LTA's NBA Plays for Round 2, Conf. Finals & Championship

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  • Krazymojo
    SBR Sharp
    • 12-01-10
    • 444

    #1996
    mavs o/u going up
    Comment
    • Krazymojo
      SBR Sharp
      • 12-01-10
      • 444

      #1997
      any input?
      Comment
      • Krazymojo
        SBR Sharp
        • 12-01-10
        • 444

        #1998
        looks like 3-0 for wnba so far we should just up the units there
        Comment
        • ColdBeerHere
          SBR MVP
          • 03-25-11
          • 3626

          #1999
          thnx for the wnba winner lta...even though i misclicked at one of my books and bet over
          Comment
          • Love The Action
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-08-10
            • 10952

            #2000
            Originally posted by Krazymojo
            i like the nationals tonight!
            The more I looked at it, the more I like this play and changed my mind about it. I went to go lock it in along with the under in the same game, only to have it get taken off the board. Good luck...I hope you cash.
            Comment
            • Krazymojo
              SBR Sharp
              • 12-01-10
              • 444

              #2001
              also got the under and the over on the other 2 night games all for .5x each
              Comment
              • Krazymojo
                SBR Sharp
                • 12-01-10
                • 444

                #2002
                i missed your KC over
                Comment
                • Krazymojo
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 12-01-10
                  • 444

                  #2003
                  live line 188 with 5:49 left in the 3rd
                  Comment
                  • IceSlipper
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 05-26-11
                    • 117

                    #2004
                    getting nervous for the under here! come on, slow the pace down heat!
                    Comment
                    • Krazymojo
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 12-01-10
                      • 444

                      #2005
                      on pace but right at the number the fouling at the end might give us trouble
                      Comment
                      • Love The Action
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-08-10
                        • 10952

                        #2006
                        We went 4-1 in MLB and 1-0 in WNBA today. Let's hit this NBA under!

                        I'm not worried as I expect the Heat to really slow it down in the 4th quarter as they have done all series. This will be played first to 90 wins...good luck all!

                        I can't even watch the 4th quarter as I have some "baby" stuff to take care of, so good luck and bring me home a winner. I will check back in a couple hours. Good luck!
                        Comment
                        • IceSlipper
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 05-26-11
                          • 117

                          #2007
                          169! another good win! grats everyone who locked the under!
                          Comment
                          • GTS925
                            Restricted User
                            • 11-06-10
                            • 1158

                            #2008
                            Spot on LTA! Are you going to ride the under train until the last game?
                            Comment
                            • csmkr18
                              Restricted User
                              • 04-13-09
                              • 834

                              #2009
                              Great day LTA! Nice job!
                              Comment
                              • Love The Action
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-08-10
                                • 10952

                                #2010
                                Originally posted by Krazymojo
                                i like the nationals tonight!

                                also got the under and the over on the other 2 night games all for .5x each
                                Nice call!
                                Comment
                                • Love The Action
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-08-10
                                  • 10952

                                  #2011
                                  Originally posted by Love The Action
                                  We went 4-1 in MLB and 1-0 in WNBA today. Let's hit this NBA under!

                                  I'm not worried as I expect the Heat to really slow it down in the 4th quarter as they have done all series. This will be played first to 90 wins...good luck all!

                                  I can't even watch the 4th quarter as I have some "baby" stuff to take care of, so good luck and bring me home a winner. I will check back in a couple hours. Good luck!
                                  Cash it! The under hits easy as the pace really slowed in that second half just as we predicted. Couple that with strong defense, poor shooting and a non-existant Lebron, and we hit that one with plenty of room to spare. OT was our only enemy. Another great day as we end up 4-1 in MLB, 1-0 in WNBA and 1-0 in NBA for a profit exceeding 5x.

                                  I may have a few MLB plays before bed. No basketball tomorrow, so probably a light day. Good luck on all your plays tomorrow.
                                  Comment
                                  • aussieH
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-04-11
                                    • 1188

                                    #2012
                                    Well done lta. That baby stuff is going to consume you from now on
                                    Comment
                                    • flush99
                                      SBR Hustler
                                      • 03-20-11
                                      • 80

                                      #2013
                                      nice job last night.
                                      Comment
                                      • Krazymojo
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 12-01-10
                                        • 444

                                        #2014
                                        got plenty of baseball and your wnba picks we need to up the ante lol
                                        Comment
                                        • Love The Action
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-08-10
                                          • 10952

                                          #2015
                                          So the books finally made a real adjustment towards the under and opened between 185.5 and 186 (at Pinny). Early action on the under brought that number down to 185, with most books juicing the under.

                                          Unfortunately, that does not leave us much value on the under, which is what we wanted to take at around 187. With Lebron playing so poorly and both teams shooting just as poorly, however, perhaps a small play on the over is in order for this one. I need to check out the boxscore a little more closely and look at a few other factors. I don't think we'll have an early play in game 5 and will watch where the line takes us. Either way, we need to go where the value is and at this time I do not forsee a big play in game 5.

                                          No need to worry about the baby cutting in on my capping efforts. My wife enjoys the extra money too much to allow me to stop and actually encourages and supports me with our capping efforts. Everything in life is about balance and moderation...you can't drink too much, drug too much, cap too much, work too much or do anything too much. But everything can be done in moderation. I will be a great dad and remain a profitable capper. After all, I just won't sleep...I can sleep when I'm dead
                                          Comment
                                          • M.W.
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-07-08
                                            • 1668

                                            #2016
                                            Now, onto the serious stuff. I may not be around here or have many plays for you this week as a long awaited and much celebrated event is about to take place with my wife giving birth to our first child
                                            Well, congrats! Just went through this myself. It's wonderful.
                                            Comment
                                            • csmkr18
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 04-13-09
                                              • 834

                                              #2017
                                              LTA, do you win more from betting or from usual job? ( per mounth, in avarage)
                                              Comment
                                              • Love The Action
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-08-10
                                                • 10952

                                                #2018
                                                Originally posted by Krazymojo
                                                got plenty of baseball and your wnba picks we need to up the ante lol
                                                Unfortunately, there is no WNBA until Thursday. I will start staking my WNBA picks more heavily when each team has around 5 games and probably won't exceed 1x until then. I don't want to put multiple units on my WNBA plays until we have had the opportunity to spots team trends, players trends, game tendencies, ref leans, league trends, etc. Just like in the NBA, we will start having some 5x-10x spot plays about midway through the season. Stay tuned...

                                                MLB to come later...probably a smaller card for me today depending on how much capping time I have today but I may play the early games. Good luck with everyone's plays today!
                                                Comment
                                                • Krazymojo
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 12-01-10
                                                  • 444

                                                  #2019
                                                  Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                  Unfortunately, there is no WNBA until Thursday. I will start staking my WNBA picks more heavily when each team has around 5 games and probably won't exceed 1x until then. I don't want to put multiple units on my WNBA plays until we have had the opportunity to spots team trends, players trends, game tendencies, ref leans, league trends, etc. Just like in the NBA, we will start having some 5x-10x spot plays about midway through the season. Stay tuned...

                                                  MLB to come later...probably a smaller card for me today depending on how much capping time I have today but I may play the early games. Good luck with everyone's plays today!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Krazymojo
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 12-01-10
                                                    • 444

                                                    #2020
                                                    got the under on the twins/Indians game 8.5(+110) 1x to start the day
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Love The Action
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 11-08-10
                                                      • 10952

                                                      #2021
                                                      Wow...ton of action on the Heat/Mavs under...over 80% of all bets coming in on the under. If the total hits 184 or lower, things will get really interesting.

                                                      Here's some homework -- we need to look at past NBA final series where tied 2-2 going into the 5th game of the series to see if there are any trends to the over or under. I suspect the under would hit the majority of time, but would like to know if the over hits 40% or more. I will have a chance to check it out later tonight, but if anyone is interested in looking before then, please post the results here. Thanks!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Love The Action
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-08-10
                                                        • 10952

                                                        #2022
                                                        Originally posted by Krazymojo
                                                        got the under on the twins/Indians game 8.5(+110) 1x to start the day
                                                        Good luck...the ump favors the under big time! 7-1 in favor of the under in games he has been behind the plate this year.

                                                        I'm going to sit that one out. Minnestota got shut out yesterday and might find a way to score 3 or more off Masterson who has been struggling lately. Pavano is always hard to trust for the under, especially against a good offensive team in the Indians. Line movement really doesn't tell us much about this one either.

                                                        I might go with the Cubs/Reds over in the early games, but still have not decided. I actually lean really hard to the Cubs, but just feel that taking them right now in the midst of this losing streak is just throwing money away.

                                                        Good luck with your under play.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Krazymojo
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 12-01-10
                                                          • 444

                                                          #2023
                                                          Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                          Good luck...the ump favors the under big time! 7-1 in favor of the under in games he has been behind the plate this year.

                                                          I'm going to sit that one out. Minnestota got shut out yesterday and might find a way to score 3 or more off Masterson who has been struggling lately. Pavano is always hard to trust for the under, especially against a good offensive team in the Indians. Line movement really doesn't tell us much about this one either.

                                                          I might go with the Cubs/Reds over in the early games, but still have not decided. I actually lean really hard to the Cubs, but just feel that taking them right now in the midst of this losing streak is just throwing money away.

                                                          Good luck with your under play.
                                                          I was thinking bout going with the Cubs hopefully to get out of this losing streak and Dempster on the mound might be the guy to do it I like masterson even tho he has been struggling
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Krazymojo
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 12-01-10
                                                            • 444

                                                            #2024
                                                            Cubs game starts in 20mins Ill go with you on whatever you do
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Love The Action
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-08-10
                                                              • 10952

                                                              #2025
                                                              Originally posted by Krazymojo
                                                              Cubs game starts in 20mins Ill go with you on whatever you do
                                                              NoPlay for me. I lean cubs and over but line movement says under and I just can't trust the cubs to win anything right now. I will wait for the late games. Good luck with your early plays!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Krazymojo
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 12-01-10
                                                                • 444

                                                                #2026
                                                                sounds good to me
                                                                Comment
                                                                • IceSlipper
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 05-26-11
                                                                  • 117

                                                                  #2027
                                                                  not sure whether to make an early play on the under at 185.5 or to see if/how far it drops and make a small play on the over! interesting game!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Krazymojo
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 12-01-10
                                                                    • 444

                                                                    #2028
                                                                    Originally posted by IceSlipper
                                                                    not sure whether to make an early play on the under at 185.5 or to see if/how far it drops and make a small play on the over! interesting game!
                                                                    I'm waitin
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • IceSlipper
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 05-26-11
                                                                      • 117

                                                                      #2029
                                                                      Originally posted by Krazymojo
                                                                      I'm waitin
                                                                      yeah, im thinking i'll probably do the same and if we dont see 184 i may not make a play on the total at all (hate not having a play on finals games!!)..
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • ColdBeerHere
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 03-25-11
                                                                        • 3626

                                                                        #2030
                                                                        Keep up the good work LTA....Be patient, and watch that line....I'm with ya on the value thing
                                                                        Comment
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