Weather effects on MLB Totals

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  • MoneyLineDawg
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-01-09
    • 13253

    #1
    Weather effects on MLB Totals
    What's up guys.....I'm not too much of an over/ under bettor but I play them here and there, but I was wondering what you guys look for in the weather when doing your research......Also, how much does weather really effect games on a normal basis? Any tips or things to look for?

    Thanks.
  • golfrulz
    SBR MVP
    • 02-02-10
    • 2425

    #2
    wind speed and direction.
    Comment
    • HoulihansTX
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 02-12-09
      • 30566

      #3
      Cold, and humid air = lower scoring.
      Comment
      • MoneyLineDawg
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-01-09
        • 13253

        #4
        Originally posted by golfrulz
        wind speed and direction.
        Out to Center, right, or left.....which is the best in general? I guess it depends on the hitters/ ballpark? Is wind to dead center the least effective of the 3?

        How about when it says wind left to right, but wind is like 20+ mph?
        Comment
        • MoneyLineDawg
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-01-09
          • 13253

          #5
          Originally posted by HoulihansTX
          Cold, and humid air = lower scoring.
          Best case for higher scoring= Hot day and low humidity?
          Comment
          • HoulihansTX
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 02-12-09
            • 30566

            #6
            Originally posted by MoneyLineDawg
            Best case for higher scoring= Hot day and low humidity?
            Dry heat, and bad bullpens.
            Comment
            • MoneyLineDawg
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-01-09
              • 13253

              #7
              Originally posted by HoulihansTX
              Dry heat, and bad bullpens.
              Yeah, can't ever overlook teams with horrible bullpens.....especially when some of the relievers aren't available
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              • HoulihansTX
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 02-12-09
                • 30566

                #8
                Bet umpires also.

                See if you can find situations when everything lines up, and then fire away.
                Comment
                • clairvoyance
                  Restricted User
                  • 06-06-11
                  • 115

                  #9
                  completely disregard it because the books have the same weather reports and factor it into the line
                  Comment
                  • MoneyLineDawg
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-01-09
                    • 13253

                    #10
                    Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                    Bet umpires also.

                    See if you can find situations when everything lines up, and then fire away.
                    Didn't think of that.....Where can you find info on umpires?

                    Also, how much of a effect do umps and weather really have on the outcome in general?
                    Comment
                    • HoulihansTX
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 02-12-09
                      • 30566

                      #11
                      Covers.com

                      Go to the matchup page for a specific game, and the umpire should be listed.
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                      • awesomeness
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 07-19-10
                        • 170

                        #12
                        ca only agree to u guys!
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                        • BWest
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 05-05-10
                          • 940

                          #13
                          Professor Robert Adair has done research on weather and baseball. His results are interesting and he was the official baseball physics guy for ahwhile. Wind has the greatest effect, with cold and dry=low scoring and hot and humid=higher scoring. Oddsmakers are on top on the wind factor but pay little attention to cooler/hotter. Pitchers complain of decreased sensation in the throwing hand on cold days which in turn makes throwing change-ups more difficult. Cold may give a pitcher who relies on fastballs an edge over a junkerballer like Wakefield. I personally only use "cold" as a betting variable with cold contributing to lower scoring w/other low scoring variables obviously.
                          Comment
                          • BigDan
                            Restricted User
                            • 04-28-11
                            • 5104

                            #14
                            Originally posted by MoneyLineDawg
                            Out to Center, right, or left.....which is the best in general? I guess it depends on the hitters/ ballpark? Is wind to dead center the least effective of the 3?

                            How about when it says wind left to right, but wind is like 20+ mph?

                            You really have to get to know the stadium. This is helpful, Ballpark Layouts.

                            Rangers ballpark is extra strange, when the wind is coming in (from south) the ball actually travels better because the way the stadium is set up. The flags will be blowing in but it creates a jet stream out.
                            Comment
                            • Pippertime
                              Restricted User
                              • 05-28-11
                              • 56

                              #15
                              the weather can have different effects on different ballparks as well. just because the wind in that city is blowing 20 mph one way. doesn't mean it is doing that inside of the ballpark. and under-rated thing I look at is that lack of humidity and its effect on pitchers that really on alot more off-speed stuff. same thing goes for colorado and the thin air. you won't get as much break in those conditions.
                              Comment
                              • DemoralizdDreamr
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-04-11
                                • 4319

                                #16
                                Unders in san diego!!
                                Comment
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