on3's MLB 2012 Opening Game system thread 194-8 last year +60 units

[doin]

STL (c) is only play(s) today. Starts about 3 hrs from now. heh heh

STL C - regular
STL C - filtered
STL bet 2 - 5/2


........................................ ....................................
Good luck all.

I am oh so very sad I missed this post. However, I didn't miss LTprofit and that person is about as maniac with winners as on3 is! Keep me posted; adore winning! bol and looking forward to Jul 2.

[abv]

I think my comment came off wrong. It seemed like alexknyc mentioned the omission fairly early on in the day yet it had cultivated no discussion. Hours later the creator of the 5/2 system posts mentioning a different qualifying play that was missed by many, including myself, which I saw as a logical opportunity to bring up the STL play and set the record straight. I was genuinely unsure why it wasn't discussed and spent more time than I should have making sure I hadn't glossed over any details myself, as most of the time the main posters are completely on top of things.

Sorry if it came off as snarky, which I'll admit it is a problem I have in real life as well, but it wasn't my intent to insult. I fully appreciate the efforts of on3, thelimit, and the rest of you, and was only trying to clarify any misunderstanding that I and possibly others may have had.

Let's keep it going, guys.

[on3]

UPDATED for 07/02/2012
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 83-8-0; Profit: -7
Filtered System: 32-0-0; Profit: +30.25
5/2 chase: 11-0-0; profit: +46 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 51-44; 19-12
Game 2 (B) win = 26-14; 9-4; 7-4
Game 3 (C) win = 6-8; 4-0; 4-0
LABBY LINES FOR 07/02/2012
72-76-76-77 (will average out over 7 plays for today $43/each)
39-54-28-30
56-56-x-x

New Line Filtered
20-20-20-20 (bumped up to accommodate all of todays plays)

REGULAR FOR 07/02/2012
PIT -175 to win 43
ATL -190/+110 to win 43 -- play RL
MIL -160 to win 43
STL -195/+100 to win 43 -- play RL
ARI -152 to win 43
TOR -155 to win 43
DET -180 to win 43

Filtered
STL to win 20
ARI to win 20
TOR to win 20
DET to win 20

5/2
no plays

[on3]

a lot of plays today, but thankfully nothing seems too out of control with most teams above or near .500 all playing somewhat inferior opponents. outlier being MIL, but they have a stud on the mound today so hopefully it wont matter.

would love a sweep, but then again, i would also love charlize theron to come knocking on my door. since the chances of both things occurring are slim to none, lets just make it out with some +units.

good luck fellas.

[Mrscofield25]

a lot of plays today, but thankfully nothing seems too out of control with most teams above or near .500 all playing somewhat inferior opponents. outlier being MIL, but they have a stud on the mound today so hopefully it wont matter.

would love a sweep, but then again, i would also love charlize theron to come knocking on my door. since the chances of both things occurring are slim to none, lets just make it out with some +units.

good luck fellas.

Good luck with Charlize.

[Wallco99]

a lot of plays today, but thankfully nothing seems too out of control with most teams above or near .500 all playing somewhat inferior opponents. outlier being MIL, but they have a stud on the mound today so hopefully it wont matter.

would love a sweep, but then again, i would also love charlize theron to come knocking on my door. since the chances of both things occurring are slim to none, lets just make it out with some +units.

good luck fellas.

Wow! That honeymoon didn't last too long! Lol.

[dharma2u]

These are all "A" games, right?

[on3]

These are all "A" games, right?

yes, All (A)'s

[darkmatter117]

Keep an eye on TOR and ARI -- both have dropped to -152 at Pinnacle.

[hagball52]

Yeah a lot of plays. Can't remember the last time I saw 7 at once. The Toronto and Detroit series are opposite John Morrison plays. Hopefully they go both ways. GL

[MrMannix]

Yeah a lot of plays. Can't remember the last time I saw 7 at once. The Toronto and Detroit series are opposite John Morrison plays. Hopefully they go both ways. GL

[darkmatter117]

And there's late steam on TB. May qualify.

[Wallco99]

And there's late steam on TB. May qualify.

Opened waaaaay too low.

[jcygts6]

We gonna get raped tonite

[darkmatter117]

Opened waaaaay too low.

Sorry, I meant for 5/2. The O/U was at 9 but dropped and never came back anyway.

[darkmatter117]

Pitching change in Detroit. If you entered the wager last night, you should double-check that you selected IF ACTION.

[on3]

UPDATED for 07/03/2012
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 86-8-0; Profit: -14
Filtered System: 33-0-0; Profit: +26.25
5/2 chase: 11-0-0; profit: +46 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 54-48; 20-15
Game 2 (B) win = 26-14; 9-4; 7-4
Game 3 (C) win = 6-8; 4-0; 4-0

LABBY LINES FOR 07/03/2012
79-79-66-65
80-75-76-77
56-56-x-x

New Line Filtered
x-50-51-56

REGULAR FOR 07/03/2012
ATL -180 to win 77
ARI -150 to win 76
TOR -150 to win 75
DET -160 to win 80

Filtered
ARI to win 50
TOR to win 51
DET to win 56

5/2
ARI to win 100
TOR to win 100
DET to win 100

[Win89]

Shouldn't the 5/2 unit count be either +43(without Baltimore) or +48(with Baltimore) since the count was at +41 and +46 before the 2 units won on the Cards?

[Wallco99]

Shouldn't the 5/2 unit count be either +43(without Baltimore) or +48(with Baltimore) since the count was at +41 and +46 before the 2 units won on the Cards?

Looks like it should be +43 with the 7 (B) and 4 (C) wins he has listed.

[hagball52]

Looks like a couple of high juice (C) bets today.

[lapi7]

I think I might go with the Run Line on Detroit.
I think it's worth the risk of a two run win to lay much smaller juice.
Since the Detroit game starts almost 3 hours before the Arizona game the result might already be in (or very near the end of the game)
The Detroit results will help me decide how I might go about handling my bet on the Diamondback game.
Any thoughts?

[hagball52]

I think I might go with the Run Line on Detroit.
I think it's worth the risk of a two run win to lay much smaller juice.
Any thoughts?

I know its hard to judge which way to go, but instead of playing run lines and having to win by 2 I decided to parlay the two teams and got just a little better than even money. I know it's risky but all I have to do is win by 1 on each game. GL however you play it.

[lapi7]

I know its hard to judge which way to go, but instead of playing run lines and having to win by 2 I decided to parlay the two teams and got just a little better than even money. I know it's risky but all I have to do is win by 1 on each game. GL however you play it.

Not a bad way to go.

I might just follow suit and take you up on that idea.

[on3]

big day. play RL on regular and filtered. and per thelimit, ML on the 5/2.

UPDATED for 07/04/2012
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 88-8-0; Profit: -18.5
Filtered System: 34-0-0; Profit: +21.75
5/2 chase: 12-0-0; profit: +32.5 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 54-48; 20-15
Game 2 (B) win = 28-16; 10-6; 8-6
Game 3 (C) win = 6-8; 4-0; 4-0

LABBY LINES FOR 07/04/2012
79-79-66-65
80-40-76-40
56-56-88-74

New Line Filtered
20-115-20-116

REGULAR FOR 07/04/2012
ARI -200/+100 to win 130 -- play RL
DET -260/-125 to win 144 -- play RL

Filtered
ARI to win 115 -- play RL
DET to win 116 -- play RL

5/2
ARI to win 190
DET to win 200

[jcygts6]

May be public massacre

[lapi7]

Amazing !!!
Not a single loss on the Filtered or 5/2 game series until I jump in and start to play !!!
If I continue to play I guarantee that this system will fall to shit !!!
It works like that for me EVERY TIME !!!
Where's Ripley?

[oklahoma]

First filtered lost and at the hands of the Padres What the hell is going on this season?

[delevid]

does this system actually work? im a noob to all this

[J.M. Disciple]

Labby makes almost any system work, dont go jumping off a bridge it was just a couple units. Onto tomorrow!

[lapi7]

Labby makes almost any system work, dont go jumping off a bridge it was just a couple units. Onto tomorrow!

I have no problem with "it was just a couple units."
It's simply very disheartening when it ALWAYS happens when I first jump in.
Certainly you can understand that...no?
And the Labby (theoretically) is unbeatable...just keep adding lines and dividing your numbers. It's a great money management method however I've seen Labbys grow to 10 lines with HUGE numbers both at the start and the end of the lines.
You could keep dividing and manipulating your lines over and over again...but some time I've seen the Labby get completely out of hand.
Just a thought.

[Axis]

I have no problem with "it was just a couple units."
It's simply very disheartening when it ALWAYS happens when I first jump in.
Certainly you can understand that...no?
And the Labby (theoretically) is unbeatable...just keep adding lines and dividing your numbers. It's a great money management method however I've seen Labbys grow to 10 lines with HUGE numbers both at the start and the end of the lines.
You could keep dividing and manipulating your lines over and over again...but some time I've seen the Labby get completely out of hand.
Just a thought.

That's why you should never just "jump into something"...especially a chase system.

[bigvern]

If I continue to play I guarantee that this system will fall to shit !!!
It works like that for me EVERY TIME !!![/QUOTE]

Lapi7 - that's just paranoia - EVERYONE feels that at some time, it's not 'you', trust me.
The Diamondbacks were going to screw it up whether you placed a bet or not.

[lennytia]

Thankfully took the run line on Arizona, doing the B/C chase.
minor irritation, nothing more

[lapi7]

That's why you should never just "jump into something"...especially a chase system.

No Axis...I "jumped in" at the start of this series.
I don't think you're saying that I should never start play at all...no?

[lapi7]

If I continue to play I guarantee that this system will fall to shit !!!
It works like that for me EVERY TIME !!!

Lapi7 - that's just paranoia - EVERYONE feels that at some time, it's not 'you', trust me.
The Diamondbacks were going to screw it up whether you placed a bet or not.[/QUOTE]

I'm sure you're right bigvern...but it still stings.
And sometimes I think we are ALL a bit paranoid and just need to "rant" a bit...