John Morrison 2011-12 NBA Thread

[BigBo$$]

aiight wallco ,tnx for quick reply wallco ive been following you since lastyear and jm.the limit do you buy pts in 7/5 method? cuz i saw your post you said it would be better to buy 2pts?

[thelimit0310]

aiight wallco ,tnx for quick reply wallco ive been following you since lastyear and jm.the limit do you buy pts in 7/5 method? cuz i saw your post you said it would be better to buy 2pts?

It's not "better" with 2pts, there are less losses but your losses are much larger. I don't buy points with 7/5 all -110.

[RJKing]

nice work today people. 1 question. Doesn't real capping have any room in this system. Are you playing it completely blind to all the stuff happening this season?

[WWSports]

What does this mean

Those were the teams that won 3 or more road games in a row (ML if a fav. and PL if a dog) and the starting dates of the series up through the N's in the Eastern Conference.

[thelimit0310]

nice work today people. 1 question. Doesn't real capping have any room in this system. Are you playing it completely blind to all the stuff happening this season?

Yes there is absolutely zero capping involved.

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2011-12 System to date: 37-2 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: -0.29 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 0

(2/16/12):
#36 New Jersey (+9) (D) - Win
#38 Indiana (M/L) (C) - Win

v1 Plays
(A) 26-13
(B) 4-9
(C) 4-5
(D) 3-2

V2 Plays
In production


Games for (2/17/12):
#40 Milwaukee (+7½) @ Orlando (A) (7:05 pm EST)
#41 Phoenix (+8) @ L.A. Lakers (A) (10:35 pm EST)


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a zero point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change, but it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from my post. On occasion, we will have plays that go head-head. The system will grade ALL bets, regardless of opponents, how you wish to play these games is your choice.

[Wallco99]

Those were the teams that won 3 or more road games in a row (ML if a fav. and PL if a dog) and the starting dates of the series up through the N's in the Eastern Conference.

Yeah, but that was NHL, he was talking about NBA. Probably just as many there too

[Wallco99]

nice work today people. 1 question. Doesn't real capping have any room in this system. Are you playing it completely blind to all the stuff happening this season?

Systems have no eyes! That is how you keep the discipline.

[Nino7]

Danilo Gallinari is injuried.maybe JM would skip this serie.not sure if thats a good spot to start any 7/5
well,the backtest was made whatever injurie was up i guess

[WWSports]

Yeah, but that was NHL, he was talking about NBA. Probably just as many there too

Ooops, my bad, I didn't catch that. But I bet you're right. Nearly all these Systems have one deciding factor in common, Streaks and Momentum.

[adidas-b 88]

I love how that Aiwiz kid always comes in to talk shit every D bet and always gets slapped in the face for it. So satisfying watching him eat his words.

Good job Wallco

dumb a$$ eyewiz...

[BigBo$$]

It's not "better" with 2pts, there are less losses but your losses are much larger. I don't buy points with 7/5 all -110.

-yea i know,tnx the limit and wallco..

[RJKing]

Systems have no eyes! That is how you keep the discipline.

ok. I still think the human factor is important. good luck gentlemen.

[J.M. Disciple]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2011-12 System to date: 37-2 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: -0.29 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 0

(2/16/12):
#36 New Jersey (+9) (D) - Win
#38 Indiana (M/L) (C) - Win

v1 Plays
(A) 26-13
(B) 4-9
(C) 4-5
(D) 3-2

V2 Plays
In production


Games for (2/17/12):
#36 Milwaukee (+7½) @ Orlando (A) (7:05 pm EST)
#38 Phoenix (+8½) @ L.A. Lakers (A) (10:35 pm EST)


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a zero point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change, but it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from my post. On occasion, we will have plays that go head-head. The system will grade ALL bets, regardless of opponents, how you wish to play these games is your choice.

IM Always confused by your system #s. #36 and #38 just won C and D bet... Why are todays plays #36 and #38 again?

[thelimit0310]

JM Feb 16

V3 BOSTON +11 @ Chicago (A) WIN

Results Per Version

Version 1
A: 11-5
B: 2-3
C: 3-0

Version 2
A: 5-2
B: 2-0
C: 0-0

Version 3
A: 22-14
B: 10-3
C: 2-1
DET 1/28-1/31

Totals
A: 38-21
B: 14-6
C: 5-1

JM Feb 17

V3 DENVER +7 @ Memphis (B) : 7/5 Play +4

I have placed a 7/5 note for the Denver series. This indicates it is an official 7/5 play. If you wish to play 7/5, look for these markers and the bet level. If it is a (B) bet, place to win 7 units. If it is a (C) bet, place to win back your B loss + 5 units.

[on3]

he just made an error, no need to be pedantic.

[on3]

man, that +4 is scary. i was really hoping for a +5.5/+6 for the nuggs.

[jcygts6]

I agree denver getting +4 is too little... Considering 3 of their starters are out

[thelimit0310]

Just remember that the 7/5 method has already made ~100 units so far this season. Jumping on it at this point in the season could be dangerous so always use caution.

[WWSports]

Just remember that the 7/5 method has already made ~100 units so far this season. Jumping on it at this point in the season could be dangerous so always use caution.

Limit, about how many wins do you have in between loses, on average? (rough guess)

[thelimit0310]

There's variance between the seasons but you only need 3.5 wins for every loss to break even.

[MoneyOnBball]

TheLimit, in your "Baseline Results" in your amazing back-test post a week ago, did you play the series that lost on the A bet with 3 points bought or just against the spread?

[casdio]

I did my math wrong and I bet the wrong amount on Nets and Pacers. I ended both series losing money. Stupid me -.-

[Maxi_EV]

I will personnally start 7/5 NEXT season. A loss here would do too much damage to what I grinded so far.

[Nino7]

TheLimit, in your "Baseline Results" in your amazing back-test post a week ago, did you play the series that lost on the A bet with 3 points bought or just against the spread?

lol man if u actually had read the post u would know that its a loss on A,ATS + 3,5

[Wallco99]

IM Always confused by your system #s. #36 and #38 just won C and D bet... Why are todays plays #36 and #38 again?

Because I posted them in my sleep. Great catch, I will fix that for you.

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2011-12 System to date: 37-2 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: -0.29 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 0

(2/16/12):
#36 New Jersey (+9) (D) - Win
#38 Indiana (M/L) (C) - Win

v1 Plays
(A) 26-13
(B) 4-9
(C) 4-5
(D) 3-2

V2 Plays
In production


Games for (2/17/12):
#40 Milwaukee (+7½) @ Orlando (A) (7:05 pm EST)
#41 Phoenix (+8) @ L.A. Lakers (A) (10:35 pm EST)


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a zero point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change, but it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from my post. On occasion, we will have plays that go head-head. The system will grade ALL bets, regardless of opponents, how you wish to play these games is your choice.

[Wallco99]

I did my math wrong and I bet the wrong amount on Nets and Pacers. I ended both series losing money. Stupid me -.-

Let Excel add it for you, no mistakes that way unless wrong data is input.

[Wallco99]

lol man if u actually had read the post u would know that its a loss on A,ATS + 3,5

It never matters what we type, I have come to accept that as fact!

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2011-12 System to date: 37-2 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: -0.29 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 0

(2/16/12):
#36 New Jersey (+9) (D) - Win
#38 Indiana (M/L) (C) - Win

v1 Plays
(A) 26-13
(B) 4-9
(C) 4-5
(D) 3-2

V2 Plays
In production


Games for (2/17/12):
#40 Milwaukee (+7½) @ Orlando (A) (7:05 pm EST)
#41 Phoenix (+8) @ L.A. Lakers (A) (10:35 pm EST)


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a zero point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change, but it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from my post. On occasion, we will have plays that go head-head. The system will grade ALL bets, regardless of opponents, how you wish to play these games is your choice.

[Maxi_EV]

[Wallco99]

Why the giggle?

[casdio]

Let Excel add it for you, no mistakes that way unless wrong data is input.

I use Excel, but my formula was wrong. Instead of doing sum(A loss, B loss, C loss)+1unit, I only did C loss + 1 unit... Won't happen again

[Wallco99]

I use Excel, but my formula was wrong. Instead of doing sum(A loss, B loss, C loss)+1unit, I only did C loss + 1 unit... Won't happen again

Ouch!

[Riceboi]

JM Feb 16 V3 BOSTON +11 @ Chicago (A) WIN Results Per Version Version 1 A: 11-5 B: 2-3 C: 3-0 Version 2 A: 5-2 B: 2-0 C: 0-0 Version 3 A: 22-14 B: 10-3 C: 2-1 DET 1/28-1/31 Totals A: 38-21 B: 14-6 C: 5-1 JM Feb 17 V3 DENVER +7 @ Memphis (B) : 7/5 Play +4 I have placed a 7/5 note for the Denver series. This indicates it is an official 7/5 play. If you wish to play 7/5, look for these markers and the bet level. If it is a (B) bet, place to win 7 units. If it is a (C) bet, place to win back your B loss + 5 units.

I thought the 7/5 method was played on the -110 odds spread and not buying any points?