Curious Season Thread

[curious]

yo bro, i guarentee you i am smarter than you so you can cut the bullshit talk. at the beginning of this thread you said something like, "it's important to keep the winrate percent up" but most of your plays are ML's on the favorite. it's just kind of a nonesense thing a crackhead would say.

Since you are so smart and you know so much more about sports betting than I ever could, please start your own thread where you are predicting the outcome of sporting events and we will all follow you.

[SpreadSniper]

yo bro, i guarentee you i am smarter than you so you can cut the bullshit talk. at the beginning of this thread you said something like, "it's important to keep the winrate percent up" but most of your plays are ML's on the favorite. it's just kind of a nonesense thing a crackhead would say.

He is going to have a field day with this.

[curious]

Just offering my 2 cents as to why there isn't a lovefest going on in here. Post a 10-2 day on sides and you'd have so many of these cats so far up your ass it wouldn't be funny.

I do that all the time.

I don't want all those crackheads in here who only bet spreads and run from thread to thread following whoever happens to be hot that week.

[curious]

He is going to have a field day with this.

No, I agree with him. He is much smarter than me, that is why he is going to start his own thread and we are all going to start following him.

[SpreadSniper]

Since you are so smart and you know so much more about sports betting than I ever could, please start your own thread where you are predicting the outcome of sporting events and we will all follow you.

that was disapointing man.... you didnt even call him a crack head once!

[curious]

Tuesday Jan 18th NBA bump bump bump

Miami -240 4.8 to win 2
Chicago -300 18 to win 6

These are early lines, if they are very different when some of the more major books post I will update them.

BUMP BUMP BUMP

[timmyboy34243]

i'll volunteer to keep your 1st qtr plays history/spreadsheet if you continue to post them. however, i won't go back to day one to start tracking, willing to start from yesterday.

[spippen]

I am not keeping records this year. Look at my thread and make up your own mind.

I never said that money line plays are interchangeable with spread plays. You said that and claimed that you are attributing that nonsense to me. That is ignorant and I am not ignorant.

Go somewhere else and talk this bullshit.

Now, if you want to talk accurately and honestly that is a different matter. You choose.

Good point, Curious, Good Point!

[creditcardclown]

B) your knowledge of numbers and gambling is intimidating. most don't want to come in here and ask a stupid question (although the only stupid question is one that goes unasked) then be called a crack-head.

wrong... curious has always responded to questions, in some detail.

IMO sports betting is so hard to beat that almost no one posting on an internet board is good enough so that they can just post picks and be known as great without keeping accurate records. then if you keep betting ML's on big favorites to "raise the win percent" it just confuses the issues.

note... curious i'm pretty sure you know a lot about sports betting and also win a lot doing it

[curious]

i'll volunteer to keep your 1st qtr plays history/spreadsheet if you continue to post them. however, i won't go back to day one to start tracking, willing to start from yesterday.

Well, I play all the quarters on the money line but I quit posting them because too many idiots argued with me about it.

The 1st quarter plays are not as lucrative if you don't double up the losers in the 2nd quarter.

I don't know why none of these crackheads can find a book that does money line plays on all the quarters.

[creditcardclown]

Since you are so smart and you know so much more about sports betting than I ever could, please start your own thread where you are predicting the outcome of sporting events and we will all follow you.

see dude, this is why you are a crackhead. i said i am smarter than you, not that i am a better sports better than you. it's like ur a smart dude but you took acid at some point and it broke some connections in your head.

[curious]

wrong... curious has always responded to questions, in some detail.

IMO sports betting is so hard to beat that almost no one posting on an internet board is good enough so that they can just post picks and be known as great without keeping accurate records. then if you keep betting ML's on big favorites to "raise the win percent" it just confuses the issues.

note... curious i'm pretty sure you know a lot about sports betting and also win a lot doing it

For four years in a row in multiple sports I kept very accurate records. This year my schedule is crazy, so I am not worrying about it, I am only on line right now because it is raining.

I figured after four years of killing the books in multiple sports that people wouldn't worry about the minute record keeping.

I already made one concession because of the aggravation, we usually run a system that wins big on the quarters, but too many people complained about not being able to find money lines for all the quarters after the previous quarter ended. I am playing those myself but not posting them.

It seems that there are a large number of people on SBR who are more concerned with inanity than winning. I find this attitude to be very strange.

[curious]

see dude, this is why you are a crackhead. i said i am smarter than you, not that i am a better sports better than you. it's like ur a smart dude but you took acid at some point and it broke some connections in your head.

You are an idiot. I would never tell someone that I was smarter than they are. Especially someone as handsome as me. You have seen my picture, right? It is my avatar.

If you want to stop this nonsense and either give us some plays or critique some of my plays, go for it, but I am not talking to you any more while you just spout nonsense.

[curious]

Tue Jan 18 NBA and NCAAB plays bump bump bump

NBA
Miami -240 4.8 to win 2
Chicago -300 18 to win 6

These are early lines, if they are very different when some of the more major books post I will update them.

BUMP BUMP BUMP

NCAAB
Parlay hey hey +110 7 to win 7.7
North Carolina -240 ML
Northwestern -255 ML
Marquette -3250
BYU -3000

[creditcardclown]

curious, I am new to sports betting. I just started tailing people a month or two ago. I have been kind of a degenerate and betting too much given I am so new to this. I didn't have the time to go back hundreds or thousands of posts to research each possible person I was gonna bet with. Note that since I am new to betting and this site I had no way to differentiate you from another capper. That is just my personal story... and FWIW i've been doing fairly poorly with sports betting.

[curious]

curious, I am new to sports betting. I just started tailing people a month or two ago. I have been kind of a degenerate and betting too much given I am so new to this. I didn't have the time to go back hundreds or thousands of posts to research each possible person I was gonna bet with. Note that since I am new to betting and this site I had no way to differentiate you from another capper. That is just my personal story... and FWIW i've been doing fairly poorly with sports betting.

I was in this position when I first started. I found that it was much better to research the math behind the predictability of the game and cap my own games than to follow others. Now I follow others to find different edges on the games that I am not seeing.

I don't cap any two sports the same way. NBA is very different from NCAAB which is very different from NCAAF. You have to find the capping approach that works with that sport. I cannot figure NHL or NFL out at all. MLB I was red hot in but this last season I lost on it and quit at the all star break. I didn't play very much because the first few weeks were poor and it never clicked. Now, in the 3 previous years MLB was red hot, not sure what happened.

Look at my sides, the quarter plays are skewed because I only post the 1st quarter plays and I play all four quarters but I don't post all 4 quarters because too many people complained that they could not find any place to do what I do.

The totals I get from other players, better just to track those players.

[creditcardclown]

So, I am going to ask this nicely. This is a MONEY LINE thread. I have 4 years of experience killing the books in NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, and MLB. By killing I don't mean I was a 55% winner. I mean FREAKING MURDERING the books. The NBA thread has hit >85% 3 years in a row.

this is what i was referring to stuff like this

[curious]

i dont understand how you can be so dense. posting the percent of times you win while betting on ML favorites all the time is just a wild thing to do.

Please leave, I'm not putting up with this stupidity any more. If you don't leave on your own I will get the mods to help you with that.

[gocan2010]

curious u r right. get him boot. thanks for ur contributions. gl

[curious]

curious u r right. get him boot. thanks for ur contributions. gl

This creditcardclown is a spoof account, is that what you call it? I looked at some of this accounts posts in other threads and he says things like "I've been watching so and so's picks for a long time....". Now, the account was opened at the end of November 2010, so how is it that this clown has been watching anyone's picks for a long time?

This is one of my enemies in a spoof account. Is that what you call an account that someone sets up besides their main account and pretends to be something that they are not?

[curious]

Tue Jan 18 NBA and NCAAB plays bump bump bump

NBA
Miami -240 4.8 to win 2
Chicago -300 18 to win 6

These are early lines, if they are very different when some of the more major books post I will update them.

BUMP BUMP BUMP

NCAAB
Parlay hey hey +110 7 to win 7.7
North Carolina -240 ML
Northwestern -255 ML
Marquette -3250
BYU -3000

[SpreadSniper]

This creditcardclown is a spoof account, is that what you call it? I looked at some of this accounts posts in other threads and he says things like "I've been watching so and so's picks for a long time....". Now, the account was opened at the end of November 2010, so how is it that this clown has been watching anyone's picks for a long time?

This is one of my enemies in a spoof account. Is that what you call an account that someone sets up besides their main account and pretends to be something that they are not?

Ghost account, troll account, shit disturber, whatever floats your boat.

"yo bro, i guarentee you i am smarter than you so you can cut the bullshit talk" - with sentences like this how can you doubt the guy curious?

[Biggus]

NBA
Miami -240 4.8 to win 2
Chicago -300 18 to win 6

These are early lines, if they are very different when some of the more major books post I will update them.

BUMP BUMP BUMP

NCAAB
Parlay hey hey +110 7 to win 7.7
North Carolina -240 ML
Northwestern -255 ML
Marquette -3250
BYU -3000

Curious...Thanks for all you do (showing some love!!)...I have been following for awhile. I am trying to understand the kenpom numbers (saw you discussing this in another thread). For example, I see you have Northwestern as the pick (vs. Michigan). The pyth number (under strength of schedule) for NW is .6507, and Michigan is .7505. The spread is 6.5. Shouldnt this favor the dog (Michigan) ? Go ahead and call me a crackhead, I am sure I am not reading this correct.

Thanks

[curious]

Curious...Thanks for all you do (showing some love!!)...I have been following for awhile. I am trying to understand the kenpom numbers (saw you discussing this in another thread). For example, I see you have Northwestern as the pick (vs. Michigan). The pyth number (under strength of schedule) for NW is .6507, and Michigan is .7505. The spread is 6.5. Shouldnt this favor the dog (Michigan) ? Go ahead and call me a crackhead, I am sure I am not reading this correct.

Thanks

You have to also look at the home and away record for both teams. Since these numbers are so close I took the home team. On close plays like this you just have to go with what you think is best. I would not complain on taking Michigan plus the points. Maybe we will both win.

Look at the other somewhat close play in that parlay and tell us what you think.

[SpreadSniper]

Curious...Thanks for all you do (showing some love!!)...I have been following for awhile. I am trying to understand the kenpom numbers (saw you discussing this in another thread). For example, I see you have Northwestern as the pick (vs. Michigan). The pyth number (under strength of schedule) for NW is .6507, and Michigan is .7505. The spread is 6.5. Shouldnt this favor the dog (Michigan) ?

Christ... here we go trying to figure out wtf "kenpom numbers" are now, thanks for the homework

Clemson been destroying folks at home, not so much on the road. UNC should put forth a good effort after getting smoked by 20 at Georgia. Like the ML play but wouldn't touch the side.

[Biggus]

You have to also look at the home and away record for both teams. Since these numbers are so close I took the home team. On close plays like this you just have to go with what you think is best. I would not complain on taking Michigan plus the points. Maybe we will both win.

Look at the other somewhat close play in that parlay and tell us what you think.

NO, NO. I am following you. I am just trying to make sure I have this correct. So, the other close one is North Carolina at .7314 vs. Clemson at .5324, should be huge advantage North Carolina.

[Biggus]

Christ... here we go trying to figure out wtf "kenpom numbers" are now, thanks for the homework

Clemson been destroying folks at home, not so much on the road. UNC should put forth a good effort after getting smoked by 20 at Georgia. Like the ML play but wouldn't touch the side.

[curious]

Music

I used to have a lot of albums. By a lot, I mean over 1,000. Somewhere along the way I lost them all. I was listening to some music on You Tube and a song by Pavlov's Dog came up, I had forgotten about them.

Wow, this band is good. The lead singer is an opera singer who switched to rock and roll. You can tell by his voice.

This first one if my favorite.

Of Once and Future Kings

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IjWGX9Q9zw4&feature=related

Julia

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R6uexPmL0fk&feature=related

Late November

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eHnSVmxt7rw&feature=related

Song Dance

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M4W6r0M5soE&feature=related

Fast Gun

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZUDYoiojgzY

Natchez Trace

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eHEuYcvqdAg&feature=related

Theme from Subway Sue

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_L3FPbOCIkA&feature=related

Episode

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xNJlDx5QIH4&feature=related

Preludin

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HXna2PLJ2gA&feature=related

[curious]

NO, NO. I am following you. I am just trying to make sure I have this correct. So, the other close one is North Carolina at .7314 vs. Clemson at .5324, should be huge advantage North Carolina.

If you want to have a great year in college baskets, look at EVERY game using the kenpom numbers and look for cases where the books have a line that is way off from the kenpom numbers. And JUMP ON IT, pretend that your wife or your girlfriend is naked and is begging you to JUMP ON IT.

Home teams are sometimes favored a little so even though they are a smaller number than the road team if the numbers are close that doesn't mean much.

One year kenpom figured Maryland was a big fav and the books had them as a big dog two games in a row, they won both games straight up.

You can usually find one or two of these every week.

[A's Fan]

Well, I am not a 2 year old and my picks in MLB, NCAAB, NBA, and NCAAF have been solid for 4 years. Since you don't understand my methods you cannot say that they are correct. And since you said that the late plays had a 50/50 chance of winning when their true chance of winning was much greater than that shows that you don't know what you are talking about.

You don't understand why this worked because you don't know how to calculate the true odds of the games and you don't understand that the 3 early games that lost had low odds and the later games had high odds (true odds).

Start your own thread and show us how smart you are by demonstrating a win rate higher than mine and we will follow you.

I never said your late plays had a 50/50 chance of winning. You did not understand the point I was making. The point was that the games had the same chance of winning that you had capped them at (true odds, yes I know what this means) and that the true odds did not change because of the previous games earlier in the day. Remember, Probability has no memory. If you thought the late games had better value and that the Ml's you believe were the true odds were further off than the market odds available, then it befuddles me even more why you were not making these your bigger bets beforehand as you should, but you waited to see how the day went. So if those early games were winners then you would have not bet bigger units on the plays you had capped as having a bigger advantage.

Also i mean Im pretty sure you know this but you do realize when your betting-350's hitting even 75% you lose.

if your playing spreads, you can hit 52% and be a winner.

[curious]

I never said your late plays had a 50/50 chance of winning. You did not understand the point I was making. The point was that the games had the same chance of winning that you had capped them at (true odds, yes I know what this means) and that the true odds did not change because of the previous games earlier in the day. Remember, Probability has no memory. If you thought the late games had better value and that the Ml's you believe were the true odds were further off than the market odds available, then it befuddles me even more why you were not making these your bigger bets beforehand as you should, but you waited to see how the day went. So if those early games were winners then you would have not bet bigger units on the plays you had capped as having a bigger advantage.

Also i mean Im pretty sure you know this but you do realize when your betting-350's hitting even 75% you lose.

if your playing spreads, you can hit 52% and be a winner.

This is a money line thread. I know all about the differences between money lines and spreads.

Since you are so smart please feel free to post a link to your thread and we will go there and follow you.

You did say that the later games had a 50/50 chance of winning, you even gave a coin toss as an example, now you are saying that you did not say that, so either you are mentally handicapped or you are laying or you have no idea what you said. Either way you can go now.

[A's Fan]

ok GL.

[doin]

Curious, I would like to lay down on Bulls at 7 pm central time, first 1/4, -2.5 But i'm going to be gone from bookie then for an hour or three. Does that make my original idea crack head material?

[curious]

Tue Jan 18 NBA and NCAAB plays bump bump bump

NBA
Miami -240 4.8 to win 2
Chicago -300 18 to win 6

These are early lines, if they are very different when some of the more major books post I will update them.

BUMP BUMP BUMP

NCAAB
Parlay hey hey +110 7 to win 7.7
North Carolina -240 ML
Northwestern -255 ML
Marquette -3250
BYU -3000

[spongerat]

how many units do you have in your bankroll? I always just went by the old standard of 100-200 but your system seems pretty good too