John morrison 2010 mlb system

[stevex]

Yeh Pollito is right, it's a .013 RPI difference. I think I'm going to say screw it to that Dodger - Cardinal series because say the Dodgers do win the first game, then the RPI difference will probably jump above .015 and then be unofficial. My play is going to be on Atlanta with a .048 better RPI difference. This way if Atlanta happens to lose, they would never fall below that .025 difference so it will be an official Version 3.

stevex

[calinalex2008]

when and which is the next official game from jm system?

[pollito]

They are posted in page 55

[gtboy]

You should check your numbers again, it's .013

i am trying to follow this system a little but i am a little confuse about something i hope u can clarify. I thought that the larger the rpi difference is better with a min of 0.015. meaning something like ATL and MIL the difference in rpi is 0.046 which is better if one is betting on ATL. but from i what i am reading now ur saying the rpi needs to be smaller than 0.015. can u please clarify. to me the larger the difference in the rpi is better for the team with the larger value correct or wrong?

thanks

[zert]

Does anybody do any good with this john morrison stuff?

[mminkovski]

Does anybody do any good with this john morrison stuff?

Actually NO! I hoped MLB system would profit but we are deep in the negative so far

[harry]

John Morrison's Sports Betting Champ Official System Pick(s)

7/15 St Louis Cardinals [A]
LA Dodgers


Note: We also have 2 unofficial betting series starting with the [A] bets on Milwaukee Brewers and Seattle Mariners if you wish to wager on the unofficial bets. These series are unofficial due to the high RPI difference.

[Cyril]

The RPI of STL is .498 , and the RPI of LAD is .511
So the RPI of STL, the team we are betting on, is about .013 lower than their opponents RPI. So now if they lose A or both A and B game, then the difference would probably get much bigger and we'll have the same case as PIT.

[Cyril]

If you decide to play it, then be careful and don't bet much. Just my advice.

[Zed03]

is this ML or ML +1.5?

[knugen]

Anyone gonna play the unofficial plays?

[stevex]

Here is the situation with tonight. IF the Cardinals do lose tonight which is a possibility, then that RPI difference will probably jump above .015 so IF you're going to play on the Cardinals make a very small play on them tonight (Juice isn't ridiculous on them so it's not a big deal) and if they win you make something, but if they lose you're not out a lot and you just stop at that A bet loss. My advice to you guys is to play on Atlanta tonight, yeh the juice is high (-170) or whatever, but if Atlanta does lose there RPI is going to stay well above the .025 difference you need for it to be an official Version 3 play so there is no confusion. Best of luck!

stevex

[stevex]

There is pretty much the same scenario with the Angels and Mariners tonight. The Angels swept Seattle the previous series and the RPI difference is at .030. Now if Seattle does win the first game tonight, we will have to see if the RPI difference before the next game drops below that .025 or it's right near it because we don't want to get stuck with the same situation as the Pitt - Houston series.

stevex

[ericc]

There is pretty much the same scenario with the Angels and Mariners tonight. The Angels swept Seattle the previous series and the RPI difference is at .030. Now if Seattle does win the first game tonight, we will have to see if the RPI difference before the next game drops below that .025 or it's right near it because we don't want to get stuck with the same situation as the Pitt - Houston series. stevex

and don't forget that the Mariners no longer have Cliff Lee.

[rickbo528]

Here is the situation with tonight. IF the Cardinals do lose tonight which is a possibility, then that RPI difference will probably jump above .015 so IF you're going to play on the Cardinals make a very small play on them tonight (Juice isn't ridiculous on them so it's not a big deal) and if they win you make something, but if they lose you're not out a lot and you just stop at that A bet loss. My advice to you guys is to play on Atlanta tonight, yeh the juice is high (-170) or whatever, but if Atlanta does lose there RPI is going to stay well above the .025 difference you need for it to be an official Version 3 play so there is no confusion. Best of luck!

stevex

That was my strategy also. Gonna play the Cards small tonight and if they lose thats it. Won't chase any further. Cards needed the all star break. Hopefully Cards will start hitting now. But they are worth a shot tonight. Maybe the Dodgers just own St. Louis. Gonna play the reverse by taking Atlanta and LAA tonight.

[Soxxman]

A little help please.....what is the meaning of this term "the juice"? Just started betting last Thursday and won 9 of my first 10 games (very low wagers to start as I'm learning). BTW, I am so glad i didn't shell out a dime for JM's system...does anyone have this year's MLB wins he purports? Quiite a shady character at best. Thanks.

[harry]

A little help please.....what is the meaning of this term "the juice"? Just started betting last Thursday and won 9 of my first 10 games (very low wagers to start as I'm learning). BTW, I am so glad i didn't shell out a dime for JM's system...does anyone have this year's MLB wins he purports? Quiite a shady character at best. Thanks.

Juice is money... high juice or a lot of juice = a lot of money!

[pollito]

i am trying to follow this system a little but i am a little confuse about something i hope u can clarify. I thought that the larger the rpi difference is better with a min of 0.015. meaning something like ATL and MIL the difference in rpi is 0.046 which is better if one is betting on ATL. but from i what i am reading now ur saying the rpi needs to be smaller than 0.015. can u please clarify. to me the larger the difference in the rpi is better for the team with the larger value correct or wrong?

thanks

The RPI of the team you are betting on can not be 0.15 lower than their opponents, it can be higher, of course, but never les than that range.

[Peregrine Stoop]

more and more qualifications so that we can pretend morrison has a clue

[JW Cash]

There is pretty much the same scenario with the Angels and Mariners tonight. The Angels swept Seattle the previous series and the RPI difference is at .030. Now if Seattle does win the first game tonight, we will have to see if the RPI difference before the next game drops below that .025 or it's right near it because we don't want to get stuck with the same situation as the Pitt - Houston series.

stevex

Morrison is an utter liar...His NBA and MLB systems are systems he stole
from guys on another forum..

we all know if Pitt won that C Bet with Houston...he would have said NOTHING
about the RPI difference between the 2 teams.....

Who is going to check RPI on these systems bets after every game...

Say after Game 1...the RPI is not within range for Game 2....so you dont
play and you lose 1 Unit

Say after a Game 1 loss and a Game 2 loss...the RPI is not within range for
Game 3......so he says DONT PLAY IT...and you have lost 3 or 4 units there..

How does all that factor in how much profit is won or loss...

The RPI was only supposed to matter at the beginning of a system play....he
only brought up this latest bullshit cause he had lost 2 system plays already
and he had to find ANY excuse to get out of it...

Morrison is scum....

[pollito]

Morrison is an utter liar...His NBA and MLB systems are systems he stole
from guys on another forum..

we all know if Pitt won that C Bet with Houston...he would have said NOTHING
about the RPI difference between the 2 teams.....

Who is going to check RPI on these systems bets after every game...

Say after Game 1...the RPI is not within range for Game 2....so you dont
play and you lose 1 Unit

Say after a Game 1 loss and a Game 2 loss...the RPI is not within range for
Game 3......so he says DONT PLAY IT...and you have lost 3 or 4 units there..

How does all that factor in how much profit is won or loss...

The RPI was only supposed to matter at the beginning of a system play....he
only brought up this latest bullshit cause he had lost 2 system plays already
and he had to find ANY excuse to get out of it...

Morrison is scum....

And don't forget he sent out an E-mail before each one of the plays (A, B and C) confirming that the plays were OK to go.
Anyway, you're right, JM in not more than a F...g liar.

[stevex]

Well luckily we have this thread so that we can all discuss and let others know what EXACTLY to do.

stevex

[DustyDiamond]

Good luck for those that are playing the play

[Kev the Brit]

soxxman:

A little help please.....what is the meaning of this term "the juice"?

It is often misused by people to describe the odds: high juice referring to, say, -300, etc. However, strictly speaking "juice" is another word for "vigorish" (shortened to "vig" in casual conversation) which describes the theoretical commission the bookmaker will make if similar numbers of bettors bet against each other on a single outcome. A simple example would be to bet on a coin toss, which is 50/50. A bookmaker who doesn't want to take any money would offer odds of 100 on both heads and tails and if the same number of people bet against each other he would hand over the cash from group of bettors and give it to the other, with no commission. In reality a bookmaker will always set a level of commission. So, back to the coin toss: a typical bookie will offer -105 on both heads and tails, so if similar numbers of bettors bet on heads and tails, he will make 10% profit just for handling the cash. Thats reasonable juice. Now, if he offered -120 on both heads and tails, that is high/excessive juice and he will not get many takers if there are others offering lower juice.

In essence, juice is the difference between the + and - side of the bet, where the bookie makes his money. If in doubt, google "betting terminology"

Regards
Kev

[Kev the Brit]

I'll be very interested in JM's e-mail tomorrow if the Cards lose tonight:

"Hi Kev, the RPI is now outside the .015 boundary, so we do not play a B Bet. The system therefore loses .2 of a unit." I just don't see him writing that 2nd sentence (or words to that effect)

Then, when the Cards win the 2nd game of the series and they return to within the boundary will he then suggest a B Bet to win 1.2 units, knowing that there is a 4th game to play a C Bet?

But, then, what if the new B bet loses and the Cards go out of the boundary again and now we are at a cumulative loss of maybe 4 units? What will he write then?

Its all a load of bollocks.

My advice to all is to avoid any A bet with an RPI difference greater than .010. That way the RPI will not exceed JM's .015 boundary during the series, even after a failed A and B Bet.

Hopefully, those of us who have already bet tonight will get lucky with the A Bet. The trend over the last 10 games played by both teams is for the RPI differential to increase.....not good news, I'm afraid...

GL
Regards
Kev

[pollito]

Bet on St. Louis tonight, if they lose, just quit the series and move on...Don't wait for JMasshole to
e-mail any kind of explanation other than his usual B bet or C bet mails.

[jphil]

I'll be very interested in JM's e-mail tomorrow if the Cards lose tonight:

"Hi Kev, the RPI is now outside the .015 boundary, so we do not play a B Bet. The system therefore loses .2 of a unit." I just don't see him writing that 2nd sentence (or words to that effect)

Then, when the Cards win the 2nd game of the series and they return to within the boundary will he then suggest a B Bet to win 1.2 units, knowing that there is a 4th game to play a C Bet?

But, then, what if the new B bet loses and the Cards go out of the boundary again and now we are at a cumulative loss of maybe 4 units? What will he write then?

Its all a load of bollocks.

My advice to all is to avoid any A bet with an RPI difference greater than .010. That way the RPI will not exceed JM's .015 boundary during the series, even after a failed A and B Bet.

Hopefully, those of us who have already bet tonight will get lucky with the A Bet. The trend over the last 10 games played by both teams is for the RPI differential to increase.....not good news, I'm afraid...

GL
Regards
Kev

yeh, i didn't touch any game tonight. cards were over the .010.(if playin the old jm way) & the other 2 unofficial also. Then there's the question of how to handle a 4 gm. series, when one ( like myself) wants to possibly minimize losses by just playin 2 of the 4 gms., whether v1 or v3. Guess it would depend on the circumstances.


JM original v1:

What you want to do is:
1. Pass on any series where the team you’re supposed to wager on has an RPI value that's more than .01 lower than our opponent's.
2. Pass on any series where the team you’re supposed to wager on is playing against a team who’s within the top 3 highest ranked RPI teams.


- He never mentioned stoppin a series dead in it's tracks in that system, if the rpi happened to change for the worse(maybe had no reason to). Unless that's what he means by "Pass on any series".

Wonder where we'd be at results wise so far, if that .010 filter was still in effect?

As you've mentioned before, probably better to wait for those swept teams who've proven to be in better form by having an rpi of .02 or better(than the team that previously swept them) at the start of the their next series. So many ways to be more conservative, right?

As i speak, Cards won & Atl.won (no v3). Onward to tomorrow's picks.

[JW Cash]

I took SL cause it fit one of my other systems...

..winner winner, chicken dinner....

[knugen]

Easy win tonight 

[stevex]

Good stuff tonight guys. Cards won an official A bet (I played that one small) and my Angels Reverse Version 3 bet is about to cash in also so hopefully this second half of the season isn't as......I guess I would say annoying as the first half. After this Angels game is over I will update you guys with what we can play on tomorrow

stevex

[stevex]

Ok there isn't going to be an official plays tomorrow, BUT if you want to which I am going to start doing in the second half of the season is just bet on what I'm going to call a Reverse Version 3 bet. It's not really reverse, but you guys get what I'm saying . Anyway here are the plays:

1. Toronto swept Baltimore last series and have a .042 higher RPI so you can do a 3 game chase on Toronto. If they lose tomorrow it becomes an official Version 3 play on Saturday. Line opened up for Toronto at -160 so I do suggest if you're going to take Toronto tomorrow you get that in EARLY.

2. San Diego swept the Diamonbacks last series they played and have a .041 higher RPI so again you can play San Diego tomorrow to. In fact if you look at the opening lines (Dan Haren is really getting some crazy respect here) the Padres opened up at only -114 so if you are going to play them tomorrow I VERRRY highly suggest you get this in as soon as your book has it because you know by tomorrow this line is going to skyrocket.

That's all for tomorrow. Again if you want you can just play the unofficial plays on Baltimore and Arizona, but don't take my word for it ha. Best of luck everyone!

stevex

[killer59]

Easy win... I played the 2 unofficial bets against JM, and they went to the house also

[jphil]

Ok there isn't going to be an official plays tomorrow, BUT if you want to which I am going to start doing in the second half of the season is just bet on what I'm going to call a Reverse Version 3 bet. It's not really reverse, but you guys get what I'm saying . Anyway here are the plays:

1. Toronto swept Baltimore last series and have a .042 higher RPI so you can do a 3 game chase on Toronto. If they lose tomorrow it becomes an official Version 3 play on Saturday. Line opened up for Toronto at -160 so I do suggest if you're going to take Toronto tomorrow you get that in EARLY.

2. San Diego swept the Diamonbacks last series they played and have a .041 higher RPI so again you can play San Diego tomorrow to. In fact if you look at the opening lines (Dan Haren is really getting some crazy respect here) the Padres opened up at only -114 so if you are going to play them tomorrow I VERRRY highly suggest you get this in as soon as your book has it because you know by tomorrow this line is going to skyrocket.

That's all for tomorrow. Again if you want you can just play the unofficial plays on Baltimore and Arizona, but don't take my word for it ha. Best of luck everyone!

stevex

BUMP!!!!!

[Soxxman]

soxxman:It is often misused by people to describe the odds: high juice referring to, say, -300, etc. However, strictly speaking "juice" is another word for "vigorish" (shortened to "vig" in casual conversation) which describes the theoretical commission the bookmaker will make if similar numbers of bettors bet against each other on a single outcome. A simple example would be to bet on a coin toss, which is 50/50. A bookmaker who doesn't want to take any money would offer odds of 100 on both heads and tails and if the same number of people bet against each other he would hand over the cash from group of bettors and give it to the other, with no commission. In reality a bookmaker will always set a level of commission. So, back to the coin toss: a typical bookie will offer -105 on both heads and tails, so if similar numbers of bettors bet on heads and tails, he will make 10% profit just for handling the cash. Thats reasonable juice. Now, if he offered -120 on both heads and tails, that is high/excessive juice and he will not get many takers if there are others offering lower juice.

In essence, juice is the difference between the + and - side of the bet, where the bookie makes his money. If in doubt, google "betting terminology"

Regards
Kev

Thanks Kev, that puts things in proper perspective for me.

[chips1031]

thanks guys