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Nothing is guaranteed... apparently TEX was a lock last night!
The only lock last night was that Lebron James was going to Miami!
I would not load up on any JM bet... if you load up on systems like these your asking for trouble. If you win then great, if not your either chasing a huge loss from the A bet on subsequent bets which aren't as good, or you chicken out. Bad road to go down! Just cus people have lost, don't panic and start betting stupidComment -
How did he come up with Pittsburgh as a series play on the road? Did he want to lose?Comment -
It's all to do with the RPI nothing to do with standard as such. The fact is both HOU and PIT's are pretty crap, bu they are close in RPI. Was a bit of a suicide play anyway, just played yesterday cus I thought that was their best chance in this series. Turns out they didn't have a chance!Comment -
This thread looks very interesting.Comment -
Thank you and good luck.Comment -
so some of us lost w/ the recent tor. series(v3), & now this 2nd C loss(which i quit after the A bet).
in regards to the san f.(1st C) loss in mid may, could someone refresh my memory as to what the rpi might have been for each team(sd & sf)? I Was interested in who had the highest rpi, & the gap between the 2 tms. at the time.Comment -
I lost quite a lot of money on the C bet yesterday? Any info of next upcomming official play? Need to win my money back.
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It's all about statistics, just as Pittsburgh was in an extremely bad spot yesterday, St. Louis is in an extremely good situation today and for the whole series, statisticly they have almost 100% of probabilities that they will pull away at least one win in the series, that is also the case for Texas and NY Mets for the weekend, especially for Texas...Guess how many times in history the team with the best home record, hosting the team with the worst road record has lost a series? when the chances are that high the it doesn't matter If you have to pay over -200 odds for the whole series, because a win is as close as possible to be guaranteed.Comment -
It's all about statistics, just as Pittsburgh was in an extremely bad spot yesterday, St. Louis is in an extremely good situation today and for the whole series, statisticly they have almost 100% of probabilities that they will pull away at least one win in the series, that is also the case for Texas and NY Mets for the weekend, especially for Texas...Guess how many times in history the team with the best home record, hosting the team with the worst road record has lost a series? when the chances are that high the it doesn't matter If you have to pay over -200 odds for the whole series, because a win is as close as possible to be guaranteed.Comment -
So... Which line do we take then today? RL or MoneyLine? STL vs HOU?Comment -
Liar
Do not even think on buying into this system. The odds are stacked against you in the end. He claims to only a few losses over the years but this only on the systems that are cheap. You get conned into buying more systems that are "better", which are not. He does not report the poor returns on this "better" systems. I just lost $2200 on the MLB to win $100. This is the second loss this year of similar odds. With a small number of bets it would take years to get this money back "IF" they won as he states. DO NOT EVEN THINK ON BUYING INTO THIS LYING THIEF!!!
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and statistically there are upsets(esp. w/ jm sys.,one way or the other). winning one in the series is fine w/ me, not this "they will win on the A Bet" so "pound St. Louis big" certainty. sounds like jm.
some people might take that quite literally if they didn't know any better.
and yes, i tend to agree esp. w/ texas(even though they lost the 1st game/to me it's a plus). the mutts on the other hand, are another story (wouldn't touch 'em if they were ahead the 1st 3 gms. of the world series.)
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jphil: Are you betting on today game or not? Anyone got an e-mail from JM? If yes, would you please post the link he sends?
ThanksComment -
When you do chase systems thats how you lose money, he may go 30-1 but with the huge odds and juice 1 loss can equal atleast 20 wins so you are barely up... Thats why betting strategies like this are for short term because eventually you will hit that "rare occurence" and you lose big!Do not even think on buying into this system. The odds are stacked against you in the end. He claims to only a few losses over the years but this only on the systems that are cheap. You get conned into buying more systems that are "better", which are not. He does not report the poor returns on this "better" systems. I just lost $2200 on the MLB to win $100. This is the second loss this year of similar odds. With a small number of bets it would take years to get this money back "IF" they won as he states. DO NOT EVEN THINK ON BUYING INTO THIS LYING THIEF!!!Comment -
I usually get an-email sometime in the early A.M prior to the up-coming bet. He's probably having trouble thinking of a way out. Anyway, I didn't bet the A,B of the Pitt series because they both suck RPI wise. But I un-loaded on the "C", and got raped
> Shame on Me!
Thats gambling...it's gonna take a long time to recover from this one
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GL boyzComment -
Hey gays, why are you so sad ?
The next serie will be a winner serie's and olso the next game of Pittsburg willl be a winner game , and if you follow the step's , you will have profit !
When the others series were right, no one had no compleins , and if one of the series, is wrong , you all scream !Comment -
So you doing a smart thing staying away from PIT for first two games, then when they faces HOU's Ace Oswalt you unload big instead of staying away yet again. C-bets ain't winning as much as the A-bets do, you realize that right?I usually get an-email sometime in the early A.M prior to the up-coming bet. He's probably having trouble thinking of a way out. Anyway, I didn't bet the A,B of the Pitt series because they both suck RPI wise. But I un-loaded on the "C", and got raped> Shame on Me!
Thats gambling...it's gonna take a long time to recover from this one.
GL boyz
He will have an excuse for sure to wipe this lose away, if not he can't sell more next season - new filter: Never bet on the two worst rpi teams..Comment -
Well yer of coarse they scream mate .. 2 losses = no profit for the season if played like JM suggests...
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Before people unload big on CARDS: Bud Norris is 4-0 0.35 lifetime era against them (won against Carp earlier), Wainwright ain't hot on the road - cards have gone 3-6 on the road when he has started...Comment -
I agree with you to a certain extent, but you can't solely rely on statistics to get you through. Who would have thought BAL would have swept BOS, even if it was at Camden. Who would have thought HOU to sweep STL, especially as they had a horrific start to the season, 10-21 going into that series compared to the 21-12 of STL, and STL were at home! That's just two examples, last year was the same, WAS sweeping FLA... I didn't think it was feasible for WAS to sweep anyone last year!
Nothing is guaranteed, I hate that word. BOS hadn't been swept in a 3 game series by BAL since 1974. That practically would come under the "guaranteed" category, but it obviously wasn't.
No system is unbeatable and you will lose at some point, it's just a matter of managing the liabilityComment -
No word from Morrison - he must be busy formulating his new filterComment -
I lost on the A & B bet... didn't think it made sense making a C bet with the Stros Ace on the mound... Still lost a lot between this A&B and chasing Tor... So JM hasn't sent an email yet regarding the Cards...?Comment -
I think the reason he hasn't yet sent out his e-mail today is because he is doing some back-stats for a new filter: do not bet on a team that is one of the 2 worst RPI teams. Quite a lot of the teams have been/will be swept will have be low RPIs and some of them will be within the new filter. This could have a significant affect on the action and, consequently, the growth.
It was inevitable that, one day, the system would not stand up against common sense. The system is about motivation (do not suffer another sweep by the same team), but motivation doesn't compensate for a lack of skill.Comment -
I hear ya Kev... even tho it makes sense it a teams RPI is at the bottom of the list that we shouldn't bet it but that was never a rule... So a new filter you think will be coming out, geezComment -
The nature of a 97% system is to have 3 lost series every 100 attempts, if every loss equals 17 wins (average), you end up +46 units...this system, as it is right now, updates included, didn't lost a series for about 5 years, that's +200 attempts...remember that 97% is an average, it can get on a long winning streak, but eventually it will lose the number of times needed to get close to 97%, having and undefeated season (as last year 49-0) is not normal, the real number should be 47 Wins and 1-2 losses per season.
The most important factor to win a game is MOTIVATION...If revenge from being humiliated by losing 3 at home to the worst team in the league at that time doesn't get you fired up, what does? That's only one of the factors which makes St. Louis a great play to win 1 out of 3, another factor is they just were swept by Colorado, they will avoid back to back sweeps, 3rd. factor Houston just swept Pittsburgh, what are the chances they will sweep 2 teams in a row?
What are the chances the system will lose back to back series?Comment -
pollito, the system is not 'undefeated', there are plenty of losses covered up by JM's bullshitComment -
so it is an official play St. Louis or not?Comment -
Looks like Lan Nygen has struck again. That little Veitnamese weasal is always up to no good!!!
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Is anyone going to continue playing this system?Comment
