Vaughany's MMA Picks...

gabe · 01-19-12, 02:14 PM

You don't like Brenneman at -300?

Vaughany · 01-19-12, 02:15 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

UFC on FX 1 play:

10 units on Schilling at +140 to win 14 units.

Pineda has a big experience advantage but I think Schilling is worth a play at these odds....has a decent chance to get the submission in this one. Down to +115 now on BM

Have arbed out of this with 12 units on Pineda at -120 so will make a risk-free 2 units if Schilling wins.

Vaughany · 01-19-12, 02:19 PM

Originally posted by gabe

You don't like Brenneman at -300?

Don't see value in it personally. His only clear advantage is cardio and heart which granted are substantially better than Roberts but not -300 worthy IMO. Roberts was a decent wrestler himself and is the superior submission artist so I dont think Brenneman will necessarily have a definite grappling advantage which most seem to think he'll have. I'll look at Brenneman by decision for sure tho if I can get it.

PunisherIND · 01-19-12, 02:26 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

I've not gone big on anything yet. Just arbed out of Schiller with Pineda at -120 as there are too many unknowns. I'll be putting Camoes in a couple parlays for sure though - he's the one I'm most confident wins and actually think -310 to -325 isnt bad value. If this fight was headlining one of BallinBlades' Bumfuck Idaho Extreme Fight Nights! Camoes would probably be -400 to -500 range. Hayden IMO is clearly a step down from Escudero and even Steve Lopez.

glad to get some reassurance from you, because my biggest play this weekend is going to be Brenneman/Camoes/Sara McMann

NunyaBidness · 01-19-12, 02:27 PM

It might be the first time That Roberts has a striking advantage. Hopefully it doesn't hit the ground at all, and can be the worst fight in UFC history.

Beelzebubzy · 01-19-12, 02:39 PM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

glad to get some reassurance from you, because my biggest play this weekend is going to be Brenneman/Camoes/Sara McMann

Dude where is the McMann line? Bodoga?

Vaughany · 01-19-12, 02:53 PM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

Dude where is the McMann line? Bodoga?

U not use bestfightodds.com brah?!

gabe · 01-19-12, 02:54 PM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

glad to get some reassurance from you, because my biggest play this weekend is going to be Brenneman/Camoes/Sara McMann

I got Brenneman/Camoes/Denis and Brenneman/Camoes/Denis/Schafer

Beelzebubzy · 01-19-12, 02:58 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

U not use bestfightodds.com brah?!

I do. I guess I kept skipping it.

Embarassing

Vaughany · 01-19-12, 03:23 PM

Wont include this on my record but one parlay I have which I particularly like involving Ivory Coast and Senegal's first African Nations games (soccer) (placed on William Hill):

5 units on Camoes (-300), Ivory Coast to beat Sudan (-450), & Senegal Draw No Bet against Zambia (-400) to win 5.185 units.

gabe · 01-19-12, 04:25 PM

I might go with Ludwig, since you ain't so confident in Neer. Gonna wait til fight time to lock that bet up. Might just make a bet on it going over 2.5 rounds.

proposition joe · 01-19-12, 04:31 PM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

It might be the first time That Roberts has a striking advantage. Hopefully it doesn't hit the ground at all, and can be the worst fight in UFC history.

Vaughany · 01-19-12, 04:46 PM

Originally posted by gabe

I might go with Ludwig, since you ain't so confident in Neer. Gonna wait til fight time to lock that bet up. Might just make a bet on it going over 2.5 rounds.

I think Neer has more ways to win and is a lot more likely to get the finish than Ludwig is to finish Neer

Vaughany · 01-19-12, 04:46 PM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

It might be the first time That Roberts has a striking advantage. Hopefully it doesn't hit the ground at all, and can be the worst fight in UFC history.

Surely it won't top Letnz vs Winner!

gabe · 01-19-12, 04:50 PM

There are a lot of boring fights, especially when one of them is a dominant wrestler.

Vaughany · 01-19-12, 05:12 PM

What the ***** going on with these weigh-ins? Swear it's already started yet we're watchin Bonnar and some douche talk about obvious shit!

NunyaBidness · 01-19-12, 05:14 PM

Jay Glazer isn't some douche, he's THE DOUCHE! Used to love watching him flirt with Frankie Trigg on the pride rerun show.

Vaughany · 01-19-12, 05:18 PM

hahaa Looks like a wannabe Schiavello!

Morecraft looks a bit better, tattoo still awful tho

Rivera had a chat ther with Dana...wonder if he was tellin him it's his last fight!

The HOFF · 01-19-12, 05:27 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Rivera had a chat ther with Dana...wonder if he was tellin him it's his last fight!

Sure looked like it. Really like my Schafer play now.

Vaughany · 01-19-12, 05:32 PM

Originally posted by The HOFF

Sure looked like it. Really like my Schafer play now.

It's highly likely, his gym is opening first week of Feb so seems he's pretty set up now to become a full-time coach.

Vaughany · 01-19-12, 05:36 PM

Mike Whitehead off to prison... http://www.mmamania.com/2012/1/19/27...jail-las-vegas

Vaughany · 01-19-12, 05:45 PM

Dont prank Frank Mir... http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature...&v=RHmq7ieuuoU

ghost kid · 01-19-12, 06:39 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

What the ***** going on with these weigh-ins? Swear it's already started yet we're watchin Bonnar and some douche talk about obvious shit!

Complete disaster on FuelTV weigh-ins. Glazer, Bonnar, and Helwani talked over the whole thing.

They need to make the show an hour. Show the complete weigh-ins. Then analyze after the fact. They broke what didn't need fixin'.

Guys - tweet this guy and let him know you hated the new format. MORE weigh-ins. LESS analysis. Here is the producer of UFC on FOX twitter handle:

@GrossiMMA

PunisherIND · 01-19-12, 07:48 PM

Originally posted by gabe

I got Brenneman/Camoes/Denis and Brenneman/Camoes/Denis/Schafer

GL. i like both of em.

PunisherIND · 01-19-12, 08:03 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

hahaa Looks like a wannabe Schiavello!

Morecraft looks a bit better, tattoo still awful tho

Rivera had a chat ther with Dana...wonder if he was tellin him it's his last fight!

V you never heard of glazer? he does reporting for nfl on fox, and apparently is an mma insider as well. he started an mma gym with randy couture that caters to pro athletes. i think he's good for mma getting to the mainstream (in america) bc he's always mentioning it during football games.

looks like we'll be getting alot of glazer in the future with the ufc-fox deal. he'll be on the B team with jon anik and kenflo. lol.

Vaughany · 01-20-12, 03:14 AM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

V you never heard of glazer? he does reporting for nfl on fox, and apparently is an mma insider as well. he started an mma gym with randy couture that caters to pro athletes. i think he's good for mma getting to the mainstream (in america) bc he's always mentioning it during football games.

looks like we'll be getting alot of glazer in the future with the ufc-fox deal. he'll be on the B team with jon anik and kenflo. lol.

yeah heard of him plenty of times, just never actually seen him as I've never seen watched a nfl game in my life!

Vaughany · 01-20-12, 06:18 AM

Adding:

10 units on Neer at +105 to win 10.5 units.

Vaughany · 01-20-12, 07:00 AM

Adding:

1.25 units on Morecraft by Submission at +600 to win 7.5 units.

Too good value to pass up on.

2.835 units on Barry/Morecraft to Not go the Distance at -225 to win 1.26 units;

2.835 units on Barry/Morecraft to End Under 2.5 Rounds at -225 to win 1.26 units.

0.229 units on Neer by Submission at +600 to win 1.374 units;

4.286 units on Neer Inside the Distance at +210 to win 9.001 units;

hedged with:

3.461 units on Ludwig/Neer to Go the Distance at +130 to win 4.499 units.

bjpenn85 · 01-20-12, 08:39 AM

in case you dont know, you can get neer sub @ 9.0 at skybet.

Vaughany · 01-20-12, 08:50 AM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

in case you dont know, you can get neer sub @ 9.0 at skybet.

Yeah cheers man, saw it earlier. Probably too good to pass up on...

gabe · 01-20-12, 09:04 AM

If Ludwig gets a TKO, you're fkd. and so am I 'cos I'm following you on this one lol--

Vaughany · 01-20-12, 09:20 AM

Originally posted by gabe

If Ludwig gets a TKO, you're fkd. and so am I 'cos I'm following you on this one lol--

ha It will probably happen now!

BIGDAY · 01-20-12, 10:08 AM

Originally posted by gabe

If Ludwig gets a TKO, you're fkd. and so am I 'cos I'm following you on this one lol--

I think Neer has a good chin. I do see him at least atempting to get fight to the ground as I think his ground game will shine against Ludwig's.

Vaughany · 01-20-12, 10:10 AM

Originally posted by BIGDAY

I think Neer has a good chin. I do see him at least atempting to get fight to the ground as I think his ground game will shine against Ludwig's.

Yeah Neer has a solid Des Moines' jaw like his bro Lil Heathen! Ludwig going to have to land a perfect hook or head kick to drop him and then have to follow up with follow up strikes - which could still lead to getting triangled.

He's taken down guys like Din Thomas before who didnt offer as big a threat standing as Ludwig does so dont see why he wont try and take this to the ground. Although it's likely he'll test the waters standing for a while first - this isnt like the Morecraft situation where he HAS to get it to the ground as soon as possible.

Beelzebubzy · 01-20-12, 10:12 AM

V
No Brenneman parlay additions?

He is my only big play for the night (4u), I have 2u on Miller too but will arb out on either if given the opportunity