nba chase 12/13

**Grinder12000** · 12-23-12, 11:23 PM

Njb. One thing Stifler does which I did not take into account when I did my back testing was how many "D" games a team was involved with. For instance , were the Clipper 25-0 but 15 of those 25 wins were "D" games?

To his credit I believe he has taken these into account.

Mousey. A loss? What? Gotta lose 4 in a row to lose. One game is only losing the 1st quarter in a sudden death game. Sort of.

**njb5572** · 12-24-12, 01:03 AM

Originally posted by Grinder12000

Njb. One thing Stifler does which I did not take into account when I did my back testing was how many "D" games a team was involved with. For instance , were the Clipper 25-0 but 15 of those 25 wins were "D" games?

To his credit I believe he has taken these into account.

Mousey. A loss? What? Gotta lose 4 in a row to lose. One game is only losing the 1st quarter in a sudden death game. Sort of.

Valid point, but no they were not. Here is the breakdown:
A bet: 8-14
B bet: 6-8
C bet: 6-2
D bet: 2-0

There was a push in 06' that may have skewed the breakdown but the chase would have ended on the third bet regardless.

If we were to take an even closer look at the breakdown we would find that there was not a single D-bet after the 2007-2008 season.

I am not trying to critique or discredit his systems, only here to contribute.

**J.M. Disciple** · 12-24-12, 03:33 AM

Lac total different team this year. would definitely not rule them out.

**Stifler** · 12-24-12, 05:37 AM

Originally posted by Stifler

23.12.2012

S1

(A Bet) SA fade: Dallas +11 1,10u

records:
S1: W 27 | L 1 (+8,55 units)
S2: W 13 | L 0 (+13,00 units)
S3: W 8 | L 0 (+8,00 units)
S4: W 19 | L 0 (+20,00 units)

pending:
- S1 Det fade, C Bet on 26.12.2012
- S1 SA fade, B Bet on 26.12.2012

________________________________________ ________________________________________ ____________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

**Stifler** · 12-24-12, 05:38 AM

24.12.2012

no plays today

**Stifler** · 12-24-12, 05:50 AM

Originally posted by njb5572

Valid point, but no they were not. Here is the breakdown:
A bet: 8-14
B bet: 6-8
C bet: 6-2
D bet: 2-0

There was a push in 06' that may have skewed the breakdown but the chase would have ended on the third bet regardless.

If we were to take an even closer look at the breakdown we would find that there was not a single D-bet after the 2007-2008 season.

I am not trying to critique or discredit his systems, only here to contribute.

I already said if u would check every team u will notice that a few teams would qualify aswell based on their records. Sometimes the amount of D bets disqualified them, sometimes my personal feelings. In the end u do have to make a decision whether to take a team or not. I just did not take the Clippers.

For S3 i have them listed @ 37-2 overall. I do not divide this system in home/road series. Could be done aswell of course, but there are so many things u could add to those systems. Clippers record was not good enough for me.

Lac total different team this year. would definitely not rule them out.

Doesnt matter, teams change, lines change aswell. Bookies will notice improvement.

**kilrathi** · 12-24-12, 10:25 AM

Merry Christmas to everyone!

Lets hope for Atlanta / Toronto to cover after christmas!

**Nino7** · 12-24-12, 10:34 AM

Merry Chirstmas

guys

**DustyDiamond** · 12-24-12, 11:39 AM

Merry Christmas Everyone!! Thanks for all your hard work Stifler

**mcrisp** · 12-24-12, 11:51 AM

merry christmas everyone! hope you guys enjoy christmas with your loved ones!

**itsjhurley** · 12-24-12, 01:07 PM

Thanks to stifler I can buy my kids presents now! LOL. Merry Christmas everyone!!

**samcro1** · 12-24-12, 02:19 PM

Merry Christmas everyone!!!!

**Grinder12000** · 12-24-12, 03:24 PM

Merry Christmas to all and I hope all have a healthy 2013 wagering wise. And a small warning for the upcoming year

There are lots and lots of people playing this system. For every one of us that posts there are perhaps 50 to 100 following.

I ask all of you to subtly disguise wagers and just keep things from getting to . . . . Out there. The reason good systems have a shelf life and don't go on forever is that line makers adjust. The good news is that there are other chase system that go contrairian to this one so I think "we" have some insurance and don't have to worry.

Bottom line, lets not kill the golden goose. Sorry, it's alway my biggest worry.

Peace to all of you all over the world.

Grinder.

**gamewinninglv** · 12-24-12, 07:26 PM

Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays Everyone.

In 2013, please don't forget

IMPORTANT: If you are new to this thread or if you don't know what's going on. Please go to page 46 and read post # 1586 for a quick understanding BEFORE posting any questions/comments that may already been covered in that post. Thank you for your cooperation and have a Great Day!!!

Thank you !!!

**J.M. Disciple** · 12-24-12, 11:20 PM

I know b and d wagers don't happen until 26 but are there any A wagers tomorrow for xmas?

**Grinder12000** · 12-24-12, 11:30 PM

Only because some people might be busy

S1A Fade Brooklyn - Boston +3.5 most places - play ay noon CST

S1A Indiana 12/26 - going to like this one

Don't know about the rest

**gbpack** · 12-24-12, 11:40 PM

Been following this and would like to start using it with my guy. Only problem is he only takes bets ending in 0 to keep juice from getting into cents and awkward numbers. So basically to keep this simple we bet 10 bucks to win 10. lose bet you owe 11. you get it. What would be best way to be increasing bet size as it goes from A bet to B bet to C bet to D bet. any insight is welcomed because this seems unreal successful and would like to hop on.

**J.M. Disciple** · 12-24-12, 11:46 PM

Gbpack read post 1586. There is a betting format laid out. just round to nearest dollar.

**gbpack** · 12-24-12, 11:57 PM

I did read it and that is what I was thinking. I am a small time bettor just do it for fun mostly usually never bet over 100 bucks and trying to work some numbers with that being a "D" bet number. Would a 10,20,40,100 system work? I know it wouldnt be an even "unit" won at the end of every chase but that is about the closest I can think of with 100 being basically a "max" bet of mine. Again betting for me is mostly for shits and to get some action but this seems like a pretty sure way to win some a little extra cash.

**gbpack** · 12-25-12, 12:45 AM

Originally posted by Grinder12000

Only because some people might be busy

S1A Fade Brooklyn - Boston +3.5 most places - play ay noon CST

S1A Indiana 12/26 - going to like this one

Don't know about the rest

Just trying to get familiar with this system. Would the rockets be a S1A play also because they have won 3 straight ATS?

**Wallco99** · 12-25-12, 03:18 AM

Originally posted by gbpack

Just trying to get familiar with this system. Would the rockets be a S1A play also because they have won 3 straight ATS?

Once again, #1586. Before you say it...the answer is in that post.

**laplap** · 12-25-12, 03:34 AM

Twit!!!

**J.M. Disciple** · 12-25-12, 03:59 AM

I thought you meant no change not counts of 10. Get a online book. much easier. going seem weird with your bookie when two teams overlap and you bet both sides.

**J.M. Disciple** · 12-25-12, 04:02 AM

10-20-40-80. ... Standard martingale chase if you want numbers ending in 0. Lose out on juice. maybe make last bet 90.

**Stifler** · 12-25-12, 06:17 AM

25.12.2012

S1

(A Bet) Brook fade: Boston +3,5 1,10u

________________________________________ ________________________________________ ____________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

**Grinder12000** · 12-25-12, 09:09 AM

10-20-40-80. ... Standard martingale chase if you want numbers ending in 0. Lose out on juice. maybe make last bet 90.

Yea - remember that the goal is to always win one unit at the end of a chase. So 10-20-40-90.

And ditto - get an online book - pretty easy these days .

**gbpack** · 12-25-12, 09:15 AM

Originally posted by Wallco99

Once again, #1586. Before you say it...the answer is in that post.

Yep my bad rockets are not in S1 plays.. My bad

**Wallco99** · 12-25-12, 10:01 AM

Originally posted by gbpack

Yep my bad rockets are not in S1 plays.. My bad

Wasn't trying to be a jerk. But now that you read it, and understand why for yourself, next time you will know and won't have to ask. Merry Christmas.

**gbpack** · 12-25-12, 11:50 AM

Originally posted by Wallco99

Wasn't trying to be a jerk. But now that you read it, and understand why for yourself, next time you will know and won't have to ask. Merry Christmas.

No i know. I was pretty drunk last night when I was going through this whole thread so some of the things kinda got by me.

**playboy_1** · 12-25-12, 03:57 PM

good job...

**Mousey** · 12-25-12, 04:07 PM

**Huego** · 12-25-12, 06:21 PM

easy one

**gbpack** · 12-25-12, 08:44 PM

Sorry if this has been mentioned earlier in the thread but I could not seem to find it anywhere. Today was my first day on this and it was an easy win. Surprising because whenever I seem to get on a good thing I jinx it. But I do remember reading I believe there will be a C bet tomorrow and also a B bet. If I was not in at the start of the series would it be recommended to jump in with a B size bet and a C size bet on the appropriate games tomorrow since it seems there is a system advantage record wise as it goes from A to B to C to D bets. Any advice on what would be the "smart" thing to do in this spot is welcome. And sorry again if it was somewhere else but I could not find it.

**Grinder12000** · 12-25-12, 08:47 PM

It's a good question.

Two ways to go - skip the B,C,D games completely because this is a 4 game chase and you missed the first ones. It would be like playing a game and skipping the 1st quarter. - OR - play them as a 2 or 3 game chase.

Personally? - would skip them completely and start fresh . There should be "A' games tomorrow also I bet so there will be action.

Just my opinion - Plus both are S1 fades which don't have the best record and NEED 4 games. S4 games I would jump in with both feet but S1Fades are the problem child of the system. In my opinion.

**Teamprofit101** · 12-25-12, 08:56 PM

Originally posted by gbpack

Sorry if this has been mentioned earlier in the thread but I could not seem to find it anywhere. Today was my first day on this and it was an easy win. Surprising because whenever I seem to get on a good thing I jinx it. But I do remember reading I believe there will be a C bet tomorrow and also a B bet. If I was not in at the start of the series would it be recommended to jump in with a B size bet and a C size bet on the appropriate games tomorrow since it seems there is a system advantage record wise as it goes from A to B to C to D bets. Any advice on what would be the "smart" thing to do in this spot is welcome. And sorry again if it was somewhere else but I could not find it.

I would jump in as if it was an A bet on both plays.