Vaughany's MMA Picks...

[gabe]

I was watching the match between Gonzaga and Kevin Jordan, and by the second round Gonzaga was too tired to shoot any more. I actually stopped watching at that point and decided not to bet on Gonzaga.

If Edinaldo gets through the first round and Gonzaga gases, Edinaldo could win on points or get a tko with his arm punches.

He was too tired to shoot but ended up winning with a Superman punch KO lol funny shit

Has anyone seen his last fight? What was his shape like then? He got a 3rd round submission, so can't be too bad

[koscheckbaby]

It seems like his opponent, Peter Parker, was a complete ******* can. Gonzaga took til the 3rd round to beat a guy that lost via submission in the 1st round by neck crack two fights sooner. I wouldn't give Gonzaga much credit for that.

[gabe]

Yeah, I think I'm right in thinking Ednaldo should be -185.

[Vaughany]

Another great Dana White video blog part 2... (Shows Belfort's reaction to being told Rumble won't make weight and Dana speaking to Rumble during weigh-ins).. http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature...v=2mcjR3TsK4s#!

[more_betterness]

Another great Dana White video blog part 2... (Shows Belfort's reaction to being told Rumble won't make weight).. http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature...v=2mcjR3TsK4s#!

Wtf is up with Vitor's ice chewing?

[Vaughany]

Wtf is up with Vitor's ice chewing?

A lot do it as it gives the sensation of eating and gets rid of dry mouth etc... I guess

[more_betterness]

A lot do it as it gives the sensation of eating and gets rid of dry mouth etc... I guess

I was a gum fan myself in my wrestling days, but totally get doing whatever it takes to get your mind off of your cut.

[koscheckbaby]

I was a gum fan myself in my wrestling days, but totally get doing whatever it takes to get your mind off of your cut.

Gum makes me thirsty. Was thinking the ice was a way of getting a modicum of hydration without actually drinking anything

[koscheckbaby]

Vaughany, sorry to hijack. What's your opinion about Massenzio-Palhares? I can't get your great lines, so I'm not sure. I just want to stack on Palhares to finish at -200. He showed power striking against Dan Miller, so him not finishing Massenzio just doesn't make sense.

[Vaughany]

Vaughany, sorry to hijack. What's your opinion about Massenzio-Palhares? I can't get your great lines, so I'm not sure. I just want to stack on Palhares to finish at -200. He showed power striking against Dan Miller, so him not finishing Massenzio just doesn't make sense.

No worries bro. I think Massenzio shouldnt be such a big dog, but then Palhares is a beast and should be able to finish. I personally wouldnt take the odds that are on Sportbet/5dimes right now tho, just all too steep. I got Palhares SOTN on there at +450 opener and now it's half that. We all know how wild Palhares is, he might get overawed by the occasion and make a mistake and get TKO'd...Massenzio does have reasonable power and is a decent sized MW.

[Vaughany]

UFC 142 plays summary:



Parlay: 6.407 units on Volkmann (-225), Not Hendricks by Submission (-1570), Overeem/Lesnar to Not Start Round 4 (-440), & Aldo (-220) to win 11.165 units;

Parlay (double): 6.437 units on Overeem Inside the Distance (-123) & Aldo (-245) to win 9.995 units;

Parlay (double): 3.268 units on Overeem/Lesnar to Not Start Round 4 (-340), & Aldo (-220) to win 2.884 units;


1.666 units on Mendes by Decision at +450 to win 7.497 units;

hedged with:

1.2 units on Aldo/Mendes to Not go the Distance at +145 to win 1.74 units;


Parlay: 6.468 units on Johnson/Belfort To Not Start Round 3 (-131), Aldo/Mendes To Start Round 2 (-892), & Evans/Davis To Not Go the Distance (-165) to win 13.904 units;

Parlay (double): 0.433 units on Belfort by TKO/KO & Aldo by TKO/KO at +1000 to win 4.33 units;

6.47 units on Rumble Johnson by TKO/KO at +315 to win 20.381 units;

0.98 units on Belfort KOTN at +710 to win 6.961 units;

0.1 units on Belfort by Submission at +1050 to win 1.05 units;


1.666 units on Rumble Johnson by Decision at +450 to win 7.497 units;

hedged with:

4 units on Rumble/Belfort To Not Go the Distance at -230 to win 1.739 units;


3.268 units on Palhares SOTN at +450 to win 14.706 units;

0.89 units on Palhares by Submission at +140 to win 1.246 units;

0.653 units on Palhares/Massenzio to be FOTN at +1200 to win 7.841 units;

4 units on Palhares by Decision at +388 to win 15.52 units;

7.499 units on Palhares/Massenzio to Not Go the Distance at -166.67 to win 4.499 units;

1.511 units on Palhares/Massenzio to Not Go the Distance at -120 to win 1.259 units;

1.138 units on Palhares/Massenzio to Finish Under 2.5 Rounds at +110 to win 1.252 units;

2.4 units on Massenzio at +425 to win 10.2 units;


6.481 units on Barboza/Etim to Go the Distance at +140 to win 9.073 units;


Parlay: 3.268 units on Not Tavares Inside the Distance (-381), Silva/Prater to Start Round 2 (-257), Not Massenzio by Submission (-4410), Not Rumble by Submission (-3425), & Not Phil Davis Inside the Distance (-398) to win 4.28 units;


Parlay: 3.268 units on Alcantaro/Omigawa to Start Round 2 (-410), Not Ednaldo Oliveira by Submission (-2135), Not Tavares by TKO/KO (-3085), Silva/Prater to Start Round 2 (-260), Not Massenzio (-5075), & Not Rumble by Submission (-5450) to win 3.049 units;


Parlay: 3.26 units on Silva/Prater to Start Round 2 (-215), Not Massenzio by Submission (-3250), Not Rumble by Submission (-5040), Aldo/Mendes to Start Round 2 (-705), & Munoz/Sonnen to Go the Distance (-230) to win 4.966 units;


Parlay: 1.63 units on Stout (-120), Palhares/Massenzio to Start Round 2 (-210), Aldo/Mendes to Start Round 2 (-705), & Maia/Bisping to Go the Distance (-210) to win 5.805 units;


3.594 units on Gonzaga at -110 to win 3.267 units;


2.5 units on Arantes at +197 to win 4.925 units;


0.64 units on Tavares/Stout to Go Over 2.5 Rounds at +200 to win 1.28 units;


0.722 units on Alcantara by Decision at +175 to win 1.263 units.


A lot of arbs for this card. My personal favourite is risk free play on Barboza/Etim being FOTN at +700 and +600 arbed with Not Barboza/Etim FOTN at -460...will make 8.765 units profit if it is FOTN. Also, arbed out of the 45.7 units that I had on Rumble at +120 with Belfort at Evens at -110 so will make 8.688 units if Belfort wins or 0.02 if Rumble wins. And after one book put the props back up I grabbed Fight to Go Distance at +310 and played fight to not go distance at -200 and -250 so also will make a further 6.985 units if it doesn't go distance or 0.43 units if it does. Also will make 4.303 units if Erick Silva wins by TKO/KO or 0.139 if not. If it goes distance I'll make 2.98 units or 0.068 units if it doesn't. Finally, will make a further 1.768 units if Aldo wins by decision or 0.129 if not. Best of luck all

[Vaughany]

Strikeforce Grand Prix Final plays:


6.913 units on Rousey at -201 to win 3.439 units;


5 units on Cormier at +140 to win 7 units.

[koscheckbaby]

Yeah. Don't see how Cormier is the underdog against Barnett after destroyed Bigfoot. Barnett's capable everywhere, but I personally think Bigfoot was a tougher fight for Cormier, due to the size and reach.

[Beelzebubzy]

im with the rounda pick
The future Mrs. Bubzy

[Vaughany]

im with the rounda pick
The future Mrs. Bubzy

haha

[Vaughany]

Up about 6.1 units so far after Arantes win and Alcantara decision. Parlay with Alcantara/Omigawa starting round 2 also still alive. Jus need Gonzaga to get it done now

[koscheckbaby]

Up about 6.1 units so far after Arantes win and Alcantara decision. Parlay with Alcantara/Omigawa starting round 2 also still alive. Jus need Gonzaga to get it done now

I tagged along this event with your picks, as shittier odds of course. I'll put a little more on Gonzaga. O/U 1.5 rounds in your opinion?

[koscheckbaby]

haha

Lose the bet and get a BJ from Ronda or win the bet?

[Vaughany]

I tagged along this event with your picks, as shittier odds of course. I'll put a little more on Gonzaga. O/U 1.5 rounds in your opinion?

Probly over but no idea really mate! I only played Gonzaga because I knew it wouldnt get better than -110. Wouldnt of played him at much worse than tht, too many unknowns

[koscheckbaby]

Thanks. Under 11.5 minutes for Palhares/Massenzio sound fair

[Vaughany]

Thanks. Under 11.5 minutes for Palhares/Massenzio sound fair

Nice one. Would like to think so...Massenzio is tougher then some might think after seeing the Dolloway loss so might be able to go the distance

[koscheckbaby]

Nice one. Would like to think so...Massenzio is tougher then some might think after seeing the Dolloway loss so might be able to go the distance

Didn't he have a bad leg injury, making him toast once he was on the ground? Then again, losing to CB Dolloway should come with zero excuses.

[koscheckbaby]

The thing with Palhares that impressed me was he basically TKO'd Dan Miller if he doesn't brain fart. Nobody has come close, including top guys. So, you combine striking power with BJJ, in which he subs black belts fast. Plus, he's so muscular and gasses. Makes me think he'll have trouble reaching decisions much longer.

[Vaughany]

The thing with Palhares that impressed me was he basically TKO'd Dan Miller if he doesn't brain fart. Nobody has come close, including top guys. So, you combine striking power with BJJ, in which he subs black belts fast. Plus, he's so muscular and gasses. Makes me think he'll have trouble reaching decisions much longer.

Very true, you can clearly see an improvement in his striking since the fight against Hendo. He likes to throw head kicks and the way he's built he is always going to have legit power in his hands. The fact he almost finished Dan MIller does speak volumes as we all know how tough they both are. Even Bisping couldnt finish Miller!
But yeah I'll be annoyed if he does drop Massenzio with a punch and finishes him like he almost finished Miller, when I've got Sub of the Night play on him!

[NYSportsGuy210]

Anthony Johnson kind of looks like Ryan Howard from the Phillies.

Does he beat that Brazilian f@g Belfort tonight?

[Vaughany]

UFC 142 plays summary:



Parlay: 6.407 units on Volkmann (-225), Not Hendricks by Submission (-1570), Overeem/Lesnar to Not Start Round 4 (-440), & Aldo (-220) to win 11.165 units;

Parlay (double): 6.437 units on Overeem Inside the Distance (-123) & Aldo (-245) to win 9.995 units;

Parlay (double): 3.268 units on Overeem/Lesnar to Not Start Round 4 (-340), & Aldo (-220) to win 2.884 units;


1.666 units on Mendes by Decision at +450 to win 7.497 units;

hedged with:

1.2 units on Aldo/Mendes to Not go the Distance at +145 to win 1.74 units;


Parlay: 6.468 units on Johnson/Belfort To Not Start Round 3 (-131), Aldo/Mendes To Start Round 2 (-892), & Evans/Davis To Not Go the Distance (-165) to win 13.904 units;

Parlay (double): 0.433 units on Belfort by TKO/KO & Aldo by TKO/KO at +1000 to win 4.33 units;

6.47 units on Rumble Johnson by TKO/KO at +315 to win 20.381 units;

0.98 units on Belfort KOTN at +710 to win 6.961 units;

0.1 units on Belfort by Submission at +1050 to win 1.05 units;


1.666 units on Rumble Johnson by Decision at +450 to win 7.497 units;

hedged with:

4 units on Rumble/Belfort To Not Go the Distance at -230 to win 1.739 units;


3.268 units on Palhares SOTN at +450 to win 14.706 units;

0.89 units on Palhares by Submission at +140 to win 1.246 units;

0.653 units on Palhares/Massenzio to be FOTN at +1200 to win 7.841 units;

4 units on Palhares by Decision at +388 to win 15.52 units;

7.499 units on Palhares/Massenzio to Not Go the Distance at -166.67 to win 4.499 units;

1.511 units on Palhares/Massenzio to Not Go the Distance at -120 to win 1.259 units;

1.138 units on Palhares/Massenzio to Finish Under 2.5 Rounds at +110 to win 1.252 units;

2.4 units on Massenzio at +425 to win 10.2 units;


6.481 units on Barboza/Etim to Go the Distance at +140 to win 9.073 units;


Parlay: 3.268 units on Not Tavares Inside the Distance (-381), Silva/Prater to Start Round 2 (-257), Not Massenzio by Submission (-4410), Not Rumble by Submission (-3425), & Not Phil Davis Inside the Distance (-398) to win 4.28 units;


Parlay: 3.268 units on Alcantaro/Omigawa to Start Round 2 (-410), Not Ednaldo Oliveira by Submission (-2135), Not Tavares by TKO/KO (-3085), Silva/Prater to Start Round 2 (-260), Not Massenzio (-5075), & Not Rumble by Submission (-5450) to win 3.049 units;


Parlay: 3.26 units on Silva/Prater to Start Round 2 (-215), Not Massenzio by Submission (-3250), Not Rumble by Submission (-5040), Aldo/Mendes to Start Round 2 (-705), & Munoz/Sonnen to Go the Distance (-230) to win 4.966 units;


Parlay: 1.63 units on Stout (-120), Palhares/Massenzio to Start Round 2 (-210), Aldo/Mendes to Start Round 2 (-705), & Maia/Bisping to Go the Distance (-210) to win 5.805 units;


3.594 units on Gonzaga at -110 to win 3.267 units;


2.5 units on Arantes at +197 to win 4.925 units;


0.64 units on Tavares/Stout to Go Over 2.5 Rounds at +200 to win 1.28 units;


0.722 units on Alcantara by Decision at +175 to win 1.263 units.


A lot of arbs for this card. My personal favourite is risk free play on Barboza/Etim being FOTN at +700 and +600 arbed with Not Barboza/Etim FOTN at -460...will make 8.765 units profit if it is FOTN. Also, arbed out of the 45.7 units that I had on Rumble at +120 with Belfort at Evens at -110 so will make 8.688 units if Belfort wins or 0.02 if Rumble wins. And after one book put the props back up I grabbed Fight to Go Distance at +310 and played fight to not go distance at -200 and -250 so also will make a further 6.985 units if it doesn't go distance or 0.43 units if it does. Also will make 4.303 units if Erick Silva wins by TKO/KO or 0.139 if not. If it goes distance I'll make 2.98 units or 0.068 units if it doesn't. Finally, will make a further 1.768 units if Aldo wins by decision or 0.129 if not. Best of luck all

Got a feeling Barboza might finish Etim so just in case I'm adding:

Parlay: 0.654 units Barboza (-290), Maia (+170), Evans (-150), & Benson Henderson (+105) to win 7.455 units.

So Barboza by decision would be perfect result for me. Need Etim to not win inside distance
And need it to be FOTN!

[Vaughany]

Well that's Knockout of the Night right there. Lost 6.481 units on tht as it didnt go distance but at least still got the parlay alive!

[Vaughany]

haah what the **** wsa tht! ah well had risk free arb on Silva by TKO/KO...two bad results for me in a row. Really need a Palhares sub now

[Vaughany]

UFC 142 Review:

UFC 142 plays summary:



Parlay: 6.407 units on Volkmann (-225), Not Hendricks by Submission (-1570), Overeem/Lesnar to Not Start Round 4 (-440), & Aldo (-220) to win 11.165 units;

Parlay (double): 6.437 units on Overeem Inside the Distance (-123) & Aldo (-245) to win 9.995 units;

Parlay (double): 3.268 units on Overeem/Lesnar to Not Start Round 4 (-340), & Aldo (-220) to win 2.884 units;


1.666 units on Mendes by Decision at +450 to win 7.497 units;

hedged with:

1.2 units on Aldo/Mendes to Not go the Distance at +145 to win 1.74 units;


Parlay: 6.468 units on Johnson/Belfort To Not Start Round 3 (-131), Aldo/Mendes To Start Round 2 (-892), & Evans/Davis To Not Go the Distance (-165) to win 13.904 units;

Parlay (double): 0.433 units on Belfort by TKO/KO & Aldo by TKO/KO at +1000 to win 4.33 units;

6.47 units on Rumble Johnson by TKO/KO at +315 to win 20.381 units;

0.98 units on Belfort KOTN at +710 to win 6.961 units;

0.1 units on Belfort by Submission at +1050 to win 1.05 units;


1.666 units on Rumble Johnson by Decision at +450 to win 7.497 units;

hedged with:

4 units on Rumble/Belfort To Not Go the Distance at -230 to win 1.739 units;


3.268 units on Palhares SOTN at +450 to win 14.706 units;

0.89 units on Palhares by Submission at +140 to win 1.246 units;

0.653 units on Palhares/Massenzio to be FOTN at +1200 to win 7.841 units;

4 units on Palhares by Decision at +388 to win 15.52 units;

7.499 units on Palhares/Massenzio to Not Go the Distance at -166.67 to win 4.499 units;

1.511 units on Palhares/Massenzio to Not Go the Distance at -120 to win 1.259 units;

1.138 units on Palhares/Massenzio to Finish Under 2.5 Rounds at +110 to win 1.252 units;

2.4 units on Massenzio at +425 to win 10.2 units;


6.481 units on Barboza/Etim to Go the Distance at +140 to win 9.073 units;


Parlay: 3.268 units on Not Tavares Inside the Distance (-381), Silva/Prater to Start Round 2 (-257), Not Massenzio by Submission (-4410), Not Rumble by Submission (-3425), & Not Phil Davis Inside the Distance (-398) to win 4.28 units;


Parlay: 3.268 units on Alcantaro/Omigawa to Start Round 2 (-410), Not Ednaldo Oliveira by Submission (-2135), Not Tavares by TKO/KO (-3085), Silva/Prater to Start Round 2 (-260), Not Massenzio (-5075), & Not Rumble by Submission (-5450) to win 3.049 units;


Parlay: 3.26 units on Silva/Prater to Start Round 2 (-215), Not Massenzio by Submission (-3250), Not Rumble by Submission (-5040), Aldo/Mendes to Start Round 2 (-705), & Munoz/Sonnen to Go the Distance (-230) to win 4.966 units;


Parlay: 1.63 units on Stout (-120), Palhares/Massenzio to Start Round 2 (-210), Aldo/Mendes to Start Round 2 (-705), & Maia/Bisping to Go the Distance (-210) to win 5.805 units;


3.594 units on Gonzaga at -110 to win 3.267 units;


2.5 units on Arantes at +197 to win 4.925 units;


0.64 units on Tavares/Stout to Go Over 2.5 Rounds at +200 to win 1.28 units;


0.722 units on Alcantara by Decision at +175 to win 1.263 units.


A lot of arbs for this card. My personal favourite is risk free play on Barboza/Etim being FOTN at +700 and +600 arbed with Not Barboza/Etim FOTN at -460...will make 8.765 units profit if it is FOTN. Also, arbed out of the 45.7 units that I had on Rumble at +120 with Belfort at Evens at -110 so will make 8.688 units if Belfort wins or 0.02 if Rumble wins. And after one book put the props back up I grabbed Fight to Go Distance at +310 and played fight to not go distance at -200 and -250 so also will make a further 6.985 units if it doesn't go distance or 0.43 units if it does. Also will make 4.303 units if Erick Silva wins by TKO/KO or 0.139 if not. If it goes distance I'll make 2.98 units or 0.068 units if it doesn't. Finally, will make a further 1.768 units if Aldo wins by decision or 0.129 if not. Best of luck all

Got a feeling Barboza might finish Etim so just in case I'm adding:

Parlay: 0.654 units Barboza (-290), Maia (+170), Evans (-150), & Benson Henderson (+105) to win 7.455 units.

So Barboza by decision would be perfect result for me. Need Etim to not win inside distance
And need it to be FOTN!

Total risk: 85.817 units

Return: 105.444 units

Profit: +19.627 units (+44.333 units inc' arbs)


Pending parlay:

Parlay: 0.654 units Barboza (-290), Maia (+170), Evans (-150), & Benson Henderson (+105) to win 7.455 units.

[gabe]

nice. if i had 5 dimes, i'd follow some of your plays.

[gabe]

Woulda hit Barboza KOTN if I had 5 dimes... wonder what the line for that was.

Woulda hit Barboza/Etim FOTN too, though i'm not sure if it really was. can u give it fight of the night if it was getting boos at some points? But I guess it makes sense since the only card on the fight that you can argue was better was Alcantara vs Omigawa.

*edit* lol @ "card on the fight" ^... I meant "fight on the card"... instead of just editing that error, i am commenting and laughing at it... i am drunk!!!!!!!!!!!!

[gabe]

oh and i am about to watch "Let Me In" on netflix. better be good!!!! i love you, vince vaughany.

[The HOFF]

Pending parlay:

Parlay: 0.654 units Barboza (-290), Maia (+170), Evans (-150), & Benson Henderson (+105) to win 7.455 units.

Blasphemy! How could you?

I'm actually going to go very large on Henderson against your boy Frankie. Totally thought I'd be going against you.

[NunyaBidness]

oh and i am about to watch "Let Me In" on netflix. better be good!!!! i love you, vince vaughany.

Watch the original, it's much better. 'Let the right one in'

[Vaughany]

Woulda hit Barboza KOTN if I had 5 dimes... wonder what the line for that was.

Woulda hit Barboza/Etim FOTN too, though i'm not sure if it really was. can u give it fight of the night if it was getting boos at some points? But I guess it makes sense since the only card on the fight that you can argue was better was Alcantara vs Omigawa.

*edit* lol @ "card on the fight" ^... I meant "fight on the card"... instead of just editing that error, i am commenting and laughing at it... i am drunk!!!!!!!!!!!!

I think Barboza KOTN was +800 or +900... I looked at it a couple times but thought I'd stick with just Belfort KOTN. And yeah, Barboza/Etim wasn't spectacular or anything and I agree that Alcantara Omigawa was probably better but I guess all the other fights on main card ended too quickly to get FOTN and Dana rarely hands out awards to the undercard fighters!

haha I'm that tired that I didnt even notice tht error!