John Morrison 2011-12 NBA Thread

[Nino7]

Denver is @+4 without buying points

[Riceboi]

Denver is @+4 without buying points

oh i understand what he did now nevermind my last post.

[Wallco99]

I thought the 7/5 method was played on the -110 odds spread and not buying any points?

THAT'S ENOUGH. Read the post.

[Wallco99]

oh i understand what he did now nevermind my last post.

Then forget mine too!

[J.M. Disciple]

Don't worry too much about the +4. I remember when Rose was out and no one thought much about the bulls, but they won like 6 out of 8 games. Do not quote me on the exact number, but this is a system and sports betting is some what unpredictable at times.
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Thanks for the correction Wallco on the #s.

[J.M. Disciple]

Besides memphis is not a great team anyways. I think a lot of NBA players can match up well vs either team.

Good luck tonight on the B.

Scared money = no money.

[Wallco99]

Don't worry too much about the +4. I remember when Rose was out and no one thought much about the bulls, but they won like 6 out of 8 games. Do not quote me on the exact number, but this is a system and sports betting is some what unpredictable at times.
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Thanks for the correction Wallco on the #s.

I just wanted to make sure someone was actually reading the updates.

[MoneyOnBball]

lol man if u actually had read the post u would know that its a loss on A,ATS + 3,5

No, that would be the "Final Results (filters in place)".

I am talking about the "Baseline Results (pre-filter/Not Final)". I am just curious...I like knowing everything about the systems I am betting on.

[shinnman]

Arghhhhh

[thelimit0310]

I understand that you like knowing everything about a system before betting on it, but the baseline results have nothing to do with the system! But anyway, the Baseline results still used a 3 point buffer to the base spread. That's why with my "half point buffer" in place, it became 3.5 to the spread.

[MoneyOnBball]

I understand that you like knowing everything about a system before betting on it, but the baseline results have nothing to do with the system! But anyway, the Baseline results still used a 3 point buffer to the base spread. That's why with my "half point buffer" in place, it became 3.5 to the spread.

Great, thanks.

[1gamer]

CASH THE NUGGETS! 7/5

[ChiLLx]

Nugs with the comeback to cover.

[Sandwich]

Love it!!!

[Nino7]

[Stealinhome]

Sweet! 7/5 my brother

[Wallco99]

B Bet Bonanza!

[Wallco99]

CASH THE NUGGETS! 7/5

Are you on board, if so, welcome back!!!!!!!

[DollarBill10]

What's the 7/5?

[Sandwich]

Wallco, I keep trying to give you points. One day it will let me.

[BigBo$$]

nice win on denver

[1gamer]

Are you on board, if so, welcome back!!!!!!!

Thanks buddy

[thelimit0310]

I admit, when Denver was down in the 3rd quarter I was bracing myself for the haters. I can not stress enough that caution is a must when starting 7/5 mid season. I think I speak for all of us when I say I'm glad it worked out! Lets cash it fellas!!!

[WWSports]

I admit, when Denver was down in the 3rd quarter I was bracing myself for the haters. I can not stress enough that caution is a must when starting 7/5 mid season. I think I speak for all of us when I say I'm glad it worked out! Cash it fellas!!!

Have you ever thought about phasing down on your bets the last 60 days or so to protect the Bankroll. Like going to 6/4 from 60-40 days out and then 5/3 from 40-25 days out. And on the last 25 days not playing on any team that is already eliminated from the playoffs. I hope made some sense to you on this.

[thelimit0310]

That's pointless WWSports. You're only missing out on potential profits and it would be more difficult coming back from previous losses. Losses happen regardless of how much time is left in the season, just another fact of sports betting, you take it or you leave it.

[WWSports]

That's pointless WWSports. You're only missing out on potential profits and it would be more difficult coming back from previous losses. Losses happen regardless of how much time is left in the season, just another fact of sports betting, you take it or you leave it.

I always eliminate teams out of playoff contention and more often than not I'm glad I do. I call it reward/risk managment. I've never beat myself up for too long for not betting enough, but I have kicked my a$$ for a month for a meaningless loss that I had way to much cabbage on. Thats just me.

[thelimit0310]

Play it how you want. But I would not recommend it. April is no where near the least efficient month of the season for JM, in fact it's one of the better ones. If I had already hit a few losses earlier in the season I wouldn't want to hinder my recovery with scared money.

[WWSports]

Play it how you want. But I would not recommend it. April is no where near the least efficient month of the season for JM, in fact it's one of the better ones. If I had already hit a few losses earlier in the season I wouldn't want to hinder my recovery with scared money.

I agree

[Wallco99]

Have you ever thought about phasing down on your bets the last 60 days or so to protect the Bankroll. Like going to 6/4 from 60-40 days out and then 5/3 from 40-25 days out. And on the last 25 days not playing on any team that is already eliminated from the playoffs. I hope made some sense to you on this.

Based on what? One close game. This strategy may not be for you, because trust me, there will be many games like this, and many more that go to C, some of which lose. If you are not ready for that, start back with 1-3-5. People are already trying to revamp 8 years of backtesting based on one mid-season game, which, by the way, we happened to win.

[knugen]

Aahh, some A bet wins with chase-110 would be niice

[Kev the Brit]

Have you ever thought about phasing down on your bets the last 60 days or so to protect the Bankroll. Like going to 6/4 from 60-40 days out and then 5/3 from 40-25 days out. And on the last 25 days not playing on any team that is already eliminated from the playoffs. I hope made some sense to you on this.

The system was backtested without any end of season reductions or filters. Therefore, the 7/5 unit concept must remain in place throughout the season for the integrity of the system. However, each bettor can scale down his own unit's real value, to accomodate his own fears, as he sees fit.

[petters72]

B Bet Bonanza!

its so nice to wake up to this dance,hurray number knowing that there has been another win. Great...

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2011-12 System to date: 37-2 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: -0.29 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 2 (-2.20 units)

(2/17/12):
#40 Milwaukee (+7½) (A) - Loss
#41 Phoenix (+8) (A) - Loss

v1 Plays
(A) 26-15
(B) 4-9
(C) 4-5
(D) 3-2

V2 Plays
In production


There are no system plays for (2/18/12):
#40 Resumes (B) on 2/19/12
#41 Resumes (B) on 2/19/12

[WWSports]

I admit, when Denver was down in the 3rd quarter I was bracing myself for the haters. I can not stress enough that caution is a must when starting 7/5 mid season. I think I speak for all of us when I say I'm glad it worked out! Lets cash it fellas!!!

Based on what? One close game. This strategy may not be for you, because trust me, there will be many games like this, and many more that go to C, some of which lose. If you are not ready for that, start back with 1-3-5. People are already trying to revamp 8 years of backtesting based on one mid-season game, which, by the way, we happened to win.

I was basing my comments about phasing down on Limits post about caution starting the 7/5 in mid season not on the close game. Like you said, there will be many times we lose by 1/2 to 1 points, but also times when we will win those games. That is the nature of the beast that we have chosen to fight.

[Nino7]

is there a B bet coming soon?