nba chase 12/13

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  • J.M. Disciple
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-16-10
    • 5154

    #1856
    Its about what you feel comfortable with. if you want to jump in a series late for additional profit you can.

    i made a post a while back illustrating a 3 game chase compared to 4 game chase. bet to win 1 unit starting from A or bet to win 2 units starting from B. The three game chase only came a little short of the overall profit.

    I would not go crazy. since D is like a 9 unit bet maybe bet 3 units on it and two units on C.

    Remember system is performing above average this season. Law of averages could take affect at any point.
    Comment
    • Wallco99
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-01-11
      • 7261

      #1857
      Originally posted by gbpack
      Sorry if this has been mentioned earlier in the thread but I could not seem to find it anywhere. Today was my first day on this and it was an easy win. Surprising because whenever I seem to get on a good thing I jinx it. But I do remember reading I believe there will be a C bet tomorrow and also a B bet. If I was not in at the start of the series would it be recommended to jump in with a B size bet and a C size bet on the appropriate games tomorrow since it seems there is a system advantage record wise as it goes from A to B to C to D bets. Any advice on what would be the "smart" thing to do in this spot is welcome. And sorry again if it was somewhere else but I could not find it.
      My advice, play them as A's. Then if we happen to lose the series, you would have a couple extra games in the bag to still win it. By that point in the series, which would technically be the "E" and "F" bets, the system would be extremely strong. Just my opinion. This is also how I managed to dodge the only system loss so far. That was the week I jumped in and started on the "C" bet. I played it as "A". System took a loss and I won on the next bet. I got lucky, I agree, but a safe play is always wiser than a greedy one.
      Last edited by Wallco99; 12-26-12, 12:18 AM.
      Comment
      • Huego
        SBR Sharp
        • 01-23-11
        • 265

        #1858
        Originally posted by Wallco99
        My advice, play them as A's. Then if we happen to lose the series, you would have a couple extra games in the bag to still win it. By that point in the series, which would technically be the "E" and "F" bets, the system would be extremely strong. Just my opinion. This is also how I managed to dodge the only system loss so far. That was the week I jumped in and started on the "C" bet. I played it as "A". System took a loss and I won on the next bet. I got lucky, I agree, but a safe play is always wiser than a greedy one.
        Great advice man.
        Comment
        • Stifler
          SBR MVP
          • 11-11-09
          • 3511

          #1859
          Originally posted by Stifler
          25.12.2012

          S1

          (A Bet) Brook fade: Boston +3,5 1,10u
          records:
          S1: W 28 | L 1 (+9,55 units)
          S2: W 13 | L 0 (+13,00 units)
          S3: W 8 | L 0 (+8,00 units)
          S4: W 19 | L 0 (+20,00 units)

          pending:
          - S1 Det fade, C Bet on 26.12.2012
          - S1 SA fade, B Bet on 26.12.2012

          ________________________________________ ________________________________________ ____________

          all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
          Comment
          • Stifler
            SBR MVP
            • 11-11-09
            • 3511

            #1860
            26.12.2012

            S1

            (C Bet) Det fade: Wash +6 1,10u | Wash +1,5 2,31u | Atlanta -7,5 4,85u
            (B Bet) SA fade: Dallas +11 1,10u | Toronto - waiting on line movement
            (A Bet) Ind: Pacers - no line up atm (i would take -3,5)
            (A Bet) NYK fade: Phoenix - no line up yet


            ________________________________________ ________________________________________ __________

            all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
            Comment
            • LakeShow
              SBR Sharp
              • 03-20-10
              • 472

              #1861
              Originally posted by Grinder12000
              It's a good question.

              Two ways to go - skip the B,C,D games completely because this is a 4 game chase and you missed the first ones. It would be like playing a game and skipping the 1st quarter. - OR - play them as a 2 or 3 game chase.

              Personally? - would skip them completely and start fresh . There should be "A' games tomorrow also I bet so there will be action.

              Just my opinion - Plus both are S1 fades which don't have the best record and NEED 4 games. S4 games I would jump in with both feet but S1Fades are the problem child of the system. In my opinion.

              Imo, I'd jump in the middle of a series. Reason is you get to wager b,c, or d bet with out having ever lose a, b, c bets, respectively. This if you win, you are profitable the one unit plus the chase wager that u never lost. Hope that makes sense. It did in my mind at least.
              Comment
              • pellumb341
                SBR MVP
                • 11-25-11
                • 1183

                #1862
                at MarathonBet , Pacers is -4 @ 1.952
                Comment
                • Stifler
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-11-09
                  • 3511

                  #1863
                  - Toronto line updated.

                  26.12.2012


                  S1


                  (C Bet) Det fade: Wash +6 1,10u | Wash +1,5 2,31u | Atlanta -7,5 4,85u
                  (B Bet) SA fade: Dallas +11 1,10u | Toronto +13 2,31u
                  (A Bet) Ind: Pacers - no line up atm (i would take -3,5)
                  (A Bet) NYK fade: Phoenix - no line up yet


                  ________________________________________ ________________________________________ __________

                  all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
                  Comment
                  • Stifler
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-11-09
                    • 3511

                    #1864
                    - Pacers line updated.

                    26.12.2012


                    S1


                    (C Bet) Det fade: Wash +6 1,10u | Wash +1,5 2,31u | Atlanta -7,5 4,85u
                    (B Bet) SA fade: Dallas +11 1,10u | Toronto +13 2,31u
                    (A Bet) Ind: Pacers -5 1,10u
                    (A Bet) NYK fade: Phoenix - no line up yet


                    ________________________________________ ________________________________________ __________

                    all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
                    Comment
                    • LakeShow
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 03-20-10
                      • 472

                      #1865
                      Pho line is up at +2
                      Comment
                      • thes0vereign
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 02-13-12
                        • 712

                        #1866
                        5dimes just cancelled my Pacers @ -4 line and the game is currently off the board.

                        EDIT: http://www.nba.com/pacers/news/statu...game-postponed

                        Game's been postponed.
                        Comment
                        • ShowMeUrTeeDees
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 12-07-12
                          • 56

                          #1867
                          game is cancelled due to inclement weather
                          Comment
                          • gbpack
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 11-27-12
                            • 110

                            #1868
                            Just wondering if any of you guys who use this system play any other games besides the system games or are you strictly the system game bettor?
                            Comment
                            • Grinder12000
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-21-11
                              • 1809

                              #1869
                              5dimes just cancelled my Pacers @ -4
                              damn - I had -3.5 Probably won't get that again.

                              Pho line is up at +2
                              I got +3 earlier this morning! And DON'T tell me they have a snow storm!!
                              Comment
                              • Stifler
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-11-09
                                • 3511

                                #1870
                                - Pacers game postponed. Phoenix line updated..

                                26.12.2012


                                S1


                                (C Bet) Det fade: Wash +6 1,10u | Wash +1,5 2,31u | Atlanta -7,5 4,85u
                                (B Bet) SA fade: Dallas +11 1,10u | Toronto +13 2,31u
                                (A Bet) NYK fade: Phoenix +2 1,10u


                                ________________________________________ ________________________________________ __________

                                all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
                                Comment
                                • sbrhgary
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 11-28-12
                                  • 275

                                  #1871
                                  Let's go C bet!
                                  Comment
                                  • Wallco99
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-01-11
                                    • 7261

                                    #1872
                                    Originally posted by ShowMeUrTeeDees
                                    game is cancelled due to inclement weather
                                    I'm glad to hear it was inclement weather. I thought the Mayan calendar was a few days off and maybe the apocalypse had started in the great state of Indiana
                                    Comment
                                    • LakeShow
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 03-20-10
                                      • 472

                                      #1873
                                      whoa...pho went to -2! glad i didnt procrastinate...
                                      Comment
                                      • overcome
                                        SBR Hustler
                                        • 12-19-12
                                        • 83

                                        #1874
                                        wow hawks give up 20 pt lead..
                                        Comment
                                        • Captain Mo
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 12-16-12
                                          • 7

                                          #1875
                                          Really Atl???
                                          Comment
                                          • justin81
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 04-05-11
                                            • 298

                                            #1876
                                            ATL a fck joke..., leading with 19 at the beginning of 4Q, now they're loosing.
                                            Comment
                                            • jsleeeee
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 02-16-12
                                              • 504

                                              #1877
                                              Originally posted by overcome
                                              wow hawks give up 20 pt lead..
                                              lol that shit was funny
                                              Comment
                                              • Wesley
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-06-09
                                                • 1734

                                                #1878
                                                unreal
                                                Comment
                                                • jimmy007oc
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-25-10
                                                  • 1699

                                                  #1879
                                                  FCk. Here goes the C bet
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jsleeeee
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 02-16-12
                                                    • 504

                                                    #1880
                                                    dont worry. they miss one free throw. get one in. OT, and they win by 10
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jsleeeee
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 02-16-12
                                                      • 504

                                                      #1881
                                                      I fuckign called it!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jimmy007oc
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-25-10
                                                        • 1699

                                                        #1882
                                                        Fck, they missed a ft for reAl
                                                        Comment
                                                        • hpesoj082355
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 12-19-12
                                                          • 3

                                                          #1883
                                                          Lets hope Atlanta will do good on overtime.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • lapi7
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 06-08-10
                                                            • 230

                                                            #1884
                                                            Are you kidding me ???

                                                            Atlanta is up by 20 points at the end of the 3rd quarter and they go into over time ???

                                                            I really wonder about some of these games sometimes !!!

                                                            .
                                                            Comment
                                                            • bigtymer56
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 07-31-12
                                                              • 4742

                                                              #1885
                                                              ....they were actually still up 20 with 7 minutes. One hell of a chokejob. Guys cant even make a foul shot.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jsleeeee
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 02-16-12
                                                                • 504

                                                                #1886
                                                                ot number 2? lol
                                                                Comment
                                                                • bigtymer56
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-31-12
                                                                  • 4742

                                                                  #1887
                                                                  Haha...still hope.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • sbrhgary
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 11-28-12
                                                                    • 275

                                                                    #1888
                                                                    Originally posted by bigtymer56
                                                                    Haha...still hope.
                                                                    If there's a God the pistons will miss and Atlant , will rebound.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • overcome
                                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                                      • 12-19-12
                                                                      • 83

                                                                      #1889
                                                                      cant believe that 3 pointer..
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • hpesoj082355
                                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                                        • 12-19-12
                                                                        • 3

                                                                        #1890
                                                                        hate stucky
                                                                        Comment
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