2014/15 NBA Thread

**Seto** · 03-04-15, 07:20 PM

Raptors+5 -115 (bet365) (risking 1.15x to win 1x)
Celtics-1 -110 (bet365) (risking 1.1x to win 1x)

**Seto** · 03-04-15, 07:23 PM

Nuggets-1 +260 (bet365) (risking 0.5x to win 1.3x)

**Seto** · 03-04-15, 11:21 PM

Celtics are fukking clowns. Team can't hold a lead for shit. At least they ended up getting the push put up 8 with 2'16 to go smh.

Toronto continue their recent trend of pissing me off too. Tease me by coming back from 19 down to take a late lead then blow it and not even cover. Seems it's always the same teams annoying me. Clippers, Suns, Cavs, Celtics, Raptors... Maybe the Rockets but they've been better of late.

Clippers are of course the all time uncontested winner of the award. Major contriubtors in my 2 worst losing days ever.

**Seto** · 03-04-15, 11:22 PM

Today: 1-1-1, +0.15x
Total: 148-248-5, +22.4x

**Seto** · 03-05-15, 07:52 PM

Bulls ml +105 (bet365) (risking 3x to win 3.15x)
Bulls-6 +235 (bet365) (risking 1x to win 2.35x)
Bulls-20.5 +1600 (bet365) (risking 0.5x to win 8x)
Bulls-20.5 +3300 (william hill) (first half) (risking 0.2x to win 6.6x)

**RavensFan2k3** · 03-05-15, 11:24 PM

Got anything early for tomorrow?

**mlb** · 03-05-15, 11:28 PM

nice Seto

**leetreaper** · 03-05-15, 11:30 PM

Bulls -20.5 - what's going on through your mind? This is disturbing...

**mlb** · 03-05-15, 11:31 PM

Originally posted by leetreaper

Bulls -20.5 - what's going on through your mind? This is disturbing...

I mean he only put .2 units on it?

I do agree, not a very high probability there ... to each his own, thread is positive.

**leetreaper** · 03-05-15, 11:32 PM

Originally posted by mlb

I mean he only put .2 units on it?

I do agree, not a very high probability there ... to each his own, thread is positive.

There's just 0 chance of that happening, plain stupid but hey it's not my money...

**bucket2233** · 03-06-15, 10:44 AM

Originally posted by leetreaper

There's just 0 chance of that happening, plain stupid but hey it's not my money...

You need to understand that putting 0.2 units to win 6.6 units essentially means that if the Bulls win this game by 21 points or more 1 time in 33 tries (about 3%), you break even. So, it's pretty obvious that the chances aren't great that this play will come through. However, you are only betting that this play will come in at a higher rate than what the books expect. So, if SETO hits this play 1 in 32 tries (or better), he's making money betting this alt line over time. All you have to do is look at how much SETO is up on the year to realize that he is consistently beating the books. The problem is you are a short-sighted moron and you need everything laid out for you.

**killersweet** · 03-06-15, 11:46 AM

Originally posted by Seto

Celtics are fukking clowns. Team can't hold a lead for shit. At least they ended up getting the push put up 8 with 2'16 to go smh.

Toronto continue their recent trend of pissing me off too. Tease me by coming back from 19 down to take a late lead then blow it and not even cover. Seems it's always the same teams annoying me. Clippers, Suns, Cavs, Celtics, Raptors... Maybe the Rockets but they've been better of late.

Clippers are of course the all time uncontested winner of the award. Major contriubtors in my 2 worst losing days ever.

They don't play well against good teams. They beat up on crappy opponents. You can take them against their divisional rivals. But against good teams, I would be very cautious.

**leetreaper** · 03-06-15, 11:50 AM

Originally posted by bucket2233

You need to understand that putting 0.2 units to win 6.6 units essentially means that if the Bulls win this game by 21 points or more 1 time in 33 tries (about 3%), you break even. So, it's pretty obvious that the chances aren't great that this play will come through. However, you are only betting that this play will come in at a higher rate than what the books expect. So, if SETO hits this play 1 in 32 tries (or better), he's making money betting this alt line over time. All you have to do is look at how much SETO is up on the year to realize that he is consistently beating the books. The problem is you are a short-sighted moron and you need everything laid out for you.

lmao, no comment noname clown...

**Seto** · 03-06-15, 06:08 PM

Originally posted by killersweet

They don't play well against good teams. They beat up on crappy opponents. You can take them against their divisional rivals. But against good teams, I would be very cautious.

You think they're a 1st round exit? I'm not too sure about this Toronto team. Hard to get a feel for them. DeRozan went down early, then Lowry went on a tear and perhaps played a bit too much and now that DD is back Lowry is worn down. If those guys can both play at a high level at the same time they could be a good team at least offensively.

They play zero defense though which is obviously a problem in the playoffs.

**Seto** · 03-06-15, 06:12 PM

Yesterday: 1-3, +1.45x
Total: 149-251-5, +23.85x

Bulls+6 -110 (bet365) (risking 1.1x to win 1x)
Hawks+1.5 -110 (bet365) (risking 3.3x to win 3x)
Hawks-5 +210 (bet365) (risking 1x to win 2.1x)

**Seto** · 03-06-15, 06:15 PM

Does anyone think okc is in trouble for the playoffs? The way the pelicans held down the fort winning 5 straight without 3 of their 4 best players was crazy. Maybe they can get on a run now. If Durant doesn't return soon I think okc is in big trouble. Everyone is gushing over Westbrook's spectacular play and I'm actually happy about that cause I've always felt he was unfairly criticized but as a team they just arent that good without KD.

**oldscho0led** · 03-06-15, 07:01 PM

Nah. Thunder still go in. Love the Hawks play btw. But I'm playing the Nets. GL

**KRIT** · 03-06-15, 07:05 PM

I'm on Hawks here too, don't really get the line at all, figured this would be a pick'em at most. I guess books and public are back on the LeBron James train, meaning inflated lines.

Btw, how about that Chicago game last night? I turned it off when they were down 9 with like 4 minutes to go. I got caught up with some stuff afterwards so didn't even bother checking the score until right before i went to bed. Nice hit, think I saw you hit them live at like +450.

GL to us today.

**Seto** · 03-06-15, 07:32 PM

Originally posted by oldscho0led

Nah. Thunder still go in. Love the Hawks play btw. But I'm playing the Nets. GL

Durant has to come back for that imo. We'll see how it plays out. If he does come back in say 2 weeks at most they will get in.

I've given up on trying to figure out the Suns. Every time I'm starting to think they're a decent team they go on a huge slump, then I start thinking "hey I was right in the first place these guys stink" and all of a sudden they start winning again. The trade might have killed that team for good, we'll see.

**Seto** · 03-06-15, 07:33 PM

Originally posted by KRIT

I'm on Hawks here too, don't really get the line at all, figured this would be a pick'em at most. I guess books and public are back on the LeBron James train, meaning inflated lines.

Btw, how about that Chicago game last night? I turned it off when they were down 9 with like 4 minutes to go. I got caught up with some stuff afterwards so didn't even bother checking the score until right before i went to bed. Nice hit, think I saw you hit them live at like +450.

GL to us today.

Crazy ending. Last 2 mins were really nuts. Thought the free throw offensive rebound that put okc up 4 with 1 minute to go would end up costing us.

GL today

**oldscho0led** · 03-06-15, 11:10 PM

Deron Williams should just retire now.

**Seto** · 03-06-15, 11:23 PM

Today: 2-1, +4x
Total: 151-252-5, +27.85x

Lol at that Suns comeback. Typical of the kind of shit they did to me all the time last year. Hopefully they have some magic in store for tomorrow and it doesn't take them 500 attempts to make their first 3.

**Seto** · 03-06-15, 11:24 PM

Originally posted by oldscho0led

Deron Williams should just retire now.

He only shows up for 1 game a year these days, the game back home for him in Dallas. Dude is a complete disaster.

**smize** · 03-06-15, 11:58 PM

You think they have a chance to beat Cleveland tomorrow?

Originally posted by Seto

Today: 2-1, +4x
Total: 151-252-5, +27.85x

Lol at that Suns comeback. Typical of the kind of shit they did to me all the time last year. Hopefully they have some magic in store for tomorrow and it doesn't take them 500 attempts to make their first 3.

**Seto** · 03-07-15, 03:51 AM

Pelicans+1 -110 (bet365) (risking 5.5x to win 5x)
Pelicans-6 +230 (bet365) (risking 1.5x to win 3.45x)
Wizards+4.5 -110 (bet365) (risking 1.1x to win 1x)

**Seto** · 03-07-15, 04:11 AM

Suns ml +500 (bet365) (risking 1x to win 5x)
Suns+5 +210 (bet365) (risking 0.5x to win 1.05x)

**oldscho0led** · 03-07-15, 07:08 AM

Why Pelicans? Actually love the fact that the public are all over the Grizzlies here.

**RavensFan2k3** · 03-07-15, 08:46 AM

Originally posted by Seto

Suns ml +500 (bet365) (risking 1x to win 5x)
Suns+5 +210 (bet365) (risking 0.5x to win 1.05x)

Nice, Goodluck

**Seto** · 03-07-15, 06:29 PM

Originally posted by oldscho0led

Why Pelicans? Actually love the fact that the public are all over the Grizzlies here.

Memphis has not been playing great ball since the break. They look a bit gassed. They'll still grind out wins here and there because that's who they are but the Pelicans need tonight's game bad after not showing up last night and I think they'll get a big win at home.

Plus which it's not like it's a disaster for Memphis to lose a few games. Teams go though ups and downs in a season. No point in peaking now. They also want no part of the Spurs IMO so might be happy to drop to #3. That said the Spurs could overtake my disaster of a team any day now so they might end up at #6. It's too early to be worrying about that stuff but with 2-3 games to go teams might be taking a look at that.

**Seto** · 03-07-15, 06:31 PM

Suns ml +290 (bet365) (first half) (risking 0.5x to win 1.45x)

**Seto** · 03-07-15, 06:33 PM

FWIW Memphis' coach said he does think the team is tired and might be resting guys soon. They're playing their 4th in 5 nights today so I'm surprised he isn't doing it today but whatever, it's not like I made my bet based on that.

Praying he rests the entire starting lineup against Chicago on Monday. lol.

**Seto** · 03-07-15, 07:45 PM

You're playing a crucial game in the playoff race at home off an embarrassing loss and you come out and turn the ball over 9 times in a quarter and look like you're playing a preseason game. lol. So many bums in this league. This is gonna be another sweat like the Chicago game on Thursday.

**KRIT** · 03-07-15, 08:37 PM

Nice little run by New Orleans.

Get on those Nugget alt spreads Seto! Jump-shooting team playing a b2b in altitude, plus Nuggets have new life under the new coach.

**Seto** · 03-07-15, 09:32 PM

Originally posted by KRIT

Nice little run by New Orleans.

Get on those Nugget alt spreads Seto! Jump-shooting team playing a b2b in altitude, plus Nuggets have new life under the new coach.

One more free throw at the end and I had myself a nice little day but I can't complain overall. Good win for them at the end of the day.

Yeah and they're back to the run and gun which is the whole value of the altitude thing. Looks like we'll have to fade teams going up there on back to backs and maybe just in general the rest of the season. Obviously lots of game left though today.

Suns fukking with me again. I swear I can't figure this stupid team out. Don't think I've gotten a single game right with them the last 2 years.

Wizards will probably lose too. Don't know why I took these bums. Well I do but it was stupid.

**Seto** · 03-07-15, 09:38 PM

Why are the Spurs only -9.5 over the Bulls after the Pacers were -6? I know that was a back to back but do the books really think the gap between the Spurs and Pacers is that thin? Expected San Antonio to be -11 here.

They should roll regardless. Only game I've really chalked off as a loss for the Bulls.

Doesn't feel like OKC should be -7 against anyone decent without Durant too, but Toronto has really been struggling lately so I'll likely leave it alone with OKC in desperate mode.