nba chase 12/13

**njb5572** · 11-03-12, 03:41 PM

Followed your MLB chase system, great stuff! Looking forward to doing the same here

**grecycle99** · 11-03-12, 09:35 PM

Thanks stifler, you've been great in baseball. Can't wait to start in baskettball

Thanks for your work

**Stifler** · 11-04-12, 06:27 AM

04.11.2012

nothing today

**SiMON2g** · 11-04-12, 07:16 AM

Insane records!!

**kosti** · 11-04-12, 07:58 AM

Stifler, is there only certain teams that you bet on (like in your mlb chase) or is it any teams that meet the criteria above?

**vasilli07** · 11-04-12, 08:01 AM

Nice record. Will follow your picks.

**Stifler** · 11-04-12, 08:25 AM

Originally posted by kosti

Stifler, is there only certain teams that you bet on (like in your mlb chase) or is it any teams that meet the criteria above?

same as mlb here. Not every team fits into the systems. I did not list the team, cause there are also exceptions like "only play on winning streaks" etc. I have the data for every single team and took out the teams with the best numbers.

**mrk77** · 11-04-12, 04:12 PM

Great to see you on NBA!

**fastball00** · 11-04-12, 04:17 PM

Looking forward to your plays!!

**rentongfb** · 11-04-12, 04:22 PM

how about lakers qualfying as S1 ? They lost 3 in a row...

**Stifler** · 11-04-12, 04:27 PM

lakers falling out of the system 1. As i said not every team fits into those systems. I know which teams will be played.

**Yaniv** · 11-04-12, 04:39 PM

Looks promising. GL!

**Maleku** · 11-04-12, 05:39 PM

Thanks for posting the plays for NBA Stifler!

Money management question... what percentage of your roll do you feel is a "safe" amount to use for a unit?

Thanks mate!

**Stifler** · 11-04-12, 06:14 PM

Im playing somewhere around 2%. A losing series will cost u 18,45 units on -110 odds. I think 2-3x max lost amount on a series should be enough. Means starting with 50 units is alright i think.

**kosti** · 11-05-12, 07:38 AM

Stifler are these streaks against the spread or straight up? For example, team wins 3 straight for S1...3 straight spread victories or 3 straight up wins.

**Stifler** · 11-05-12, 09:22 AM

ATS streaks decide whether its a play or not (S1 and S2).

**Stifler** · 11-05-12, 09:44 AM

05.11.2012

S4

(A Bet) Sac fade: Golden State +2 1,10u

im posting all plays with standard -110 lines eventhough im getting a little better lines (e.g. today -107 on GS). Just want to make it easier to follow...in addition all records listed were based on -110 lines aswell.

**Bdeng** · 11-05-12, 12:05 PM

Hey stifler, been lurking and following your mlb thread for a while with great success, finally registered and wanted to thank you. I will be following again!

**bill52** · 11-05-12, 01:10 PM

also like the warriors... GL

**Stifler** · 11-06-12, 05:34 AM

Originally posted by Stifler

05.11.2012

S4

(A Bet) Sac fade: Golden State +2 1,10u

records:
S1: W 0 | L 0 (0 units)
S2: W 0 | L 0 (0 units)
S3: W 0 | L 0 (0 units)
S4: W 0 | L 0 (0 units)

game pushed, new A bet on 07.11.2012.

**Stifler** · 11-06-12, 05:43 AM

06.11.2012

nothing today

**Stifler** · 11-07-12, 08:17 AM

07.11.2012

S1

(A Bet) Utah fade: Lakers +3,5 1,10u

S4

(A Bet) Sac fade: Detroit +5,5 1,10u

**Yaniv** · 11-07-12, 11:29 AM

I'm a little bit confused.. you're fading Sacramento? Sacramento got their first win; the losing streak is over.

**kosti** · 11-07-12, 12:02 PM

They didn't win against the spread last game...they pushed so I'm assuming pushes do not end streaks

**Stifler** · 11-07-12, 12:14 PM

Originally posted by Yaniv

I'm a little bit confused.. you're fading Sacramento? Sacramento got their first win; the losing streak is over.

First of all Sac fade is a S4 play, streaks dont mean anything here. As for S1 + S2 only streaks against the spread are counting, not the moneyline.

**vigster** · 11-07-12, 12:21 PM

Good luck bud!

**Stifler** · 11-07-12, 12:24 PM

Originally posted by kosti

They didn't win against the spread last game...they pushed so I'm assuming pushes do not end streaks

While we are in a system game already a push means a replay of the current bet. A push on an A bet means a replay of the A bet in the next game. A push on a B Bet means replaying the B bet on the next bet.

A push in between a streak will break the streak, a new streak will begin after the push. Means if ur checking the past results and the ATS statistic looks like that WWPW, it will not qualify for a system play.

Understood? Pretty much think this will confuse even more...

**Maleku** · 11-07-12, 12:26 PM

Send the man a couple of points.... he is doing all the work here.

Thanks for your efforts Stifler

**kosti** · 11-07-12, 01:24 PM

Stifler thanks for clarifying the push during streak and during betting. Clear as a crystal now

**amarius87** · 11-07-12, 01:59 PM

this is great!.. im new to nba betting, i follow nba but can you please explain the lakers bet? and also say a bet loses... how much do you put in the next bet? and say you lose s1... do you place next bet on s1 to recover or any of the 4? or the opposite if you win... i sound dumb but i rather have this clarified as your winning record and support is too good to pass up on.

**kosti** · 11-07-12, 03:55 PM

Originally posted by amarius87

this is great!.. im new to nba betting, i follow nba but can you please explain the lakers bet? and also say a bet loses... how much do you put in the next bet? and say you lose s1... do you place next bet on s1 to recover or any of the 4? or the opposite if you win... i sound dumb but i rather have this clarified as your winning record and support is too good to pass up on.

You always bet in order to win 1 unit for the series...if it happens in first game than great, you're done...if they lose the first game, the next bet would be an amount that wins you a total of 2.1 units (1.1 units lost on the first bet and also wins the 1 unit for the series).

Look up Stifler's MLB 3 game chase thread in the MLB forum as a lot of this stuff money management stuff is explained

**Stifler** · 11-07-12, 04:15 PM

Originally posted by amarius87

this is great!.. im new to nba betting, i follow nba but can you please explain the lakers bet? and also say a bet loses... how much do you put in the next bet? and say you lose s1... do you place next bet on s1 to recover or any of the 4? or the opposite if you win... i sound dumb but i rather have this clarified as your winning record and support is too good to pass up on.

hui, where to start first.

This is a 4 game chase. This means keep raising my risk amount during the series to win 1unit.

Example for -110 odds (standard odds for spreads in nba, eventhough im getting even better lines on pinnacle):

A Bet: risk 1,10 units to win 1 unit
B Bet: risk 2,31 units to win 2,1 units [the lost amount on A bet (1,10u) + 1 unit]
C Bet: risk 4,85 units to win 4,41 units [the lost amount on A bet (1,10u) + B bet (2,31u) + 1 unit]
D Bet: risk 10,19 units to win 9,26 units [the lost amount on A bet (1,10u) + B bet (2,31u) + C Bet (4,85u) + 1 unit]

U will win 1unit on every series overall. Losing a D Bet will cost 18,45 units.

If A Bet on S1 is a loser the B Bet will be on the same team. To clarify this for todays game:

S1

(A Bet) Utah fade: Lakers +3,5 1,10u

If Lakers wont cover the spread today the next bet would be on Utah fade. The blue marked team is always the team to play on. As we are fading Utah today the bet is on the Lakers Spread +3,5.

Problem solved?

**Yaniv** · 11-07-12, 05:05 PM

Originally posted by Stifler

First of all Sac fade is a S4 play, streaks dont mean anything here. As for S1 + S2 only streaks against the spread are counting, not the moneyline.

Didn't pay attention, my bad. Now It's all understood.

GL.

**KrasH** · 11-07-12, 05:33 PM

Good luck let's get this, i'll be following and possibly tailing... Overall records are obviously on the series??! Also You say the blue team is the one to play on, yet you say fade utah. I'm assuming the system play is based on the blue team, but the BOLD team is the one to take ie:Lakers?!?