2011 NCAAF Plays

[Sunde91]

WVU 2nd half +7 +105
3x to win 3.15

Every game Clemson has lost this year they were down at the half and packed it in the 2nd half. Team is young, zero experience, clown hick coach who cant get his players to respond

WVU gets the ball and wont get shutdown by that shit D

[Sunde91]

Kansas State 2nd half +3.5 +110
3x to win 3.3

KSU got a big lift with the TO and TD before the half. They get the ball right back to start and an opening score would be massive. They aren't going to go away in this. Its clear the fans and players are very much into this game and they want to get their first bowl win in 10 years

Ark's 80th rush D won't hold up after a big first half. Some KSU adjustments, field position, and momentum will open up their 25th rush O

[Sunde91]

KSU ML +260 live early 3rd Q before 4th and 2 Ark try
1x to win 2.6

Gambling that Ark punts or doesnt convert 4th

I dont think they get it and giving KSU the ball back is huge. KSU has so much more energy and momentum right now

[Sunde91]

NIU ML +180 Live end of 1st Q down 13-7
1x to win 1.8

NIU has the better O and QB that will better serve them over the full course of the game. They also get the ball to start the 2nd half. Small 6 point deficit with 3rd and 6. Get the stop and score. The greatest MAC player of all time Harnish goes out a winner

[No coincidences]

NIU ML +170 Live end of 1st Q
1x to win 1.7

NIU has the better O and QB that will better serve them over the full course of the game. They also get the ball to start the 2nd half. The greatest MAC player of all time Harnish goes out a winner

The gift first down changed everything.

[Sunde91]

it was a full yard short now they probably win and it will go back to that play

error, +180 not +170

[No coincidences]

Amazing thing about your bet, Sunde, is Harnish gets hurt about 5 minutes after you grab it and the ML immediately goes to +340. I almost said something but just figured you were just a victim of bad timing.

Now it's 28-13 NIU. Go figure.

[Sunde91]

LSU 2nd half +.5 -120
6x to win 5

Have Bama +7 in a teaser with Giants but LSU is not going out like this

LSU has gone through more than perhaps any team in College Football history. SEC Champs out of the toughest division in football. Wins over the #3 Pac 10 Champ, Big East Champ on the road, #1 Bama on the road in OT. Down 14-0 at home vs. Ark, came storming back and won 41-17. Zero first downs in the first half and down 10-0 vs. Georgia, won 42-10.

Bama gets the ball and LSU will positively get a quick stop and get the crowd into it right away. One big play, specifically a punt return or TO, will get them right in the position they need.

[Sunde91]

Final 2011

Overall: 52-45-2 +24.84
average price (weighted): +112

Regular Season Straight: 36-26-2 +25.44

Bowls: 12-17 -14.14
(0-7 ATS FG, 0-3 ML FG, 2-0 Totals FG, 10-7 Live/2H)

Futures: 3-2 +11.54

5x: 0-1 -6.00
3x: 8-6 +5.1
2x: 17-12 +9.5
1x: 24-25 +3.7

ATS (FG): 17-17-1 -2.45
(12-6 favs, 5-11-1 dogs)
Totals (FG): 9-2 +10.47
(overs 7-2, unders 0-0, TT O 2-0)
ML (FG): 2-7 -5.43
Live/2nd Half: 19-15-1 +13.29
(totals 2-3-1, ATS 13-7, ML 4-5)
1st Q/1st half: 1-2 -1.1
FCS playoffs: 1-0 +1.00