Curious Season Thread

[curious]

Tue, Jan 18

Miami -240 4.8 to win 2
Chicago -300 18 to win 6

These are early lines, if they are very different when some of the more major books post I will update them.

bump bump bump

[curious]

songs I like

I don't know if you have heard of this group, but I like these 2 songs.

Hooverphonic

Mad About You

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=16O3tsaiCNs&feature=related

Eden ( I REALLY like this song)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=veP2PcvMWKQ&feature=related

[A's Fan]

why would you double on late games if you lose early games. You do not have an increased chance to hit late plays because the early plays lost, you have the same chance still. i.e. if you flip a coin ten time and get heads tens time in a row, the odds of getting heads on the next toss is 50%. You might as well double up on every 3rd game randomly etc if your going to do that.

[tenbas]

A's Fan, I think curious knows well the odds and chances. And we can clearly see that's working out for him. If you dont believe it you can check the whole thread.

[A's Fan]

whether or not it works or not is besides the point, if I had a 2 year old pick the plays and he went 18-5 it doesnt mean his method/strategies hes employing are correct. I just don't see how that could ever be a solid bankroll and overall strategy that Curious is using "doubling up on late games"

[curious]

why would you double on late games if you lose early games. You do not have an increased chance to hit late plays because the early plays lost, you have the same chance still. i.e. if you flip a coin ten time and get heads tens time in a row, the odds of getting heads on the next toss is 50%. You might as well double up on every 3rd game randomly etc if your going to do that.

Please, put the crack pipe down and stop believing that you know anything about sports betting. I calculate the true odds on all the games, the early games were low odds, most of the late games were high odds. This means that the late games had a higher chance of winning than the early games.

I didn't expect all the late games to win, that was just good fortune.

Your claim that this had the same chance as a coin toss proves that you know nothing about probability and that you do not know how to calculate the true odds of a sporting event.

[curious]

whether or not it works or not is besides the point, if I had a 2 year old pick the plays and he went 18-5 it doesnt mean his method/strategies hes employing are correct. I just don't see how that could ever be a solid bankroll and overall strategy that Curious is using "doubling up on late games"

Well, I am not a 2 year old and my picks in MLB, NCAAB, NBA, and NCAAF have been solid for 4 years. Since you don't understand my methods you cannot say that they are correct. And since you said that the late plays had a 50/50 chance of winning when their true chance of winning was much greater than that shows that you don't know what you are talking about.

You don't understand why this worked because you don't know how to calculate the true odds of the games and you don't understand that the 3 early games that lost had low odds and the later games had high odds (true odds).

Start your own thread and show us how smart you are by demonstrating a win rate higher than mine and we will follow you.

[ThingsFallApart]

curious how do you feel about 185 over/under?

[curious]

Tues, Jan 18 NBA games

Originally Posted by curious View Post
Miami -240 4.8 to win 2
Chicago -300 18 to win 6

These are early lines, if they are very different when some of the more major books post I will update them.

BUMP BUMP BUMP

[curious]

curious how do you feel about 185 over/under?

Let's see, you aren't giving us a team and you obviously don't read my thread since I have said many times that I don't know how to cap totals.

[genghis_kahn]

Originally Posted by curious View Post Miami -240 4.8 to win 2 Chicago -300 18 to win 6 These are early lines, if they are very different when some of the more major books post I will update them. BUMP BUMP BUMP

Curious, with you on Chicago ML. Think they win this game, but don't cover the -8. A little worried that Boozer is out and both teams on 4th game in 5 nights. Charlotte did have OT yesterday, but since it was an early game had ample time to recover. Hoping D. Rose has another monster game.

[curious]

Curious, with you on Chicago ML. Think they win this game, but don't cover the -8. A little worried that Boozer is out and both teams on 4th game in 5 nights. Charlotte did have OT yesterday, but since it was an early game had ample time to recover. Hoping D. Rose has another monster game.

Charlotte is a terrible road team, they are 1-11 straight up on the road. The main reason I am going on Chicago so large on this is that Charlotte beat Chicago the last game they played, Chicago is a terrible road team and Charlotte is a good home team, and now we have the same match-up, terrible road team vs solid home team, along with Chicago wanting revenge in front of the home fans. We might lose but I think the odds are with us.

[SpreadSniper]

You playing ncaab today curious? Appologize for not going back further and finding the info myself, but most plays are geared towards the ML and not the side - same hold true for ncaab?

[curious]

You playing ncaab today curious? Appologize for not going back further and finding the info myself, but most plays are geared towards the ML and not the side - same hold true for ncaab?

I play dogs on the money line and 2X on the spread.

I play favs only on the money line.

I'm not posting NCAAB plays this year. I play a lot of games and all that typing is very time consuming, and I am very busy this year with real work and trying to keep a hot young wife happy.

[genghis_kahn]

Charlotte is a terrible road team, they are 1-11 straight up on the road. The main reason I am going on Chicago so large on this is that Charlotte beat Chicago the last game they played, Chicago is a terrible road team and Charlotte is a good home team, and now we have the same match-up, terrible road team vs solid home team, along with Chicago wanting revenge in front of the home fans. We might lose but I think the odds are with us.

Not that it matters, but Charlotte is 4-14 on the road this year while Chicago (a great home team, like you said) is 18-3. Charlotte's road wins were Nets, Raptors, Timberwolves, Wizards... all awful teams (even though Wizards are decent at home). Chicago's 3 home losses came to the Knicks, Magic and Clippers and I honestly believe the Clippers will be a force as the year goes on.

I realize you don't need convinced, but just adding to our play.

[curious]

Not that it matters, but Charlotte is 4-14 on the road this year while Chicago (a great home team, like you said) is 18-3. Charlotte's road wins were Nets, Raptors, Timberwolves, Wizards... all awful teams (even though Wizards are decent at home). Chicago's 3 home losses came to the Knicks, Magic and Clippers and I honestly believe the Clippers will be a force as the year goes on.

I realize you don't need convinced, but just adding to our play.

Thanks for the good information. Now, Charlotte has been playing everyone tough lately, not sure why, maybe they think they are in a professional sports league? The only game that they lost by big numbers lately was Miami.

I'm wondering about this team. Are they using a different lineup? Did they make some coaching changes? Are the cheerleaders putting out better?

[SpreadSniper]

I'm not posting NCAAB plays this year. I play a lot of games and all that typing is very time consuming, and I am very busy this year with real work and trying to keep a hot young wife happy.

Damn near impossible, but if you succeed you are a better man than I.

[curious]

Something that I don't get, can you explain it?

I troll other people's threads every day looking for people who are good at capping. Don't find them very often but it doesn't hurt to look. And what I see is posters who are TERRIBLE who have big followings in their threads and a dozen people post responses to everything the "expert" says and pages and pages of posts discussing something, I'm not sure what. Hard to find the actual posts actually with all this activity going on. And if the "expert" is late feeding this on any day it turns into a frenzy. And constant posts about how great the "expert" is and surely his record will turn around, blah blah blah.

Can anyone explain this nonsense?

I kill the books every day and I don't get the same love.

[spippen]

Thanks for the good information. Now, Charlotte has been playing everyone tough lately, not sure why, maybe they think they are in a professional sports league? The only game that they lost by big numbers lately was Miami.

I'm wondering about this team. Are they using a different lineup? Did they make some coaching changes? Are the cheerleaders putting out better?

Gotta be the cheerleader theory!

[creditcardclown]

I troll other people's threads every day looking for people who are good at capping. Don't find them very often but it doesn't hurt to look. And what I see is posters who are TERRIBLE who have big followings in their threads and a dozen people post responses to everything the "expert" says and pages and pages of posts discussing something, I'm not sure what. Hard to find the actual posts actually with all this activity going on. And if the "expert" is late feeding this on any day it turns into a frenzy. And constant posts about how great the "expert" is and surely his record will turn around, blah blah blah.

Can anyone explain this nonsense?

I kill the books every day and I don't get the same love.

i dont think you keep accurate records. you talk about keeping your win percent high and have talked about winning ML plays where you are -250 like they are interchangable with winning ATS plays.

what is your record YTD for units won or lost?

[curious]

i dont think you keep accurate records. you talk about keeping your win percent high and have talked about winning ML plays where you are -250 like they are interchangable with winning ATS plays.

what is your record YTD for units won or lost?

I am not keeping records this year. Look at my thread and make up your own mind.

I never said that money line plays are interchangeable with spread plays. You said that and claimed that you are attributing that nonsense to me. That is ignorant and I am not ignorant.

Go somewhere else and talk this bullshit.

Now, if you want to talk accurately and honestly that is a different matter. You choose.

[Wayne]

I troll other people's threads every day looking for people who are good at capping. Don't find them very often but it doesn't hurt to look. And what I see is posters who are TERRIBLE who have big followings in their threads and a dozen people post responses to everything the "expert" says and pages and pages of posts discussing something, I'm not sure what. Hard to find the actual posts actually with all this activity going on. And if the "expert" is late feeding this on any day it turns into a frenzy. And constant posts about how great the "expert" is and surely his record will turn around, blah blah blah.

Can anyone explain this nonsense?

I kill the books every day and I don't get the same love.

Could it be that nobody likes you?

[curious]

Could it be that nobody likes you?

Could be. And I would give a **** why?

[Wayne]

Could be. And I would give a **** why?

Maybe it's the hair.

[SpreadSniper]

I kill the books every day and I don't get the same love.

A) you play ML's - while your method is effective and cannot be denied, many here are trying to find edges on sides/totals, not so much ML's.

B) your knowledge of numbers and gambling is intimidating. most don't want to come in here and ask a stupid question (although the only stupid question is one that goes unasked) then be called a crack-head.

C) because you call everyone a crack-head!

I frequent this thread just as I do LB/Lyons thread in the hope of figuring out whats what and learning to "read between the lines" like ya'll seem pretty damn good at doing. This is only my 4th year of sports betting (second with a book - yes I know) so there is a lot for my young ass to figure out.

You mentioned figuring out "true odds" and probability so I then spent over an hour researching the shit outta "true odds" and how it applies to sports.

Anywho, keep at it... there are a lot of us out here that appreciate it.....

Love, (see there's some love for ya)

SS

[Dutch]

I frequent this thread just as I do Himesh,the man from oz thread

Fixed for me. I don't really tail anyone, and not to stroke you too hard, but you seem to be the smartest poster I've found so far.

[SpreadSniper]

That is ignorant and I am not ignorant.

[curious]

A) you play ML's - while your method is effective and cannot be denied, many here are trying to find edges on sides/totals, not so much ML's.

Then let them post their picks and give their reasons and if the reasons are good we will tail them. Since this is a money line thread, why argue with me because I am taking money lines? That makes no sense.

B) your knowledge of numbers and gambling is intimidating. most don't want to come in here and ask a stupid question (although the only stupid question is one that goes unasked) then be called a crack-head.

I have never mistreated anyone for asking a question. I will answer it. Then I will call them a crackhead. Some people deserve to be called a crackhead, they know who they are.

C) because you call everyone a crack-head!

Lose money and tell your wife or girlfriend and see what she calls you.

I frequent this thread just as I do LB/Lyons thread in the hope of figuring out whats what and learning to "read between the lines" like ya'll seem pretty damn good at doing. This is only my 4th year of sports betting (second with a book - yes I know) so there is a lot for my young ass to figure out.

I knew nothing about sports betting when I joined SBR, which is why I joined.

You mentioned figuring out "true odds" and probability so I then spent over an hour researching the shit outta "true odds" and how it applies to sports.

It is easy, the line is not always correct. Your job is to calculate the correct line. Well, knowing what it means is easy, DOING IT might not be so easy.

Anywho, keep at it... there are a lot of us out here that appreciate it.....

Love, (see there's some love for ya)

SS

Wow, someone gave me love. So, not all SBR posters are idiot teenagers hiding in their parent's basement bothering us on SBR because they are bored with playing Doom.

[curious]

Maybe it's the hair.

Perhaps it is too straight? I could curl it some more.

[play]

But today picks? Good luck

[curious]

Tues, Jan 18 plays NBA

Originally Posted by curious View Post
Miami -240 4.8 to win 2
Chicago -300 18 to win 6

These are early lines, if they are very different when some of the more major books post I will update them.

BUMP BUMP BUMP

[curious]

Tues, Jan 18 NCAAB

Parlay hey hey +110 7 to win 7.7
North Carolina -240 ML
Northwestern -255 ML
Marquette -3250
BYU -3000

[VegasPlayer]

I troll other people's threads every day looking for people who are good at capping. Don't find them very often but it doesn't hurt to look. And what I see is posters who are TERRIBLE who have big followings in their threads and a dozen people post responses to everything the "expert" says and pages and pages of posts discussing something, I'm not sure what. Hard to find the actual posts actually with all this activity going on. And if the "expert" is late feeding this on any day it turns into a frenzy. And constant posts about how great the "expert" is and surely his record will turn around, blah blah blah.

Can anyone explain this nonsense?

I kill the books every day and I don't get the same love.

I don't know you very well, but you've been around awhile. Perhaps it is because your self worth is not contingent on what anonymous people think about you on the internet.

[creditcardclown]

I am not keeping records this year. Look at my thread and make up your own mind.

I never said that money line plays are interchangeable with spread plays. You said that and claimed that you are attributing that nonsense to me. That is ignorant and I am not ignorant.

Go somewhere else and talk this bullshit.

Now, if you want to talk accurately and honestly that is a different matter. You choose.

yo bro, i guarentee you i am smarter than you so you can cut the bullshit talk. at the beginning of this thread you said something like, "it's important to keep the winrate percent up" but most of your plays are ML's on the favorite. it's just kind of a nonesense thing a crackhead would say.

[SpreadSniper]

Then let them post their picks and give their reasons and if the reasons are good we will tail them. Since this is a money line thread, why argue with me because I am taking money lines? That makes no sense.

Just offering my 2 cents as to why there isn't a lovefest going on in here. Post a 10-2 day on sides and you'd have so many of these cats so far up your ass it wouldn't be funny.

I have never mistreated anyone for asking a question. I will answer it. Then I will call them a crackhead. Some people deserve to be called a crackhead, they know who they are.

LOL - fair enough.

Lose money and tell your wife or girlfriend and see what she calls you.

I knew nothing about sports betting when I joined SBR, which is why I joined.

Then I am glad to know I am in the right place.

It is easy, the line is not always correct. Your job is to calculate the correct line. Well, knowing what it means is easy, DOING IT might not be so easy.

Got time? I do, but I also got the ADD, so learning this fella is a pain in the ass at times.

gonna play the ncaab parlay for a couple.... lets get it.