus, Dooling, and Wilcox are all supposed to play tonight, so we're talking about a Celtics team that's in better overall shape than they have been in a while. The line opened at -8 and the movement has been one sided for the most part, sliding up to 10 on the "revenge" angle, which I think is the most overused angle in sports-betting.
IMO, Boston's dramatic roster changes left them in a tough spot early and they've also faced some tough teams this year. Since January 1, they've beaten the bad teams they've faced, while losing to IND x2, CHI, MIA, DAL & OKC. The only loss that looks bad for them was the loss to Phoenix. I see this being a much closer game than the last one, but for Orlando to completely turn it around and dominate the Celtics here doesn't really make sense to me. I'm a lot more confident in the spread than the ML, but at +483, this is worth a larger stake. The Celtics are definitely more likely to win this game than the ~18.5% shown by the line.Comment -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
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suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
#344
I think we all know that one was VERY lucky. The Celtics had no right to win that game after the awful start. I was getting ready to go out, hopped in the shower with them still down 12, then they were tied when I checked again.
I'm buying a lottery ticket tomorrow, just for fun.Last edited by suicidekings; 01-27-12, 02:44 AM.Comment -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
#345At that point I didn't worry about it. Nothing you can do when your team is down 26. It was the last 3 minutes of the 1Q that were the most stressful part because it was just a ridiculous string of poor shot selection, dangerous cross-court passes, and no Celtics within 15 feet of the Magic rim. Just KILLING themselves...Last edited by suicidekings; 01-27-12, 02:46 AM.Comment -
JR007SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-21-10
- 5279
#346nice call on the celtics,the moneyline progression fooled me
Comment -
SparJMUSBR MVP
- 02-18-10
- 1648
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alamoSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-21-09
- 7131
#348Sports betting is a results based game SK and yours are top class right now.Comment -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
#3501/27
Celtics +3.5 (-110) x1
Celtics ML (+150) x0.5Celtics ML (+140) x0.5
This is a confident team right now, with a score to settle vs the Pacers. Friday night at TD Gardens should be bumping.Comment
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