2014/15 NBA Thread

**Seto** · 03-07-15, 09:46 PM

Wow these fukkers actually covered the game with a 27-9 4th quarter just to piss me off even more. Can't make this shit up.

**Seto** · 03-07-15, 11:00 PM

Today: 1-4-1, +1.9x
Total: 152-256-6, +29.75x

**oldscho0led** · 03-07-15, 11:54 PM

lol Nets -2 again tomorrow...leaving that game alone too but leaning Utah for the straight up win

**RavensFan2k3** · 03-08-15, 12:17 AM

Originally posted by oldscho0led

lol Nets -2 again tomorrow...leaving that game alone too but leaning Utah for the straight up win

Lol that was my exact thoughts

**Seto** · 03-08-15, 07:33 AM

Originally posted by oldscho0led

lol Nets -2 again tomorrow...leaving that game alone too but leaning Utah for the straight up win

Nets need that game bad off 2 bad home losses. It's hard to figure that team out this year though. They had looked decent since the break winning 4 of 6, including wins in Dallas, vs the Warriors and nearly winning in Houston for one of their 2 losses.

Since then they've lost by 24 to the Hornets and blown a 15-point lead with 5 minutes to go against the Suns, both at home. Not sure if that's being exposed as frauds or getting complacent.

Bottom line is in these games I'll always be tempted by the team that in appearance should have more urgency but the more reliable team of late has been Utah for sure. Will think about that one a bit.

**Seto** · 03-08-15, 11:13 PM

I liked the Spurs, Nets and Pistons and thought about playing them for 1 unit each but didn't really like any enough and ended up sleeping through the early games anyway. Good thing I would've lost 1 unit and juice.

Bulls+4 -110 (bet365) (risking 2.2x to win 2x)

I like New Orleans a bit but I've gotta think about that one. I still think they might push OKC all the way the same way the Suns pushed the Mavs and Grizz last year. It all does depend on Durant though for OKC.

**oldscho0led** · 03-08-15, 11:24 PM

I'm thinking on going big tom on the Suns. I was thinking yesterday that if Dubs covered against the Clipps, fade them the next game. Especially Suns coming from a blowout against Cavs. Law of averages seems to not apply on this Dubs team. Are they still on the 60% clip ATS?

**Seto** · 03-08-15, 11:30 PM

Originally posted by oldscho0led

I'm thinking on going big tom on the Suns. I was thinking yesterday that if Dubs covered against the Clipps, fade them the next game. Especially Suns coming from a blowout against Cavs. Law of averages seems to not apply on this Dubs team. Are they still on the 60% clip ATS?

Looks like a good spot for the Suns but I'd rather stay away from them as much as I can.

Golden State has actually been regressing as far as on the road. They're basically a .500 team on the road the last couple months. Think they were 7-7 before the Cleveland game in their last 14 and they finished up that trip 1-2 so that would make them 8-9 in their last 17 on the road.

**Seto** · 03-09-15, 01:05 AM

Pelicans+2 -110 (bet365) (risking 1.65x to win 1.5x)

**Seto** · 03-09-15, 04:25 AM

Grizzlies/Bulls under 185 -110 (bet365) (risking 1.1x to win 1x)
Grizzlies/Bulls under 179 +160 (bet365) (risking 0.5x to win 0.8x)

Posted about this in another thread, this is my yearly Bulls under bet. Hopefully I can move to 3 for 3 in totals in the last 2 years. lol.

**Seto** · 03-09-15, 09:46 PM

Today: 1-3, -2.3x
Total: 153-259-6, +27.45x

This Bulls implosion down the stretch hurts really bad. I thought this was a game they would win. The "tech and turnover" for having 6 players on the floor at the end was seriously unnecessary even if the game was probably lost at that point.

I guess it's typical of these bums to have 4+ scoreless minutes but if it comes at that point of the game you usually lose.

Books putting out another line that absolutely baffles me on Cleveland tomorrow. While my "personal" line would be about Dallas-5.5, I do know what the books think of the Cavs at the moment so I figured it would be about a pk, maybe the Cavs a -1 or -1.5 fave. But -3.5 is just nuts to me. Gonna have to hold myself back not to put 100 units on this one lol.

**t-wizzle** · 03-09-15, 09:51 PM

Originally posted by Seto

Today: 1-3, -2.3x
Total: 153-259-6, +27.45x

This Bulls implosion down the stretch hurts really bad. I thought this was a game they would win. The "tech and turnover" for having 6 players on the floor at the end was seriously unnecessary even if the game was probably lost at that point.

I guess it's typical of these bums to have 4+ scoreless minutes but if it comes at that point of the game you usually lose.

Books putting out another line that absolutely baffles me on Cleveland tomorrow. While my "personal" line would be about Dallas-5.5, I do know what the books think of the Cavs at the moment so I figured it would be about a pk, maybe the Cavs a -1 or -1.5 fave. But -3.5 is just nuts to me. Gonna have to hold myself back not to put 100 units on this one lol.

Kind of half-watched the end of that game. The Bulls are just so undermanned right now.

Bro are you serious about that -5.5 line?

**Seto** · 03-09-15, 10:32 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Kind of half-watched the end of that game. The Bulls are just so undermanned right now.

Bro are you serious about that -5.5 line?

Typical Grizzlies win. They did the same thing at Portland and LAC earlier this month. The thing is this team just grinds games out even when they're not playing good.

Half-serious. In the same sense that I'm serious when I say I think a team is gonna win by 30 when they're -2.5 or something. Let's put it this way, I'm rarely "surprised" by lines, this one I'm surprised by about 2 points which is a lot, but I often have kind of whacky opinions on what I would make them.

But honestly this line is just skewed because Dallas is playing like shit right now. They aren't this bad. And I'm not saying that as a fan, I actually haven't bet on them much lately. And also Cavs lines have been a bit unreal lately. They were faves in Houston (w/o Irving) and Atlanta. I'm not quite sure why. Books must really think they're the best team in the NBA. They'd struggle to make my top 10. I'd have the 8 playoff teams in the West, the Hawks and the Bulls ahead of them (when all teams are healthy obviously).

**t-wizzle** · 03-09-15, 10:34 PM

Originally posted by Seto

Typical Grizzlies win. They did the same thing at Portland and LAC earlier this month. The thing is this team just grinds games out even when they're not playing good.

Half-serious. In the same sense that I'm serious when I say I think a team is gonna win by 30 when they're -2.5 or something. Let's put it this way, I'm rarely "surprised" by lines, this one I'm surprised by about 2 points which is a lot, but I often have kind of whacky opinions on what I would make them.

But honestly this line is just skewed because Dallas is playing like shit right now. They aren't this bad. And I'm not saying that as a fan, I actually haven't bet on them much lately. And also Cavs lines have been a bit unreal lately. They were faves in Houston (w/o Irving) and Atlanta. I'm not quite sure why. Books must really think they're the best team in the NBA. They'd struggle to make my top 10. I'd have the 8 playoff teams in the West, the Hawks and the Bulls ahead of them (when all teams are healthy obviously).

I think the Cavs have proven to be legit. Dallas beats the teams they're supposed to but bro I could never see them -5.5 in this spot. The line seems about right to me but that's just my opinion and I'm not always right when it comes to predicting lines.

**Seto** · 03-09-15, 10:39 PM

Ultimately we'll see if I'm right about this team or not in the next month. I'm extremely stubborn and it really takes a lot for a team to change my perception on them, which is sometimes good and sometimes bad. I just don't think this is a team that should win a lot of regular season games. I still don't have them winning 50.

The playoffs are a different story because teams like the Hawks, Bulls, Raptors haven't proven anything in the postseason. I think the Cavs are ultimately legit faves to win the East. About the only good thing I can say about them.

**Seto** · 03-09-15, 10:41 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

I think the Cavs have proven to be legit. Dallas beats the teams they're supposed to but bro I could never see them -5.5 in this spot. The line seems about right to me but that's just my opinion and I'm not always right when it comes to predicting lines.

They were -3.5 over Portland about a month ago with Portland fully healthy. To me Portland is 2 points better than the Cavs. But the -5.5 is more just a number I'm throwing out there on what I think will happen in the game. I knew fully well the real spread wouldn't be anywhere close to that.

**Hollafront** · 03-09-15, 10:42 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

I think the Cavs have proven to be legit. Dallas beats the teams they're supposed to but bro I could never see them -5.5 in this spot. The line seems about right to me but that's just my opinion and I'm not always right when it comes to predicting lines.

Cavs are right side at -3.5. Dallas only beats on scrubs. Word to your mother.

**Seto** · 03-09-15, 10:43 PM

Only thing I'm worried about is the Mavs are 0-6 against LeBron since humiliating his stupid ass in the 2011 finals. He typically plays with an edge against them particularly on the road.

**t-wizzle** · 03-09-15, 10:43 PM

Originally posted by Seto

They were -3.5 over Portland about a month ago with Portland fully healthy. To me Portland is 2 points better than the Cavs. But the -5.5 is more just a number I'm throwing out there on what I think will happen in the game. I knew fully well the real spread wouldn't be anywhere close to that.

I think that Blazers line was 2.5 but regardless... Cavs are very good, and have the inflated line factor on top of it.

Cavs-Spurs should be interesting on Thursday.

**Seto** · 03-09-15, 10:51 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

I think that Blazers line was 2.5 but regardless... Cavs are very good, and have the inflated line factor on top of it.

Cavs-Spurs should be interesting on Thursday.

Moved around between 2.5 and 3.5 iirc.

Didn't know you were this sold on them. Do you think they could win it all? I still think the West team beats the East team regardless of who comes out of both conferences.

**Seto** · 03-09-15, 11:45 PM

Mavs+4 -110 (bet365) (risking 5.5x to win 5x)

Will add some on the ml and might go big on New Orleans too. Will be an important day.

**t-wizzle** · 03-10-15, 12:06 AM

Originally posted by Seto

Moved around between 2.5 and 3.5 iirc.

Didn't know you were this sold on them. Do you think they could win it all? I still think the West team beats the East team regardless of who comes out of both conferences.

Of course they could. This whole notion that it was going to take a couple years was silly. I expected the Cavs to contend for a spot in the Finals. It didn't look likely back around early Jan but that seems like a long time ago.

**Seto** · 03-10-15, 06:56 AM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Of course they could. This whole notion that it was going to take a couple years was silly. I expected the Cavs to contend for a spot in the Finals. It didn't look likely back around early Jan but that seems like a long time ago.

At this point it's hard to see anyone in the East beating them in a 7 game series, so they could/should be in the NBA Finals but you think they can beat whoever comes out of the West? I don't see that happening but that's a long way from now so we'll take it step by step. Still a month of regular season ball and the first 3 rounds of the playoffs to focus on in the meantime.

I can honestly hardly wait to be mid-April. For one I'm tired of sweating out futures and also I'm really looking forward to the postseason. In the meantime I'm actually in the middle of a great run so I just hope I can keep it going a bit.

**Seto** · 03-10-15, 06:58 AM

Mavs ml +160 (bet365) (risking 2x to win 3.2x)
Mavs-3 +230 (bet365) (risking 1x to win 2.3x)

**NBA Maniac** · 03-10-15, 11:50 AM

Originally posted by Seto

Today: 1-3, -2.3x
Total: 153-259-6, +27.45x

This Bulls implosion down the stretch hurts really bad. I thought this was a game they would win. The "tech and turnover" for having 6 players on the floor at the end was seriously unnecessary even if the game was probably lost at that point.

I guess it's typical of these bums to have 4+ scoreless minutes but if it comes at that point of the game you usually lose.

Books putting out another line that absolutely baffles me on Cleveland tomorrow. While my "personal" line would be about Dallas-5.5, I do know what the books think of the Cavs at the moment so I figured it would be about a pk, maybe the Cavs a -1 or -1.5 fave. But -3.5 is just nuts to me. Gonna have to hold myself back not to put 100 units on this one lol.

Seto i can't agree here with you....
Why would Dallas be PK or (+1/+1.5) playing at home against Cleveland ?? Even worst at current way they have been playing.

**t-wizzle** · 03-10-15, 12:36 PM

Originally posted by Seto

At this point it's hard to see anyone in the East beating them in a 7 game series, so they could/should be in the NBA Finals but you think they can beat whoever comes out of the West? I don't see that happening but that's a long way from now so we'll take it step by step. Still a month of regular season ball and the first 3 rounds of the playoffs to focus on in the meantime.

I can honestly hardly wait to be mid-April. For one I'm tired of sweating out futures and also I'm really looking forward to the postseason. In the meantime I'm actually in the middle of a great run so I just hope I can keep it going a bit.

They could win it sure but I don't think they will. That's just my opinion.

I've really cut down on my volume lately and have focused more on certain teams, many of which are playoff teams or at least playoff contenders. So I hear you when you say you can't wait for the playoffs to start.

**Seto** · 03-10-15, 11:53 PM

Great job Mavs. Way to show up.

Funny thing is when these guys don't wanna play you can tell almost immediately. This game reminded me of the Memphis game about a month ago. Didn't even watch the second half. This is now their umpteenth total no-show against an Eastern conference team at home after the Bulls, Hawks, Pacers, Heat, Pistons, Nets games. They've caught most of those teams in a relative hot stretch but there's no excuse for not winning these games at home. They even needed OT to beat the fukking Knicks. Meanwhile on the road they almost always rout those same teams. Go figure.

On my side I'm not even upset at myself, I make this bet every time. What I am upset about is passing on the Pelicans which I also had as a possible 5+ unit play just because of the Tyreke Evans news. Second time I've done that this year after the OKC/Pelicans game which Durant sat out. Just so fukking plain retarded. Goes against everything I believe in and everything that has made me do well in the NBA the last 3 years.

**Hollafront** · 03-10-15, 11:59 PM

You suck

**Seto** · 03-11-15, 12:07 AM

Today: 0-3, -8.5x
Total: 153-262-6, +18.95x

**smize** · 03-11-15, 01:06 AM

What are your leans for tomorrow seto

**Seto** · 03-11-15, 02:35 AM

Originally posted by smize

What are your leans for tomorrow seto

Rockets might be my fav play. Think the Clippers are getting a lot of points too.

**Seto** · 03-11-15, 06:39 AM

Rockets+3 -110 (bet365) (risking 2.2x to win 2x)
Rockets ml +135 (bet365) (risking 1x to win 1.35x)

Clippers+7 -110 (bet365) (risking 1.65x to win 1.5x)
Clippers ml +260 (bet365) (risking 0.5x to win 1.3x)

**oldscho0led** · 03-11-15, 08:43 AM

Going to wait for a great line and pound live bet Heat tomorrow. Major playoff implications in that game. And its the fckin Nets. Nuff said.

**oldscho0led** · 03-11-15, 08:56 AM

Originally posted by oldscho0led

Going to wait for a great line and pound live bet Heat tomorrow. Major playoff implications in that game. And its the fckin Nets. Nuff said.

Gonna pass on this game. I just saw the Heat have already won the 1st 3 meetings between these two.

**fitguy67** · 03-11-15, 12:30 PM

Originally posted by oldscho0led

Going to wait for a great line and pound live bet Heat tomorrow. Major playoff implications in that game. And its the fckin Nets. Nuff said.

Originally posted by oldscho0led

Gonna pass on this game. I just saw the Heat have already won the 1st 3 meetings between these two.

hey old...certainly the "major playoff implications" trump any "ahh crap...do we REALLY want to waste our time beating these guys for the 4th time in a row" considerations?...

seems a weak reason to lay off something altogether that you were otherwise jazzed to hammer hard