on3's MLB 2012 Opening Game system thread 194-8 last year +60 units

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  • jturn49
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-28-11
    • 114

    #1576
    What a night for everyone that hung with it. Just what the doctor ordered. Congratulations
    Comment
    • Gndias
      SBR MVP
      • 11-23-11
      • 1607

      #1577
      Comment
      • Bostongambler
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 02-01-08
        • 35581

        #1578
        Congrats
        Comment
        • Bradfordmiller
          SBR Hustler
          • 05-11-11
          • 57

          #1579
          Great night, hope everyone kept the faith and got rewarded. Actually looking forward to the next series of games.
          Also won on "Crusher, System Int and went 1-1 with Hagball's JM System. Will celebrate with a (gallon) beer tonight.
          Thanks for all your contining work on3.
          Comment
          • Apathy31
            SBR Rookie
            • 02-20-12
            • 43

            #1580
            I have a question about the 5 run system and I know this is not the place to ask it so I apologize in advance.

            Is that just a straight chase or are you just suppose to manage it how you want to?

            Sorry again I just do not know where to ask this question.
            Comment
            • Nino7
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 07-11-09
              • 798

              #1581
              straight chase.there is a chat where u can ask questions at the bottom of the spreadsheet
              Last edited by Nino7; 05-12-12, 08:36 AM.
              Comment
              • oklahoma
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 11-22-10
                • 602

                #1582
                A long overdue sweep.
                Comment
                • KennyM10
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 02-14-10
                  • 788

                  #1583
                  Wow this thread started at 20 a play. Now to try to hide the losses the lines start at 80? And where is that numbnuts rizzo now reminding everyone he created this mess.
                  Congrats for washing out several bankrolls for the year.
                  Comment
                  • stevex
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 05-02-10
                    • 5122

                    #1584
                    Washing out several bankrolls?

                    If your losing your bankroll by early May using a system then there is something very very wrong with the numbers you're betting. This racket isn't rocket science, but you still have to apply some basic math in order to stay in the game and show a profit at the end of the season.

                    Like I said before we got the nice sweep on Friday. Stay in the game, don't over bet or think that you're "due" so you bet more after a couple of series loses. This isn't a sprint, but rather a long walk fellas. Lets get that money!
                    Comment
                    • darkmatter117
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 04-10-12
                      • 104

                      #1585
                      Looks like we have at least two filtered plays starting tomorrow. I think our game one schedule missed May 14.
                      Comment
                      • ifiwaspresident
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 02-22-12
                        • 119

                        #1586
                        Delete delete delete. That popping sound you heard was me pulling my head out of my ass. Went ahead and consulted the schedule like most people who don't go off half-cocked. It looks like all of the series that are beginning tomorrow are 2-game sets so they aren't candidates.

                        There is a rumor going around that if you apply the parameters and filters as plainly explained by On3 in the beginning of this thread, you can actually figure crap out for yourself. It seemed a silly notion when I first heard it, but I'm starting to wonder if there might be something to it. I ain't saying'...I'm just saying'.
                        Last edited by ifiwaspresident; 05-13-12, 07:55 PM.
                        Comment
                        • therizz
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 04-03-11
                          • 35

                          #1587
                          Originally posted by KennyM10
                          Wow this thread started at 20 a play. Now to try to hide the losses the lines start at 80? And where is that numbnuts rizzo now reminding everyone he created this mess.
                          Congrats for washing out several bankrolls for the year.
                          KennyM,

                          You are my new favorite poster. You're contributions to this thread have been invaluable. As you have so kindly pointed out, we have not been doing too well this year. When you keep having to tack numbers on to your labby lines for losses you have to make bigger plays to recoup the money you lost. When you backtest things they sometimes look good and you try them out. Won over 200U the last two seasons. This year this thing may turn around and be profitable or maybe it will keep tanking. I don't know. It seems you are pretty convinced this is a terrible system, so you should be coming in here to thank us as you have a great system to fade which will give you a lot of dogs as plays.
                          thanks again,
                          rizz/rizzo/numbnuts
                          Comment
                          • on3
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-23-10
                            • 2197

                            #1588
                            i split the filtered units and put them in their own section, so see the adjustments below. and congrats on the good friday. as always, lets keep it rollin. there is a weird scheduling quirk where there 2-game series starting tomorrow, and per the rules, 2-game series' dont qualify.

                            System record 41-4-0; 10-0-0; 1-0-0
                            Units -19; +10; +5
                            1 unit = $20

                            5/14

                            no plays today -- every qualifying play is a 2-game series and therefore no play

                            Game 1 win = 25-21; 7-2
                            Game 2 win = 15-6; 3-0; 1-0
                            Game 3 win = 2-3; 0-0

                            Labby Line (regular)


                            50-x-x-50
                            40-65-67-63
                            85-152-126-134

                            Labby Line (filter)

                            x-10-10-x
                            Comment
                            • Sportsnut1968
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 09-23-10
                              • 107

                              #1589
                              It came thru
                              Comment
                              • WVU9494
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 11-14-11
                                • 333

                                #1590
                                What does that mean that you split the filtered units? Just curious
                                Comment
                                • WVU9494
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 11-14-11
                                  • 333

                                  #1591
                                  Keep my name out of your threads sir.....you have proven over and over you are not intellectually sound




                                  Originally posted by SlickRick1382
                                  So you mean to tell me that because you, we, whoever follows "a system" that it's no longer gambling? A system is still infallible? It's called GAMBLING for a reason. With or without a system there are aspects of it which you can't control. Therefore my statement remains. If you can't handle the losses then don't gamble, simple. It's not about being tough. People are here crying as if there is 0 expectancy for losses or that it's improbable that the system can go bad.

                                  Secondly, my comments aren't directed at anything constructive. If people are telling others that are blindly following as you put it to reduce their unit bets, that's fine, I have nothing against that. My comments are directed to those who are here simply trolling and running their mouth (Kenny, WVU9494, to name a few). No idea why you felt the need to comment, since I didn't direct it at any one specific person, especially you.

                                  You can check my post history. I don't troll threads, I don't go on people's threads hoping for them and others to lose. I don't wish ill will on anyone so your comments are directed at the wrong person. I'm all about winning as a group and anything constructive. I just don't find 5 pages of bitching and moaning, blaming ON3, and people saying they blew their entire bankroll when the system is only down 22 units to be constructive at all.
                                  Comment
                                  • SlickRick1382
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-15-11
                                    • 3838

                                    #1592
                                    Originally posted by WVU9494
                                    Keep my name out of your threads sir.....you have proven over and over you are not intellectually sound

                                    I'm not intellectually sound? LOL ....

                                    Guess we can't all have a PhD like you. You're all proper now but we'll see you soon when people go on a losing streak and you start crying once again ...

                                    P.S.

                                    I'll speak your name as I see fit just like you have no problem defaming the reputation of reputable handicappers with your slanderous posts.
                                    Last edited by SlickRick1382; 05-15-12, 11:55 PM.
                                    Comment
                                    • eric14tsui
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 10-19-10
                                      • 187

                                      #1593
                                      Wish TEX and DET were 3game series......too bad.
                                      Comment
                                      • The HOFF
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-02-08
                                        • 4847

                                        #1594
                                        MAY 18
                                        Yankees vs Reds
                                        Rays vs Braves
                                        Blue Jays vs Mets
                                        Indians vs Marlins
                                        Tigers vs Pirates
                                        Royals vs D-Backs
                                        Phillies vs Red Sox
                                        Nationals vs Orioles
                                        Cubs vs White Sox
                                        Astros vs Rangers
                                        Brewers vs Twins
                                        Rockies vs Mariners
                                        Dodgers vs Cardinals
                                        Padres vs Angels
                                        Giants vs Athletics
                                        Comment
                                        • WVU9494
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 11-14-11
                                          • 333

                                          #1595
                                          [Show me a slanderous post sir



                                          QUOTE=SlickRick1382;14767404]I'm not intellectually sound? LOL ....

                                          Guess we can't all have a PhD like you. You're all proper now but we'll see you soon when people go on a losing streak and you start crying once again ...

                                          P.S.

                                          I'll speak your name as I see fit just like you have no problem defaming the reputation of reputable handicappers with your slanderous posts.[/QUOTE]
                                          Comment
                                          • Sportsnut1968
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 09-23-10
                                            • 107

                                            #1596
                                            let's see what happens
                                            Comment
                                            • GGPLAYER
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-26-09
                                              • 2981

                                              #1597
                                              Originally posted by eric14tsui
                                              Wish TEX and DET were 3game series......too bad.
                                              I've been chasing Tex all week. Good time to get on them since they are like a D bet in another system.
                                              Comment
                                              • J.M. Disciple
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 11-16-10
                                                • 5154

                                                #1598
                                                Originally posted by GGPLAYER
                                                I've been chasing Tex all week. Good time to get on them since they are like a D bet in another system.
                                                what system is that? A's usually suck, but I have to give them some credit this year; way better then expected, but im on texas well. Texas should be money all season if you manage it right.
                                                Comment
                                                • J.M. Disciple
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 11-16-10
                                                  • 5154

                                                  #1599
                                                  ON3

                                                  Have been looking for some road favorites at -145 and higher with o/u 9 and I have not seen any since you posted it. Not much of a system there it seems... Maybe lower the o/u to 7 and you could have some series.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • on3
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-23-10
                                                    • 2197

                                                    #1600
                                                    Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
                                                    ON3

                                                    Have been looking for some road favorites at -145 and higher with o/u 9 and I have not seen any since you posted it. Not much of a system there it seems... Maybe lower the o/u to 7 and you could have some series.
                                                    nothing wrong with being selective my man. if you give me 10 plays a year and they go 10-0, thats all i need.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • thelimit0310
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-24-11
                                                      • 1233

                                                      #1601
                                                      Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
                                                      ON3

                                                      Have been looking for some road favorites at -145 and higher with o/u 9 and I have not seen any since you posted it. Not much of a system there it seems... Maybe lower the o/u to 7 and you could have some series.
                                                      A few weeks is not a very large sample size...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • eric14tsui
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 10-19-10
                                                        • 187

                                                        #1602
                                                        I wish there will be more series, but I agree perfect record or high % wins are all we need.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • on3
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-23-10
                                                          • 2197

                                                          #1603
                                                          System record 41-4-0; 10-0-0; 1-0-0
                                                          Units -19; +10; +5
                                                          1 unit = $20

                                                          5/18

                                                          #46 -- ny mets @ TOR -160 (A) -- o/u 7.5
                                                          #47 -- pittsburgh @ DET -230/-115 (A) -- o/u 7 -- play RL
                                                          *maybe colorado and milwaukee as well, watch for the update

                                                          Game 1 win = 25-21; 7-3
                                                          Game 2 win = 15-6; 3-0; 1-0
                                                          Game 3 win = 2-4; 0-0

                                                          Labby Line (regular)


                                                          50-x-x-50
                                                          40-65-67-63
                                                          85-152-126-134

                                                          Labby Line (filter)

                                                          x-10-10-x

                                                          TOR to win 50
                                                          DET to win 50
                                                          Last edited by on3; 05-18-12, 10:57 AM.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • J.M. Disciple
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 11-16-10
                                                            • 5154

                                                            #1604
                                                            The dreaded detroit....Been extremely high favorite and been sucking balls as usual. Under .500
                                                            Comment
                                                            • airattackers
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 02-24-12
                                                              • 130

                                                              #1605
                                                              im a little bit scared of that detroit..they are under .500
                                                              Comment
                                                              • hagball52
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-22-10
                                                                • 3053

                                                                #1606
                                                                Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
                                                                The dreaded detroit....Been extremely high favorite and been sucking balls as usual. Under .500
                                                                Handicap the series and you won't feel too bad. They have better pitching 2 out of 3 games, they are better in runs scored, team batting avg., on base percentage and slugging percentage. Det is in the upper half of those stats and PIT ranks dead last in 2 and 2nd to last in the other 2. Detroit's streak is lost 2 and they are at home. It's time for their bats to show what they can do. Hope this eases your pain. GL
                                                                Comment
                                                                • thelimit0310
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-24-11
                                                                  • 1233

                                                                  #1607
                                                                  Keep an eye out on Colorado they could very well be a play by game start which would also make them a 4/2 qualified A bet
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Mr. Green
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 02-01-11
                                                                    • 251

                                                                    #1608
                                                                    Are the Yankees and Phillies plays?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Win89
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 11-06-11
                                                                      • 157

                                                                      #1609
                                                                      I thought plays were based on opening lines not midday or closing. Colorado opened below -145 so if they're a play then Yankees and Phillies should be as well. What's the actual method were going by for picking series because it seems like opening lines have gone out the window?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • knugen
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-09-09
                                                                        • 2612

                                                                        #1610
                                                                        Yes, both yankees and phillies should be plays?
                                                                        Comment
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