how? Phil davis outstriking evans?
-
Comment -
It seems like Jones vs Evans is inevitable, but I think Mr. Wonderful is going to surprise everybody.
If you think Evans is going to win, then you are stupid for not maxing that great line.Comment -
I lean Evans, but I fully expect him to end up on his back at least once. That being said, even during his college career, Davis was never the most talented takedown artist, but was absolutely amazing defensively and in scrambles. He honestly probably created more takedowns from stuffed shots than being offensive himself. Against lower level wrestlers like most of the UFC his takedowns are top shelf, but against a fellow NCAA wrestler, they are capable of being stopped (Little Nog even stuffed a fair amount of Mr Wonderful's doubles in the first round, and only started to struggle once Phil switched to a single). This, coupled with a gaping advantage to Rashad in the standup, has me backing Rashad in this one.
The only thing that scares me is that Davis improves every fight, and even though its not likely, its not outside of the realm of possibilty to see him with a few new dimensions to his game after this long of a layoff.Comment -
but davis ground hasnt translated well enough into MMA IMO. Just look at his recent fights, do you believe he can beat rashad after what you have seen in his last performances? when people like vaughany...going big on someone, you should think twice..am i doing the right thing here?Comment -
Well, i am going with Evans, not so confident like Vaughany, but in a 5 rounds fight, the only way i can see Davis winning is on the ground, if he could beat Evans wrestling, which i doubt.Comment -
Juventus!
Millwall!Comment -
You Juventus fans should enjoy your position in the table while it lasts
Comment -
Vaug, at skybet, Chael sonnen is available @ 1.29. The line will probably not improve IMO. I parleyd him with Ellenberger. Pretty happy about that.Comment -
haha Yeah to be honest I dont think it will last for long! We don't look that good at all really...somebody is going to exploit some of our weaknesses sooner than later, starting with Roma beating us in the Coppa Italia on Tuesday as well. Although I like Master Conte, I don't like how he isn't giving Elia any opportunities yet has brough Krasic back in to the squad who is HOPELESS! One of the major things we lack is pace/athleticism which is what Elia could bring to the table. Classic Juve tho, sign a player like him then hardly play him and sell him on to somebody in England where he'll probably shine a la Henry at Arsenal! Lichsteiner is proving to be a great signing though - one of best right backs/wingbacks in the world IMO.Comment -
Yeah Lichsteiner is very solid both defensively and when attacking. Not sure about Elia tho, have not seen enough of him to form an opinion. Krasic SUCKS, that I know
was terrifying to read the roumors about Ranieri and Moratti wanting to buy him now in January. Hopefully not on the map anymore.
My thoughts behind my previous statement is that all teams go through a hard period with bad form during a season. Inter and Milan had theirs already while Juventus have not. It will come sometime this spring.Comment -
Yeah it will happen eventually. I'm also not getting the Borriello signing. He doesnt really offer anything different. What we needed was a striker with pace and ability to beat the offside trap and at same time can hold the ball up as well.Yeah Lichsteiner is very solid both defensively and when attacking. Not sure about Elia tho, have not seen enough of him to form an opinion. Krasic SUCKS, that I know was terrifying to read the roumors about Ranieri and Moratti wanting to buy him now in January. Hopefully not on the map anymore.
My thoughts behind my previous statement is that all teams go through a hard period with bad form during a season. Inter and Milan had theirs already while Juventus have not. It will come sometime this spring.Comment -
Yeah Borriello seems to be a better fit in a medium size club. Liked him a lot when he played for Genoa.
Last weekend when he came in against Cagliari the swedish commentator said as Borriello came running onto the pitch "Marco Borriello is good looking"...and realizing what he just said might sound gay he added "according many" after a short pause, haha
Guess he dident have anything positive to say about his skillz on the football field
Comment -
hahaha To be fair he is a handsome swine! No homo!Yeah Borriello seems to be a better fit in a medium size club. Liked him a lot when he played for Genoa.
Last weekend when he came in against Cagliari the swedish commentator said as Borriello came running onto the pitch "Marco Borriello is good looking"...and realizing what he just said might sound gay he added "according many" after a short pause, haha
Guess he dident have anything positive to say about his skillz on the football fieldComment -
Adding:
10.301 units on Russow at -160 to win 6.438 units.Comment -
i like that betComment -
You and Gabe move lines!Comment -
haha Sportbet move their lines soon as a couple hundred dollars is placed! They dont mess aroundComment -
i would say there's no way you can get fotn at +300, but jorgensen/barao could get some of the action.
still doubt you get it though, diaz is a fotn machine.Comment -
Record Review:
Since Bellator 26 (August 26th 2010):
Bellator 26:+0.45 units
UFC 118:+6.11 units
MFC Retribution:-1.6 units
UFC Fight Night 22:+5.55 units
UFC 119:+1.5 units
WEC 51:+1.07 units
Cage Warriors 38:+11 units
Strikeforce Diaz vs Noons 2:+2.417 units
UFC 120:-0.589 units
UFC 121:+9.011 units
WEC 52:-1.274 units
UFC 122:+17.355 units
Strikeforce Challengers 12:+0.865 units
UFC 123:+1.609 units
TUF 12 Finale:+9.556 units
K1 Grand Prix 2010 Review:+1.1 units
UFC 124:+5.135 units
WEC 53:+0.059 units
Sengoku Soul of Fight & Dream Dynamite:+1.354 units
UFC 125:+3.095 units
UFC Fight for the Troops 2:+3.961 units
UFC 126:+24.577 units
Strikeforce: Fedor vs Silva:+0.941 units
MFC 28 Supremacy:+8.594 units
BAMMA 5:*+0.84 units
UFC 127:+10.945 units
UFC Live on Versus 3:+11.622 units
Strikeforce Columbus:-1.4 units
UFC 128:+22.131 units
Bellator 38:+4.875 units
UFC Fight Night 24:+44.283 units
Bellator 40:+2.325 units
Strikeforce Diaz vs Daley:-5.527 units
Bellator 41:-0.7 units
UFC 129:+77.484 units
(Not including risk-free arbs on record from UFC 130 onwards):
UFC 130:+45.077 units
TUF 13 Finale:-16.766 units
UFC 131:+17.688 units
Strikeforce: Overeem vs Werdum:+11.474 units
UFC Versus 4:+25.288 units
UFC 132:+1.783 units
Cage Warriors 43:+1.308 units
Strikeforce: Henderson vs Fedor:+3.274 units
UFC 133:-12.302 units
UFC Versus 5:-5.073 units
UFC 134:-10.214 units
UFC Battle on the Bayou:+20.466
Titan Fighting Championships 19:-1.863 units
UFC 135:+53.938 units
UFC Versus 6:+4.021 units
UFC 136:-33.134 units
Bellator 55:-5.731 units
UFC 137:+4.337 units(+10.151 units inc’ arb)
UFC 138:+57.692 units
UFC on FOX:+5.087 units (+121.575 units inc' arbs)
UFC 139: +15.24 units (+28.647 units inc' arbs)
UFC 140: -15.065 units
UFC 141: +70.166 units (+78.399 units inc' arbs)
Strikeforce: Rockhold vs Jardine: +0.664 units
UFC 142: +19.627 units (+44.333 units inc' arbs)
UFC on FX 1: +19.764 units (+24.264 units inc' arb)
Total profit (excluding arbs): +555.469 unitsComment -
For me, the fact that it's a 5 round fight makes a big difference. If it was three rounds I'd say there is a reasonable chance Davis gets a close 29-28 or something just by getting the odd take-down and wall and stalling Rashad. But to do tht for 5 rounds is a big task. I find it hard to imagine Davis choking Rashad out (although this may be his best option during a scramble or something) and even harder to imagine him TKO/KO'ing Evans unless he lands one of his right head kicks that he likes to do (could happen if Evans completely overlooks him). One of the key things for me is that Davis has been matched-up with guys who are not the most athletic and quite flat-footed - the opposite of Rashad Evans. Initially he fought three guys with limited wrestling ability in Stann (small LHW now a Middleweight), a very raw Gustaffsson and Rodney Wallace (a chubby LHW with poor cardio). The UFC then stepped it up by giving Davis Tim Boetsch who does have a wrestling background, however aside from being undersized at LHW, he has always struggled and lost to fellow wrestlers in Matyushenko, Brilz and Hamill so stylistically was a good match-up for the superior grappler in Davis. And most recently, Lil Nog was another a fight that wasn't that bad stylistically for Davis seeing as we'd witnessed Nog struggle with lesser wrestlers than Davis in Bader and Brilz before. And like his brother, Lil Nog has never been the most athletic fighter yet he was still able to stuff Davis' early takedown attempts. To Davis' credit he showed how adaptable he can be by switching things up and getting the takedowns in Round 2 and 3 though, and he'd had a bad camp where he had to deal with injuries including his back which undoubtedly impacted on his takedown explosiveness. But Lil Nog being a BJJ guy and not particularly athletic is not the type to automatically spring back to his feet and he'll happily work off his back and look for subs or trying and stall his opponent. After Davis got his first single leg takedown on Nog, Nog was able to kick Davis off and had a great opportunity to get back to his feet but just wasnt athletic enough to do it. Evans on the other hand won't mess around and will always look to use the cage or even the slightest chance to get right back to his feet as soon as he is taken down, and is usually successful. However, this is why I think Davis' best chance may well be to look for the submission as Rashad will take chances and scrambles to get back to his feet. Im sure many will say Davis has no chance of subbing Rashad seeing as Davis is a blue-belt and Rashad is a Rolles Gracie black-belt, has never been subbed and has a huge experience advantage, but Davis like Jones is a bit of an anomaly when it comes to grappling due to his size and length. As we saw in the Boetsch fight, Davis is very creative with his submissions and if he can take Rashad's back or lock in a guillotine during a scramble there is a small chance Rashad taps. As impressive as Davis' sub of Gustaffsson was, we should bare in mind that Gustaffsson was very raw at this point and had not yet trained with Alliance. Even still, although Gustaffsson's offensive grappling has been impressive, defensively there are still question marks as he was taken down early by James Te-Huna.
Davis likes to throw kicks, especially right head and body kick that can open him up for counter left staight and left-hook (which happens to be Rashad's favourite striking technique). Nog was able to counter a couple of times but wasn't quick enough. Rashad is quick enough and is solid at countering with hooks. Against Griffin, Rashad used his left jab and straight right to good effect, and finished the fight with GnP after landing a straight right from catching a Griffin right body kick. I also like how Evans has also now added more body shots, knees and elbows to his game (more of a Muay Thai style rather than kickboxing) since training with Spong and Henry Hooft.
For anybody who wants to watch it again the Davis/Nog fight can be seen here... http://www.fightsarena.com/2011/03/2...night-live-24/Comment -
"However, this is why I think Davis' best chance may well be to look for the submission as Rashad will take chances and scrambles to get back to his feet. Im sure many will say Davis has no chance of subbing Rashad seeing as Davis is a blue-belt and Rashad is a Rolles Gracie black-belt, has never been subbed and has a huge experience advantage, but Davis like Jones is a bit of an anomaly when it comes to grappling due to his size and length."
Its exactly what i think, if i was you, after a big play on Rashad, to make a backup with Davis SOTN would be a good idea.Comment -
Would you be willing to write up what makes you so confident in Russow over Einemo? I agree with the pick. 10 units sounds like you're extremely confident though.
Russow is a grinder that is extremely difficult to finish, so he seems dangerous at HW, where people gas out like crazy. But skillwise, he hasn't looked anything special. Duffee was beating him around like a pinata and Madsen seemed badly out of shape. Einemo gassed badly against Herman, but he is known for extremely high level BJJ and I doubt Russow has the ability on the feet that Herman has, and I thought Einemo had his moments(But I've misremembered before).
Would say that Einemo will likely gas out and be pounded out or even beat straight up, since Russow has shown a chin and a lot of heart. But is it inconceivable that Einemo gets the sub or wins the standup to a decision?Comment -
Im not tht confident...just confident that the Russow would get action so maxed the -160 opener. Currently can get Einemo at +180. If he reaches +200 I'll arb out most probably. Russow in theory should have the wrestling to keep it standing. But even then Russow doesnt necessarily have tht much better stand-up than Einemo so he isnt guaranteed to win if it does stay standing. I do think he has more power in his punches tho than Herman, although isnt as quick or athletic as PeeWee.Comment
