nba chase 12/13

[J.M. Disciple]

Its about what you feel comfortable with. if you want to jump in a series late for additional profit you can.

i made a post a while back illustrating a 3 game chase compared to 4 game chase. bet to win 1 unit starting from A or bet to win 2 units starting from B. The three game chase only came a little short of the overall profit.

I would not go crazy. since D is like a 9 unit bet maybe bet 3 units on it and two units on C.

Remember system is performing above average this season. Law of averages could take affect at any point.

[Wallco99]

Sorry if this has been mentioned earlier in the thread but I could not seem to find it anywhere. Today was my first day on this and it was an easy win. Surprising because whenever I seem to get on a good thing I jinx it. But I do remember reading I believe there will be a C bet tomorrow and also a B bet. If I was not in at the start of the series would it be recommended to jump in with a B size bet and a C size bet on the appropriate games tomorrow since it seems there is a system advantage record wise as it goes from A to B to C to D bets. Any advice on what would be the "smart" thing to do in this spot is welcome. And sorry again if it was somewhere else but I could not find it.

My advice, play them as A's. Then if we happen to lose the series, you would have a couple extra games in the bag to still win it. By that point in the series, which would technically be the "E" and "F" bets, the system would be extremely strong. Just my opinion. This is also how I managed to dodge the only system loss so far. That was the week I jumped in and started on the "C" bet. I played it as "A". System took a loss and I won on the next bet. I got lucky, I agree, but a safe play is always wiser than a greedy one.

[Huego]

My advice, play them as A's. Then if we happen to lose the series, you would have a couple extra games in the bag to still win it. By that point in the series, which would technically be the "E" and "F" bets, the system would be extremely strong. Just my opinion. This is also how I managed to dodge the only system loss so far. That was the week I jumped in and started on the "C" bet. I played it as "A". System took a loss and I won on the next bet. I got lucky, I agree, but a safe play is always wiser than a greedy one.

Great advice man.

[Stifler]

25.12.2012

S1

(A Bet) Brook fade: Boston +3,5 1,10u

records:
S1: W 28 | L 1 (+9,55 units)
S2: W 13 | L 0 (+13,00 units)
S3: W 8 | L 0 (+8,00 units)
S4: W 19 | L 0 (+20,00 units)

pending:
- S1 Det fade, C Bet on 26.12.2012
- S1 SA fade, B Bet on 26.12.2012

________________________________________ ________________________________________ ____________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

[Stifler]

26.12.2012

S1

(C Bet) Det fade: Wash +6 1,10u | Wash +1,5 2,31u | Atlanta -7,5 4,85u
(B Bet) SA fade: Dallas +11 1,10u | Toronto - waiting on line movement
(A Bet) Ind: Pacers - no line up atm (i would take -3,5)
(A Bet) NYK fade: Phoenix - no line up yet


________________________________________ ________________________________________ __________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

[LakeShow]

It's a good question.

Two ways to go - skip the B,C,D games completely because this is a 4 game chase and you missed the first ones. It would be like playing a game and skipping the 1st quarter. - OR - play them as a 2 or 3 game chase.

Personally? - would skip them completely and start fresh . There should be "A' games tomorrow also I bet so there will be action.

Just my opinion - Plus both are S1 fades which don't have the best record and NEED 4 games. S4 games I would jump in with both feet but S1Fades are the problem child of the system. In my opinion.

Imo, I'd jump in the middle of a series. Reason is you get to wager b,c, or d bet with out having ever lose a, b, c bets, respectively. This if you win, you are profitable the one unit plus the chase wager that u never lost. Hope that makes sense. It did in my mind at least.

[pellumb341]

at MarathonBet , Pacers is -4 @ 1.952

[Stifler]

- Toronto line updated.

26.12.2012

S1

(C Bet) Det fade: Wash +6 1,10u | Wash +1,5 2,31u | Atlanta -7,5 4,85u
(B Bet) SA fade: Dallas +11 1,10u | Toronto +13 2,31u
(A Bet) Ind: Pacers - no line up atm (i would take -3,5)
(A Bet) NYK fade: Phoenix - no line up yet


________________________________________ ________________________________________ __________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

[Stifler]

- Pacers line updated.

26.12.2012

S1

(C Bet) Det fade: Wash +6 1,10u | Wash +1,5 2,31u | Atlanta -7,5 4,85u
(B Bet) SA fade: Dallas +11 1,10u | Toronto +13 2,31u
(A Bet) Ind: Pacers -5 1,10u
(A Bet) NYK fade: Phoenix - no line up yet


________________________________________ ________________________________________ __________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

[LakeShow]

Pho line is up at +2

[thes0vereign]

5dimes just cancelled my Pacers @ -4 line and the game is currently off the board.

EDIT: http://www.nba.com/pacers/news/statu...game-postponed

Game's been postponed.

[ShowMeUrTeeDees]

game is cancelled due to inclement weather

[gbpack]

Just wondering if any of you guys who use this system play any other games besides the system games or are you strictly the system game bettor?

[Grinder12000]

5dimes just cancelled my Pacers @ -4

damn - I had -3.5 Probably won't get that again.

Pho line is up at +2

I got +3 earlier this morning! And DON'T tell me they have a snow storm!!

[Stifler]

- Pacers game postponed. Phoenix line updated..

26.12.2012

S1

(C Bet) Det fade: Wash +6 1,10u | Wash +1,5 2,31u | Atlanta -7,5 4,85u
(B Bet) SA fade: Dallas +11 1,10u | Toronto +13 2,31u
(A Bet) NYK fade: Phoenix +2 1,10u


________________________________________ ________________________________________ __________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

[sbrhgary]

Let's go C bet!

[Wallco99]

game is cancelled due to inclement weather

I'm glad to hear it was inclement weather. I thought the Mayan calendar was a few days off and maybe the apocalypse had started in the great state of Indiana

[LakeShow]

whoa...pho went to -2! glad i didnt procrastinate...

[overcome]

wow hawks give up 20 pt lead..

[Captain Mo]

Really Atl???

[justin81]

ATL a fck joke..., leading with 19 at the beginning of 4Q, now they're loosing.

[jsleeeee]

wow hawks give up 20 pt lead..

lol that shit was funny

[Wesley]

unreal

[jimmy007oc]

FCk. Here goes the C bet

[jsleeeee]

dont worry. they miss one free throw. get one in. OT, and they win by 10

[jsleeeee]

I fuckign called it!

[jimmy007oc]

Fck, they missed a ft for reAl

[hpesoj082355]

Lets hope Atlanta will do good on overtime.

[lapi7]

Are you kidding me ???

Atlanta is up by 20 points at the end of the 3rd quarter and they go into over time ???

I really wonder about some of these games sometimes !!!

.

[bigtymer56]

....they were actually still up 20 with 7 minutes. One hell of a chokejob. Guys cant even make a foul shot.

[jsleeeee]

ot number 2? lol

[bigtymer56]

Haha...still hope.

[sbrhgary]

Haha...still hope.

If there's a God the pistons will miss and Atlant , will rebound.

[overcome]

cant believe that 3 pointer..

[hpesoj082355]

hate stucky