CK's 2025 MLB Thread

[atthehalf]

BUYER BEWARE ALERT!

O'Neill Cruz failed to run out a contact play yesterday for the Buccos and was removed from the game shortly thereafter-look for him to NOT start today vs the Brews. He is even with recent slumping at the plate their best player-so my advice for this one is if you like K's take Skenes with the K's or else stay away from this one because no one on the Buccos will get the protection that O'Neill gives just by the mere presence of him in the lineup

[atthehalf]

Last one

Brian Walsh is the ump for the Fish/Giants game and he is as much of an OVER umpire as there is in the game with 9-5 for the OVER this season alone already and averaging 10.00 RPG. Against the total (8) he is 2-1 yet the average of those two wins was 11 RPG. Having an assignment of catching Tarik Skubal at home on a fair weather day was his only loss with an 8 and even that was a one run loss (5-2 Tigers win. Add to this the fact that Verlander had a start skipped for time off to have new baby=his mind is all fuzzy, Quantrill is up today and is a gas can-please don't put him on any roster that you have-even if it is in space on a vessel far away. He does have decent numbers against the Giants-but his modus operandi is the big inning that he has each game. I hope he is good for at least 4 frames to get my Fish FF move in

Fish/Giants OVER 8

[atthehalf]

Wanderers+110 Latz

LIVE BET IN IF YOU HAVE TO

[atthehalf]

Bombers/Red Leggins UNDER 9.5
Jays/Guardians UNDER 9
2 WAY +2.60 UNITS

[atthehalf]

9:30 Red Sox/Halos UNDER 8 Crochet/Anderson

[atthehalf]

7:30 Buccos/Brews UNDER 7.5 Heaney/Peralta

[atthehalf]

7:30 Cubs/Cardinals UNDER 8.5 Taillon/McGreevy

[atthehalf]

Nevermind-I am gonna replace a arm with a bat. Okay so Trevor Williams has had 54 at bats vs the Fathers and has K'd up only 6

Luis Arraez is 7-18 with 1 double, 1 dinger, 0 K's and a .389 ABG with an OPS of 1.032 and .611 SLG and 4 RBI. So Trevor won't K him up and it's only up t pthe baseball Gods as to where the ball will land. Well there it is

Luis Arreaz OVER 1.5 BASES +104

[atthehalf]

The only and i mean only reason why I didn't press with the Braves is the ML is out of my range that I like to pay for a favorite and there's not much return for the RL (+115). These teams are pretty familiar with one another and the Braves bullpen is one of the reasons why their record is the way that it is...

Ok I am looking for the most unlikely guy on the board to go 5 frames with a 5/3/1/K/W ratio. Gimme a few seconds

[atthehalf]

SIDES

Rays+115 Bradley 2 UNITS
Astronauts-1.5 +143 Valdez 3 UNITS
Braves (Strider) OVER 6.5 K's -103 2 UNITS
Cardinals-102 McGreevy
Red Leggins+0.5 -106 FF RL Burns
Fish+0.5 +100 FF RL Quantrill
Pale Hose-105 FF RL Leasure

TOTALS

6:30 Jays/Guardians UNDER 9 Lauer/Allen
7:00 Braves/Metropolitans UNDER 9 Strider/Montas
7:00 Bombers/Red Leggins UNDER 9.5 Rodon/Burns
7:30 Snakes/Pale Hose UNDER 8.5 Nelson/Leasure
7:30 Sailors/Twinkies UNDER 8.5 Castillo/Paddack

[ProSportsEdge]

It's not about the action. It's about building up your bankroll. Everyone who makes moves on MLB every day is going to end up with a record of around .500. It's about knowing when to go big.

Get that—smart bankroll management is everything. It’s not just about betting every day, it’s about picking your spots and pressing when the timing’s right. Solid advice.

[atthehalf]

Chase Burns vs NYY - This is SO FUN. Grab him in every league. It's the Yankees in GABP (and it's hot out there so the ball will travel a bit) but pick him up and watch the actual live broadcast. I picked this guy up in the offseason and now it's time to unveil him. The Bombers have no idea what's coming from the jewel of the Red Leggins farm system

[atthehalf]

Big envelope comin in the morning for E-Rod. My man gave me 6 frames and 10 K's and 2 walks!

[atthehalf]

Damn the Cubs are sleep walking!

[atthehalf]

The xwOBA has Walker Buehler with a .456 (YIKES!) Let's go the other way

Halos-105 Kochanowicz

[atthehalf]

I know that this sounds strange....but the xwOBA numbers are there....

Nats+154 Parker

[atthehalf]

Those FF's are vital-such wild stuff happens during the course of the game when the relieves come in. Like you can have a great total number-the umps can be lined up in your favor and then a guy comes in from the bullpen who doesn't have it that day and then your total is toast you know what I'm saying.

Anyway

CRUMBS POD Eduardo Rodriguez (Snakes) He absolutely demolishes poor hitting teams. Eduardo pitched well against the Jays and I'm encouraged that he can pull off a stream against the White Sox and possibly the Marlins after, too. However-stay away from betting on the Snakes in this spot. The Arizona Diamondbacks are 0-9 SU in E Rod's last 9 starts, following a start in which he recorded 3 or more K's. The Snakes were favorites in EIGHT of these games!

Still I do see him giving me my 5/3/1/K/W and a TASTY PAYOUT since he is rostered up just 6%. A 94% share split? I ain't passing on that homie

[atthehalf]

Ok here we go

Cubs/Cardinals UNDER 4.5 FF
Buccos/Brews UNDER 4.5 FF
Braves/Metropolitans UNDER 4.5 FF

[atthehalf]

Gimme a second-I have some FF's

[atthehalf]

6:30 Wanderers+113 Corbin
7:30 Sailors-135 Woo 2 UNITS
7:30 Cubs-115 Brown 3 UNITS


7:30 Sailors/Twinkies UNDER 9 Woo/Ober
7:00 Braves/Metropolitans UNDER 8.5 Schwellenbach/Blackburn
7:30 Snakes/Pale Hose UNDER 9 Rodriguez/Smith
7:30 Cubs/Cardinals UNDER 9 Brown/Liberator 2 UNITS

I have to be insane taking an under in a game which Blackburn is involved in

[atthehalf]

Expect pitching changes throughout the day as this is a week with a lot of interleague action boys

[atthehalf]

With some amazing one run losses approaching 50 in number...

RECORD UPDATE (MONITORED AT THE ACTION NETWORK)

493-495-7 +20.29 UNITS

[atthehalf]

Alright on to the Metropolitans vs Blunts

Chric Conroy is your typical OVER umpire although he is by all means a "pitchers" umpire with 1704 K's per game, He is 9-5 for the OVER with an average of 10.50 RPG. When put up against a 9 he is 1-1-0. The home team is 7-7 so he is neutral as hell. I have both of these guys xwOBA estimated at over .340 which is in line with SAVANT.

However good teams at home losing big to other good teams as a favorite are usually good to go for the RL. Luzardo has the worse of the ERA tonight and is FAVORED. That's all you need to know. I have Luzardo ranked at #4 and Peterson at #11

Blunts-1.5 +164 RL Luzardo 2 UNITS

[atthehalf]

Giolito burned me with that last walk to go 6 frames but 5-2...pisser

[atthehalf]

Royals got bullpenitis! I went to the store for a six pack and came back and it's no longer 2-0 LOL!

[atthehalf]

Pacers/Thunder UNDER 214.5 Game 7 2 UNITS

[atthehalf]

4:00 Astronauts/Halos UNDER 9 Gusto/Hendricks
4:00 Guardians/A's UNDER 9.5 -120 Cecconi/Sears
4:00 Red Sox/Giants UNDER 7.5 -120 Giolito/Ray
4:00 Royals/Fathers UNDER 8.5 Lugo/Vasquez

[atthehalf]

I think one of the Tigers home run balls just landed on my front lawn...

[atthehalf]

Just heard my move on the Twinkies got refunded-Festa didn't start-Danny Coulombe did. Be sure to check with your books and see if you were properly refunded for that move

[atthehalf]

Wow! The Rays relivers just killed my under ticket LOL! The bad beats...oh the horror

[atthehalf]

Halos-110 Hendricks

[atthehalf]

Something smells fishy here. Brandon Pfaadt has 3, 4, 0, 2, and 5 K's in his last 5 starts. But all of a sudden he has a line of 5.5 for K's against the Rox today which is bizarre. I looked up Austin Jones (umpire for today) and he gives out a whopping 18.3 K's per game (WOW!) and Pfaadt has K'd up 34.3% of all of the Rox batters that he has faced. So where there's fire there's smoke....

He does have 63% rostership so don't go having him too high if you're streaming-the juice isn't worth the squeeze

Snakes (Pfaadt) OVER 5.5 K's +110

[atthehalf]

2:00 Red Leggins/Cardinals UNDER 9 Abbott/Mikolas
2:00 Brews/Twinkies UNDER 9.5 Priester/Festa

[atthehalf]

Yikes! The wind is blowing out to dead center at 15 MPH at Wrigley today

[atthehalf]

1:30 Pale Hose/Jays UNDER 9 Houser/Bassitt
1:30 Pale Hose/Jays UNDER 4.5 FF